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Baskonia vs Murcia Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 14 May 2026
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 87-80
20-18 23-15 24-20 20-27
Position#3
Record21-9
FormLLLWW
Points / game93.0
Allowed / game87.1
vs
Position#4
Record22-8
FormWWWLW
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game84.5
SpainACBRound 31· Fernando Buesa Arena
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Baskonia v Murcia
06 Dec 2026
BAS v MUR
upcoming
14 May 2026
BAS87
MUR80
12 Oct 2024
BAS95
MUR92
10 May 2024
BAS94
MUR79
04 Dec 2022
BAS102
MUR73
13 Apr 2022
BAS93
MUR83
04 Oct 2020
BAS75
MUR83
21 Oct 2018
BAS93
MUR49
29 Apr 2018
BAS87
MUR85
07 Oct 2016
BAS87
MUR75
15 Nov 2015
BAS90
MUR67
03 May 2015
BAS77
MUR85
01 Dec 2013
BAS98
MUR90
09 Dec 2012
BAS87
MUR83
21 Apr 2012
BAS71
MUR65
17 Jan 2010
BAS78
MUR64
23 Nov 2008
BAS105
MUR60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Baskonia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Murcia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BaskoniaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBaskonia
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#2
W
98-96
98
96
+2
90avg 84
H03/04
Euroleague
Manresa
#10
W
88-83
88
83
+5
77avg 84
A05/04
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
W
101-98
101
98
+3
101avg 84
H07/04
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
82-72
82
72
+10
76avg 84
A10/04
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#15
W
88-86
88
86
+2
79avg 84
H12/04
ACB
Partizan
#15
L
79-91
79
91
-12
74avg 84
A16/04
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
69-81
69
81
-12
57avg 84
A18/04
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
92-95
92
95
-3
86avg 84
H26/04
ACB
Breogan
#11
W
112-84
112
84
+28
113avg 84
H03/05
ACB
Valencia
#1
W
88-86
88
86
+2
79avg 84
A10/05
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-27
19-26
25-23
25-20
21-25
23-16
21-24
23-18
28-36
16-17
40-19
17-26
28-21
16-18
13-14
25-19
10-20
23-20
30-24
25-22
20-26
19-18
20-22
20-25
13-16
16-22
24-14
16-29
20-26
25-21
24-21
23-27
27-24
25-16
28-22
32-22
23-26
18-15
22-17
25-28
176.9Avg total
89.7Scored
87.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)93.087.1180.1+5.970%
Season at home (14)99.486.9186.3+12.686%
Season away (16)87.387.3174.6+0.056%
Last 10 (10)89.787.2176.9+2.570%
Last 5 (5)88.087.4175.4+0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)92.197.4189.5-5.336%
vs Similar ◀ (8)85.090.0175.0-5.038%
vs Weaker (11)93.884.6178.5+9.282%
This opponent (Murcia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
Manresa
#10
W
90-86
90
86
+4
81avg 82
A21/03
ACB
Bilbao
#7
W
100-81
100
81
+19
96avg 82
H28/03
ACB
PAOK
#5
L
73-79
73
79
-6
62avg 82
A01/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
89-67
89
67
+22
83avg 82
A04/04
ACB
PAOK
#5
W
89-85
89
85
+4
72avg 82
H08/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Granada
#18
W
107-91
107
91
+16
105avg 82
H12/04
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
95-89
95
89
+6
89avg 82
A18/04
ACB
Tenerife
#8
W
86-80
86
80
+6
82avg 82
H25/04
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
L
123-131 OT
123
131
-8
113avg 82
A03/05
ACB
Basquet Girona
#12
W
86-75
86
75
+11
77avg 82
H09/05
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-15
18-22
32-31
22-18
22-25
27-22
21-16
30-18
17-19
26-15
12-21
18-24
18-15
27-15
23-19
21-18
20-19
27-21
16-20
26-25
28-23
32-24
15-23
32-21
28-22
10-21
28-23
29-23
24-29
17-16
22-16
23-19
29-25
34-25
29-31
22-33
18-18
27-23
23-17
18-17
180.2Avg total
93.8Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)91.084.5175.5+6.573%
Season at home (15)89.680.6170.2+9.087%
Season away (15)92.488.4180.8+4.060%
Last 10 (10)93.886.4180.2+7.480%
Last 5 (5)99.493.2192.6+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)88.095.0183.0-7.050%
vs Similar ◀ (5)91.289.8181.0+1.460%
vs Weaker (23)88.781.3170.0+7.383%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +2.5+2.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +2.5+2.5
BaskoniaMurcia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#2
L
48-53
48
53
-5
H03/04
Euroleague
Manresa
#10
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A05/04
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
L
44-53
44
53
-9
H07/04
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A10/04
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#15
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H12/04
ACB
Partizan
#15
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A16/04
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A18/04
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H26/04
ACB
Breogan
#11
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H03/05
ACB
Valencia
#1
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A10/05
ACB
85.5Avg total
41.9Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.746.189.8-2.440%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.148.494.5-2.347%-
Last 30 away (15)41.343.885.1-2.533%-
Last 10 (10)41.943.685.5-1.730%-
Last 5 (5)41.242.083.2-0.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)46.649.996.5-3.345%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)42.146.989.0-4.825%-
vs Weaker (11)41.941.783.6+0.245%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manresa
#10
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A21/03
ACB
Bilbao
#7
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H28/03
ACB
PAOK
#5
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A01/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
45-30
45
30
+15
A04/04
ACB
PAOK
#5
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H08/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Granada
#18
W
60-47
60
47
+13
H12/04
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A18/04
ACB
Tenerife
#8
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H25/04
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
W
63-50
63
50
+13
A03/05
ACB
Basquet Girona
#12
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H09/05
ACB
88.1Avg total
46.7Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.940.084.0+3.967%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.939.381.1+2.667%-
Last 30 away (15)46.040.886.8+5.267%-
Last 10 (10)46.741.488.1+5.370%-
Last 5 (5)49.445.294.6+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)40.044.584.5-4.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)42.842.084.8+0.840%-
vs Weaker (23)44.539.283.7+5.374%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 73.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.2 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
42%
39%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers23.515.1
64.3%
50.0%30.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.110.2
36.3%
42.2%30.6
🏀 Free throws15.612.8
82.1%
74.7%12.8
They take 51.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 54% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 93.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
42%
39%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.421.2
55.2%
50.0%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.711.1
40.1%
42.2%33.3
🏀 Free throws24.518.1
73.9%
74.7%18.1
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Baskonia
WWLLLWWWWW
Murcia
WLWWWWWLWW
#3
League position
#4
+3.1
Net rating
+8.2
74.9
Offensive rating
103.5
71.8
Defensive rating
95.3
58.9%
Effective FG%
57.3%
55.5%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
17.1%
Turnover %
13.9%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.37
36.3%
3-point %
40.1%
61.7%
Assist %
52.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence74.9 · 103.5Defence71.8 · 95.3Shooting58.9% · 57.3%3-point %36.3% · 40.1%Ball care17.1% · 13.9%Free throws0.30 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Baskonia   ■ Murcia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Baskonia wins
4
Murcia wins
DateGameScore
26/10/25Murcia v Baskonia89-84
12/04/25Murcia v Baskonia82-91
12/10/24Baskonia v Murcia95-92 OT
10/05/24Baskonia v Murcia94-79
27/09/23Murcia v Baskonia88-76
29/01/23Murcia v Baskonia80-87
04/12/22Baskonia v Murcia102-73
13/04/22Baskonia v Murcia93-83
24/10/21Murcia v Baskonia80-79
11/04/21Murcia v Baskonia92-87 OT
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/05/26AValencia88-86
03/05/26HBreogan112-84
26/04/26HBarcelona92-95
18/04/26AJoventut Badalona69-81
16/04/26APartizan79-91
12/04/26HGran Canaria88-86
10/04/26AVirtus Bologna82-72
07/04/26HMaccabi Tel Aviv101-98
05/04/26AManresa88-83
03/04/26HReal Madrid98-96
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/05/26HBasquet Girona86-75
03/05/26AReal Madrid123-131 OT
25/04/26HTenerife86-80
18/04/26AMoraBanc Andorra95-89
12/04/26HGranada107-91
08/04/26HPAOK89-85
04/04/26AJoventut Badalona89-67
01/04/26APAOK73-79
28/03/26HBilbao100-81
21/03/26AManresa90-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Baskonia
ACB 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW70%
HomeWWWLW86%
AwayLWWLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301416
Win %70%86%56%
Points / game93.099.487.3
Allowed / game87.186.987.3
Point differential+5.9+12.6+0.0
Avg total180.1186.3174.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%57%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (12)60% (5)71% (7)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Murcia
ACB 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW73%
HomeWWWWW87%
AwayLWWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %73%87%60%
Points / game91.089.692.4
Allowed / game84.580.688.4
Point differential+6.5+9.0+4.0
Avg total175.5170.2180.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%53%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)100% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %7%0%13%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid3126584%93.885.0+8.8
2 Murcia3022873%91.084.5+6.5
3 Barcelona3122971%89.381.3+7.9
4 Valencia3021970%94.283.4+10.8
5 Baskonia3021970%93.087.1+5.9
6 Joventut Badalona29181162%84.881.1+3.7
7 Tenerife29171259%88.784.6+4.1
8 Bilbao31171455%84.886.3-1.5
9 Unicaja30161453%88.286.6+1.5
10 Breogan31141745%91.093.5-2.5
11 Basquet Girona31131842%86.389.2-2.9
12 Manresa31131842%85.591.3-5.8
13 Forca Lleida31112035%83.890.1-6.3
14 San Pablo Burgos31102132%89.592.8-3.3
15 Gran Canaria3092130%81.086.1-5.1
16 Basket Zaragoza3092130%86.992.8-5.8
17 MoraBanc Andorra3192229%86.593.4-6.9
18 Granada3162519%82.690.7-8.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Baskonia2023242087
Murcia1815202780
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