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San Diego State vs Nevada Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 71-57
36-25 35-32
Position#70
Record17-6
FormWWLWW
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game69.9
vs
Position#86
Record17-7
FormLWWLW
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game71.2
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · San Diego State v Nevada
14 Feb 2026
SAN 71
NEVA57
08 Mar 2025
SAN 80
NEVA61
17 Jan 2024
SAN 71
NEVA59
10 Jan 2023
SAN 74
NEVA65
06 Feb 2022
SAN 65
NEVA63
08 Jan 2022
SAN v NEVA
upcoming
12 Mar 2021
SAN 77
NEVA70
09 Jan 2021
SAN 69
NEVA67
07 Jan 2021
SAN 65
NEVA60
18 Jan 2020
SAN 68
NEVA55
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Diego State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nevada winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San Diego StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevada
#86
W
73-68
73
68
+5
A07/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
W
71-52
71
52
+19
H11/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
W
74-57
74
57
+17
A15/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
W
83-79
83
79
+4
H18/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
L
69-70
69
70
-1
A22/01
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
82-71
82
71
+11
A24/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
W
73-50
73
50
+23
H29/01
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
66-71
66
71
-5
A31/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
W
72-63
72
63
+9
H04/02
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
88-54
88
54
+34
A08/02
NCAA
1H
2H
34-36
39-32
36-21
35-31
38-25
36-32
48-35
35-44
37-35
32-35
39-34
43-37
33-27
40-23
34-34
32-37
35-24
37-39
45-26
43-28
138.6Avg total
75.1Scored
63.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)80.269.9150.0+10.374%
Season at home (13)85.869.7155.5+16.185%
Season away (10)72.970.1143.0+2.860%
Last 10 (10)75.163.5138.6+11.680%
Last 5 (5)76.261.8138.0+14.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)60.574.8135.2-14.225%
vs Similar ◀ (14)77.675.4152.9+2.257%
vs Weaker (12)83.263.2146.4+20.192%
This opponent (Nevada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevadaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Diego State
#70
L
68-73
68
73
-5
H07/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
W
92-83
92
83
+9
H11/01
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
62-71
62
71
-9
A15/01
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
81-66
81
66
+15
A17/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
87-54
87
54
+33
H21/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
73-80
73
80
-7
A25/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
W
66-60 OT
66
60
+6
H28/01
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
89-76
89
76
+13
H31/01
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
87-91 OT
87
91
-4
A04/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
W
69-59
69
59
+10
H08/02
NCAA
1H
2H
36-34
32-39
38-39
54-44
23-29
39-42
40-29
41-37
39-26
48-28
35-36
38-44
26-24
27-29
33-28
56-48
28-39
51-40
28-28
41-31
148.7Avg total
77.4Scored
71.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)77.071.2148.1+5.871%
Season at home (16)77.669.4147.1+8.281%
Season away (8)75.674.6150.2+1.050%
Last 10 (10)77.471.3148.7+6.160%
Last 5 (5)76.873.2150.0+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)71.280.0151.2-8.80%
vs Similar ◀ (19)74.971.9146.8+3.063%
vs Weaker (7)78.762.9141.6+15.9100%
This opponent (San Diego State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +8.2+8.21st half: +1.4+1.42nd half2nd half: +3.4+3.42nd half: +4.5+4.5
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +8.2+8.21st half: +1.4+1.42nd half2nd half: +3.4+3.42nd half: +4.5+4.5
San Diego StateNevada
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
San Diego StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevada
#86
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A07/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
W
36-21
36
21
+15
H11/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
W
38-25
38
25
+13
A15/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H18/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A22/01
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A24/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H29/01
NCAA
Utah State
#20
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A31/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
W
35-24
35
24
+11
H04/02
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
45-26
45
26
+19
A08/02
NCAA
67.6Avg total
37.9Scored
29.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.832.069.8+5.870%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.930.569.4+8.482%-
Last 30 away (13)36.433.970.3+2.554%-
Last 10 (10)37.929.767.6+8.280%-
Last 5 (5)37.229.066.2+8.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)31.834.866.5-3.025%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)36.231.968.1+4.364%-
vs Weaker (12)41.731.172.8+10.692%-
This opponent (Nevada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Diego State
#70
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H07/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H11/01
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
23-29
23
29
-6
A15/01
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A17/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H21/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A25/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
W
26-24
26
24
+2
H28/01
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H31/01
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A04/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
D
28-28
28
28
+0
H08/02
NCAA
63.8Avg total
32.6Scored
31.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.232.465.6+0.747%-
Last 30 at home (19)35.331.266.5+4.263%-
Last 30 away (11)29.534.664.1-5.218%-
Last 10 (10)32.631.263.8+1.450%-
Last 5 (5)30.031.061.0-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)32.538.571.0-6.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)32.832.565.3+0.353%-
vs Weaker (7)34.628.763.3+5.957%-
This opponent (San Diego State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
San Diego State wins
2
Nevada wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/26AAir Force88-54
04/02/26HWyoming72-63
31/01/26AUtah State66-71
29/01/26HColorado State73-50
24/01/26AUNLV82-71
22/01/26AGrand Canyon69-70
18/01/26HNew Mexico83-79
15/01/26AWyoming74-57
11/01/26HFresno State71-52
07/01/26ANevada73-68
Nevadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/26HFresno State69-59
04/02/26ABoise State87-91 OT
31/01/26HUNLV89-76
28/01/26HGrand Canyon66-60 OT
25/01/26ANew Mexico73-80
21/01/26HSan Jose State87-54
17/01/26AAir Force81-66
15/01/26AUtah State62-71
11/01/26HWyoming92-83
07/01/26HSan Diego State68-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Diego State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW74%
HomeWWWWW85%
AwayWLWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231310
Win %74%85%60%
Points / game80.285.872.9
Allowed / game69.969.770.1
Point differential+10.3+16.1+2.8
Avg total150.0155.5143.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%62%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)67% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %9%15%0%
Nevada
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW71%
HomeWWWWW81%
AwayWLWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games24168
Win %71%81%50%
Points / game77.077.675.6
Allowed / game71.269.474.6
Point differential+5.8+8.2+1.0
Avg total148.1147.1150.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%44%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)60% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %12%12%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State2522388%84.769.1+15.6
2 New Mexico2519676%80.869.5+11.3
3 San Diego State2317674%80.269.9+10.3
4 Nevada2417771%77.071.2+5.8
5 Grand Canyon2516964%75.368.8+6.5
6 Colorado State25151060%76.070.3+5.6
7 Boise State25151060%79.374.6+4.8
8 Wyoming25131252%77.473.2+4.2
9 UNLV25131252%79.278.8+0.4
10 Fresno State25121348%73.771.8+1.9
11 San Jose State2561924%70.277.4-7.2
12 Air Force2532212%61.479.0-17.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
San Diego State363571
Nevada253257
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