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Santo Andre vs Lusitania Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 21 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 14:30
Scheduled
Position#4
Record5-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game74.4
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.6/10
Above normal
5.4/10
Around normal
Position#5
Record4-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game72.3
PortugalProligaRound 20· Pavilhao Municipal Padre Amadeu Pinto
Other2026-27
Meetings · Santo Andre v Lusitania
21 Feb 2027
SANT v LUSI
upcoming
03 Apr 2026
SANT70
LUSI85
30 Mar 2025
SANT70
LUSI74
12 Oct 2024
SANT50
LUSI44
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Santo Andre win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Lusitania win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Santo AndrePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAndre
Date
Competition
Sampaense
#10
L
80-87
80
87
-7
66avg 67
A19/04
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
94-61
94
61
+33
98avg 67
A25/04
Proliga
Galomar
#5
L
74-86
74
86
-12
66avg 67
H02/05
Proliga
Galomar
#6
L
64-72
64
72
-8
40avg 67
H03/10
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
78-73
78
73
+5
56avg 67
A10/10
Proliga
Maia
#10
W
72-59
72
59
+13
67avg 67
H17/10
Proliga
CB Queluz
#9
W
96-87
96
87
+9
87avg 67
A24/10
Proliga
Lusitania
#5
W
85-80
85
80
+5
83avg 67
A31/10
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
L
77-86
77
86
-9
no box
A07/11
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
75-64
75
64
+11
no box
H14/11
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
20-22
22-26
18-18
21-19
19-12
30-23
24-7
13-17
23-27
18-21
20-21
13-19
22-18
11-19
18-16
25-15
21-12
13-23
19-23
10-20
21-11
18-16
23-12
26-18
30-21
19-23
21-25
18-13
33-13
19-22
15-32
22-17
19-19
22-22
14-28
18-11
19-18
17-17
21-18
155.0Avg total
79.5Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)78.174.4152.6+3.771%
Season at home (3)70.365.0135.3+5.367%
Season away (4)84.081.5165.5+2.575%
Last 10 (10)79.575.5155.0+4.060%
Last 5 (5)81.075.2156.2+5.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)72.182.2154.3-10.111%
vs Similar (8)70.175.4145.5-5.225%
vs Weaker (13)78.670.3148.9+8.377%
This opponent (Lusitania) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LusitaniaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLusitania
Date
Competition
Santo Andre
#13
W
85-70
85
70
+15
81avg 81
A03/04
Proliga
Galomar
#5
W
108-88
108
88
+20
109avg 81
H18/04
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
85-79
85
79
+6
84avg 81
A26/04
Proliga
CB Queluz
#14
W
89-68
89
68
+21
92avg 81
H02/05
Proliga
Barcelos
#14
W
73-68
73
68
+5
68avg 81
H05/10
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#12
W
88-56
88
56
+32
89avg 81
A11/10
Proliga
Galomar
#6
W
77-75
77
75
+2
74avg 81
H17/10
Proliga
Maia
#10
L
77-82
77
82
-5
73avg 81
A24/10
Proliga
Santo Andre
#4
L
80-85
80
85
-5
71avg 81
H31/10
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
93-68
93
68
+25
no box
H07/11
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-12
21-15
17-29
18-14
25-25
26-23
22-21
35-19
16-23
27-25
14-13
28-18
31-16
20-11
19-20
19-21
19-15
15-20
23-16
16-17
21-16
24-19
30-12
13-9
23-18
17-19
16-21
21-17
18-28
26-8
15-25
18-21
13-18
13-33
22-19
32-15
23-17
24-25
17-11
29-15
159.4Avg total
85.5Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)81.372.3153.7+9.067%
Season at home (4)80.874.0154.8+6.875%
Season away (2)82.569.0151.5+13.550%
Last 10 (10)85.573.9159.4+11.680%
Last 5 (5)83.073.2156.2+9.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)72.585.0157.5-12.50%
vs Similar (6)80.775.8156.5+4.867%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)87.773.5161.2+14.286%
This opponent (Santo Andre) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +5.4+5.4Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +6.3+6.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +5.4+5.4Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +6.3+6.3
Santo AndreLusitania
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Santo AndreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sampaense
#10
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A19/04
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A25/04
Proliga
Galomar
#5
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H02/05
Proliga
Galomar
#6
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H03/10
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
46-27
46
27
+19
A10/10
Proliga
Maia
#10
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H17/10
Proliga
CB Queluz
#9
W
56-39
56
39
+17
A24/10
Proliga
Lusitania
#5
W
51-26
51
26
+25
A31/10
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A07/11
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H14/11
Proliga
75.6Avg total
41.3Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.136.473.5+0.850%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.537.973.5-2.433%-
Last 30 away (15)38.734.873.5+3.967%-
Last 10 (10)41.334.375.6+7.060%-
Last 5 (5)43.232.275.4+11.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)36.239.876.0-3.622%-
vs Similar (8)36.236.572.8-0.262%-
vs Weaker (13)38.333.972.2+4.462%-
This opponent (Lusitania) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LusitaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Santo Andre
#13
W
50-27
50
27
+23
A03/04
Proliga
Galomar
#5
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H18/04
Proliga
Academica
#16
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A26/04
Proliga
CB Queluz
#14
W
51-27
51
27
+24
H02/05
Proliga
Barcelos
#14
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H05/10
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#12
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A11/10
Proliga
Galomar
#6
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H17/10
Proliga
Maia
#10
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A24/10
Proliga
Santo Andre
#4
L
26-51
26
51
-25
H31/10
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H07/11
Proliga
81.7Avg total
43.1Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.238.180.3+4.160%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.435.675.9+4.862%-
Last 30 away (14)44.241.085.2+3.257%-
Last 10 (10)43.138.681.7+4.570%-
Last 5 (5)40.440.280.6+0.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.542.579.0-6.00%-
vs Similar (6)39.738.878.5+0.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)43.437.580.9+5.968%-
This opponent (Santo Andre) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Santo Andretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Santo Andre: 74.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.2 points a game
50%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.719.3
55.6%
52.5%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.37.5
29.6%
30.6%22.5
🏀 Free throws20.513.8
67.3%
67.3%13.8
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lusitaniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lusitania: 84.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.8 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.2 points a game
50%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.725.4
55.6%
52.5%50.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.37.2
32.3%
30.6%21.6
🏀 Free throws17.212.5
72.7%
67.3%12.5
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Santo Andre
WLWWWWLLWL
Lusitania
WLLWWWWWWW
#4
League position
#5
+1.2
Net rating
+13.5
86.8
Offensive rating
95.6
85.6
Defensive rating
82.1
50.9%
Effective FG%
53.2%
47.5%
Opp. effective FG%
47.3%
19.4%
Turnover %
16.2%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.25
29.6%
3-point %
32.3%
52.6%
Assist %
67.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence86.8 · 95.6Defence85.6 · 82.1Shooting50.9% · 53.2%3-point %29.6% · 32.3%Ball care19.4% · 16.2%Free throws0.34 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Santo Andre   ■ Lusitania
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Santo Andre wins
4
Lusitania wins
Santo Andrelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HBarreirense75-64
07/11/26AGalitos Barreiro77-86
31/10/26ALusitania85-80
24/10/26ACB Queluz96-87
17/10/26HMaia72-59
10/10/26AAcademica78-73
03/10/26HGalomar64-72
02/05/26HGalomar74-86
25/04/26ASangalhos94-61
19/04/26ASampaense80-87
Lusitanialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26HBarreirense93-68
31/10/26HSanto Andre80-85
24/10/26AMaia77-82
17/10/26HGalomar77-75
11/10/26AGinasio Olhanense88-56
05/10/26HBarcelos73-68
02/05/26HCB Queluz89-68
26/04/26AAcademica85-79
18/04/26HGalomar108-88
03/04/26ASanto Andre85-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Santo Andre
Proliga 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW71%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %71%67%75%
Points / game78.170.384.0
Allowed / game74.465.081.5
Point differential+3.7+5.3+2.5
Avg total152.6135.3165.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lusitania
Proliga 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW67%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %67%75%50%
Points / game81.380.882.5
Allowed / game72.374.069.0
Point differential+9.0+6.8+13.5
Avg total153.7154.8151.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sangalhos76186%76.661.1+15.4
2 Galitos Barreiro75271%78.371.3+7.0
3 Galitos Aveiro75271%78.973.6+5.3
4 Santo Andre75271%78.174.4+3.7
5 Lusitania64267%81.372.3+9.0
6 Galomar53260%77.269.0+8.2
7 Illiabum74357%74.174.4-0.3
8 Sampaense74357%82.182.4-0.3
9 CB Queluz74357%72.172.6-0.4
10 Maia63350%83.287.8-4.7
11 Vasco Da Gama62433%85.888.8-3.0
12 Ginasio Olhanense72529%84.788.4-3.7
13 Barreirense72529%75.083.9-8.9
14 Barcelos72529%66.677.4-10.9
15 Benfica Lisboa B61517%67.780.7-13.0
16 Academica71614%80.483.3-2.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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