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Baskonia vs Breogan Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 May 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 112-84
27-24 25-16 28-22 32-22
Position#3
Record19-9
FormWWLLL
Points / game92.5
Allowed / game87.2
vs
Position#11
Record12-16
FormWLLWW
Points / game90.1
Allowed / game93.0
SpainACBRound 29· Fernando Buesa Arena
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Baskonia v Breogan
27 Dec 2026
BAS v BRE
upcoming
03 May 2026
BAS112
BRE84
19 Jan 2025
BAS97
BRE91
14 Apr 2024
BAS76
BRE74
30 Apr 2023
BAS97
BRE76
20 Mar 2022
BAS89
BRE84
09 Dec 2018
BAS100
BRE78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Baskonia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Breogan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BaskoniaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
88-79
88
79
+9
A29/03
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#17
W
115-88
115
88
+27
H01/04
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
W
98-96
98
96
+2
H03/04
Euroleague
Manresa
#10
W
88-83
88
83
+5
A05/04
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
W
101-98
101
98
+3
H07/04
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
82-72
82
72
+10
A10/04
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#15
W
88-86
88
86
+2
H12/04
ACB
Partizan
#15
L
79-91
79
91
-12
A16/04
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
69-81
69
81
-12
A18/04
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
92-95
92
95
-3
H26/04
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-21
21-18
20-15
22-25
38-17
24-26
34-23
19-22
29-27
19-26
25-23
25-20
21-25
23-16
21-24
23-18
28-36
16-17
40-19
17-26
28-21
16-18
13-14
25-19
10-20
23-20
30-24
25-22
20-26
19-18
20-22
20-25
13-16
16-22
24-14
16-29
20-26
25-21
24-21
23-27
176.9Avg total
90.0Scored
86.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)92.587.2179.7+5.268%
Season at home (13)98.587.1185.5+11.485%
Season away (15)87.387.4174.7-0.153%
Last 10 (10)90.086.9176.9+3.170%
Last 5 (5)82.085.0167.0-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)90.898.0188.8-7.227%
vs Similar (8)85.090.0175.0-5.038%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)95.584.7180.2+10.782%
This opponent (Breogan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BreoganSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murcia
#4
L
95-106
95
106
-11
H07/02
ACB
Tenerife
#8
L
81-90
81
90
-9
A14/02
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
78-109
78
109
-31
H08/03
ACB
Bilbao
#7
L
90-100
90
100
-10
A14/03
ACB
Gran Canaria
#15
W
83-75
83
75
+8
A22/03
ACB
Manresa
#10
W
91-78
91
78
+13
H28/03
ACB
Valencia
#1
L
88-105
88
105
-17
A05/04
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
L
97-99
97
99
-2
H11/04
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#13
W
99-94
99
94
+5
A19/04
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
93-86
93
86
+7
H26/04
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-29
22-27
27-27
22-23
18-23
27-22
16-23
20-22
13-27
18-30
11-26
36-26
25-23
17-26
27-22
21-29
30-24
13-20
26-13
14-18
15-26
24-17
23-20
29-15
25-31
16-20
32-33
15-21
20-19
28-26
29-21
20-33
21-21
29-22
20-26
29-25
22-19
16-19
29-20
26-28
183.7Avg total
89.5Scored
94.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)90.193.0183.1-2.943%
Season at home (14)93.195.0188.1-1.943%
Season away (14)87.190.9178.0-3.943%
Last 10 (10)89.594.2183.7-4.740%
Last 5 (5)93.692.4186.0+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)85.098.4183.4-13.417%
vs Similar (14)93.193.1186.2+0.150%
vs Weaker (4)83.577.2160.8+6.275%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +5.2+5.2Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -0.8-0.8
BaskoniaBreogan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A29/03
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#17
W
62-43
62
43
+19
H01/04
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
L
48-53
48
53
-5
H03/04
Euroleague
Manresa
#10
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A05/04
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
L
44-53
44
53
-9
H07/04
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A10/04
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#15
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H12/04
ACB
Partizan
#15
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A16/04
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A18/04
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H26/04
ACB
87.1Avg total
43.4Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.146.490.5-2.340%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.648.596.1-0.947%-
Last 30 away (15)40.644.384.9-3.733%-
Last 10 (10)43.443.787.1-0.340%-
Last 5 (5)38.041.679.6-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)45.750.596.3-4.845%-
vs Similar (8)42.146.989.0-4.825%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)43.941.985.8+2.045%-
This opponent (Breogan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murcia
#4
L
46-56
46
56
-10
H07/02
ACB
Tenerife
#8
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A14/02
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
31-57
31
57
-26
H08/03
ACB
Bilbao
#7
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A14/03
ACB
Gran Canaria
#15
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A22/03
ACB
Manresa
#10
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H28/03
ACB
Valencia
#1
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A05/04
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H11/04
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#13
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A19/04
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H26/04
ACB
89.4Avg total
42.3Scored
47.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.146.888.9-4.720%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.546.591.0-2.127%-
Last 30 away (15)39.747.186.7-7.413%-
Last 10 (10)42.347.189.4-4.820%-
Last 5 (5)43.244.087.2-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)40.446.887.2-6.38%-
vs Similar (14)44.248.893.0-4.629%-
vs Weaker (4)39.540.079.5-0.525%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 73.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
42%
39%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers24.516.0
65.3%
50.0%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.59.6
36.2%
42.2%28.8
🏀 Free throws16.513.1
79.4%
74.7%13.1
They take 51.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 86.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
42%
39%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.420.5
54.8%
50.0%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.910.4
38.7%
42.2%31.2
🏀 Free throws17.714.4
81.4%
74.7%14.4
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Baskonia
LLLWWWWWWW
Breogan
WWLLWWLLLL
#3
League position
#11
+3.8
Net rating
-7.0
73.2
Offensive rating
99.1
69.4
Defensive rating
106.1
59.6%
Effective FG%
56.1%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
59.3%
18.8%
Turnover %
18.0%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.28
36.2%
3-point %
38.7%
61.7%
Assist %
55.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence73.2 · 99.1Defence69.4 · 106.1Shooting59.6% · 56.1%3-point %36.2% · 38.7%Ball care18.8% · 18.0%Free throws0.32 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Baskonia   ■ Breogan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Baskonia wins
2
Breogan wins
DateGameScore
29/12/25Breogan v Baskonia100-103
30/03/25Breogan v Baskonia88-82
19/01/25Baskonia v Breogan97-91
14/04/24Baskonia v Breogan76-74
24/09/23Breogan v Baskonia79-88
30/04/23Baskonia v Breogan97-76
27/12/22Breogan v Baskonia77-86
20/03/22Baskonia v Breogan89-84
19/01/22Breogan v Baskonia89-83
10/03/19Breogan v Baskonia72-90
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/04/26HBarcelona92-95
18/04/26AJoventut Badalona69-81
16/04/26APartizan79-91
12/04/26HGran Canaria88-86
10/04/26AVirtus Bologna82-72
07/04/26HMaccabi Tel Aviv101-98
05/04/26AManresa88-83
03/04/26HReal Madrid98-96
01/04/26HBasket Zaragoza115-88
29/03/26AMoraBanc Andorra88-79
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/04/26HJoventut Badalona93-86
19/04/26ASan Pablo Burgos99-94
11/04/26HMoraBanc Andorra97-99
05/04/26AValencia88-105
28/03/26HManresa91-78
22/03/26AGran Canaria83-75
14/03/26ABilbao90-100
08/03/26HBarcelona78-109
14/02/26ATenerife81-90
07/02/26HMurcia95-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Baskonia
ACB 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL68%
HomeWWWWL85%
AwayWLWWL53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281315
Win %68%85%53%
Points / game92.598.587.3
Allowed / game87.287.187.4
Point differential+5.2+11.4-0.1
Avg total179.7185.5174.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%54%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (11)60% (5)67% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Breogan
ACB 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW43%
HomeLLWLW43%
AwayLLWLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %43%43%43%
Points / game90.193.187.1
Allowed / game93.095.090.9
Point differential-2.9-1.9-3.9
Avg total183.1188.1178.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%29%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)33% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2926390%94.184.3+9.8
2 Valencia2921872%94.483.2+11.2
3 Murcia2921872%91.284.8+6.3
4 Barcelona2819968%88.781.4+7.4
5 Baskonia2819968%92.587.2+5.2
6 Joventut Badalona28171161%84.281.2+3.0
7 Tenerife29171259%88.784.6+4.1
8 Unicaja29161355%88.186.3+1.8
9 Bilbao29161355%84.886.3-1.5
10 Basquet Girona29131645%87.189.7-2.6
11 Breogan28121643%90.193.0-2.9
12 Manresa29121741%85.491.4-6.0
13 Forca Lleida29101934%83.589.6-6.1
14 San Pablo Burgos2992031%89.793.0-3.3
15 Gran Canaria2992031%81.485.9-4.5
16 Basket Zaragoza2992031%87.493.0-5.7
17 MoraBanc Andorra2982128%86.293.1-7.0
18 Granada2952417%82.091.0-8.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Baskonia27252832112
Breogan2416222284
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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