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Santa Clara vs Nevada Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 25 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Projected 81-70
Projected total 151.5
Scheduled
Position#68
Record5-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game86.6
Allowed / game75.0
Vs
84%
16%
■ SANT 84%■ NEVA 16%
Pythia win probability
Position#210
Record2-2
FormLWWLL
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game73.2
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Santa Clara v Nevada
24 Nov 2026
SANT v NEVA
upcoming
15 Nov 2025
SANT98
NEVA83
16 Nov 2021
SANT96
NEVA74
Sections
Game preview & prediction
Santa Clara host Nevada in the NCAA. Pythia makes Santa Clara the favourite at 84% and projects 81-70, about 151 points in all. Overtime chance: 3%. Santa Clara are 5-0 this season (86.6 scored, 75.0 allowed a game), form WWWWW; Nevada are 2-2 this season (79.0 scored, 73.2 allowed a game), form LWWLL.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Santa Clara win
84.1%fair 1.19
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Nevada win
15.9%fair 6.28
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 15 Nov 07:37 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Santa ClaraUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oregon State
#195
W
93-72
93
72
+21
H01/03
NCAA
Pacific
#165
W
76-68
76
68
+8
H09/03
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#16
W
76-71
76
71
+5
A10/03
NCAA
Gonzaga
#9
L
68-79
68
79
-11
A11/03
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
L
84-89 OT
84
89
-5
A20/03
NCAA
Towson
#175
W
89-70
89
70
+19
H03/11
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#258
W
95-72
95
72
+23
H05/11
NCAA
Sacramento State
#284
W
83-77
83
77
+6
H08/11
NCAA
North Texas
#99
W
76-71
76
71
+5
A12/11
NCAA
New Mexico
#93
W
90-85
90
85
+5
H15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
38-33
55-39
45-38
31-30
32-35
44-36
33-29
35-50
31-29
42-44
43-35
46-35
46-27
49-45
45-36
38-41
34-41
42-30
51-33
39-52
158.4Avg total
83.0Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)86.675.0161.6+11.6100%
Season at home (4)89.276.0165.2+13.2100%
Season away (1)76.071.0147.0+5.0100%
Last 10 (10)83.075.4158.4+7.680%
Last 5 (5)86.675.0161.6+11.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)79.483.6163.0-4.240%
vs Similar (5)75.674.0149.6+1.660%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)87.572.3159.8+15.290%
This opponent (Nevada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevadaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UNLV
#192
L
83-85 OT
83
85
-2
A01/03
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
L
73-83
73
83
-10
A04/03
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
74-59
74
59
+15
H08/03
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
80-45
80
45
+35
H11/03
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
W
84-80
84
80
+4
A12/03
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
66-79
66
79
-13
A14/03
NCAA
Robert Morris
#405
W
86-49
86
49
+37
H03/11
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#105
W
96-95 OT
96
95
+1
H08/11
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#44
L
63-76
63
76
-13
A12/11
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#73
L
71-73
71
73
-2
H15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
37-35
37-39
28-49
45-34
32-25
42-34
39-10
41-35
34-40
50-40
32-39
34-40
41-24
45-25
42-35
37-44
24-40
39-36
28-34
43-39
150.0Avg total
77.6Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)79.073.2152.2+5.850%
Season at home (3)84.372.3156.7+12.067%
Season away (1)63.076.0139.0-13.00%
Last 10 (10)77.672.4150.0+5.250%
Last 5 (5)76.474.4150.8+2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)72.276.4148.6-4.138%
vs Similar (13)77.675.0152.6+2.662%
vs Weaker (9)76.960.9137.8+16.089%
This opponent (Santa Clara) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 141
Over 141
74.2%
Under 141
25.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 146
Over 146
63.1%
Under 146
36.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 151
Over 151
50.7%
Under 151
49.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Santa Clara total 75.5
Over 75.5
72.4%
Under 75.5
27.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Santa Clara total 79.5
Over 79.5
57.7%
Under 79.5
42.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Santa Clara total 83.5
Over 83.5
41.7%
Under 83.5
58.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nevada total 62.5
Over 62.5
76.9%
Under 62.5
23.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nevada total 66.5
Over 66.5
63.2%
Under 66.5
36.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nevada total 70.5
Over 70.5
47.7%
Under 70.5
52.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Santa Clara -3
SANT -3
78.7%
NEVA +3
21.3%
Best 5 market prices
SANT
No market prices yet.
NEVA
No market prices yet.
Spread Santa Clara 0
SANT 0
84.1%
NEVA 0
15.9%
Best 5 market prices
SANT
No market prices yet.
NEVA
No market prices yet.
Spread Santa Clara +3
SANT +3
89.0%
NEVA -3
11.0%
Best 5 market prices
SANT
No market prices yet.
NEVA
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.2+6.21st half: +0.6+0.62nd half2nd half: +1.9+1.92nd half: +4.7+4.7
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.2+6.21st half: +0.6+0.62nd half2nd half: +1.9+1.92nd half: +4.7+4.7
Santa ClaraNevada
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Santa ClaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oregon State
#195
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H01/03
NCAA
Pacific
#165
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H09/03
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#16
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A10/03
NCAA
Gonzaga
#9
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A11/03
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A20/03
NCAA
Towson
#175
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H03/11
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#258
W
46-27
46
27
+19
H05/11
NCAA
Sacramento State
#284
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H08/11
NCAA
North Texas
#99
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A12/11
NCAA
New Mexico
#93
W
51-33
51
33
+18
H15/11
NCAA
73.4Avg total
39.8Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.334.474.7+6.070%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.534.275.7+7.482%-
Last 30 away (13)38.834.673.4+4.254%-
Last 10 (10)39.833.673.4+6.280%-
Last 5 (5)43.834.478.2+9.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.836.875.6+2.040%-
vs Similar (5)34.833.268.0+1.660%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)42.134.076.2+8.180%-
This opponent (Nevada) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UNLV
#192
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A01/03
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
L
28-49
28
49
-21
A04/03
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
32-25
32
25
+7
H08/03
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
39-10
39
10
+29
H11/03
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A12/03
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A14/03
NCAA
Robert Morris
#405
W
41-24
41
24
+17
H03/11
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#105
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H08/11
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#44
L
24-40
24
40
-16
A12/11
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#73
L
28-34
28
34
-6
H15/11
NCAA
66.8Avg total
33.7Scored
33.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.832.465.1+0.447%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.828.663.4+6.169%-
Last 30 away (14)30.536.667.1-6.121%-
Last 10 (10)33.733.166.8+0.650%-
Last 5 (5)33.434.467.8-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)30.634.565.1-3.912%-
vs Similar (13)33.534.567.9-1.062%-
vs Weaker (9)33.727.461.1+6.256%-
This opponent (Santa Clara) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Santa Clara wins
2
Nevada wins
DateGameScore
16/11/25Santa Clara v Nevada98-83
17/11/24Nevada v Santa Clara85-59
17/11/21Santa Clara v Nevada96-74
05/12/19Nevada v Santa Clara98-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HNew Mexico90-85
12/11/26ANorth Texas76-71
08/11/26HSacramento State83-77
05/11/26HWisc. Milwaukee95-72
03/11/26HTowson89-70
20/03/26AKentucky84-89 OT
11/03/26AGonzaga68-79
10/03/26ASt. Marys (CA)76-71
09/03/26HPacific76-68
01/03/26HOregon State93-72
Nevadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HUtah Valley State71-73
12/11/26AUC Santa Barbara63-76
08/11/26HSt. Marys (CA)96-95 OT
03/11/26HRobert Morris86-49
14/03/26AUtah State66-79
12/03/26AGrand Canyon84-80
11/03/26HAir Force80-45
08/03/26HAir Force74-59
04/03/26AWyoming73-83
01/03/26AUNLV83-85 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Santa Clara
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games541
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game86.689.276.0
Allowed / game75.076.071.0
Point differential+11.6+13.2+5.0
Avg total161.6165.2147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nevada
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLL50%
HomeWWL67%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %50%67%0%
Points / game79.084.363.0
Allowed / game73.272.376.0
Point differential+5.8+12.0-13.0
Avg total152.2156.7139.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %25%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

West Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oregon State440100%93.269.5+23.8
2 Santa Clara550100%86.675.0+11.6
3 St. Marys (CA)43175%93.576.5+17.0
4 San Diego Toreros43175%84.275.5+8.8
5 San Francisco43175%71.568.5+3.0
6 Pacific32167%74.753.7+21.0
7 Pepperdine42250%96.070.0+26.0
8 Portland52340%87.093.6-6.6
9 Gonzaga31233%87.075.7+11.3
10 Seattle31233%70.373.3-3.0
11 Loyola Marymount41325%84.574.8+9.8
12 Washington State41325%81.579.5+2.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boise State330100%114.371.0+43.3
2 Utah State440100%105.570.5+35.0
3 Grand Canyon440100%97.270.8+26.5
4 San Diego State330100%89.073.0+16.0
5 UNLV330100%84.374.7+9.7
6 New Mexico43175%93.271.0+22.2
7 Wyoming43175%81.859.8+22.0
8 Air Force43175%93.583.8+9.8
9 Colorado State43175%76.871.2+5.5
10 Fresno State43175%84.283.0+1.2
11 Nevada42250%79.073.2+5.8
12 San Jose State31233%83.081.7+1.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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