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Colorado State vs Air Force Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 21 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 81-52
38-21 43-31
Position#90
Record11-7
FormWLWLL
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game72.3
vs
Position#371
Record3-15
FormLLLLL
Points / game62.2
Allowed / game75.9
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Colorado State v Air Force
20 Jan 2026
COLO81
AIR 52
28 Jan 2025
COLO79
AIR 58
16 Jan 2024
COLO78
AIR 69
10 Jan 2023
COLO74
AIR 85
04 Jan 2022
COLO67
AIR 59
01 Mar 2021
COLO74
AIR 44
27 Feb 2021
COLO72
AIR 49
29 Feb 2020
COLO87
AIR 74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Colorado State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Air Force winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Colorado StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colorado
#183
W
91-86
91
86
+5
H06/12
NCAA
Dartmouth
#272
W
76-55
76
55
+21
H10/12
NCAA
Northern New Mexico
#624
W
104-54
104
54
+50
H14/12
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
58-100
58
100
-42
A20/12
NCAA
Nevada
#86
L
62-75
62
75
-13
H31/12
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
W
70-60
70
60
+10
A04/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
70-80
70
80
-10
H07/01
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
70-62
70
62
+8
H10/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
L
69-79
69
79
-10
A14/01
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
73-79
73
79
-6
A17/01
NCAA
1H
2H
48-41
43-45
33-24
43-31
60-26
44-28
24-45
34-55
36-37
26-38
35-29
35-31
30-39
40-41
32-29
38-33
22-36
47-43
30-39
43-40
147.3Avg total
74.3Scored
73.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)78.672.3150.9+6.361%
Season at home (11)82.470.7153.1+11.664%
Season away (7)72.774.7147.4-2.057%
Last 10 (10)74.373.0147.3+1.350%
Last 5 (5)70.472.0142.4-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)70.580.0150.5-9.525%
vs Similar (12)74.868.1142.8+6.775%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)81.866.6148.5+15.285%
This opponent (Air Force) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Air ForceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Dakota Coyotes
#214
L
63-80
63
80
-17
H29/11
NCAA
Pacific
#165
L
65-80
65
80
-15
H04/12
NCAA
Navy
#24
L
56-61
56
61
-5
A07/12
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
58-81
58
81
-23
A18/12
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
L
56-68
56
68
-12
H30/12
NCAA
UNLV
#192
L
39-67
39
67
-28
A03/01
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
62-99
62
99
-37
H07/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
49-91
49
91
-42
H10/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
L
62-70
62
70
-8
A14/01
NCAA
Nevada
#86
L
66-81
66
81
-15
H17/01
NCAA
1H
2H
21-37
42-43
26-41
39-39
25-24
31-37
30-33
28-48
26-36
30-32
20-35
19-32
31-45
31-54
22-45
27-46
21-27
41-43
29-40
37-41
135.4Avg total
57.6Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)62.275.9138.1-13.717%
Season at home (13)64.877.5142.3-12.823%
Season away (5)55.671.6127.2-16.00%
Last 10 (10)57.677.8135.4-20.20%
Last 5 (5)55.681.6137.2-26.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)60.677.0137.6-16.310%
vs Similar (1)72.069.0141.0+3.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Colorado State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +0.5+0.51st half: -11.2-11.22nd half2nd half: +0.8+0.82nd half: -9.0-9.0
-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +0.5+0.51st half: -11.2-11.22nd half2nd half: +0.8+0.82nd half: -9.0-9.0
Colorado StateAir Force
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Colorado StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colorado
#183
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H06/12
NCAA
Dartmouth
#272
W
33-24
33
24
+9
H10/12
NCAA
Northern New Mexico
#624
W
60-26
60
26
+34
H14/12
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
24-45
24
45
-21
A20/12
NCAA
Nevada
#86
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H31/12
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A04/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H07/01
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H10/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
L
22-36
22
36
-14
A14/01
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A17/01
NCAA
69.5Avg total
35.0Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.231.167.3+5.167%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.130.769.8+8.472%-
Last 30 away (12)31.831.863.5+0.058%-
Last 10 (10)35.034.569.5+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)29.834.464.2-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)31.035.866.8-4.850%-
vs Similar (12)35.831.367.2+4.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)36.229.866.1+6.485%-
This opponent (Air Force) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Air ForceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Dakota Coyotes
#214
L
21-37
21
37
-16
H29/11
NCAA
Pacific
#165
L
26-41
26
41
-15
H04/12
NCAA
Navy
#24
W
25-24
25
24
+1
A07/12
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A18/12
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
L
26-36
26
36
-10
H30/12
NCAA
UNLV
#192
L
20-35
20
35
-15
A03/01
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H07/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
22-45
22
45
-23
H10/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
L
21-27
21
27
-6
A14/01
NCAA
Nevada
#86
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H17/01
NCAA
61.4Avg total
25.1Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)28.235.964.1-7.717%-
Last 30 at home (18)28.136.364.4-8.211%-
Last 30 away (12)28.335.263.6-6.925%-
Last 10 (10)25.136.361.4-11.210%-
Last 5 (5)24.638.463.0-13.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)28.136.064.1-7.917%-
vs Similar (1)31.032.063.0-1.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Colorado State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Colorado State wins
1
Air Force wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/26ABoise State73-79
14/01/26AFresno State69-79
10/01/26HUNLV70-62
07/01/26HNew Mexico70-80
04/01/26AGrand Canyon70-60
31/12/25HNevada62-75
20/12/25AUtah State58-100
14/12/25HNorthern New Mexico104-54
10/12/25HDartmouth76-55
06/12/25HColorado91-86
Air Forcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/26HNevada66-81
14/01/26ASan Jose State62-70
10/01/26HNew Mexico49-91
07/01/26HUtah State62-99
03/01/26AUNLV39-67
30/12/25HWyoming56-68
18/12/25ASan Diego State58-81
07/12/25ANavy56-61
04/12/25HPacific65-80
29/11/25HSouth Dakota Coyotes63-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Colorado State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL61%
HomeWWLLW64%
AwayWLWLL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18117
Win %61%64%57%
Points / game78.682.472.7
Allowed / game72.370.774.7
Point differential+6.3+11.6-2.0
Avg total150.9153.1147.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%45%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Air Force
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL17%
HomeLLLLL23%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18135
Win %17%23%0%
Points / game62.264.855.6
Allowed / game75.977.571.6
Point differential-13.7-12.8-16.0
Avg total138.1142.3127.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%15%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State1715288%85.367.7+17.6
2 New Mexico1814478%80.767.2+13.5
3 San Diego State1713476%82.072.2+9.8
4 Nevada1813572%76.471.6+4.9
5 Grand Canyon1711665%75.468.9+6.4
6 Colorado State1811761%78.672.3+6.3
7 Wyoming1911858%80.372.7+7.6
8 Boise State1911858%77.173.8+3.2
9 UNLV179853%78.976.4+2.5
10 Fresno State189950%72.570.2+2.3
11 San Jose State1861233%71.675.6-4.0
12 Air Force1831517%62.275.9-13.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Colorado State384381
Air Force213152
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