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Sao Jose vs Botafogo Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 77-64
19-10 23-26 12-14 23-14
Position#9
Record2-2
FormLWLWL
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game73.8
vs
Position#16
Record1-3
FormWLWLL
Points / game70.5
Allowed / game83.0
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Lineu de Moura
Other2025-26
Meetings · Sao Jose v Botafogo
02 Dec 2026
SAO v BOTA
upcoming
01 Nov 2025
SAO 77
BOTA64
12 Oct 2024
SAO 70
BOTA81
23 Nov 2023
SAO 96
BOTA72
02 Mar 2020
SAO 81
BOTA87
01 Apr 2019
SAO 81
BOTA87
28 Jan 2019
SAO 79
BOTA72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sao Jose winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Botafogo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sao JoseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJose
Date
Competition
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
77-73
77
73
+4
67avg 73
A11/04
NBB
Pato
#14
L
77-89
77
89
-12
70avg 73
H18/04
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
75-85
75
85
-10
66avg 73
H23/04
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
83-89
83
89
-6
75avg 73
A26/04
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
81-78
81
78
+3
67avg 73
A28/04
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
83-88
83
88
-5
72avg 73
H02/05
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
85-62
85
62
+23
83avg 73
A18/10
NBB
Minas
#3
L
86-88 OT
86
88
-2
74avg 73
A20/10
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
61-57
61
57
+4
60avg 73
H27/10
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
72-88
72
88
-16
59avg 73
H29/10
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-19
19-20
17-15
21-19
23-25
23-17
16-30
15-17
16-17
14-25
26-18
19-25
19-25
18-24
25-23
21-17
17-17
20-17
23-21
21-23
28-29
19-25
18-20
18-14
17-18
25-10
16-15
27-19
21-20
16-16
13-17
25-22
10-20
19-13
19-11
13-13
19-20
19-24
11-19
23-25
157.7Avg total
78.0Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)76.073.8149.8+2.250%
Season at home (2)66.572.5139.0-6.050%
Season away (2)85.575.0160.5+10.550%
Last 10 (10)78.079.7157.7-1.740%
Last 5 (5)77.476.6154.0+0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)82.690.2172.8-7.640%
vs Similar (18)79.380.1159.4-0.844%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)77.669.4147.0+8.171%
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BotafogoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBotafogo
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#3
L
85-92
85
92
-7
79avg 64
H29/03
NBB
Paulistano
#12
L
64-85
64
85
-21
50avg 64
H03/04
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
86-85
86
85
+1
82avg 64
H05/04
NBB
Minas
#1
L
59-97
59
97
-38
42avg 64
A09/04
NBB
Franca
#2
L
62-80
62
80
-18
51avg 64
A12/04
NBB
Bauru
#4
W
85-84
85
84
+1
82avg 64
A19/04
NBB
Cearense
#19
L
80-84
80
84
-4
70avg 64
H20/10
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
85-76
85
76
+9
82avg 64
H23/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
72-85
72
85
-13
59avg 64
H26/10
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
45-87
45
87
-42
30avg 64
A29/10
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-20
21-21
15-22
23-29
12-16
15-28
19-20
18-21
25-19
27-25
16-22
18-19
21-22
5-21
22-31
11-23
14-29
16-13
19-15
13-23
21-12
20-28
18-20
26-24
26-22
19-14
13-27
22-21
25-22
18-26
21-10
21-18
27-15
9-23
24-24
12-23
9-24
18-19
8-28
10-16
157.8Avg total
72.3Scored
85.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)70.583.0153.5-12.525%
Season at home (3)79.081.7160.7-2.733%
Season away (1)45.087.0132.0-42.00%
Last 10 (10)72.385.5157.8-13.230%
Last 5 (5)73.483.2156.6-9.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)72.285.2157.3-13.025%
vs Similar (6)77.779.2156.8-1.533%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sao Jose) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -5.0-5.0Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -4.4-4.4Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -4.3-4.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -5.0-5.0Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -4.4-4.4Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -4.3-4.3
Sao JoseBotafogo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sao JoseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Caxias do Sul
#15
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A11/04
NBB
Pato
#14
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H18/04
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H23/04
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A26/04
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A28/04
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
47-54
47
54
-7
H02/05
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A18/10
NBB
Minas
#3
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A20/10
NBB
Vasco
#20
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H27/10
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H29/10
NBB
78.3Avg total
38.2Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.338.778.1+0.657%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.440.580.9-0.254%-
Last 30 away (17)38.537.475.9+1.259%-
Last 10 (10)38.240.178.3-1.940%-
Last 5 (5)38.639.077.6-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)39.840.880.6-1.060%-
vs Similar (18)39.739.779.4+0.161%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)38.034.972.9+3.143%-
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BotafogoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#3
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H29/03
NBB
Paulistano
#12
L
27-44
27
44
-17
H03/04
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H05/04
NBB
Minas
#1
L
26-43
26
43
-17
A09/04
NBB
Franca
#2
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A12/04
NBB
Bauru
#4
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A19/04
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H20/10
NBB
Vasco
#20
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H23/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H26/10
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
27-43
27
43
-16
A29/10
NBB
79.3Avg total
37.4Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.342.278.5-6.030%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.841.480.1-2.641%-
Last 30 away (13)33.043.476.4-10.415%-
Last 10 (10)37.441.979.3-4.540%-
Last 5 (5)38.441.079.4-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)35.243.378.5-8.221%-
vs Similar (6)40.737.878.5+2.867%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sao Jose) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sao Josetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sao Jose: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.117.6
51.6%
52.2%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.59.6
28.7%
32.5%28.8
🏀 Free throws17.713.0
73.4%
72.8%13.0
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Botafogotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Botafogo: 71.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.419.6
49.7%
52.2%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.46.5
29.0%
32.5%19.5
🏀 Free throws19.412.8
66.0%
72.8%12.8
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sao Jose
LWLWLWLLLW
Botafogo
LLWLWLLWLL
#9
League position
#16
-2.3
Net rating
-16.9
102.6
Offensive rating
94.4
104.8
Defensive rating
111.3
47.3%
Effective FG%
47.5%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
54.1%
15.7%
Turnover %
20.6%
29.7%
Off. rebound %
26.3%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.31
28.7%
3-point %
29.0%
65.4%
Assist %
62.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence102.6 · 94.4Defence104.8 · 111.3Shooting47.3% · 47.5%3-point %28.7% · 29.0%Ball care15.7% · 20.6%Off. rebounds29.7% · 26.3%Free throws0.26 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Sao Jose   ■ Botafogo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Sao Jose wins
7
Botafogo wins
DateGameScore
03/03/25Botafogo v Sao Jose71-68
12/10/24Sao Jose v Botafogo70-81
29/02/24Botafogo v Sao Jose90-93 OT
23/11/23Sao Jose v Botafogo96-72
02/03/20Sao Jose v Botafogo81-87
18/12/19Botafogo v Sao Jose93-75
06/04/19Botafogo v Sao Jose66-61
01/04/19Sao Jose v Botafogo81-87
28/01/19Sao Jose v Botafogo79-72
27/11/18Botafogo v Sao Jose84-74
Sao Joselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/25HFlamengo72-88
27/10/25HVasco61-57
20/10/25AMinas86-88 OT
18/10/25ACruzeiro85-62
02/05/25HVasco83-88
28/04/25AVasco81-78
26/04/25AVasco83-89
23/04/25HVasco75-85
18/04/25HPato77-89
11/04/25ACaxias do Sul77-73
Botafogolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/25AMogi45-87
26/10/25HUnifacisa72-85
23/10/25HVasco85-76
20/10/25HCearense80-84
19/04/25ABauru85-84
12/04/25AFranca62-80
09/04/25AMinas59-97
05/04/25HSao Paulo86-85
03/04/25HPaulistano64-85
29/03/25HFlamengo85-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sao Jose
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWL50%
HomeWL50%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game76.066.585.5
Allowed / game73.872.575.0
Point differential+2.2-6.0+10.5
Avg total149.8139.0160.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %25%0%50%
Botafogo
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLL25%
HomeLWL33%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %25%33%0%
Points / game70.579.045.0
Allowed / game83.081.787.0
Point differential-12.5-2.7-42.0
Avg total153.5160.7132.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo550100%95.075.6+19.4
2 Minas550100%82.077.8+4.2
3 Franca54180%86.470.0+16.4
4 Mogi43175%85.066.2+18.8
5 Brasilia43175%81.063.5+17.5
6 Unifacisa43175%81.075.8+5.2
7 Pinheiros43175%77.275.0+2.2
8 Caxias do Sul32167%69.770.3-0.7
9 Sao Jose42250%76.073.8+2.2
10 Corinthians Paulista42250%80.078.8+1.2
11 Bauru63350%70.372.7-2.3
12 Cearense42250%79.086.2-7.2
13 Uniao Corinthians31233%73.781.3-7.7
14 Paulistano41325%69.072.5-3.5
15 Botafogo41325%70.583.0-12.5
16 Rio Claro41325%83.897.0-13.2
17 Osasco41325%76.891.8-15.0
18 Cruzeiro51420%71.684.4-12.8
19 Pato4040%73.877.2-3.5
20 Vasco6060%68.779.7-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sao Jose1923122377
Botafogo1026141464
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