Boca Juniors vs Penarol Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 30 Apr 2024

Tip-off: 01:00

Final 87-83

20-20 12-22 24-21 31-20

Position#4

Record18-12

FormLWLLW

Points / game81.5

Allowed / game75.8

Boca Juniors 🏆

Penarol

Position#11

Record15-18

FormWLWWW

Points / game78.2

Allowed / game80.0

Liga A

Other2023-24

Meetings · Boca Juniors v Penarol

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boca Juniors winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Penarol winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boca Juniors Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormJuniors

Date

Competition

Obras Sanitarias

86-72

+14

92avg 74

H17/02

Liga A

Obera TC

#12

98-73

+25

95avg 74

H02/03

Liga A

Quimsa

53-71

-18

38avg 74

A18/03

Liga A

Olimpico

77-75

70avg 74

A20/03

Liga A

Platense

69-82

-13

56avg 74

A23/03

Liga A

La Union

#16

81-83

-2

70avg 74

A29/03

Liga A

Ferro

#13

70-69

60avg 74

A04/04

Liga A

Riachuelo

#14

77-82

-5

67avg 74

A07/04

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

85-87

-2

84avg 74

A10/04

Liga A

Union De Santa Fe

#19

95-79

+16

94avg 74

H20/04

Liga A

24-23

30-17

13-11

19-21

30-24

13-18

28-17

27-14

20-19

15-18

11-21

7-13

18-24

15-19

22-16

21-21

15-21

18-22

15-18

21-22

24-24

17-19

19-18

15-16

18-21

15-20

22-12

18-29

21-16

18-23

20-14

19-24

23-19

14-17

29-27

22-21

23-20

28-19

22-19

156.4Avg total

79.1Scored

77.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (30)	81.5	75.8	157.3	+5.7	60%
Season at home (15)	82.9	74.6	157.5	+8.3	67%
Season away (15)	80.1	77.1	157.2	+3.1	53%
Last 10 (10)	79.1	77.3	156.4	+1.8	50%
Last 5 (5)	81.6	80.0	161.6	+1.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	73.7	71.3	145.0	+2.3	33%
vs Similar (7)	75.6	78.9	154.4	-3.3	29%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	82.7	76.6	159.2	+6.1	60%

This opponent (Penarol) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Penarol

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormPenarol

Date

Competition

La Union

#16

79-61

+18

82avg 69

H07/03

Liga A

Zarate

#15

64-78

-14

56avg 69

H10/03

Liga A

Regatas

#10

88-76

+12

79avg 69

H24/03

Liga A

Riachuelo

#14

78-93

-15

72avg 69

A06/04

Liga A

Quimsa

80-75

73avg 69

A08/04

Liga A

Obera TC

#12

74-57

+17

74avg 69

H11/04

Liga A

San Martin

69-76

-7

60avg 69

H14/04

Liga A

Platense

99-56

+43

101avg 69

H20/04

Liga A

San Lorenzo

80-75

77avg 69

H23/04

Liga A

Gimnasia

86-79

76avg 69

A27/04

Liga A

21-11

17-18

16-15

25-17

15-22

16-25

17-15

16-16

27-22

19-25

24-21

18-8

19-21

17-19

25-27

17-26

22-18

32-23

10-18

16-16

16-21

22-10

21-9

15-17

15-15

23-14

11-20

20-27

27-19

24-16

24-13

24-8

26-14

16-22

22-19

16-20

15-21

25-19

21-19

25-20

152.3Avg total

79.7Scored

72.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (33)	78.2	80.0	158.2	-1.8	45%
Season at home (16)	81.1	77.9	159.0	+3.2	56%
Season away (17)	75.4	82.1	157.5	-6.6	35%
Last 10 (10)	79.7	72.6	152.3	+7.1	70%
Last 5 (5)	81.6	68.6	150.2	+13.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	72.6	81.0	153.6	-8.4	30%
vs Similar (18)	80.7	78.0	158.7	+2.7	50%
vs Weaker (2)	86.0	75.0	161.0	+11.0	100%

This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Boca JuniorsPenarol

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	20.5	41.1	+0.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	20.0	40.7	+0.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.6	20.9	41.5	-0.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	22.3	43.1	-1.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	22.4	41.4	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	17.3	20.0	37.3	-2.7	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	19.3	20.4	39.7	-1.1	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	21.6	20.6	42.2	+1.1	60%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	18.5	39.2	+2.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.8	17.7	40.5	+5.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	19.3	37.8	-0.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	18.4	38.7	+1.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	18.0	37.8	+1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	20.2	17.6	37.8	+2.6	50%	-
vs Similar (18)	21.1	18.9	40.0	+2.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	18.5	20.0	38.5	-1.5	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	18.5	37.6	+0.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.4	18.1	37.5	+1.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.8	18.9	37.7	-0.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	19.3	39.0	+0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	20.0	41.8	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	17.3	19.0	36.3	-1.7	33%	-
vs Similar (7)	18.7	19.0	37.7	-0.3	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	19.5	18.2	37.8	+1.2	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	20.9	40.4	-1.4	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.4	20.3	39.7	-0.9	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.7	21.5	41.1	-1.8	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	19.1	40.2	+2.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	16.2	38.2	+5.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	19.5	20.3	39.8	-0.8	40%	-
vs Similar (18)	19.3	21.5	40.8	-2.2	22%	-
vs Weaker (2)	21.5	18.5	40.0	+3.0	50%	-

Boca JuniorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Obras Sanitarias

54-40

+14

H17/02

Liga A

Obera TC

#12

43-42

H02/03

Liga A

Quimsa

35-37

-2

A18/03

Liga A

Olimpico

33-43

-10

A20/03

Liga A

Platense

36-42

-6

A23/03

Liga A

La Union

#16

45-46

-1

A29/03

Liga A

Ferro

#13

33-37

-4

A04/04

Liga A

Riachuelo

#14

39-45

-6

A07/04

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

42-43

-1

A10/04

Liga A

Union De Santa Fe

#19

45-41

H20/04

Liga A

82.1Avg total

40.5Scored

41.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.8	39.0	78.7	+0.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.1	38.1	78.3	+2.0	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.4	39.8	79.2	-0.4	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.5	41.6	82.1	-1.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	42.4	83.2	-1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	34.7	39.0	73.7	-4.3	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	38.0	39.4	77.4	-1.4	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	41.1	38.8	79.9	+2.4	55%	-

This opponent (Penarol) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

La Union

#16

38-29

H07/03

Liga A

Zarate

#15

31-47

-16

H10/03

Liga A

Regatas

#10

46-47

-1

H24/03

Liga A

Riachuelo

#14

36-40

-4

A06/04

Liga A

Quimsa

54-41

+13

A08/04

Liga A

Obera TC

#12

38-31

H11/04

Liga A

San Martin

38-29

H14/04

Liga A

Platense

51-35

+16

H20/04

Liga A

San Lorenzo

42-36

H23/04

Liga A

Gimnasia

40-40

A27/04

Liga A

78.9Avg total

41.4Scored

37.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.2	39.4	79.6	+0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.2	38.1	80.3	+4.1	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.1	40.8	78.9	-2.7	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.4	37.5	78.9	+3.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	34.2	76.0	+7.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	39.7	37.9	77.6	+1.8	60%	-
vs Similar (18)	40.4	40.4	80.8	+0.1	44%	-
vs Weaker (2)	40.0	38.5	78.5	+1.5	50%	-

This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	18.0	36.9	+0.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.9	17.2	37.1	+2.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.8	18.9	36.7	-1.1	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	18.5	36.9	-0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	19.6	38.0	-1.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	17.0	15.0	32.0	+2.0	67%	-
vs Similar (7)	17.4	17.4	34.9	+0.0	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	19.6	18.7	38.3	+0.9	45%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	19.9	38.9	-0.9	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	19.6	39.9	+0.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.7	20.3	38.0	-2.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	17.6	36.7	+1.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	16.0	35.8	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	16.4	22.0	38.4	-5.6	20%	-
vs Similar (18)	19.6	19.1	38.7	+0.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	26.5	17.5	44.0	+9.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	18.2	38.4	+1.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.1	18.9	39.9	+2.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	17.6	36.9	+1.7	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	17.2	37.4	+3.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	18.0	40.4	+4.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	22.0	17.3	39.3	+4.7	67%	-
vs Similar (7)	17.7	18.7	36.4	-1.0	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	20.8	18.2	39.0	+2.6	65%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	19.4	38.6	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.3	19.3	38.5	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	19.6	38.7	-0.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	17.5	36.7	+1.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	18.4	38.4	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	16.5	21.1	37.6	-4.6	30%	-
vs Similar (18)	20.6	18.6	39.2	+2.1	56%	-
vs Weaker (2)	19.5	19.0	38.5	+0.5	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.0	36.3	75.3	+2.8	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.0	36.1	77.1	+4.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.1	36.5	73.5	+0.6	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.6	35.7	74.3	+2.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	37.6	78.4	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	39.0	32.3	71.3	+6.7	67%	-
vs Similar (7)	35.1	36.1	71.3	-1.0	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	40.4	36.9	77.3	+3.5	70%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.2	39.4	77.5	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.5	38.9	78.4	+0.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.8	39.9	76.7	-3.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.3	35.1	73.4	+3.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.8	34.4	74.2	+5.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	32.9	43.1	76.0	-10.2	10%	-
vs Similar (18)	40.2	37.6	77.8	+2.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	46.0	36.5	82.5	+9.5	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Boca Juniorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boca Juniors: 71.7 points a game scored

🏀🏀45%

🏀🏀🏀40%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 45% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 40% of the points

🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game

48%

34%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	31.3	16.0	51.1%	53.8%	32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.7	9.5	31.0%	32.9%	28.5
🏀 Free throws	14.2	11.2	78.8%	71.7%	11.2

They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Penaroltheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.8	18.0	47.6%	53.8%	36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.7	7.2	29.1%	32.9%	21.5
🏀 Free throws	20.3	15.3	75.4%	71.7%	15.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.8	18.0	47.6%	53.8%	36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.7	7.2	29.1%	32.9%	21.5
🏀 Free throws	20.3	15.3	75.4%	71.7%	15.3

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Boca Juniors wins

Penarol wins

Date	Game	Score
15/10/23	Penarol v Boca Juniors	72-92
29/04/23	Penarol v Boca Juniors	110-114 OT
26/04/23	Boca Juniors v Penarol	98-84
23/04/23	Boca Juniors v Penarol	94-78
16/04/23	Boca Juniors v Penarol	92-82
24/11/22	Penarol v Boca Juniors	86-81
08/05/22	Boca Juniors v Penarol	86-77
05/05/22	Boca Juniors v Penarol	68-75
01/05/22	Penarol v Boca Juniors	80-81
30/04/22	Penarol v Boca Juniors	70-81

Boca Juniorslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/04/24	H	Union De Santa Fe	95-79
10/04/24	A	Instituto de Cordoba	85-87
07/04/24	A	Riachuelo	77-82
04/04/24	A	Ferro	70-69
29/03/24	A	La Union	81-83
23/03/24	A	Platense	69-82
20/03/24	A	Olimpico	77-75
18/03/24	A	Quimsa	53-71
02/03/24	H	Obera TC	98-73
17/02/24	H	Obras Sanitarias	86-72

Penarollast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/04/24	A	Gimnasia	86-79
23/04/24	H	San Lorenzo	80-75
20/04/24	H	Platense	99-56
14/04/24	H	San Martin	69-76
11/04/24	H	Obera TC	74-57
08/04/24	A	Quimsa	80-75
06/04/24	A	Riachuelo	78-93
24/03/24	H	Regatas	88-76
10/03/24	H	Zarate	64-78
07/03/24	H	La Union	79-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boca Juniors

Liga A 2023-24

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLW	60%
Home	LWWWW	67%
Away	LLWLL	53%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	30	15	15
Win %	60%	67%	53%
Points / game	81.5	82.9	80.1
Allowed / game	75.8	74.6	77.1
Point differential	+5.7	+8.3	+3.1
Avg total	157.3	157.5	157.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	47%	60%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (8)	0% (2)	33% (6)
Overtime %	10%	13%	7%

Penarol

Liga A 2023-24

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	45%
Home	WWLWW	56%
Away	WLLWW	35%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	33	16	17
Win %	45%	56%	35%
Points / game	78.2	81.1	75.4
Allowed / game	80.0	77.9	82.1
Point differential	-1.8	+3.2	-6.6
Avg total	158.2	159.0	157.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	21%	44%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (5)	100% (2)	33% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Quimsa	34	29	5	85%	85.9	77.9	+8.0
2	Instituto de Cordoba	35	25	10	71%	80.6	75.4	+5.2
3	Olimpico	33	23	10	70%	84.8	75.9	+8.9
4	Obras Sanitarias	31	20	11	65%	85.4	85.0	+0.4
5	Platense	31	19	12	61%	79.0	77.8	+1.1
6	San Lorenzo	33	20	13	61%	75.4	72.2	+3.3
7	Boca Juniors	30	18	12	60%	81.5	75.8	+5.7
8	San Martin	34	20	14	59%	76.6	72.7	+3.9
9	Gimnasia	30	17	13	57%	82.6	81.1	+1.5
10	Obera TC	33	17	16	52%	79.8	80.4	-0.6
11	Regatas	33	16	17	48%	77.9	76.5	+1.4
12	Penarol	33	15	18	45%	78.2	80.0	-1.8
13	Riachuelo	33	14	19	42%	81.5	82.6	-1.1
14	Ferro	33	13	20	39%	76.4	80.8	-4.4
15	Zarate	34	13	21	38%	71.5	77.0	-5.5
16	Independiente de Oliva	33	12	21	36%	78.5	81.5	-3.1
17	La Union	35	11	24	31%	77.3	81.2	-3.9
18	Comunicaciones Mercedes	32	9	23	28%	79.8	84.5	-4.8
19	Argentino	33	9	24	27%	73.9	80.4	-6.4
20	Union De Santa Fe	33	8	25	24%	79.0	86.5	-7.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Boca Juniors	20	12	24	31	87
Penarol	20	22	21	20	83

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Boca Juniors vs Penarol Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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