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San Lorenzo vs Penarol Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 00:05
Final 85-92
22-28 22-17 18-26 23-21
Position#16
Record1-0
FormLLLLW
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game73.0
vs
Penarol 🏆
Argentina
Position#2
Record2-0
FormLWLWW
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game67.0
ArgentinaLiga A· Polideportivo Roberto Pando
Other2026-27
Meetings · San Lorenzo v Penarol
16 Oct 2026
SAN 85
PENA92
26 Sep 2025
SAN 82
PENA74
05 Apr 2025
SAN 76
PENA63
15 Nov 2023
SAN 88
PENA65
17 Jan 2023
SAN 75
PENA99
14 Feb 2022
SAN 73
PENA76
14 Oct 2021
SAN 88
PENA73
16 Jan 2021
SAN 74
PENA75
14 Feb 2020
SAN 98
PENA87
29 Sep 2019
SAN 89
PENA84
01 May 2019
SAN 88
PENA84
08 May 2018
SAN 101
PENA69
06 May 2018
SAN 91
PENA82
07 Dec 2017
SAN 100
PENA95
11 Jan 2017
SAN 86
PENA61
11 Nov 2016
SAN 89
PENA59
16 Dec 2015
SAN 100
PENA75
01 Nov 2015
SAN 76
PENA80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Lorenzo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Penarol winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San LorenzoArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Martin
#12
L
72-77
72
77
-5
A09/03
Liga A
Penarol
#11
W
79-71
79
71
+8
A15/03
Liga A
Platense
#16
W
107-103
107
103
+4
H18/03
Liga A
Olimpico
#13
W
80-69
80
69
+11
H26/03
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
73-81
73
81
-8
H30/03
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#2
L
77-83
77
83
-6
H04/04
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#14
L
66-80
66
80
-14
A12/04
Liga A
Argentino
#19
L
70-80
70
80
-10
A15/04
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#7
L
70-76
70
76
-6
A18/04
Liga A
Gimnasia
#5
W
89-73
89
73
+16
H09/10
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-16
22-19
12-22
23-20
19-18
17-20
27-12
16-21
24-25
29-26
23-21
31-31
16-14
18-21
29-22
17-12
14-22
20-23
18-21
21-15
18-26
22-23
19-14
18-20
14-17
19-28
19-16
14-19
16-21
21-26
9-18
24-15
17-21
18-19
14-20
21-16
20-22
18-18
29-14
22-19
157.6Avg total
78.3Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)89.073.0162.0+16.0100%
Season at home (1)89.073.0162.0+16.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)78.379.3157.6-1.040%
Last 5 (5)74.478.4152.8-4.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)77.981.8159.7-3.929%
vs Similar (11)80.982.4163.3-1.555%
vs Weaker (2)79.066.0145.0+13.050%
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenarolArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Union De Santa Fe
#15
W
85-83
85
83
+2
H05/04
Liga A
La Union
#10
L
85-91
85
91
-6
A15/04
Liga A
Obera TC
#5
L
81-84
81
84
-3
A17/04
Liga A
Ferro
#6
W
87-80
87
80
+7
H20/04
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
91-97
91
97
-6
A24/04
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
78-80
78
80
-2
A26/04
Liga A
Ferro
#6
W
87-75
87
75
+12
H01/05
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
68-84
68
84
-16
H03/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#5
W
62-57
62
57
+5
H30/09
Liga A
Lanus
#12
W
84-77
84
77
+7
A14/10
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-6
14-26
29-17
27-34
22-22
20-22
29-27
14-20
18-26
17-21
21-15
25-22
25-25
22-22
23-18
17-15
30-29
13-24
21-17
27-27
25-21
18-29
20-12
15-18
22-20
18-23
25-21
22-11
19-22
23-26
10-22
16-14
17-14
13-15
14-6
18-22
18-26
27-17
26-23
13-11
161.6Avg total
80.8Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)73.067.0140.0+6.0100%
Season at home (1)62.057.0119.0+5.0100%
Season away (1)84.077.0161.0+7.0100%
Last 10 (10)80.880.8161.6+0.050%
Last 5 (5)75.874.6150.4+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)71.581.0152.5-9.550%
vs Similar (22)83.181.7164.9+1.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)78.375.7154.0+2.750%
This opponent (San Lorenzo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +0.0+0.0
San LorenzoPenarol
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
San LorenzoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Martin
#12
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A09/03
Liga A
Penarol
#11
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A15/03
Liga A
Platense
#16
W
53-51
53
51
+2
H18/03
Liga A
Olimpico
#13
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H26/03
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H30/03
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#2
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H04/04
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#14
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A12/04
Liga A
Argentino
#19
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A15/04
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#7
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A18/04
Liga A
Gimnasia
#5
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H09/10
Liga A
80.2Avg total
37.7Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.942.980.9-5.027%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.743.482.1-4.729%-
Last 30 away (13)36.942.379.2-5.423%-
Last 10 (10)37.742.580.2-4.820%-
Last 5 (5)36.644.280.8-7.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)37.443.981.3-6.524%-
vs Similar (11)38.142.380.4-4.227%-
vs Weaker (2)41.538.580.0+3.050%-
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Union De Santa Fe
#15
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H05/04
Liga A
La Union
#10
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A15/04
Liga A
Obera TC
#5
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A17/04
Liga A
Ferro
#6
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H20/04
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A24/04
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A26/04
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H01/05
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H03/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#5
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H30/09
Liga A
Lanus
#12
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A14/10
Liga A
83.2Avg total
39.6Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.042.682.6-2.637%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.340.477.6-3.129%-
Last 30 away (16)42.444.687.0-2.144%-
Last 10 (10)39.643.683.2-4.020%-
Last 5 (5)40.042.682.6-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)43.043.086.0+0.050%-
vs Similar (22)40.843.484.2-2.536%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)36.239.775.8-3.533%-
This opponent (San Lorenzo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
San Lorenzotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Lorenzo: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.820.3
56.7%
54.4%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.07.2
30.0%
32.6%21.6
🏀 Free throws22.616.1
71.2%
72.7%16.1
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Penaroltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Penarol: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.719.5
56.2%
54.4%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.77.8
31.6%
32.6%23.4
🏀 Free throws26.918.4
68.4%
72.7%18.4
They take 59.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
San Lorenzo
WLLLLLWWWL
Penarol
WWLWLLWLLW
#16
League position
#2
-1.4
Net rating
+0.0
110.8
Offensive rating
111.2
112.2
Defensive rating
111.2
52.0%
Effective FG%
52.5%
49.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.45
30.0%
3-point %
31.6%
52.0%
Assist %
47.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence110.8 · 111.2Defence112.2 · 111.2Shooting52.0% · 52.5%3-point %30.0% · 31.6%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.38 · 0.45Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ San Lorenzo   ■ Penarol
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
San Lorenzo wins
6
Penarol wins
DateGameScore
15/03/26Penarol v San Lorenzo71-79
26/09/25San Lorenzo v Penarol82-74
05/04/25San Lorenzo v Penarol76-63
10/01/25Penarol v San Lorenzo80-77
23/04/24Penarol v San Lorenzo80-75
15/11/23San Lorenzo v Penarol88-65
18/01/23San Lorenzo v Penarol75-99
21/10/22Penarol v San Lorenzo79-70
14/02/22San Lorenzo v Penarol73-76
27/01/22Penarol v San Lorenzo82-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/10/26HGimnasia89-73
18/04/26AObras Sanitarias70-76
15/04/26AArgentino70-80
12/04/26ARacing de Chivilcoy66-80
04/04/26HBoca Juniors77-83
30/03/26HGimnasia73-81
26/03/26HOlimpico80-69
18/03/26HPlatense107-103
15/03/26APenarol79-71
09/03/26ASan Martin72-77
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/26ALanus84-77
30/09/26HGimnasia62-57
03/05/26HFerro68-84
01/05/26HFerro87-75
26/04/26AFerro78-80
24/04/26AFerro91-97
20/04/26HFerro87-80
17/04/26AObera TC81-84
15/04/26ALa Union85-91
05/04/26HUnion De Santa Fe85-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Lorenzo
Liga A 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game89.089.0-
Allowed / game73.073.0-
Point differential+16.0+16.0-
Avg total162.0162.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Penarol
Liga A 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game73.062.084.0
Allowed / game67.057.077.0
Point differential+6.0+5.0+7.0
Avg total140.0119.0161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Lorenzo110100%89.073.0+16.0
2 Quimsa330100%94.080.0+14.0
3 Regatas110100%73.063.0+10.0
4 Penarol220100%73.067.0+6.0
5 Racing de Chivilcoy43175%89.086.8+2.2
6 Argentino32167%81.078.0+3.0
7 Gimnasia64267%79.877.5+2.3
8 Atenas32167%86.385.3+1.0
9 Instituto de Cordoba32167%80.380.0+0.3
10 Platense42250%80.284.5-4.2
11 Boca Juniors31233%90.790.3+0.3
12 Olimpico31233%84.784.3+0.3
13 La Union31233%81.384.0-2.7
14 Lanus31233%72.778.0-5.3
15 Ferro41325%86.289.8-3.5
16 San Martin3030%91.796.3-4.7
17 Independiente de Oliva1010%92.097.0-5.0
18 Obera TC4040%72.283.2-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
San Lorenzo2222182385
Penarol2817262192
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