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San Pablo Burgos vs Palencia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 12 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 88-77
24-13 19-21 20-17 25-26
Position#1
Record2-0
FormWWLWW
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game68.5
vs
Position#6
Record2-0
FormWLLWW
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game77.0
SpainPrimera FEBRound 3· Coliseum Burgos
Other2024-25
Meetings · San Pablo Burgos v Palencia
12 Oct 2024
SPB88
PAL77
15 Apr 2023
SPB89
PAL65
04 Jun 2017
SPB90
PAL82
02 Jun 2017
SPB80
PAL79
28 Apr 2017
SPB97
PAL71
22 Jan 2016
SPB74
PAL82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Pablo Burgos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Palencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San Pablo BurgosSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBurgos
Date
Competition
Oviedo
#13
W
87-68
87
68
+19
85avg 81
H20/04
Primera FEB
Ourense
#12
W
91-64
91
64
+27
94avg 81
A27/04
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#10
W
81-69
81
69
+12
74avg 81
H04/05
Primera FEB
Alicante
#7
W
83-73
83
73
+10
85avg 81
A10/05
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#9
W
81-59
81
59
+22
71avg 81
H17/05
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#9
W
91-61
91
61
+30
93avg 81
H19/05
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#9
W
91-75
91
75
+16
93avg 81
A24/05
Primera FEB
Forca Lleida
#1
L
77-80
77
80
-3
68avg 81
H08/06
Primera FEB
Estela
#14
W
86-67
86
67
+19
86avg 81
H28/09
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#2
W
79-70
79
70
+9
70avg 81
A05/10
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-16
20-12
16-19
22-21
23-14
23-11
20-19
25-20
25-18
15-19
25-16
16-16
18-22
22-20
22-18
21-13
31-16
14-17
17-8
19-18
18-21
23-12
27-14
23-14
27-22
27-16
16-18
21-19
20-18
17-17
23-25
17-20
23-11
21-20
19-19
23-17
20-20
19-12
19-16
21-22
153.3Avg total
84.7Scored
68.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)82.568.5151.0+14.0100%
Season at home (1)86.067.0153.0+19.0100%
Season away (1)79.070.0149.0+9.0100%
Last 10 (10)84.768.6153.3+16.190%
Last 5 (5)84.870.6155.4+14.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)88.088.0176.0+0.029%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)87.772.5160.2+15.287%
This opponent (Palencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PalenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPalencia
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#5
L
68-89
68
89
-21
60avg 73
H30/03
ACB
Breogan
#16
L
65-73
65
73
-8
44avg 73
A06/04
ACB
Murcia
#6
L
77-90
77
90
-13
63avg 73
A13/04
ACB
Granada
#17
L
83-91
83
91
-8
75avg 73
H20/04
ACB
Baskonia
#8
L
94-101
94
101
-7
94avg 73
H27/04
ACB
Bilbao
#13
W
97-80
97
80
+17
95avg 73
A04/05
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
75-81
75
81
-6
57avg 73
H09/05
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
69-93
69
93
-24
64avg 73
A12/05
ACB
Tizona Burgos
#9
W
91-85
91
85
+6
81avg 73
A27/09
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
W
78-69
78
69
+9
73avg 73
H04/10
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-29
15-11
22-19
14-30
16-16
19-17
12-15
18-25
11-19
19-20
29-22
18-29
14-21
20-26
21-19
28-25
32-27
25-21
15-28
22-25
24-17
27-20
22-21
24-22
17-19
21-14
19-22
18-26
17-17
17-25
14-26
21-25
21-18
21-23
27-27
22-17
20-18
22-9
21-16
15-26
164.9Avg total
79.7Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)84.577.0161.5+7.5100%
Season at home (1)78.069.0147.0+9.0100%
Season away (1)91.085.0176.0+6.0100%
Last 10 (10)79.785.2164.9-5.530%
Last 5 (5)82.081.6163.6+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)79.188.3167.5-9.217%
vs Similar (5)81.490.6172.0-9.220%
vs Weaker (2)84.577.0161.5+7.5100%
This opponent (San Pablo Burgos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.6+5.6Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -5.0-5.0
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.6+5.6Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -5.0-5.0
San Pablo BurgosPalencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
San Pablo BurgosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oviedo
#13
W
49-28
49
28
+21
H20/04
Primera FEB
Ourense
#12
W
46-25
46
25
+21
A27/04
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#10
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H04/05
Primera FEB
Alicante
#7
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A10/05
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#9
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H17/05
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#9
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H19/05
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#9
W
54-38
54
38
+16
A24/05
Primera FEB
Forca Lleida
#1
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H08/06
Primera FEB
Estela
#14
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H28/09
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#2
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A05/10
Primera FEB
76.9Avg total
43.5Scored
33.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.837.080.8+6.977%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.135.679.7+8.582%-
Last 30 away (13)43.538.882.2+4.769%-
Last 10 (10)43.533.476.9+10.190%-
Last 5 (5)43.033.876.8+9.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)41.739.381.0+2.471%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)44.536.380.7+8.278%-
This opponent (Palencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PalenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#5
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H30/03
ACB
Breogan
#16
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A06/04
ACB
Murcia
#6
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A13/04
ACB
Granada
#17
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H20/04
ACB
Baskonia
#8
W
57-48
57
48
+9
H27/04
ACB
Bilbao
#13
W
51-37
51
37
+14
A04/05
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H09/05
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A12/05
ACB
Tizona Burgos
#9
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A27/09
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
W
42-27
42
27
+15
H04/10
Primera FEB
78.2Avg total
39.5Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.341.881.1-2.447%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.839.379.1+0.553%-
Last 30 away (15)38.944.383.1-5.440%-
Last 10 (10)39.538.778.2+0.860%-
Last 5 (5)41.436.077.4+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)39.641.981.5-2.343%-
vs Similar (5)37.044.481.4-7.440%-
vs Weaker (2)42.034.076.0+8.0100%-
This opponent (San Pablo Burgos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
San Pablo Burgostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Pablo Burgos: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.818.3
46.0%
51.8%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.49.7
38.2%
33.7%29.1
🏀 Free throws14.611.3
77.4%
73.6%11.3
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Palenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Palencia: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.520.1
52.2%
51.8%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.68.4
34.1%
33.7%25.2
🏀 Free throws18.313.8
75.4%
73.6%13.8
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
San Pablo Burgos
WWLWWWWWWW
Palencia
WWLLWLLLLL
#1
League position
#6
-3.7
Net rating
-11.7
110.0
Offensive rating
106.7
113.7
Defensive rating
118.4
50.4%
Effective FG%
51.8%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
55.1%
17.6%
Turnover %
16.8%
37.5%
Off. rebound %
25.8%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.29
38.2%
3-point %
34.1%
50.0%
Assist %
64.2%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence110.0 · 106.7Defence113.7 · 118.4Shooting50.4% · 51.8%3-point %38.2% · 34.1%Ball care17.6% · 16.8%Free throws0.22 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)90% · 30%
■ San Pablo Burgos   ■ Palencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
San Pablo Burgos wins
4
Palencia wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/10/24AFuenlabrada79-70
28/09/24HEstela86-67
08/06/24HForca Lleida77-80
24/05/24AReal Valladolid91-75
19/05/24HReal Valladolid91-61
17/05/24HReal Valladolid81-59
10/05/24AAlicante83-73
04/05/24HFuenlabrada81-69
27/04/24AOurense91-64
20/04/24HOviedo87-68
Palencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/24HGipuzkoa78-69
27/09/24ATizona Burgos91-85
12/05/24AUnicaja69-93
09/05/24HObradoiro CAB75-81
04/05/24ABilbao97-80
27/04/24HBaskonia94-101
20/04/24HGranada83-91
13/04/24AMurcia77-90
06/04/24ABreogan65-73
30/03/24HTenerife68-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Pablo Burgos
Primera FEB 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game82.586.079.0
Allowed / game68.567.070.0
Point differential+14.0+19.0+9.0
Avg total151.0153.0149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Palencia
Primera FEB 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game84.578.091.0
Allowed / game77.069.085.0
Point differential+7.5+9.0+6.0
Avg total161.5147.0176.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ourense330100%89.067.0+22.0
2 Real Betis220100%86.069.0+17.0
3 San Pablo Burgos220100%82.568.5+14.0
4 Palencia220100%84.577.0+7.5
5 Hestia Menorca220100%81.577.5+4.0
6 Fuenlabrada32167%81.767.3+14.3
7 Estudiantes32167%93.782.7+11.0
8 Zamora32167%80.772.0+8.7
9 Cartagena32167%72.779.3-6.7
10 Obradoiro CAB31233%71.773.3-1.7
11 Castello31233%82.386.7-4.3
12 Tizona Burgos31233%85.092.3-7.3
13 Oviedo31233%73.382.3-9.0
14 Real Valladolid31233%67.783.0-15.3
15 Alicante2020%66.572.5-6.0
16 Gipuzkoa2020%65.577.5-12.0
17 Moron3030%70.082.0-12.0
18 Estela3030%72.788.7-16.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
San Pablo Burgos2419202588
Palencia1321172677
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