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San Pablo Burgos vs Breogan Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 03 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#12
Record2-3
FormLLLWL
Points / game89.8
Allowed / game87.0
vs
Position#6
Record3-2
FormWWWLL
Points / game103.6
Allowed / game100.4
SpainACBRound 27· Coliseum Burgos
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · San Pablo Burgos v Breogan
03 Apr 2027
SPB v BRE
upcoming
19 Apr 2026
SPB94
BRE99
23 Sep 2021
SPB62
BRE87
20 Oct 2018
SPB92
BRE76
26 May 2017
SPB92
BRE81
06 Jan 2017
SPB83
BRE92
11 Nov 2015
SPB78
BRE73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Pablo Burgos win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Breogan win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San Pablo BurgosSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#3
L
97-98
97
98
-1
H27/09
ACB
Cedevita Olimpija
#31
W
85-81
85
81
+4
H30/09
Eurocup
Forca Lleida
#16
W
94-81
94
81
+13
A04/10
ACB
Aris
#1
L
80-93
80
93
-13
A07/10
Eurocup
Bilbao
#9
L
87-96
87
96
-9
A11/10
ACB
Hapoel Jerusalem
#2
L
84-85
84
85
-1
H14/10
Eurocup
Obradoiro CAB
#11
L
72-79
72
79
-7
H17/10
ACB
Tortona
#12
L
79-89
79
89
-10
A21/10
Eurocup
Manresa
#18
W
99-81
99
81
+18
A24/10
ACB
Rigas Zelli
#16
L
71-79
71
79
-8
H28/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-30
21-19
30-16
22-33
25-21
18-21
17-17
25-22
19-20
20-21
17-13
38-27
14-28
16-25
25-16
25-24
20-19
25-25
25-30
17-22
18-24
21-22
20-24
25-15
23-25
15-21
16-20
18-13
25-18
20-18
17-22
17-31
34-20
18-17
29-26
18-18
21-17
14-22
19-23
17-17
171.0Avg total
84.8Scored
86.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)89.887.0176.8+2.840%
Season at home (2)84.588.5173.0-4.00%
Season away (3)93.386.0179.3+7.367%
Last 10 (10)84.886.2171.0-1.430%
Last 5 (5)81.082.6163.6-1.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)84.290.8175.0-6.78%
vs Similar ◀ (12)90.889.8180.7+1.058%
vs Weaker (6)91.085.0176.0+6.067%
This opponent (Breogan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BreoganSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#9
L
83-101
83
101
-18
A23/05
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#17
L
94-95
94
95
-1
H29/05
ACB
Rilski Sportist
#54
W
126-80
126
80
+46
H14/09
Champions League
Manchester Basketball
#32
W
105-84
105
84
+21
A17/09
Champions League
Dziki Warszawa
#6
L
110-113
110
113
-3
A19/09
Champions League
Joventut Badalona
#13
W
110-104
110
104
+6
H27/09
ACB
Manresa
#18
W
101-95
101
95
+6
A03/10
ACB
Basquet Girona
#10
W
115-92
115
92
+23
H10/10
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#15
L
102-108
102
108
-6
A17/10
ACB
Unicaja
#5
L
90-103
90
103
-13
H25/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-29
23-22
23-26
22-24
26-24
21-20
23-23
24-28
25-16
32-22
37-18
32-24
25-14
29-19
20-21
31-30
25-26
21-32
29-37
35-18
29-28
27-21
19-22
35-33
24-27
27-13
38-27
12-28
30-22
31-19
23-23
31-28
31-17
22-26
25-33
24-32
24-26
23-33
24-23
19-21
201.1Avg total
103.6Scored
97.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)103.6100.4204.0+3.260%
Season at home (3)105.099.7204.7+5.367%
Season away (2)101.5101.5203.0+0.050%
Last 10 (10)103.697.5201.1+6.150%
Last 5 (5)103.6100.4204.0+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)90.5102.6193.1-12.125%
vs Similar ◀ (13)93.892.8186.7+1.054%
vs Weaker (8)103.092.2195.2+10.862%
This opponent (San Pablo Burgos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -0.1-0.1
San Pablo BurgosBreogan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
San Pablo BurgosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#3
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H27/09
ACB
Cedevita Olimpija
#31
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H30/09
Eurocup
Forca Lleida
#16
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A04/10
ACB
Aris
#1
L
30-53
30
53
-23
A07/10
Eurocup
Bilbao
#9
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A11/10
ACB
Hapoel Jerusalem
#2
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H14/10
Eurocup
Obradoiro CAB
#11
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H17/10
ACB
Tortona
#12
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A21/10
Eurocup
Manresa
#18
W
52-37
52
37
+15
A24/10
ACB
Rigas Zelli
#16
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H28/10
Eurocup
84.4Avg total
41.1Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.844.887.6-2.033%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.145.089.1-0.931%-
Last 30 away (14)41.444.686.0-3.136%-
Last 10 (10)41.143.384.4-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)41.840.882.6+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)41.345.186.4-3.825%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)43.244.888.0-1.542%-
vs Weaker (6)45.044.389.3+0.733%-
This opponent (Breogan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#9
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A23/05
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#17
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H29/05
ACB
Rilski Sportist
#54
W
57-38
57
38
+19
H14/09
Champions League
Manchester Basketball
#32
W
54-33
54
33
+21
A17/09
Champions League
Dziki Warszawa
#6
L
46-58
46
58
-12
A19/09
Champions League
Joventut Badalona
#13
W
56-49
56
49
+7
H27/09
ACB
Manresa
#18
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A03/10
ACB
Basquet Girona
#10
W
61-41
61
41
+20
H10/10
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#15
W
53-43
53
43
+10
A17/10
ACB
Unicaja
#5
L
47-59
47
59
-12
H25/10
ACB
96.6Avg total
51.0Scored
45.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.046.192.2-0.140%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.945.092.9+2.953%-
Last 30 away (15)44.147.391.4-3.127%-
Last 10 (10)51.045.696.6+5.470%-
Last 5 (5)53.646.4100.0+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)41.249.190.4-7.90%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)45.047.792.7-2.738%-
vs Weaker (8)51.141.692.8+9.575%-
This opponent (San Pablo Burgos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
San Pablo Burgostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Pablo Burgos: 84.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.823.0
55.0%
55.6%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.57.6
32.3%
36.2%22.8
🏀 Free throws21.115.9
75.4%
75.7%15.9
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 103.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.6 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.622.4
58.0%
55.6%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.814.2
46.1%
36.2%42.6
🏀 Free throws21.416.2
75.7%
75.7%16.2
They take 69.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
San Pablo Burgos
LWLLLLLWWL
Breogan
LLWWWLWWLL
#12
League position
#6
-1.4
Net rating
+7.0
94.2
Offensive rating
112.7
95.6
Defensive rating
105.7
52.7%
Effective FG%
63.0%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
58.5%
17.1%
Turnover %
14.6%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.31
32.3%
3-point %
46.1%
55.2%
Assist %
58.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence94.2 · 112.7Defence95.6 · 105.7Shooting52.7% · 63.0%3-point %32.3% · 46.1%Ball care17.1% · 14.6%Free throws0.32 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ San Pablo Burgos   ■ Breogan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
San Pablo Burgos wins
6
Breogan wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/26HRigas Zelli71-79
24/10/26AManresa99-81
21/10/26ATortona79-89
17/10/26HObradoiro CAB72-79
14/10/26HHapoel Jerusalem84-85
11/10/26ABilbao87-96
07/10/26AAris80-93
04/10/26AForca Lleida94-81
30/09/26HCedevita Olimpija85-81
27/09/26HBaskonia97-98
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/26HUnicaja90-103
17/10/26AMoraBanc Andorra102-108
10/10/26HBasquet Girona115-92
03/10/26AManresa101-95
27/09/26HJoventut Badalona110-104
19/09/26ADziki Warszawa110-113
17/09/26AManchester Basketball105-84
14/09/26HRilski Sportist126-80
29/05/26HBasket Zaragoza94-95
23/05/26AUnicaja83-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Pablo Burgos
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW40%
HomeLL0%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%0%67%
Points / game89.884.593.3
Allowed / game87.088.586.0
Point differential+2.8-4.0+7.3
Avg total176.8173.0179.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%0%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Breogan
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL60%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%67%50%
Points / game103.6105.0101.5
Allowed / game100.499.7101.5
Point differential+3.2+5.3+0.0
Avg total204.0204.7203.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid550100%112.889.4+23.4
2 Tenerife54180%87.677.2+10.4
3 Baskonia53260%92.282.8+9.4
4 Valencia53260%96.688.8+7.8
5 Unicaja53260%88.283.0+5.2
6 Breogan53260%103.6100.4+3.2
7 Barcelona53260%98.096.2+1.8
8 Basket Zaragoza53260%89.089.0+0.0
9 Bilbao53260%95.295.6-0.4
10 Basquet Girona53260%93.097.4-4.4
11 Obradoiro CAB53260%88.693.2-4.6
12 San Pablo Burgos52340%89.887.0+2.8
13 Joventut Badalona52340%94.693.6+1.0
14 Murcia52340%87.093.0-6.0
15 MoraBanc Andorra51420%85.693.6-8.0
16 Forca Lleida51420%91.8103.2-11.4
17 Leyma Coruna51420%89.4102.0-12.6
18 Manresa5050%84.6102.2-17.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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