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San Pablo Burgos vs Murcia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 88-110
20-28 26-30 27-28 15-24
Position#13
Record1-7
FormLLLLL
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game95.6
vs
Murcia 🏆
Spain
Position#4
Record6-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game78.1
SpainACBRound 9· Coliseum Burgos
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · San Pablo Burgos v Murcia
06 Mar 2027
SPB v MUR
upcoming
06 Dec 2025
SPB88
MUR110
11 Dec 2021
SPB84
MUR102
12 Nov 2020
SPB89
MUR84
18 May 2019
SPB84
MUR73
11 Nov 2017
SPB89
MUR86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Pablo Burgos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Murcia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San Pablo BurgosSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBurgos
Date
Competition
Hestia Menorca
#15
W
85-54
85
54
+31
90avg 83
A03/05
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
W
100-88
100
88
+12
104avg 83
H09/05
Primera FEB
Basquet Girona
#12
W
97-79
97
79
+18
88avg 83
H04/10
ACB
Bilbao
#7
L
85-95
85
95
-10
71avg 83
A12/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
L
80-90
80
90
-10
76avg 83
A19/10
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#17
L
89-102
89
102
-13
60avg 83
H25/10
ACB
Valencia
#1
L
82-100
82
100
-18
73avg 83
A02/11
ACB
Tenerife
#8
L
97-101
97
101
-4
83avg 83
A08/11
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
L
86-93
86
93
-7
83avg 83
H15/11
ACB
Breogan
#11
L
78-105
78
105
-27
67avg 83
A22/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-15
22-13
21-14
19-12
29-20
25-18
17-26
29-24
22-16
27-25
27-12
21-26
25-27
10-27
25-19
25-22
20-25
26-16
22-27
12-22
23-25
21-25
26-27
19-25
21-32
14-23
22-16
25-29
22-24
26-28
20-24
29-25
25-17
19-25
26-26
16-25
18-30
20-27
15-20
25-28
178.6Avg total
87.9Scored
90.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)86.895.6182.4-8.912%
Season at home (3)90.791.3182.0-0.733%
Season away (5)84.498.2182.6-13.80%
Last 10 (10)87.990.7178.6-2.830%
Last 5 (5)86.4100.2186.6-13.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)81.095.0176.0-14.00%
vs Similar (6)88.795.8184.5-7.217%
vs Weaker (22)89.574.7164.2+14.795%
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
KK Bosna
#4
L
72-87
72
87
-15
60avg 77
A21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Baskonia
#3
W
89-84
89
84
+5
81avg 77
H26/10
ACB
Lublin
#30
W
102-75
102
75
+27
103avg 77
A29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Barcelona
#5
W
81-78
81
78
+3
82avg 77
A02/11
ACB
Rilski Sportist
#37
W
89-61
89
61
+28
86avg 77
A04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Manresa
#10
W
84-65
84
65
+19
66avg 77
H08/11
ACB
KK Bosna
#4
W
87-63
87
63
+24
90avg 77
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Breogan
#11
L
83-96
83
96
-13
66avg 77
H16/11
ACB
Lublin
#30
W
80-75
80
75
+5
75avg 77
H19/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Forca Lleida
#14
W
107-71
107
71
+36
101avg 77
A22/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-22
21-26
14-21
20-18
26-21
23-17
19-24
21-22
21-26
24-22
25-12
32-15
34-16
22-26
17-19
8-17
23-20
22-23
19-9
25-9
20-18
24-14
17-21
23-12
21-16
22-17
29-10
15-20
15-25
23-23
19-22
26-26
22-19
17-27
27-13
14-16
31-18
23-12
25-18
28-23
162.9Avg total
87.4Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)89.078.1167.1+10.975%
Season at home (4)87.877.2165.0+10.575%
Season away (4)90.279.0169.2+11.275%
Last 10 (10)87.475.5162.9+11.980%
Last 5 (5)88.274.0162.2+14.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)86.071.0157.0+15.0100%
vs Similar (12)82.882.3165.1+0.458%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)86.875.3162.1+11.469%
This opponent (San Pablo Burgos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +3.4+3.4
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +3.4+3.4
San Pablo BurgosMurcia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
San Pablo BurgosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hestia Menorca
#15
W
45-28
45
28
+17
A03/05
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
W
54-38
54
38
+16
H09/05
Primera FEB
Basquet Girona
#12
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H04/10
ACB
Bilbao
#7
L
35-54
35
54
-19
A12/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A19/10
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#17
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H25/10
ACB
Valencia
#1
L
35-55
35
55
-20
A02/11
ACB
Tenerife
#8
L
48-52
48
52
-4
A08/11
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H15/11
ACB
Breogan
#11
L
38-57
38
57
-19
A22/11
ACB
89.6Avg total
43.8Scored
45.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.940.684.5+3.363%-
Last 30 at home (13)46.438.584.9+7.892%-
Last 30 away (17)41.942.284.1-0.241%-
Last 10 (10)43.845.889.6-2.050%-
Last 5 (5)41.851.293.0-9.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)40.548.088.5-7.550%-
vs Similar (6)43.049.392.3-6.333%-
vs Weaker (22)44.437.582.0+6.973%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Bosna
#4
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Baskonia
#3
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H26/10
ACB
Lublin
#30
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Barcelona
#5
W
56-42
56
42
+14
A02/11
ACB
Rilski Sportist
#37
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Manresa
#10
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H08/11
ACB
KK Bosna
#4
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Breogan
#11
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H16/11
ACB
Lublin
#30
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H19/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Forca Lleida
#14
W
54-30
54
30
+24
A22/11
ACB
85.9Avg total
45.1Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.838.779.5+2.060%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.340.182.5+2.260%-
Last 30 away (15)39.237.376.5+1.960%-
Last 10 (10)45.140.885.9+4.360%-
Last 5 (5)43.637.881.4+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)41.033.074.0+8.0100%-
vs Similar (12)41.238.880.1+2.458%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)39.938.878.8+1.156%-
This opponent (San Pablo Burgos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
San Pablo Burgostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Pablo Burgos: 81.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
42%
39%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.821.2
50.7%
50.0%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.17.7
28.4%
42.2%23.1
🏀 Free throws21.916.3
74.4%
74.7%16.3
They take 68.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 86.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
42%
39%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.120.3
53.3%
50.0%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.410.9
35.9%
42.2%32.7
🏀 Free throws19.012.9
67.9%
74.7%12.9
They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
San Pablo Burgos
LLLLLLLWWW
Murcia
WWLWWWWWWL
#13
League position
#4
-13.6
Net rating
+15.2
101.0
Offensive rating
112.0
114.6
Defensive rating
96.8
47.5%
Effective FG%
53.5%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
47.2%
19.1%
Turnover %
17.5%
32.8%
Off. rebound %
37.0%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.28
28.4%
3-point %
35.9%
58.5%
Assist %
60.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence101.0 · 112.0Defence114.6 · 96.8Shooting47.5% · 53.5%3-point %28.4% · 35.9%Ball care19.1% · 17.5%Off. rebounds32.8% · 37.0%Free throws0.32 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)30% · 80%
■ San Pablo Burgos   ■ Murcia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
San Pablo Burgos wins
3
Murcia wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/25ABreogan78-105
15/11/25HMoraBanc Andorra86-93
08/11/25ATenerife97-101
02/11/25AValencia82-100
25/10/25HBasket Zaragoza89-102
19/10/25AReal Madrid80-90
12/10/25ABilbao85-95
04/10/25HBasquet Girona97-79
09/05/25HEstudiantes100-88
03/05/25AHestia Menorca85-54
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/25AForca Lleida107-71
19/11/25HLublin80-75
16/11/25HBreogan83-96
11/11/25HKK Bosna87-63
08/11/25HManresa84-65
04/11/25ARilski Sportist89-61
02/11/25ABarcelona81-78
29/10/25ALublin102-75
26/10/25HBaskonia89-84
21/10/25AKK Bosna72-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Pablo Burgos
ACB 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL12%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %12%33%0%
Points / game86.890.784.4
Allowed / game95.691.398.2
Point differential-8.9-0.7-13.8
Avg total182.4182.0182.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Murcia
ACB 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW75%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %75%75%75%
Points / game89.087.890.2
Allowed / game78.177.279.0
Point differential+10.9+10.5+11.2
Avg total167.1165.0169.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valencia87188%97.582.1+15.4
2 Real Madrid87188%90.882.4+8.4
3 Murcia86275%89.078.1+10.9
4 Joventut Badalona86275%87.479.2+8.1
5 Tenerife86275%91.884.2+7.5
6 Unicaja85362%85.481.0+4.4
7 Barcelona84450%83.683.4+0.2
8 Baskonia84450%90.290.4-0.1
9 Breogan84450%88.588.9-0.4
10 Forca Lleida84450%83.288.9-5.6
11 Gran Canaria83538%80.582.1-1.6
12 Bilbao83538%82.186.1-4.0
13 Manresa83538%82.087.2-5.2
14 Basquet Girona83538%83.691.6-8.0
15 MoraBanc Andorra83538%83.291.2-8.0
16 Basket Zaragoza82625%86.590.6-4.1
17 Granada81712%81.089.9-8.9
18 San Pablo Burgos81712%86.895.6-8.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
San Pablo Burgos2026271588
Murcia28302824110
← all games of the day
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