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Sao Jose vs Botafogo Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 02 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 22:30
Scheduled
Position#12
Record3-4
FormLWWLW
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game81.7
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.3/10
Around normal
4.3/10
Below normal
Position#14
Record2-4
FormLWLWL
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game83.0
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Lineu de Moura
Other2026-27
Meetings · Sao Jose v Botafogo
02 Dec 2026
SAO v BOTA
upcoming
01 Nov 2025
SAO 77
BOTA64
12 Oct 2024
SAO 70
BOTA81
23 Nov 2023
SAO 96
BOTA72
02 Mar 2020
SAO 81
BOTA87
01 Apr 2019
SAO 81
BOTA87
28 Jan 2019
SAO 79
BOTA72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sao Jose win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Botafogo win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sao JoseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJose
Date
Competition
Mogi
#8
L
70-75
70
75
-5
56avg 72
H22/04
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
75-79
75
79
-4
59avg 72
A25/04
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
70-81
70
81
-11
60avg 72
A27/04
NBB
Franca
#6
L
59-90
59
90
-31
42avg 72
A19/10
NBB
Bauru
#11
L
68-83
68
83
-15
54avg 72
A21/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#5
L
83-97
83
97
-14
72avg 72
H28/10
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
96-53
96
53
+43
no box
H02/11
NBB
Osasco
#16
W
90-81
90
81
+9
no box
A05/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#3
L
87-103
87
103
-16
no box
A07/11
NBB
Paulistano
#13
W
79-65
79
65
+14
no box
H13/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-16
14-21
16-20
15-18
17-16
21-25
18-15
19-23
18-25
17-17
22-19
13-20
15-17
17-25
12-23
15-25
22-23
20-11
17-25
9-24
16-26
27-23
17-23
23-25
27-11
31-12
24-15
14-15
31-16
19-17
28-13
12-35
21-22
19-28
16-30
31-23
26-22
16-20
17-7
20-16
158.4Avg total
77.7Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)80.381.7162.0-1.443%
Season at home (3)86.071.7157.7+14.367%
Season away (4)76.089.2165.2-13.225%
Last 10 (10)77.780.7158.4-3.030%
Last 5 (5)87.079.8166.8+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)79.490.2169.6-10.912%
vs Similar (11)76.380.4156.6-4.136%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)88.778.8167.5+9.982%
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BotafogoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBotafogo
Date
Competition
Vasco
#20
L
86-104
86
104
-18
80avg 66
A18/04
NBB
Franca
#1
L
68-94
68
94
-26
59avg 66
A22/04
NBB
Franca
#1
L
79-89
79
89
-10
70avg 66
H25/04
NBB
Franca
#1
L
78-82
78
82
-4
71avg 66
H28/04
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
71-81
71
81
-10
65avg 66
A20/10
NBB
Pato
#15
L
88-89
88
89
-1
82avg 66
A24/10
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
84-82
84
82
+2
81avg 66
H28/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#7
L
80-87
80
87
-7
no box
H30/10
NBB
Brasilia
#8
W
77-76
77
76
+1
no box
A02/11
NBB
Franca
#6
L
60-83
60
83
-23
no box
H12/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-24
28-22
13-29
20-29
17-37
16-21
20-17
15-19
35-23
18-26
15-21
11-19
23-11
21-29
14-22
20-20
14-22
22-27
21-20
14-12
26-22
22-16
13-27
27-24
22-24
14-16
25-21
23-21
22-26
24-18
17-19
17-24
16-22
20-14
23-17
18-23
16-21
19-14
9-24
16-24
163.8Avg total
77.1Scored
86.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)76.783.0159.7-6.333%
Season at home (3)74.784.0158.7-9.333%
Season away (3)78.782.0160.7-3.333%
Last 10 (10)77.186.7163.8-9.620%
Last 5 (5)77.883.4161.2-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)73.183.4156.5-10.327%
vs Similar (7)81.688.6170.1-7.029%
vs Weaker (1)84.082.0166.0+2.0100%
This opponent (Sao Jose) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -4.7-4.7Q4Q4: -5.3-5.3Q4: -3.4-3.4
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -4.7-4.7Q4Q4: -5.3-5.3Q4: -3.4-3.4
Sao JoseBotafogo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sao JoseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mogi
#8
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H22/04
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A25/04
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A27/04
NBB
Franca
#6
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A19/10
NBB
Bauru
#11
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A21/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#5
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H28/10
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
58-23
58
23
+35
H02/11
NBB
Osasco
#16
W
50-33
50
33
+17
A05/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#3
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A07/11
NBB
Paulistano
#13
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H13/11
NBB
81.2Avg total
41.9Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.141.283.3+0.950%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.043.188.1+1.957%-
Last 30 away (16)39.539.579.0+0.044%-
Last 10 (10)41.939.381.2+2.640%-
Last 5 (5)46.639.486.0+7.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)40.946.287.1-5.438%-
vs Similar (11)39.641.180.7-1.545%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)45.437.683.0+7.764%-
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BotafogoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vasco
#20
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A18/04
NBB
Franca
#1
L
33-58
33
58
-25
A22/04
NBB
Franca
#1
W
53-49
53
49
+4
H25/04
NBB
Franca
#1
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H28/04
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A20/10
NBB
Pato
#15
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A24/10
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H28/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#7
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H30/10
NBB
Brasilia
#8
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A02/11
NBB
Franca
#6
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H12/11
NBB
85.5Avg total
42.0Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.841.781.6-1.937%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.941.682.6-0.744%-
Last 30 away (14)38.641.980.4-3.329%-
Last 10 (10)42.043.585.5-1.550%-
Last 5 (5)40.238.678.8+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)38.940.979.8-2.036%-
vs Similar (7)43.344.788.0-1.443%-
vs Weaker (1)36.040.076.0-4.00%-
This opponent (Sao Jose) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sao Josetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sao Jose: 72.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.9 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.316.8
42.7%
49.8%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.98.4
30.1%
31.6%25.2
🏀 Free throws20.714.1
68.1%
71.3%14.1
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Botafogotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Botafogo: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.9 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.321.7
52.5%
49.8%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.78.1
31.5%
31.6%24.3
🏀 Free throws16.911.7
69.2%
71.3%11.7
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sao Jose
WLWWLLLLLL
Botafogo
LWLWLLLLLL
#12
League position
#14
-9.8
Net rating
-6.7
82.2
Offensive rating
91.9
92.1
Defensive rating
98.6
43.8%
Effective FG%
50.5%
51.4%
Opp. effective FG%
56.6%
15.0%
Turnover %
14.8%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.25
30.1%
3-point %
31.5%
63.9%
Assist %
66.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence82.2 · 91.9Defence92.1 · 98.6Shooting43.8% · 50.5%3-point %30.1% · 31.5%Ball care15.0% · 14.8%Free throws0.31 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)30% · 20%
■ Sao Jose   ■ Botafogo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Sao Jose wins
7
Botafogo wins
DateGameScore
21/01/26Botafogo v Sao Jose89-80
01/11/25Sao Jose v Botafogo77-64
03/03/25Botafogo v Sao Jose71-68
12/10/24Sao Jose v Botafogo70-81
29/02/24Botafogo v Sao Jose90-93 OT
23/11/23Sao Jose v Botafogo96-72
02/03/20Sao Jose v Botafogo81-87
18/12/19Botafogo v Sao Jose93-75
06/04/19Botafogo v Sao Jose66-61
01/04/19Sao Jose v Botafogo81-87
Sao Joselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HPaulistano79-65
07/11/26APinheiros87-103
05/11/26AOsasco90-81
02/11/26HCearense96-53
28/10/26HUnifacisa83-97
21/10/26ABauru68-83
19/10/26AFranca59-90
27/04/26AMogi70-81
25/04/26AMogi75-79
22/04/26HMogi70-75
Botafogolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HFranca60-83
02/11/26ABrasilia77-76
30/10/26HUniao Corinthians80-87
28/10/26HCaxias do Sul84-82
24/10/26APato88-89
20/10/26AFlamengo71-81
28/04/26HFranca78-82
25/04/26HFranca79-89
22/04/26AFranca68-94
18/04/26AVasco86-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sao Jose
NBB 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW43%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%67%25%
Points / game80.386.076.0
Allowed / game81.771.789.2
Point differential-1.4+14.3-13.2
Avg total162.0157.7165.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Botafogo
NBB 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL33%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game76.774.778.7
Allowed / game83.084.082.0
Point differential-6.3-9.3-3.3
Avg total159.7158.7160.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas880100%85.165.4+19.8
2 Mogi76186%83.173.9+9.3
3 Pinheiros86275%85.273.1+12.1
4 Flamengo75271%80.973.4+7.4
5 Unifacisa75271%79.475.1+4.3
6 Franca85362%78.971.6+7.2
7 Uniao Corinthians74357%72.374.7-2.4
8 Brasilia84450%80.679.8+0.9
9 Cruzeiro63350%76.278.8-2.7
10 Corinthians Paulista73443%80.079.0+1.0
11 Bauru73443%76.777.7-1.0
12 Sao Jose73443%80.381.7-1.4
13 Paulistano73443%69.673.9-4.3
14 Botafogo62433%76.783.0-6.3
15 Pato82625%72.681.5-8.9
16 Osasco61517%77.886.8-9.0
17 Cearense71614%65.683.7-18.1
18 Caxias do Sul7070%64.779.6-14.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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