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Botafogo vs Sao Jose Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 03 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 71-68
18-27 17-14 15-16 21-11
Position#18
Record7-18
FormLLLLW
Points / game73.5
Allowed / game81.0
vs
Position#10
Record13-13
FormWLLLW
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game78.8
BrazilNBB· Oscar Zelaya Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Botafogo v Sao Jose
21 Jan 2026
BOTA89
SAO 80
03 Mar 2025
BOTA71
SAO 68
29 Feb 2024
BOTA90
SAO 93
18 Dec 2019
BOTA93
SAO 75
05 Apr 2019
BOTA66
SAO 61
27 Nov 2018
BOTA84
SAO 74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Botafogo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sao Jose winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BotafogoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBotafogo
Date
Competition
Bauru
#4
W
93-92 OT
93
92
+1
87avg 66
H18/12
NBB
Franca
#2
L
73-86
73
86
-13
65avg 66
H23/12
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
97-85
97
85
+12
96avg 66
H27/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
63-75
63
75
-12
56avg 66
A09/01
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
79-84
79
84
-5
70avg 66
A11/01
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
71-83
71
83
-12
64avg 66
H16/01
NBB
Cearense
#17
L
74-83
74
83
-9
67avg 66
H20/01
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
67-78
67
78
-11
59avg 66
A06/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
77-90
77
90
-13
69avg 66
A08/02
NBB
Pato
#14
W
91-76
91
76
+15
86avg 66
H16/02
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-18
24-19
22-15
19-27
18-16
17-21
20-25
18-24
25-16
22-15
22-25
28-29
10-20
18-24
14-12
21-19
23-24
16-18
20-22
20-20
17-30
18-15
15-15
21-23
20-17
17-18
19-21
18-27
11-24
21-19
19-12
16-23
27-24
20-18
10-32
20-16
26-29
24-27
19-13
22-7
161.7Avg total
78.5Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)73.581.0154.5-7.528%
Season at home (13)73.981.3155.2-7.431%
Season away (12)73.080.7153.7-7.725%
Last 10 (10)78.583.2161.7-4.730%
Last 5 (5)76.082.0158.0-6.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)74.184.2158.3-10.225%
vs Similar (6)75.072.8147.8+2.250%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sao Jose) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sao JoseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJose
Date
Competition
Pato
#14
L
81-85
81
85
-4
72avg 71
A19/12
NBB
Flamengo
#3
W
89-82
89
82
+7
88avg 71
A27/12
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
75-69
75
69
+6
71avg 71
A29/12
NBB
Brasilia
#6
W
94-79
94
79
+15
91avg 71
H11/01
NBB
Minas
#1
W
98-88
98
88
+10
93avg 71
H20/01
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
89-80
89
80
+9
83avg 71
A23/01
NBB
Mogi
#16
L
93-97 OT
93
97
-4
82avg 71
A04/02
NBB
Paulistano
#12
L
78-93
78
93
-15
66avg 71
A13/02
NBB
Franca
#2
L
68-105
68
105
-37
57avg 71
H16/02
NBB
Bauru
#4
W
83-78
83
78
+5
77avg 71
H27/02
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
23-16
19-22
21-25
20-21
24-14
8-25
37-22
20-19
18-10
15-15
22-25
28-23
18-18
20-21
28-17
29-20
19-21
31-19
19-28
22-23
20-18
28-19
19-20
20-20
22-24
22-18
16-18
13-28
27-25
20-28
18-12
17-22
15-26
16-27
20-30
28-17
15-19
15-23
25-19
170.4Avg total
84.8Scored
85.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)78.578.8157.3-0.350%
Season at home (14)79.378.2157.5+1.157%
Season away (12)77.679.4157.0-1.842%
Last 10 (10)84.885.6170.4-0.860%
Last 5 (5)82.290.6172.8-8.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)76.086.7162.7-10.743%
vs Similar (18)75.976.8152.7-0.944%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)83.075.6158.6+7.460%
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +0.9+0.9
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +0.9+0.9
BotafogoSao Jose
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BotafogoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bauru
#4
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H18/12
NBB
Franca
#2
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H23/12
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H27/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A09/01
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A11/01
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H16/01
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H20/01
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A06/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A08/02
NBB
Pato
#14
L
50-56
50
56
-6
H16/02
NBB
80.0Avg total
38.8Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.141.978.0-5.830%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.142.779.8-5.635%-
Last 30 away (13)34.840.975.8-6.123%-
Last 10 (10)38.841.280.0-2.440%-
Last 5 (5)40.244.284.4-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)35.944.180.0-8.221%-
vs Similar (6)37.033.270.2+3.867%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sao Jose) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sao JoseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pato
#14
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A19/12
NBB
Flamengo
#3
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A27/12
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A29/12
NBB
Brasilia
#6
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H11/01
NBB
Minas
#1
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H20/01
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A23/01
NBB
Mogi
#16
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A04/02
NBB
Paulistano
#12
L
40-53
40
53
-13
A13/02
NBB
Franca
#2
L
32-48
32
48
-16
H16/02
NBB
Bauru
#4
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H27/02
NBB
82.2Avg total
41.6Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.237.575.7+0.760%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.637.476.0+1.365%-
Last 30 away (13)37.637.875.4-0.254%-
Last 10 (10)41.640.682.2+1.070%-
Last 5 (5)39.844.484.2-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)37.041.378.3-4.343%-
vs Similar (18)38.636.174.7+2.467%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)38.637.476.0+1.260%-
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Botafogotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Botafogo: 77.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.121.3
53.1%
50.9%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.67.1
34.5%
33.0%21.3
🏀 Free throws20.513.8
67.3%
72.7%13.8
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sao Josetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sao Jose: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.917.1
47.6%
50.9%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.910.5
35.1%
33.0%31.5
🏀 Free throws23.417.9
76.5%
72.7%17.9
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Botafogo
WLLLLLLWLW
Sao Jose
WLLLWWWWWL
#18
League position
#10
-6.0
Net rating
-1.5
101.0
Offensive rating
107.7
107.0
Defensive rating
109.3
52.6%
Effective FG%
49.9%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.8%
20.3%
Turnover %
18.5%
25.3%
Off. rebound %
32.7%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.36
34.5%
3-point %
35.1%
60.9%
Assist %
59.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence101.0 · 107.7Defence107.0 · 109.3Shooting52.6% · 49.9%3-point %34.5% · 35.1%Ball care20.3% · 18.5%Off. rebounds25.3% · 32.7%Free throws0.34 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Botafogo   ■ Sao Jose
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Botafogo wins
3
Sao Jose wins
DateGameScore
12/10/24Sao Jose v Botafogo70-81
29/02/24Botafogo v Sao Jose90-93 OT
23/11/23Sao Jose v Botafogo96-72
02/03/20Sao Jose v Botafogo81-87
18/12/19Botafogo v Sao Jose93-75
06/04/19Botafogo v Sao Jose66-61
01/04/19Sao Jose v Botafogo81-87
28/01/19Sao Jose v Botafogo79-72
27/11/18Botafogo v Sao Jose84-74
Botafogolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/02/25HPato91-76
08/02/25AUniao Corinthians77-90
06/02/25ACaxias do Sul67-78
20/01/25HCearense74-83
16/01/25HUnifacisa71-83
11/01/25ACorinthians Paulista79-84
09/01/25APinheiros63-75
27/12/24HMogi97-85
23/12/24HFranca73-86
18/12/24HBauru93-92 OT
Sao Joselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/25HBauru83-78
16/02/25HFranca68-105
13/02/25APaulistano78-93
04/02/25AMogi93-97 OT
23/01/25ASao Paulo89-80
20/01/25HMinas98-88
11/01/25HBrasilia94-79
29/12/24AVasco75-69
27/12/24AFlamengo89-82
19/12/24APato81-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Botafogo
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW28%
HomeLWLLW31%
AwayLLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %28%31%25%
Points / game73.573.973.0
Allowed / game81.081.380.7
Point differential-7.5-7.4-7.7
Avg total154.5155.2153.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%15%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %8%8%8%
Sao Jose
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW50%
HomeLWWLW57%
AwayWWWLL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261412
Win %50%57%42%
Points / game78.579.377.6
Allowed / game78.878.279.4
Point differential-0.3+1.1-1.8
Avg total157.3157.5157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%43%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)67% (3)0% (3)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas2420483%82.371.4+10.9
2 Flamengo2419579%84.573.3+11.2
3 Brasilia2718967%82.179.6+2.5
4 Franca2415962%83.078.2+4.9
5 Uniao Corinthians24141058%78.578.9-0.4
6 Bauru25141156%78.479.0-0.6
7 Vasco26141254%76.676.0+0.7
8 Paulistano25131252%78.074.9+3.1
9 Pinheiros25131252%74.874.3+0.6
10 Unifacisa26131350%75.375.2+0.2
11 Sao Jose26131350%78.578.8-0.3
12 Corinthians Paulista27131448%80.479.4+1.0
13 Sao Paulo25111444%76.478.6-2.3
14 Pato2791833%81.785.0-3.3
15 Mogi2791833%74.080.6-6.7
16 Caxias do Sul2471729%73.278.8-5.6
17 Botafogo2571828%73.581.0-7.5
18 Cearense2561924%71.278.2-7.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Botafogo1817152171
Sao Jose2714161168
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