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Utah State vs San Diego State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 73-62
34-35 39-27
Position#20
Record27-6
FormWLWWW
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game70.6
Utah State 🏆
USA
vs
San Diego State
USA
Position#70
Record22-10
FormLLWWW
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game70.9
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Utah State v San Diego State
14 Mar 2026
UTAH73
SAN 62
31 Jan 2026
UTAH71
SAN 66
11 Jan 2026
UTAH v SAN
upcoming
22 Feb 2025
UTAH79
SAN 71
15 Mar 2024
UTAH70
SAN 86
20 Feb 2024
UTAH68
SAN 63
08 Feb 2023
UTAH61
SAN 63
26 Jan 2022
UTAH75
SAN 57
16 Jan 2021
UTAH64
SAN 59
14 Jan 2021
UTAH57
SAN 45
04 Jan 2020
UTAH68
SAN 77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Utah State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
San Diego State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Utah StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fresno State
#275
W
91-78
91
78
+13
H11/02
NCAA
Memphis
#277
W
99-75
99
75
+24
H15/02
NCAA
Boise State
#101
W
75-56
75
56
+19
H19/02
NCAA
Nevada
#86
L
77-80
77
80
-3
A22/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
72-89
72
89
-17
A26/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
W
74-69
74
69
+5
H01/03
NCAA
UNLV
#192
L
65-92
65
92
-27
A04/03
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
W
94-90
94
90
+4
H07/03
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
80-60
80
60
+20
H12/03
NCAA
Nevada
#86
W
79-66
79
66
+13
H14/03
NCAA
1H
2H
47-35
44-43
48-34
51-41
30-23
45-33
40-38
37-42
33-46
39-43
41-27
33-42
24-32
41-60
42-43
52-47
37-23
43-37
39-32
40-34
156.1Avg total
80.6Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)82.870.6153.4+12.282%
Season at home (19)85.069.5154.5+15.595%
Season away (14)79.972.1152.0+7.764%
Last 10 (10)80.675.5156.1+5.170%
Last 5 (5)78.475.4153.8+3.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)80.376.7157.0+3.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)82.270.2152.4+12.081%
This opponent (San Diego State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Diego StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Air Force
#371
W
88-54
88
54
+34
A08/02
NCAA
Nevada
#86
W
71-57
71
57
+14
H15/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
L
63-73
63
73
-10
H18/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
L
74-83
74
83
-9
A21/02
NCAA
Utah State
#20
W
89-72
89
72
+17
H26/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
76-81
76
81
-5
A28/02
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
77-86
77
86
-9
A04/03
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
89-86
89
86
+3
H07/03
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
W
71-62
71
62
+9
H13/03
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
W
64-62
64
62
+2
H14/03
NCAA
1H
2H
45-26
43-28
36-25
35-32
33-29
30-44
25-38
49-45
46-33
43-39
37-36
39-45
27-34
50-52
42-39
47-47
39-27
32-35
37-33
27-29
147.8Avg total
76.2Scored
71.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)78.770.9149.6+7.869%
Season at home (19)82.269.4151.6+12.884%
Season away (13)73.573.2146.7+0.446%
Last 10 (10)76.271.6147.8+4.660%
Last 5 (5)75.475.4150.8+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)66.274.2140.4-8.040%
vs Similar (16)77.474.8152.2+2.656%
vs Weaker (9)88.866.6155.3+22.2100%
This opponent (Utah State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.8+4.81st half: +4.7+4.72nd half2nd half: +0.3+0.32nd half: -0.1-0.1
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.8+4.81st half: +4.7+4.72nd half2nd half: +0.3+0.32nd half: -0.1-0.1
Utah StateSan Diego State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Utah StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fresno State
#275
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H11/02
NCAA
Memphis
#277
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H15/02
NCAA
Boise State
#101
W
30-23
30
23
+7
H19/02
NCAA
Nevada
#86
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A22/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A26/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H01/03
NCAA
UNLV
#192
L
24-32
24
32
-8
A04/03
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H07/03
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
37-23
37
23
+14
H12/03
NCAA
Nevada
#86
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H14/03
NCAA
71.4Avg total
38.1Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.332.871.1+5.567%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.931.471.2+8.575%-
Last 30 away (14)36.534.470.9+2.157%-
Last 10 (10)38.133.371.4+4.870%-
Last 5 (5)36.631.468.0+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)32.739.071.7-6.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)38.932.171.0+6.870%-
This opponent (San Diego State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Diego StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Air Force
#371
W
45-26
45
26
+19
A08/02
NCAA
Nevada
#86
W
36-25
36
25
+11
H15/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H18/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
L
25-38
25
38
-13
A21/02
NCAA
Utah State
#20
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H26/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A28/02
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A04/03
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H07/03
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H13/03
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H14/03
NCAA
68.7Avg total
36.7Scored
32.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.632.871.3+5.873%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.531.471.8+9.188%-
Last 30 away (13)36.134.670.7+1.554%-
Last 10 (10)36.732.068.7+4.780%-
Last 5 (5)36.433.870.2+2.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)34.634.469.0+0.240%-
vs Similar (16)36.431.968.4+4.569%-
vs Weaker (9)44.633.377.9+11.2100%-
This opponent (Utah State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Utah State wins
6
San Diego State wins
DateGameScore
26/02/26San Diego State v Utah State89-72
31/01/26Utah State v San Diego State71-66
23/02/25Utah State v San Diego State79-71
28/12/24San Diego State v Utah State66-67
16/03/24Utah State v San Diego State70-86
21/02/24Utah State v San Diego State68-63
03/02/24San Diego State v Utah State81-67
11/03/23San Diego State v Utah State62-57
09/02/23Utah State v San Diego State61-63
26/01/23San Diego State v Utah State85-75
Utah Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/26HNevada79-66
12/03/26HUNLV80-60
07/03/26HNew Mexico94-90
04/03/26AUNLV65-92
01/03/26HGrand Canyon74-69
26/02/26ASan Diego State72-89
22/02/26ANevada77-80
19/02/26HBoise State75-56
15/02/26HMemphis99-75
11/02/26HFresno State91-78
San Diego Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/26HNew Mexico64-62
13/03/26HColorado State71-62
07/03/26HUNLV89-86
04/03/26ABoise State77-86
28/02/26ANew Mexico76-81
26/02/26HUtah State89-72
21/02/26AColorado State74-83
18/02/26HGrand Canyon63-73
15/02/26HNevada71-57
08/02/26AAir Force88-54

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Utah State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW82%
HomeWWWWW95%
AwayWWLLL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331914
Win %82%95%64%
Points / game82.885.079.9
Allowed / game70.669.572.1
Point differential+12.2+15.5+7.7
Avg total153.4154.5152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%58%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won89% (9)100% (6)67% (3)
Overtime %3%5%0%
San Diego State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW69%
HomeLWWWW84%
AwayLWLLL46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321913
Win %69%84%46%
Points / game78.782.273.5
Allowed / game70.969.473.2
Point differential+7.8+12.8+0.4
Avg total149.6151.6146.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%53%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)80% (5)25% (4)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State3327682%82.870.6+12.2
2 New Mexico33231070%80.570.8+9.7
3 San Diego State32221069%78.770.9+7.8
4 Nevada34221265%75.971.6+4.4
5 Colorado State33211264%76.171.1+4.9
6 Grand Canyon32201262%75.668.7+7.0
7 Boise State32201262%78.273.5+4.7
8 Wyoming32181456%77.173.0+4.1
9 UNLV33171652%79.478.6+0.8
10 Fresno State32131941%72.872.8+0.0
11 San Jose State3392427%72.078.5-6.5
12 Air Force323299%61.579.9-18.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Utah State343973
San Diego State352762
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