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Sao Jose vs Botafogo Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 12 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 70-81
18-32 17-21 16-17 19-11
Position#10
Record-
FormWWLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#18
Record-
FormWLWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Lineu de Moura
Other2024-25
Meetings · Sao Jose v Botafogo
02 Dec 2026
SAO v BOTA
upcoming
01 Nov 2025
SAO 77
BOTA64
12 Oct 2024
SAO 70
BOTA81
23 Nov 2023
SAO 96
BOTA72
02 Mar 2020
SAO 81
BOTA87
01 Apr 2019
SAO 81
BOTA87
28 Jan 2019
SAO 79
BOTA72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sao Jose winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Botafogo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sao JoseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJose
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#2
L
67-69
67
69
-2
58avg 72
A12/03
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
71-69
71
69
+2
68avg 72
H20/03
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
103-85
103
85
+18
106avg 72
H22/03
NBB
Minas
#3
L
56-73
56
73
-17
45avg 72
A25/03
NBB
Franca
#1
L
87-97
87
97
-10
78avg 72
A01/04
NBB
Bauru
#5
W
92-91
92
91
+1
96avg 72
A03/04
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
72-63
72
63
+9
69avg 72
H09/04
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
64-93
64
93
-29
48avg 72
H12/04
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
70-73
70
73
-3
64avg 72
H21/04
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
66-90
66
90
-24
55avg 72
A27/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-15
7-16
23-19
17-19
18-21
18-20
20-11
15-17
30-16
14-28
34-24
25-17
12-17
14-20
21-15
9-21
19-19
19-28
24-33
25-17
18-22
19-24
26-19
29-26
23-17
19-15
15-18
15-13
19-29
14-20
19-18
12-26
17-20
15-10
15-17
23-26
15-20
14-20
19-27
18-23
155.1Avg total
74.8Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)74.880.3155.1-5.540%
Last 5 (5)72.882.0154.8-9.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)69.383.2152.5-13.80%
vs Similar (15)76.779.5156.2-2.953%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)85.777.0162.7+8.767%
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BotafogoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBotafogo
Date
Competition
Mogi
#14
L
84-87 OT
84
87
-3
no box
H05/03
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
82-79
82
79
+3
68avg 66
A08/03
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
108-106 OT
108
106
+2
no box
A10/03
NBB
Franca
#1
L
74-97
74
97
-23
57avg 66
A19/03
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
95-113
95
113
-18
83avg 66
A21/03
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
83-79
83
79
+4
75avg 66
H25/03
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
72-116
72
116
-44
55avg 66
H08/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
93-69
93
69
+24
90avg 66
H10/04
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
87-92
87
92
-5
80avg 66
H20/04
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
56-78
56
78
-22
46avg 66
A27/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-22
21-18
21-22
15-12
19-23
20-11
23-20
20-25
27-23
21-24
21-18
27-31
17-24
20-33
13-16
24-24
24-28
19-24
26-33
26-28
20-21
25-21
12-15
26-22
18-27
18-32
18-23
18-34
27-20
22-19
18-13
26-17
15-27
20-29
24-23
28-13
8-23
13-24
17-15
18-16
175.0Avg total
83.4Scored
91.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)83.491.6175.0-8.240%
Last 5 (5)78.286.8165.0-8.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)79.389.6168.8-10.332%
vs Similar (4)79.583.2162.8-3.80%
vs Weaker (1)108.0106.0214.0+2.0100%
This opponent (Sao Jose) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -4.6-4.6Q2Q2: -4.8-4.8Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +0.6+0.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -4.6-4.6Q2Q2: -4.8-4.8Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +0.6+0.6
Sao JoseBotafogo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sao JoseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#2
L
27-31
27
31
-4
A12/03
NBB
Cerrado
#17
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H20/03
NBB
Brasilia
#19
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H22/03
NBB
Minas
#3
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A25/03
NBB
Franca
#1
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A01/04
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A03/04
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H09/04
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
33-49
33
49
-16
H12/04
NBB
Cearense
#8
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H21/04
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A27/04
NBB
74.1Avg total
34.4Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.439.276.5-1.837%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.238.177.2+1.146%-
Last 30 away (17)36.040.076.0-4.029%-
Last 10 (10)34.439.774.1-5.320%-
Last 5 (5)34.639.474.0-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)32.840.773.5-7.80%-
vs Similar (15)37.538.576.0-1.147%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)40.239.279.4+1.044%-
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BotafogoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mogi
#14
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H05/03
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A08/03
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A10/03
NBB
Franca
#1
L
37-57
37
57
-20
A19/03
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A21/03
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H25/03
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
36-59
36
59
-23
H08/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H10/04
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
35-56
35
56
-21
H20/04
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
21-47
21
47
-26
A27/04
NBB
86.4Avg total
39.1Scored
47.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.745.384.0-6.637%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.845.386.1-4.536%-
Last 30 away (16)36.945.282.1-8.438%-
Last 10 (10)39.147.386.4-8.240%-
Last 5 (5)37.248.685.8-11.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)38.246.184.3-8.032%-
vs Similar (4)39.839.579.2+0.250%-
vs Weaker (1)48.047.095.0+1.0100%-
This opponent (Sao Jose) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sao Josetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sao Jose: 73.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.6 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.118.5
51.2%
50.9%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.39.4
33.2%
33.0%28.2
🏀 Free throws15.88.6
54.4%
72.7%8.6
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Botafogotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Botafogo: 77.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.416.9
47.7%
50.9%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.410.0
32.9%
33.0%30.0
🏀 Free throws18.513.3
71.9%
72.7%13.3
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sao Jose
LLLWWLLWWL
Botafogo
LLWLWLLWWL
#10
League position
#18
-8.2
Net rating
-16.1
101.3
Offensive rating
100.2
109.5
Defensive rating
116.3
50.6%
Effective FG%
48.5%
58.8%
Opp. effective FG%
58.9%
18.0%
Turnover %
17.7%
29.4%
Off. rebound %
25.8%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.28
33.2%
3-point %
32.9%
69.2%
Assist %
61.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence101.3 · 100.2Defence109.5 · 116.3Shooting50.6% · 48.5%3-point %33.2% · 32.9%Ball care18.0% · 17.7%Off. rebounds29.4% · 25.8%Free throws0.25 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Sao Jose   ■ Botafogo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Sao Jose wins
5
Botafogo wins
DateGameScore
29/02/24Botafogo v Sao Jose90-93 OT
23/11/23Sao Jose v Botafogo96-72
02/03/20Sao Jose v Botafogo81-87
18/12/19Botafogo v Sao Jose93-75
06/04/19Botafogo v Sao Jose66-61
01/04/19Sao Jose v Botafogo81-87
28/01/19Sao Jose v Botafogo79-72
27/11/18Botafogo v Sao Jose84-74
Sao Joselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/24ACearense66-90
21/04/24HCearense70-73
12/04/24HPaulistano64-93
09/04/24HSao Paulo72-63
03/04/24ABauru92-91
01/04/24AFranca87-97
25/03/24AMinas56-73
22/03/24HBrasilia103-85
20/03/24HCerrado71-69
12/03/24AFlamengo67-69
Botafogolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/24AFlamengo56-78
20/04/24HFlamengo87-92
10/04/24HPinheiros93-69
08/04/24HCorinthians Paulista72-116
25/03/24HSao Paulo83-79
21/03/24ABauru95-113
19/03/24AFranca74-97
10/03/24ABrasilia108-106 OT
08/03/24ACerrado82-79
05/03/24HMogi84-87 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sao Jose
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Botafogo
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo110100%59.050.0+9.0
2 Minas110100%74.066.0+8.0
3 Mogi110100%72.067.0+5.0
4 Paulistano1010%67.072.0-5.0
5 Brasilia1010%66.074.0-8.0
6 Vasco1010%50.059.0-9.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sao Jose1817161970
Botafogo3221171181
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