PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

San Pablo Burgos vs Baskonia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Sep 2026
Tip-off: 10:30
Final 97-98
24-30 21-19 30-16 22-33
Position#12
Record-
FormLWWLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
San Pablo Burgos
Spain
vs
Baskonia 🏆
Spain
Position#3
Record-
FormWWLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
SpainACBRound 1· Coliseum Burgos
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · San Pablo Burgos v Baskonia
27 Sep 2026
SPB97
BAS98
15 Mar 2026
SPB107
BAS96
10 Apr 2022
SPB62
BAS78
11 Oct 2020
SPB91
BAS89
03 Oct 2018
SPB82
BAS79
19 Nov 2017
SPB76
BAS100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Pablo Burgos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Baskonia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San Pablo BurgosSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#15
W
109-95
109
95
+14
A04/04
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
L
78-94
78
94
-16
H12/04
ACB
Breogan
#11
L
94-99
94
99
-5
H19/04
ACB
Manresa
#10
W
101-94
101
94
+7
A26/04
ACB
Forca Lleida
#14
W
99-91
99
91
+8
H02/05
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
76-91
76
91
-15
A09/05
ACB
Unicaja
#9
W
97-90
97
90
+7
H14/05
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
85-83
85
83
+2
A17/05
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
79-86
79
86
-7
A24/05
ACB
Granada
#18
W
110-105
110
105
+5
H29/05
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-18
19-30
31-22
25-25
20-25
19-18
18-23
21-28
21-21
22-29
26-20
25-29
23-28
24-21
35-23
19-22
22-24
25-31
26-22
26-14
15-29
20-26
22-18
19-18
27-22
28-24
24-25
18-19
27-14
14-27
22-23
22-19
23-26
18-19
14-21
24-20
20-33
31-23
27-21
32-28
185.6Avg total
92.8Scored
92.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)92.892.8185.6+0.060%
Last 5 (5)89.491.0180.4-1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)83.493.1176.5-9.79%
vs Similar (15)92.993.5186.4-0.747%
vs Weaker (4)97.089.8186.8+7.275%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaskoniaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Breogan
#11
W
112-84
112
84
+28
H03/05
ACB
Valencia
#1
W
88-86
88
86
+2
A10/05
ACB
Murcia
#4
W
87-80
87
80
+7
H14/05
ACB
Granada
#18
W
121-85
121
85
+36
H17/05
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
W
88-83
88
83
+5
A27/05
ACB
Unicaja
#9
W
92-89
92
89
+3
H29/05
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
85-71
85
71
+14
H03/06
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
63-82
63
82
-19
A05/06
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
88-96
88
96
-8
H07/06
ACB
Olympiacos
#2
L
89-106
89
106
-17
H24/09
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-24
25-16
28-22
32-22
23-26
18-15
22-17
25-28
20-18
23-15
24-20
20-27
24-14
29-20
32-22
36-29
26-29
16-17
22-20
24-17
21-16
25-23
25-30
21-20
18-18
20-19
21-23
26-11
14-25
17-19
12-18
20-20
24-23
14-18
25-30
25-25
29-36
17-20
14-25
29-25
177.5Avg total
91.3Scored
86.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)91.386.2177.5+5.170%
Last 5 (5)83.488.8172.2-5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)93.2100.4193.6-7.138%
vs Similar (11)83.286.0169.2-2.845%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)96.685.5182.2+11.191%
This opponent (San Pablo Burgos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +3.4+3.4
San Pablo BurgosBaskonia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
San Pablo BurgosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#15
W
53-48
53
48
+5
A04/04
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H12/04
ACB
Breogan
#11
L
43-50
43
50
-7
H19/04
ACB
Manresa
#10
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A26/04
ACB
Forca Lleida
#14
L
47-55
47
55
-8
H02/05
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
35-55
35
55
-20
A09/05
ACB
Unicaja
#9
W
55-46
55
46
+9
H14/05
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A17/05
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A24/05
ACB
Granada
#18
L
51-56
51
56
-5
H29/05
ACB
94.0Avg total
45.2Scored
48.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.646.790.3-3.130%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.645.991.5-0.333%-
Last 30 away (15)41.647.589.1-5.927%-
Last 10 (10)45.248.894.0-3.620%-
Last 5 (5)44.648.693.2-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)41.347.688.9-6.418%-
vs Similar (15)43.946.390.1-2.433%-
vs Weaker (4)49.045.894.8+3.250%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Breogan
#11
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H03/05
ACB
Valencia
#1
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A10/05
ACB
Murcia
#4
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H14/05
ACB
Granada
#18
W
53-34
53
34
+19
H17/05
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A27/05
ACB
Unicaja
#9
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H29/05
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H03/06
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A05/06
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H07/06
ACB
Olympiacos
#2
L
46-56
46
56
-10
H24/09
Euroleague
84.1Avg total
43.0Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.045.488.4-2.437%-
Last 30 at home (18)45.346.391.7-1.044%-
Last 30 away (12)39.543.983.4-4.425%-
Last 10 (10)43.041.184.1+1.950%-
Last 5 (5)39.843.483.2-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)46.853.099.8-6.225%-
vs Similar (11)39.143.682.7-4.527%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)44.241.585.7+2.655%-
This opponent (San Pablo Burgos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
San Pablo Burgostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Pablo Burgos: 92.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.524.2
54.4%
55.6%48.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.09.7
35.9%
36.2%29.1
🏀 Free throws20.815.3
73.6%
75.7%15.3
They take 71.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 89.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.120.0
55.4%
55.6%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.010.3
35.5%
36.2%30.9
🏀 Free throws23.418.7
79.9%
75.7%18.7
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Sep 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
San Pablo Burgos
WLWWLWWLLW
Baskonia
LLLWWWWWWW
#12
League position
#3
+0.0
Net rating
+4.3
101.2
Offensive rating
101.9
101.2
Defensive rating
97.6
54.2%
Effective FG%
54.5%
57.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
13.5%
Turnover %
12.9%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.36
35.9%
3-point %
35.5%
51.6%
Assist %
54.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence101.2 · 101.9Defence101.2 · 97.6Shooting54.2% · 54.5%3-point %35.9% · 35.5%Ball care13.5% · 12.9%Free throws0.29 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ San Pablo Burgos   ■ Baskonia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
San Pablo Burgos wins
6
Baskonia wins
DateGameScore
15/03/26San Pablo Burgos v Baskonia107-96
27/12/25Baskonia v San Pablo Burgos89-77
10/04/22San Pablo Burgos v Baskonia62-78
23/01/22Baskonia v San Pablo Burgos80-69
18/04/21Baskonia v San Pablo Burgos83-94
11/10/20San Pablo Burgos v Baskonia91-89
11/05/19Baskonia v San Pablo Burgos87-79
03/10/18San Pablo Burgos v Baskonia82-79
19/05/18Baskonia v San Pablo Burgos102-82
19/11/17San Pablo Burgos v Baskonia76-100
San Pablo Burgoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/05/26HGranada110-105
24/05/26AJoventut Badalona79-86
17/05/26AMoraBanc Andorra85-83
14/05/26HUnicaja97-90
09/05/26ABarcelona76-91
02/05/26HForca Lleida99-91
26/04/26AManresa101-94
19/04/26HBreogan94-99
12/04/26HReal Madrid78-94
04/04/26AGran Canaria109-95
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/09/26HOlympiacos89-106
07/06/26HJoventut Badalona88-96
05/06/26AJoventut Badalona63-82
03/06/26HJoventut Badalona85-71
29/05/26HUnicaja92-89
27/05/26AReal Madrid88-83
17/05/26HGranada121-85
14/05/26HMurcia87-80
10/05/26AValencia88-86
03/05/26HBreogan112-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Pablo Burgos
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Baskonia
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona110100%119.0101.0+18.0
2 Bilbao110100%107.092.0+15.0
3 Breogan110100%110.0104.0+6.0
4 Obradoiro CAB110100%90.085.0+5.0
5 MoraBanc Andorra1010%85.090.0-5.0
6 Joventut Badalona1010%104.0110.0-6.0
7 Manresa1010%92.0107.0-15.0
8 Leyma Coruna1010%101.0119.0-18.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
San Pablo Burgos2421302297
Baskonia3019163398
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.