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Sandringham Sabres vs Melbourne Tigers Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Aug 2025
Tip-off: 09:30
Final 99-80
20-23 15-23 33-19 31-15
Position#3
Record17-8
FormLWWWW
Points / game94.7
Allowed / game89.5
vs
Position#4
Record17-8
FormWWWWW
Points / game87.6
Allowed / game82.1
AustraliaNBL1 SouthNBL1 South - Final
Other2025
Meetings · Sandringham Sabres v Melbourne Tigers
16 Aug 2025
SAND99
MELB80
05 Jul 2025
SAND92
MELB71
04 May 2024
SAND85
MELB71
08 Jun 2023
SAND99
MELB74
07 May 2022
SAND79
MELB84
04 Jul 2021
SAND83
MELB97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sandringham Sabres winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Melbourne Tigers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sandringham SabresAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ballarat
#5
W
118-97
118
97
+21
A28/06
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#4
W
92-71
92
71
+21
H05/07
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#15
W
70-69
70
69
+1
H08/07
NBL1 South
Waverley
#13
W
128-102
128
102
+26
A11/07
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#18
W
100-98
100
98
+2
H12/07
NBL1 South
Eltham
#6
L
98-104
98
104
-6
A18/07
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
W
101-74
101
74
+27
H20/07
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
W
111-98
111
98
+13
H26/07
NBL1 South
Eltham
#6
W
93-75
93
75
+18
A02/08
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
W
95-87
95
87
+8
A09/08
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-24
23-23
36-27
25-23
22-17
27-16
22-18
21-20
25-21
23-17
10-17
12-14
33-30
29-16
28-33
38-23
32-25
28-22
21-19
19-32
17-21
30-16
30-31
21-36
28-20
31-20
26-9
16-25
31-25
27-20
26-28
27-25
25-15
27-14
19-15
22-31
20-28
28-16
30-16
17-27
188.1Avg total
100.6Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)94.789.5184.2+5.268%
Season at home (12)92.485.4177.8+7.067%
Season away (13)96.893.2190.1+3.669%
Last 10 (10)100.687.5188.1+13.190%
Last 5 (5)99.687.6187.2+12.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)79.588.0167.5-8.550%
vs Similar ◀ (9)87.386.3173.7+1.056%
vs Weaker (19)98.188.2186.3+9.974%
This opponent (Melbourne Tigers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Melbourne TigersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NW Tasmania
#18
W
98-83
98
83
+15
H28/06
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
W
85-66
85
66
+19
H29/06
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
71-92
71
92
-21
A05/07
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#9
L
82-93
82
93
-11
A08/07
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
W
87-77
87
77
+10
H11/07
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#10
W
97-94
97
94
+3
H18/07
NBL1 South
Waverley
#13
W
102-99
102
99
+3
A19/07
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
W
89-77
89
77
+12
H26/07
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#7
W
84-83
84
83
+1
A02/08
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
W
89-86
89
86
+3
A09/08
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-20
20-20
21-16
32-27
17-26
17-16
20-13
31-11
17-22
16-27
18-22
20-21
26-19
15-33
25-15
16-26
25-10
22-23
22-26
18-18
28-19
17-20
22-27
30-28
21-29
28-20
23-21
30-29
19-21
26-20
24-13
20-23
19-21
20-19
17-30
28-13
25-27
22-28
20-20
22-11
173.4Avg total
88.4Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)87.682.1169.7+5.568%
Season at home (12)87.280.2167.5+7.067%
Season away (13)87.983.8171.8+4.169%
Last 10 (10)88.485.0173.4+3.480%
Last 5 (5)92.287.8180.0+4.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)88.882.0170.8+6.875%
vs Similar ◀ (14)82.185.4167.6-3.343%
vs Weaker (12)90.977.9168.8+13.092%
This opponent (Sandringham Sabres) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +9.3+9.3Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: +4.0+4.0
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +9.3+9.3Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: +4.0+4.0
Sandringham SabresMelbourne Tigers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sandringham SabresLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ballarat
#5
W
57-47
57
47
+10
A28/06
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#4
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H05/07
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#15
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H08/07
NBL1 South
Waverley
#13
W
62-46
62
46
+16
A11/07
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#18
W
60-47
60
47
+13
H12/07
NBL1 South
Eltham
#6
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A18/07
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
W
59-40
59
40
+19
H20/07
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
W
58-45
58
45
+13
H26/07
NBL1 South
Eltham
#6
W
52-29
52
29
+23
A02/08
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A09/08
NBL1 South
94.6Avg total
54.0Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.643.390.9+4.367%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.442.189.4+5.362%-
Last 30 away (14)47.944.792.6+3.271%-
Last 10 (10)54.040.694.6+13.4100%-
Last 5 (5)52.839.091.8+13.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)42.043.585.5-1.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)44.041.385.3+2.756%-
vs Weaker (19)49.944.294.2+5.774%-
This opponent (Melbourne Tigers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Melbourne TigersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NW Tasmania
#18
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H28/06
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H29/06
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A05/07
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#9
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A08/07
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H11/07
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#10
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H18/07
NBL1 South
Waverley
#13
D
49-49
49
49
+0
A19/07
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H26/07
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#7
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A02/08
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
L
47-55
47
55
-8
A09/08
NBL1 South
86.5Avg total
42.5Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.842.886.6+1.147%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.241.785.9+2.550%-
Last 30 away (16)43.543.787.2-0.244%-
Last 10 (10)42.544.086.5-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)45.044.889.8+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)45.042.087.0+3.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)42.444.186.5-1.636%-
vs Weaker (12)45.141.586.6+3.658%-
This opponent (Sandringham Sabres) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
09/08/25AMt Gambier95-87
02/08/25AEltham93-75
26/07/25HHobart Chargers111-98
20/07/25HBendigo Braves101-74
18/07/25AEltham98-104
12/07/25HNW Tasmania100-98
11/07/25AWaverley128-102
08/07/25HKeilor Thunder70-69
05/07/25HMelbourne Tigers92-71
28/06/25ABallarat118-97
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/08/25AKnox89-86
02/08/25AKilsyth84-83
26/07/25HBallarat89-77
19/07/25AWaverley102-99
18/07/25HCasey Cavaliers97-94
11/07/25HDiamond Valley87-77
08/07/25ARingwood82-93
05/07/25ASandringham Sabres71-92
29/06/25HBendigo Braves85-66
28/06/25HNW Tasmania98-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sandringham Sabres
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW68%
HomeWWWWW67%
AwayWWLWW69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %68%67%69%
Points / game94.792.496.8
Allowed / game89.585.493.2
Point differential+5.2+7.0+3.6
Avg total184.2177.8190.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)40% (5)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Melbourne Tigers
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW68%
HomeWWWWW67%
AwayLLWWW69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %68%67%69%
Points / game87.687.287.9
Allowed / game82.180.283.8
Point differential+5.5+7.0+4.1
Avg total169.7167.5171.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)50% (2)67% (6)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Knox2418675%90.783.8+6.8
2 Mt Gambier2417771%96.182.0+14.1
3 Melbourne Tigers2517868%87.682.1+5.5
4 Sandringham Sabres2517868%94.789.5+5.2
5 Ballarat2314961%87.488.9-1.5
6 Eltham24141058%88.385.3+3.0
7 Kilsyth24141058%87.886.4+1.5
8 Hobart Chargers22121055%89.187.6+1.5
9 Ringwood22111150%95.190.8+4.3
10 Casey Cavaliers22111150%87.886.4+1.4
11 Nunawading22111150%87.486.4+1.0
12 Frankston22101245%92.691.0+1.7
13 Waverley2291341%93.796.5-2.9
14 Dandenong2281436%91.195.5-4.4
15 Keilor Thunder2281436%82.488.0-5.7
16 Bendigo Braves2281436%81.794.3-12.6
17 Geelong2271532%81.988.5-6.5
18 NW Tasmania2151624%86.592.4-5.9
19 Diamond Valley2251723%84.595.0-10.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sandringham Sabres2015333199
Melbourne Tigers2323191580
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