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San Pablo Burgos vs Castello Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 95-68
28-26 18-17 33-12 16-13
Position#1
Record10-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game74.4
vs
Position#17
Record5-6
FormWLLLW
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game87.3
SpainPrimera FEBRound 12· Coliseum Burgos
Other2024-25
Meetings · San Pablo Burgos v Castello
15 Dec 2024
SPB95
CAST68
10 Apr 2024
SPB91
CAST67
25 Mar 2023
SPB98
CAST48
21 Oct 2016
SPB105
CAST81
27 Nov 2015
SPB74
CAST83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Pablo Burgos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Castello winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San Pablo BurgosSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBurgos
Date
Competition
Fuenlabrada
#2
W
79-70
79
70
+9
70avg 81
A05/10
Primera FEB
Palencia
#6
W
88-77
88
77
+11
77avg 81
H12/10
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#5
W
91-85
91
85
+6
86avg 81
A19/10
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#11
W
79-69
79
69
+10
64avg 81
H26/10
Primera FEB
Zamora
#13
W
79-73
79
73
+6
67avg 81
A03/11
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
W
90-68
90
68
+22
79avg 81
H09/11
Primera FEB
Real Betis
#3
L
89-90
89
90
-1
85avg 81
A17/11
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#15
W
91-81
91
81
+10
86avg 81
H01/12
Primera FEB
Alicante
#12
W
72-65
72
65
+7
75avg 81
H07/12
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#16
W
104-73
104
73
+31
103avg 81
A11/12
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
19-12
19-16
21-22
24-13
19-21
20-17
25-26
24-24
20-18
24-23
23-20
22-15
22-22
19-12
16-20
19-13
24-21
18-11
18-28
26-16
19-21
24-20
21-11
26-15
17-32
21-26
25-17
30-18
17-12
15-24
29-27
9-12
20-27
16-11
27-15
32-9
23-22
27-23
22-19
161.3Avg total
86.2Scored
75.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)86.274.4160.5+11.891%
Season at home (6)84.371.2155.5+13.2100%
Season away (5)88.478.2166.6+10.280%
Last 10 (10)86.275.1161.3+11.190%
Last 5 (5)89.275.4164.6+13.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)86.683.0169.6+3.640%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)87.673.4160.9+14.292%
This opponent (Castello) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CastelloSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCastello
Date
Competition
Estudiantes
#4
L
85-108
85
108
-23
72avg 71
A06/10
Primera FEB
Zamora
#13
L
72-84
72
84
-12
66avg 71
H11/10
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#2
L
74-94
74
94
-20
57avg 71
A19/10
Primera FEB
Estela
#14
W
89-68
89
68
+21
88avg 71
H25/10
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#9
W
107-105 OT
107
105
+2
100avg 71
A01/11
Primera FEB
Ourense
#10
W
95-86
95
86
+9
97avg 71
H08/11
Primera FEB
Palencia
#6
L
76-107
76
107
-31
61avg 71
A15/11
Primera FEB
Real Betis
#3
L
60-94
60
94
-34
47avg 71
H01/12
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
L
77-83
77
83
-6
65avg 71
A06/12
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#15
W
68-63
68
63
+5
64avg 71
H11/12
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
18-28
20-31
23-26
18-19
20-19
15-26
19-20
19-28
8-25
23-18
24-23
26-19
23-7
19-26
21-16
22-29
21-28
31-18
19-18
26-24
20-23
26-21
23-18
22-33
11-22
22-29
21-23
15-28
14-21
13-29
18-16
21-17
13-33
17-12
26-21
26-16
8-15
13-21
21-11
169.5Avg total
80.3Scored
89.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)81.287.3168.5-6.145%
Season at home (6)79.077.2156.2+1.867%
Season away (5)83.899.4183.2-15.620%
Last 10 (10)80.389.2169.5-8.940%
Last 5 (5)75.286.6161.8-11.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)78.089.0167.1-11.032%
vs Similar (8)86.583.1169.6+3.462%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (San Pablo Burgos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +7.7+7.7Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -6.5-6.5Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +2.3+2.3
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +7.7+7.7Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -6.5-6.5Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +2.3+2.3
San Pablo BurgosCastello
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
San Pablo BurgosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fuenlabrada
#2
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A05/10
Primera FEB
Palencia
#6
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H12/10
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#5
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A19/10
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#11
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H26/10
Primera FEB
Zamora
#13
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A03/11
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H09/11
Primera FEB
Real Betis
#3
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A17/11
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#15
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H01/12
Primera FEB
Alicante
#12
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H07/12
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#16
W
55-31
55
31
+24
A11/12
Primera FEB
79.5Avg total
43.2Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.136.480.5+7.883%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.335.178.4+8.288%-
Last 30 away (13)45.238.083.2+7.277%-
Last 10 (10)43.236.379.5+6.980%-
Last 5 (5)43.836.880.6+7.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)41.837.679.4+4.2100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)44.636.180.7+8.580%-
This opponent (Castello) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CastelloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Estudiantes
#4
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A06/10
Primera FEB
Zamora
#13
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H11/10
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#2
L
27-53
27
53
-26
A19/10
Primera FEB
Estela
#14
W
49-26
49
26
+23
H25/10
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#9
L
43-57
43
57
-14
A01/11
Primera FEB
Ourense
#10
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H08/11
Primera FEB
Palencia
#6
L
33-55
33
55
-22
A15/11
Primera FEB
Real Betis
#3
L
29-49
29
49
-20
H01/12
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A06/12
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#15
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H11/12
Primera FEB
83.2Avg total
37.5Scored
45.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.644.181.7-6.523%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.540.979.4-2.431%-
Last 30 away (14)36.547.784.2-11.214%-
Last 10 (10)37.545.783.2-8.220%-
Last 5 (5)35.246.481.6-11.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)36.746.383.0-9.614%-
vs Similar (8)40.038.178.1+1.950%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (San Pablo Burgos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
San Pablo Burgostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Pablo Burgos: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.818.3
46.0%
51.8%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.49.7
38.2%
33.7%29.1
🏀 Free throws14.611.3
77.4%
73.6%11.3
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Castellotheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
San Pablo Burgos wins
1
Castello wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/24AReal Valladolid104-73
07/12/24HAlicante72-65
01/12/24HHestia Menorca91-81
17/11/24AReal Betis89-90
09/11/24HGipuzkoa90-68
03/11/24AZamora79-73
26/10/24HOviedo79-69
19/10/24AObradoiro CAB91-85
12/10/24HPalencia88-77
05/10/24AFuenlabrada79-70
Castellolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/24HHestia Menorca68-63
06/12/24AGipuzkoa77-83
01/12/24HReal Betis60-94
15/11/24APalencia76-107
08/11/24HOurense95-86
01/11/24ATizona Burgos107-105 OT
25/10/24HEstela89-68
19/10/24AFuenlabrada74-94
11/10/24HZamora72-84
06/10/24AEstudiantes85-108

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Pablo Burgos
Primera FEB 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW91%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWLW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %91%100%80%
Points / game86.284.388.4
Allowed / game74.471.278.2
Point differential+11.8+13.2+10.2
Avg total160.5155.5166.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%83%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Castello
Primera FEB 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW45%
HomeLWWLW67%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %45%67%20%
Points / game81.279.083.8
Allowed / game87.377.299.4
Point differential-6.1+1.8-15.6
Avg total168.5156.2183.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %9%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fuenlabrada1211192%82.269.2+13.1
2 Estudiantes1211192%88.579.0+9.5
3 San Pablo Burgos1110191%86.274.4+11.8
4 Real Betis129375%82.271.0+11.2
5 Palencia128467%87.579.4+8.1
6 Ourense127558%85.379.4+5.9
7 Obradoiro CAB127558%80.875.0+5.8
8 Tizona Burgos127558%92.889.8+2.9
9 Zamora126650%77.378.5-1.2
10 Castello115645%81.287.3-6.1
11 Gipuzkoa125742%72.876.6-3.8
12 Hestia Menorca124833%71.375.2-3.8
13 Oviedo124833%76.080.6-4.6
14 Cartagena124833%74.784.4-9.8
15 Estela124833%72.482.3-9.9
16 Real Valladolid124833%71.381.8-10.5
17 Alicante121118%69.776.4-6.8
18 Moron120120%73.284.7-11.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
San Pablo Burgos2818331695
Castello2617121368
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