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Estudiantes vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 06 Jan 2019
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 93-88
25-25 21-24 20-15 27-24
Position#16
Record4-10
FormLLLLW
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game85.4
Estudiantes 🏆
Spain
vs
Real Madrid
Spain
Position#1
Record11-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game88.2
Allowed / game77.4
SpainACBRound 15
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Estudiantes v Real Madrid
07 Feb 2021
EST65
MAD79
06 Jan 2019
EST93
MAD88
29 Apr 2018
EST75
MAD92
23 Oct 2016
EST88
MAD96
08 Nov 2015
EST75
MAD80
07 Dec 2014
EST89
MAD84
13 Apr 2014
EST64
MAD71
09 Dec 2012
EST74
MAD87
11 Dec 2011
EST90
MAD85
30 Sep 2010
EST79
MAD84
29 Dec 2009
EST82
MAD80
25 Apr 2009
EST71
MAD63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estudiantes winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EstudiantesSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEstudiantes
Date
Competition
San Lorenzo
#1
L
61-92
61
92
-31
no box
H08/12
Liga A
San Pablo Burgos
#12
W
80-79
80
79
+1
108avg 109
H09/12
ACB
Ferro
#3
L
65-74
65
74
-9
no box
H10/12
Liga A
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
81-91
81
91
-10
104avg 109
A15/12
ACB
Gimnasia
#5
L
78-89
78
89
-11
no box
A17/12
Liga A
Ferro
#3
L
67-86
67
86
-19
no box
A19/12
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#8
L
60-78
60
78
-18
no box
A21/12
Liga A
Valencia
#4
L
79-83
79
83
-4
103avg 109
H23/12
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
L
82-96
82
96
-14
110avg 109
A29/12
ACB
Murcia
#14
W
88-73
88
73
+15
113avg 109
A03/01
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-21
20-24
7-22
23-25
13-16
22-15
20-23
25-25
17-16
13-15
18-22
17-21
14-19
16-27
26-29
25-16
17-20
26-21
24-27
11-21
20-21
20-18
16-19
11-28
17-18
19-16
12-23
12-21
19-13
15-25
24-19
21-26
21-30
18-23
18-20
25-23
23-23
21-20
24-18
20-12
158.2Avg total
74.1Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)79.185.4164.5-6.229%
Season at home (7)76.185.7161.9-9.629%
Season away (7)82.185.0167.1-2.929%
Last 10 (10)74.184.1158.2-10.020%
Last 5 (5)75.283.2158.4-8.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)72.887.6160.3-14.811%
vs Similar (19)77.580.1157.6-2.637%
vs Weaker (2)86.086.5172.5-0.550%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
84-82
84
82
+2
118avg 118
A07/12
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#11
W
87-63
87
63
+24
119avg 118
H09/12
ACB
Barcelona
#5
W
92-65
92
65
+27
120avg 118
H13/12
Euroleague
Breogan
#18
L
71-84
71
84
-13
100avg 118
A16/12
ACB
Panathinaikos
#7
W
89-68
89
68
+21
122avg 118
H19/12
Euroleague
Bayern
#12
W
82-72
82
72
+10
109avg 118
A21/12
Euroleague
Murcia
#14
W
80-74
80
74
+6
106avg 118
H23/12
ACB
Fenerbahce
#2
L
63-65
63
65
-2
88avg 118
A28/12
Euroleague
Baskonia
#3
W
91-74
91
74
+17
127avg 118
A30/12
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
91-79
91
79
+12
122avg 118
H03/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-23
22-29
15-22
24-8
17-20
23-11
25-15
22-17
22-17
31-13
16-20
23-15
21-20
13-25
13-25
24-14
23-10
20-21
20-24
26-13
27-16
19-15
19-28
17-13
18-8
24-22
16-26
22-18
12-22
20-10
12-16
19-17
26-12
21-23
27-13
17-26
21-19
23-25
25-18
22-17
155.6Avg total
83.0Scored
72.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)88.277.4165.6+10.979%
Season at home (8)91.977.0168.9+14.988%
Season away (6)83.377.8161.2+5.567%
Last 10 (10)83.072.6155.6+10.480%
Last 5 (5)81.472.8154.2+8.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)79.080.0159.0-1.040%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)89.776.1165.8+13.688%
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +4.3+4.3Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: +5.8+5.8
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +4.3+4.3Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: +5.8+5.8
EstudiantesReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Lorenzo
#1
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H08/12
Liga A
San Pablo Burgos
#12
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H09/12
ACB
Ferro
#3
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H10/12
Liga A
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A15/12
ACB
Gimnasia
#5
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A17/12
Liga A
Ferro
#3
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A19/12
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#8
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A21/12
Liga A
Valencia
#4
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H23/12
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A29/12
ACB
Murcia
#14
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A03/01
ACB
76.3Avg total
36.2Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.940.577.5-3.637%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.139.975.9-3.838%-
Last 30 away (14)37.941.379.2-3.436%-
Last 10 (10)36.240.176.3-3.950%-
Last 5 (5)38.641.480.0-2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)33.143.276.3-10.111%-
vs Similar (19)38.538.977.4-0.553%-
vs Weaker (2)39.543.583.0-4.00%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
45-52
45
52
-7
A07/12
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#11
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H09/12
ACB
Barcelona
#5
W
53-30
53
30
+23
H13/12
Euroleague
Breogan
#18
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A16/12
ACB
Panathinaikos
#7
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H19/12
Euroleague
Bayern
#12
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A21/12
Euroleague
Murcia
#14
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H23/12
ACB
Fenerbahce
#2
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A28/12
Euroleague
Baskonia
#3
W
47-35
47
35
+12
A30/12
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H03/01
Euroleague
78.7Avg total
42.6Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.638.583.1+6.170%-
Last 30 at home (17)46.437.183.5+9.288%-
Last 30 away (13)42.340.282.5+2.146%-
Last 10 (10)42.636.178.7+6.560%-
Last 5 (5)42.234.476.6+7.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)40.239.279.4+1.040%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)45.538.383.8+7.276%-
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 78.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.620.0
50.5%
52.5%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.48.2
33.6%
36.6%24.6
🏀 Free throws19.214.0
72.9%
74.6%14.0
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.419.5
55.1%
52.5%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.910.5
39.0%
36.6%31.5
🏀 Free throws15.511.7
75.5%
74.6%11.7
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Jan 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Estudiantes
WLLLLLLLWL
Real Madrid
WWLWWWLWWW
#16
League position
#1
-11.4
Net rating
+14.4
104.0
Offensive rating
113.4
115.4
Defensive rating
99.1
50.5%
Effective FG%
56.6%
55.1%
Opp. effective FG%
47.0%
16.6%
Turnover %
16.7%
26.2%
Off. rebound %
28.3%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.25
33.6%
3-point %
39.0%
51.8%
Assist %
66.3%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence104.0 · 113.4Defence115.4 · 99.1Shooting50.5% · 56.6%3-point %33.6% · 39.0%Ball care16.6% · 16.7%Off. rebounds26.2% · 28.3%Free throws0.30 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)20% · 80%
■ Estudiantes   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Estudiantes wins
9
Real Madrid wins
DateGameScore
29/04/18Estudiantes v Real Madrid75-92
31/12/17Real Madrid v Estudiantes96-89
30/04/17Real Madrid v Estudiantes79-72
23/10/16Estudiantes v Real Madrid88-96
07/02/16Real Madrid v Estudiantes97-79
08/11/15Estudiantes v Real Madrid75-80
29/03/15Real Madrid v Estudiantes92-66
07/12/14Estudiantes v Real Madrid89-84
13/04/14Estudiantes v Real Madrid64-71
24/11/13Real Madrid v Estudiantes72-57
Estudianteslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/19AMurcia88-73
29/12/18AMoraBanc Andorra82-96
23/12/18HValencia79-83
21/12/18ABoca Juniors60-78
19/12/18AFerro67-86
17/12/18AGimnasia78-89
15/12/18AObradoiro CAB81-91
10/12/18HFerro65-74
09/12/18HSan Pablo Burgos80-79
08/12/18HSan Lorenzo61-92
Real Madridlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/19HMaccabi Tel Aviv91-79
30/12/18ABaskonia91-74
28/12/18AFenerbahce63-65
23/12/18HMurcia80-74
21/12/18ABayern82-72
19/12/18HPanathinaikos89-68
16/12/18ABreogan71-84
13/12/18HBarcelona92-65
09/12/18HGran Canaria87-63
07/12/18AAnadolu Efes84-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estudiantes
ACB 2018-19
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW29%
HomeLLLWL29%
AwayLLLLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %29%29%29%
Points / game79.176.182.1
Allowed / game85.485.785.0
Point differential-6.2-9.6-2.9
Avg total164.5161.9167.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%0%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (4)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Real Madrid
ACB 2018-19
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW79%
HomeWLWWW88%
AwayWWLLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %79%88%67%
Points / game88.291.983.3
Allowed / game77.477.077.8
Point differential+10.9+14.9+5.5
Avg total165.6168.9161.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%62%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona1513287%87.775.4+12.3
2 Real Madrid1411379%88.277.4+10.9
3 Baskonia1511473%85.971.2+14.7
4 Unicaja1510567%84.581.1+3.4
5 Tenerife159660%79.774.9+4.9
6 Valencia159660%79.278.2+1.0
7 Joventut Badalona159660%78.279.2-1.0
8 Manresa158753%80.980.3+0.5
9 Tecnyconta Zaragoza158753%81.383.5-2.2
10 San Pablo Burgos156940%80.281.9-1.7
11 MoraBanc Andorra156940%80.983.9-2.9
12 Breogan156940%77.381.1-3.9
13 Obradoiro CAB156940%76.781.1-4.3
14 Gran Canaria1551033%80.582.3-1.8
15 Murcia1551033%73.378.7-5.4
16 Fuenlabrada1551033%78.185.1-6.9
17 Estudiantes1441029%79.185.4-6.2
18 Gipuzkoa1531220%72.983.8-10.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Estudiantes2521202793
Real Madrid2524152488
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