Estudiantes vs Castello Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 06 Oct 2024

Tip-off: 16:30

Final 108-85

23-24 28-18 31-20 26-23

Position#4

Record1-0

FormLWWLW

Points / game82.0

Allowed / game69.0

Estudiantes 🏆

Castello

Position#17

Record1-0

FormWWLWW

Points / game90.0

Allowed / game68.0

Primera FEBRound 2· WiZink Center

Other2024-25

Meetings · Estudiantes v Castello

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estudiantes winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Castello winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Estudiantes Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormEstudiantes

Date

Competition

Melilla

#16

85-72

+13

81avg 76

H05/05

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#13

75-61

+14

64avg 76

A10/05

Primera FEB

Real Betis

86-77

74avg 76

H17/05

Primera FEB

Real Betis

98-73

+25

92avg 76

H19/05

Primera FEB

Real Betis

84-90

-6

75avg 76

A24/05

Primera FEB

Real Betis

65-77

-12

51avg 76

A26/05

Primera FEB

Real Betis

65-54

+11

62avg 76

H30/05

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

86-62

+24

78avg 76

H08/06

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

70-85

-15

51avg 76

H09/06

Primera FEB

Obradoiro CAB

82-69

+13

78avg 76

H29/09

Primera FEB

18-25

28-20

18-9

21-18

19-13

16-20

24-17

16-11

26-9

20-31

17-19

23-18

19-23

31-15

24-17

24-18

23-23

21-23

20-24

20-20

9-17

22-18

17-27

17-15

19-15

14-11

13-17

19-11

26-16

18-19

18-14

24-13

10-25

11-27

27-20

22-13

18-18

13-21

28-16

23-14

151.6Avg total

79.6Scored

72.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (1)	82.0	69.0	151.0	+13.0	100%
Season at home (1)	82.0	69.0	151.0	+13.0	100%
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	79.6	72.0	151.6	+7.6	70%
Last 5 (5)	73.6	69.4	143.0	+4.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (11)	80.6	83.5	164.2	-2.9	45%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	82.9	73.4	156.3	+9.5	79%

This opponent (Castello) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Castello

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormCastello

Date

Competition

Oviedo

#13

81-80

74avg 72

A24/03

Primera FEB

Estudiantes

79-95

-16

70avg 72

A31/03

Primera FEB

Melilla

#16

90-85

83avg 72

H05/04

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

67-91

-24

57avg 72

A10/04

Primera FEB

Hestia Menorca

#11

83-84 OT

-1

67avg 72

H14/04

Primera FEB

Clavijo

#18

96-93

87avg 72

A21/04

Primera FEB

Alicante

70-64

69avg 72

H28/04

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

82-95

-13

70avg 72

A05/05

Primera FEB

Estela

#14

92-89

86avg 72

H10/05

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#11

90-68

+22

91avg 72

H27/09

Primera FEB

21-19

16-21

21-24

23-16

11-24

17-18

19-26

32-27

19-24

15-19

27-16

29-26

11-34

20-27

20-16

16-14

15-20

16-20

19-22

24-12

28-17

21-24

27-15

20-37

25-16

12-10

14-19

19-19

23-21

20-31

21-26

18-17

27-19

16-23

28-22

21-25

26-18

26-20

21-21

17-9

167.4Avg total

83.0Scored

84.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (1)	90.0	68.0	158.0	+22.0	100%
Season at home (1)	90.0	68.0	158.0	+22.0	100%
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	83.0	84.4	167.4	-1.4	60%
Last 5 (5)	86.0	81.8	167.8	+4.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	77.4	86.7	164.1	-9.3	26%
vs Similar (11)	81.6	84.1	165.7	-2.5	45%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

EstudiantesCastello

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	19.0	38.9	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.0	17.7	37.7	+2.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.9	20.5	40.4	-0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	18.4	37.1	+0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	18.2	34.6	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (11)	18.1	21.0	39.1	-2.9	27%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	21.0	17.8	38.8	+3.2	63%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	21.5	40.1	-2.9	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.2	20.5	39.8	-1.2	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.9	22.6	40.5	-4.8	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	21.2	41.8	-0.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.8	18.2	44.0	+7.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	18.5	22.2	40.7	-3.6	37%	-
vs Similar (11)	18.7	20.4	39.1	-1.6	36%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	19.7	40.4	+1.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.9	20.3	42.2	+1.6	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.3	19.0	38.3	+0.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	20.5	39.9	-1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.6	19.2	34.8	-3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (11)	19.8	21.0	40.8	-1.2	27%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	21.2	18.9	40.2	+2.3	74%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	22.1	40.9	-3.2	27%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.1	21.4	40.6	-2.3	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.5	22.8	41.3	-4.3	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	21.3	39.2	-3.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	21.6	40.6	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	19.3	22.6	41.9	-3.4	37%	-
vs Similar (11)	18.1	21.1	39.2	-3.0	9%	-
vs Weaker	no games

EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melilla

#16

46-45

H05/05

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#13

35-33

A10/05

Primera FEB

Real Betis

46-40

H17/05

Primera FEB

Real Betis

50-38

+12

H19/05

Primera FEB

Real Betis

44-46

-2

A24/05

Primera FEB

Real Betis

31-35

-4

A26/05

Primera FEB

Real Betis

33-26

H30/05

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

44-35

H08/06

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

21-52

-31

H09/06

Primera FEB

Obradoiro CAB

31-39

-8

H29/09

Primera FEB

77.0Avg total

38.1Scored

38.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.6	38.7	79.3	+1.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.9	38.0	79.9	+3.9	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.1	39.5	78.6	-0.4	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.1	38.9	77.0	-0.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.0	37.4	69.4	-5.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (11)	37.9	42.0	79.9	-4.1	27%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	42.2	36.8	79.0	+5.4	68%	-

This opponent (Castello) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

CastelloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Oviedo

#13

37-40

-3

A24/03

Primera FEB

Estudiantes

28-42

-14

A31/03

Primera FEB

Melilla

#16

34-43

-9

H05/04

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

31-61

-30

A10/04

Primera FEB

Hestia Menorca

#11

31-40

-9

H14/04

Primera FEB

Clavijo

#18

49-41

A21/04

Primera FEB

Alicante

37-26

+11

H28/04

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

43-52

-9

A05/05

Primera FEB

Estela

#14

43-42

H10/05

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#11

52-38

+14

H27/09

Primera FEB

81.0Avg total

38.5Scored

42.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.4	43.6	81.0	-6.1	27%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	38.4	41.9	80.3	-3.6	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.4	45.4	81.8	-9.1	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.5	42.5	81.0	-4.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.8	39.8	84.6	+5.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	37.8	44.8	82.6	-7.0	21%	-
vs Similar (11)	36.8	41.5	78.3	-4.6	36%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	18.4	39.0	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.4	16.9	38.3	+4.6	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.6	20.2	39.9	-0.6	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	18.0	38.6	+2.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	18.8	39.4	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (11)	20.9	18.6	39.5	+2.3	73%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	20.4	18.3	38.7	+2.1	53%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	21.5	42.3	-0.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.7	21.3	43.0	+0.4	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.7	21.8	41.5	-2.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	20.7	42.4	+1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	20.6	42.8	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	19.8	22.2	42.1	-2.4	26%	-
vs Similar (11)	22.4	20.4	42.7	+2.0	55%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	20.0	40.8	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.1	17.9	39.0	+3.1	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.6	22.4	42.9	-1.8	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	15.1	36.0	+5.8	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	13.2	34.2	+7.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (11)	21.8	22.9	44.7	-1.1	45%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	20.3	18.3	38.6	+1.9	68%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	20.2	40.3	-0.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.8	18.9	38.7	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.5	21.6	42.1	-1.1	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	20.2	42.1	+1.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	21.4	40.4	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	19.7	19.7	39.4	+0.1	53%	-
vs Similar (11)	20.7	21.1	41.8	-0.4	55%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.4	38.4	79.9	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.5	34.8	77.3	+7.7	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.2	42.6	82.8	-2.4	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.5	33.1	74.6	+8.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	32.0	73.6	+9.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (11)	42.7	41.5	84.3	+1.2	55%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	40.7	36.6	77.3	+4.1	63%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.9	41.7	82.6	-0.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.4	40.2	81.7	+1.2	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.2	43.4	83.6	-3.2	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.6	40.9	84.5	+2.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	42.0	83.2	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	39.6	41.9	81.5	-2.3	42%	-
vs Similar (11)	43.1	41.5	84.5	+1.6	55%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 83.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀51%

🏀🏀🏀33%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 51% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game

46%

35%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.3	21.2	50.1%	51.8%	42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.5	9.1	34.3%	33.7%	27.3
🏀 Free throws	19.5	13.5	69.2%	73.6%	13.5

They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Castellotheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.5	23.5	58.0%	51.8%	47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.0	10.8	43.2%	33.7%	32.4
🏀 Free throws	18.6	14.5	78.0%	73.6%	14.5

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.2	21.0	51.0%	51.8%	42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.8	8.8	34.1%	33.7%	26.4
🏀 Free throws	15.8	11.5	72.8%	73.6%	11.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.1	21.1	53.9%	51.8%	42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.4	9.9	40.4%	33.7%	29.6
🏀 Free throws	21.4	15.7	73.5%	73.6%	15.7

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Estudiantes wins

Castello wins

Date	Game	Score
31/03/24	Estudiantes v Castello	95-79
29/11/23	Castello v Estudiantes	68-84
09/04/23	Castello v Estudiantes	87-86
11/12/22	Estudiantes v Castello	77-52
15/03/22	Estudiantes v Castello	100-69
10/11/21	Castello v Estudiantes	66-78

Estudianteslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
29/09/24	H	Obradoiro CAB	82-69
09/06/24	H	Forca Lleida	70-85
08/06/24	H	Tizona Burgos	86-62
30/05/24	H	Real Betis	65-54
26/05/24	A	Real Betis	65-77
24/05/24	A	Real Betis	84-90
19/05/24	H	Real Betis	98-73
17/05/24	H	Real Betis	86-77
10/05/24	A	Oviedo	75-61
05/05/24	H	Melilla	85-72

Castellolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/09/24	H	Oviedo	90-68
10/05/24	H	Estela	92-89
05/05/24	A	Leyma Coruna	82-95
28/04/24	H	Alicante	70-64
21/04/24	A	Clavijo	96-93
14/04/24	H	Hestia Menorca	83-84 OT
10/04/24	A	San Pablo Burgos	67-91
05/04/24	H	Melilla	90-85
31/03/24	A	Estudiantes	79-95
24/03/24	A	Oviedo	81-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estudiantes

Primera FEB 2024-25

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	W	100%
Home	W	100%
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	1	1	-
Win %	100%	100%	-
Points / game	82.0	82.0	-
Allowed / game	69.0	69.0	-
Point differential	+13.0	+13.0	-
Avg total	151.0	151.0	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	100%	100%	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	-

Castello

Primera FEB 2024-25

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	W	100%
Home	W	100%
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	1	1	-
Win %	100%	100%	-
Points / game	90.0	90.0	-
Allowed / game	68.0	68.0	-
Point differential	+22.0	+22.0	-
Avg total	158.0	158.0	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	100%	100%	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	-

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Castello	1	1	0	100%	90.0	68.0	+22.0
2	Ourense	2	2	0	100%	87.0	68.0	+19.0
3	Real Betis	2	2	0	100%	86.0	69.0	+17.0
4	San Pablo Burgos	2	2	0	100%	82.5	68.5	+14.0
5	Estudiantes	1	1	0	100%	82.0	69.0	+13.0
6	Palencia	2	2	0	100%	84.5	77.0	+7.5
7	Hestia Menorca	1	1	0	100%	76.0	69.0	+7.0
8	Zamora	2	1	1	50%	79.0	72.0	+7.0
9	Fuenlabrada	2	1	1	50%	74.5	70.0	+4.5
10	Obradoiro CAB	2	1	1	50%	73.5	73.5	+0.0
11	Real Valladolid	2	1	1	50%	70.5	76.5	-6.0
12	Cartagena	2	1	1	50%	72.5	85.0	-12.5
13	Alicante	2	0	2	0%	66.5	72.5	-6.0
14	Gipuzkoa	2	0	2	0%	65.5	77.5	-12.0
15	Tizona Burgos	2	0	2	0%	80.5	93.0	-12.5
16	Moron	2	0	2	0%	63.0	78.5	-15.5
17	Oviedo	2	0	2	0%	65.5	81.5	-16.0
18	Estela	1	0	1	0%	67.0	86.0	-19.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Estudiantes	23	28	31	26	108
Castello	24	18	20	23	85

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Estudiantes vs Castello Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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