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San Lorenzo vs Penarol Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 26 Sep 2025
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 82-74
21-19 20-21 17-18 24-16
Position#17
Record-
FormLWWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#11
Record-
FormLLWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
ArgentinaLiga A· Polideportivo Roberto Pando
Other2025-26
Meetings · San Lorenzo v Penarol
16 Oct 2026
SAN 85
PENA92
26 Sep 2025
SAN 82
PENA74
05 Apr 2025
SAN 76
PENA63
15 Nov 2023
SAN 88
PENA65
17 Jan 2023
SAN 75
PENA99
14 Feb 2022
SAN 73
PENA76
14 Oct 2021
SAN 88
PENA73
16 Jan 2021
SAN 74
PENA75
14 Feb 2020
SAN 98
PENA87
29 Sep 2019
SAN 89
PENA84
01 May 2019
SAN 88
PENA84
08 May 2018
SAN 101
PENA69
06 May 2018
SAN 91
PENA82
07 Dec 2017
SAN 100
PENA95
11 Jan 2017
SAN 86
PENA61
11 Nov 2016
SAN 89
PENA59
16 Dec 2015
SAN 100
PENA75
01 Nov 2015
SAN 76
PENA80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Lorenzo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Penarol winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San LorenzoArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLorenzo
Date
Competition
San Martin
#10
W
73-64
73
64
+9
64avg 69
A15/04
Liga A
Regatas
#7
L
78-88
78
88
-10
76avg 69
A17/04
Liga A
La Union
#18
W
85-78
85
78
+7
83avg 69
A19/04
Liga A
Platense
#16
L
73-78
73
78
-5
59avg 69
H22/04
Liga A
Zarate
#19
W
85-75
85
75
+10
77avg 69
A27/04
Liga A
Gimnasia
#9
L
81-92
81
92
-11
63avg 69
A30/04
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#17
W
94-77
94
77
+17
89avg 69
H05/05
Liga A
Argentino
#20
W
77-60
77
60
+17
68avg 69
A11/05
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#5
L
88-95
88
95
-7
72avg 69
H16/05
Liga A
Ferro
#8
L
72-85
72
85
-13
62avg 69
H20/05
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-16
27-16
11-13
22-19
25-25
11-24
24-21
18-18
17-17
29-19
24-14
15-28
19-17
14-22
20-25
20-14
24-19
28-17
17-15
16-24
20-31
28-21
14-18
19-22
34-26
20-12
26-18
14-21
16-22
24-12
20-18
17-8
17-30
18-22
27-17
26-26
16-27
21-18
19-19
16-21
159.8Avg total
80.6Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.679.2159.8+1.450%
Last 5 (5)82.481.8164.2+0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)77.982.8160.8-4.933%
vs Similar ◀ (14)78.679.8158.4-1.250%
vs Weaker (4)83.073.0156.0+10.075%
This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenarolArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPenarol
Date
Competition
Obras Sanitarias
#5
W
93-85
93
85
+8
81avg 70
A03/04
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#14
L
63-76
63
76
-13
50avg 70
A05/04
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#2
W
89-71
89
71
+18
88avg 70
H10/04
Liga A
Platense
#16
L
75-79
75
79
-4
63avg 70
H25/04
Liga A
Ferro
#8
L
73-75
73
75
-2
62avg 70
H27/04
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#11
L
79-85
79
85
-6
71avg 70
A03/05
Liga A
Obera TC
#3
L
71-86
71
86
-15
60avg 70
A04/05
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#17
W
99-74
99
74
+25
102avg 70
H08/05
Liga A
Zarate
#19
W
110-81
110
81
+29
113avg 70
H10/05
Liga A
Riachuelo
#6
W
89-75
89
75
+14
72avg 70
H20/05
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-16
17-20
25-19
28-30
16-22
17-11
21-20
9-23
27-16
29-19
17-16
16-20
20-18
21-16
10-27
24-18
12-20
26-20
16-24
19-11
25-17
15-24
18-15
21-29
18-29
20-17
21-17
12-23
26-20
28-15
23-16
22-23
21-14
37-29
25-24
27-14
29-20
25-14
21-16
14-25
162.8Avg total
84.1Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)84.178.7162.8+5.450%
Last 5 (5)89.680.2169.8+9.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)73.580.0153.5-6.550%
vs Similar ◀ (13)77.279.4156.5-2.238%
vs Weaker (15)85.577.3162.9+8.253%
This opponent (San Lorenzo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: +5.0+5.0Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -2.4-2.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: +5.0+5.0Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -2.4-2.4
San LorenzoPenarol
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
San LorenzoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Martin
#10
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A15/04
Liga A
Regatas
#7
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A17/04
Liga A
La Union
#18
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A19/04
Liga A
Platense
#16
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H22/04
Liga A
Zarate
#19
W
52-36
52
36
+16
A27/04
Liga A
Gimnasia
#9
L
48-52
48
52
-4
A30/04
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#17
W
54-38
54
38
+16
H05/05
Liga A
Argentino
#20
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A11/05
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#5
L
35-52
35
52
-17
H16/05
Liga A
Ferro
#8
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H20/05
Liga A
83.4Avg total
42.1Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.141.281.3-1.147%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.640.880.4-1.244%-
Last 30 away (14)40.641.782.4-1.150%-
Last 10 (10)42.141.383.4+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)42.844.287.0-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)41.242.583.8-1.242%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)38.141.679.7-3.436%-
vs Weaker (4)43.536.279.8+7.2100%-
This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Obras Sanitarias
#5
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A03/04
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#14
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A05/04
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#2
W
56-35
56
35
+21
H10/04
Liga A
Platense
#16
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H25/04
Liga A
Ferro
#8
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H27/04
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#11
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A03/05
Liga A
Obera TC
#3
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A04/05
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#17
W
54-35
54
35
+19
H08/05
Liga A
Zarate
#19
W
58-43
58
43
+15
H10/05
Liga A
Riachuelo
#6
W
54-34
54
34
+20
H20/05
Liga A
82.9Avg total
45.2Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.040.182.0+1.957%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.238.483.7+6.875%-
Last 30 away (14)38.241.980.1-3.736%-
Last 10 (10)45.237.782.9+7.560%-
Last 5 (5)48.839.888.6+9.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)32.040.072.0-8.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)40.640.180.7+0.554%-
vs Weaker (15)44.540.184.5+4.467%-
This opponent (San Lorenzo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
San Lorenzo wins
7
Penarol wins
DateGameScore
05/04/25San Lorenzo v Penarol76-63
10/01/25Penarol v San Lorenzo80-77
23/04/24Penarol v San Lorenzo80-75
15/11/23San Lorenzo v Penarol88-65
18/01/23San Lorenzo v Penarol75-99
21/10/22Penarol v San Lorenzo79-70
14/02/22San Lorenzo v Penarol73-76
27/01/22Penarol v San Lorenzo82-72
15/10/21San Lorenzo v Penarol88-73
17/01/21San Lorenzo v Penarol74-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/05/25HFerro72-85
16/05/25HObras Sanitarias88-95
11/05/25AArgentino77-60
05/05/25HIndependiente de Oliva94-77
30/04/25AGimnasia81-92
27/04/25AZarate85-75
22/04/25HPlatense73-78
19/04/25ALa Union85-78
17/04/25ARegatas78-88
15/04/25ASan Martin73-64
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/05/25HRiachuelo89-75
10/05/25HZarate110-81
08/05/25HIndependiente de Oliva99-74
04/05/25AObera TC71-86
03/05/25AUnion De Santa Fe79-85
27/04/25HFerro73-75
25/04/25HPlatense75-79
10/04/25HInstituto de Cordoba89-71
05/04/25ASan Lorenzo63-76
03/04/25AObras Sanitarias93-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Lorenzo
Liga A 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Penarol
Liga A 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boca Juniors110100%82.067.0+15.0
2 Regatas110100%91.085.0+6.0
3 Ferro110100%87.082.0+5.0
4 Instituto de Cordoba110100%73.072.0+1.0
5 Quimsa1010%72.073.0-1.0
6 Platense1010%82.087.0-5.0
7 La Union1010%85.091.0-6.0
8 Racing de Chivilcoy1010%67.082.0-15.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
San Lorenzo2120172482
Penarol1921181674
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