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Sao Jose vs Brasilia Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 27 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Scheduled
Position#12
Record3-4
FormLWWLW
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game81.7
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.3/10
Around normal
5.0/10
Around normal
Position#8
Record4-4
FormLLLWL
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game79.8
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Lineu de Moura
Other2026-27
Meetings · Sao Jose v Brasilia
27 Dec 2026
SAO v BRAS
upcoming
10 Dec 2025
SAO 87
BRAS73
11 Jan 2025
SAO 94
BRAS79
22 Mar 2024
SAO 103
BRAS85
03 Dec 2022
SAO 89
BRAS94
30 Nov 2019
SAO 92
BRAS94
13 Dec 2018
SAO 87
BRAS75
18 Feb 2016
SAO 81
BRAS87
10 Feb 2015
SAO 67
BRAS78
02 May 2014
SAO 72
BRAS70
11 Jan 2014
SAO 77
BRAS87
06 May 2013
SAO 84
BRAS70
29 Apr 2013
SAO 90
BRAS76
30 Mar 2013
SAO 84
BRAS79
02 Jun 2012
SAO 62
BRAS78
13 Dec 2011
SAO 87
BRAS78
29 Oct 2010
SAO 63
BRAS78
25 Feb 2009
SAO 84
BRAS91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sao Jose win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Brasilia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sao JoseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJose
Date
Competition
Mogi
#8
L
70-75
70
75
-5
56avg 69
H22/04
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
75-79
75
79
-4
59avg 69
A25/04
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
70-81
70
81
-11
60avg 69
A27/04
NBB
Franca
#6
L
59-90
59
90
-31
42avg 69
A19/10
NBB
Bauru
#11
L
68-83
68
83
-15
54avg 69
A21/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#5
L
83-97
83
97
-14
72avg 69
H28/10
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
96-53
96
53
+43
no box
H02/11
NBB
Osasco
#16
W
90-81
90
81
+9
no box
A05/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#3
L
87-103
87
103
-16
no box
A07/11
NBB
Paulistano
#13
W
79-65
79
65
+14
no box
H13/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-16
14-21
16-20
15-18
17-16
21-25
18-15
19-23
18-25
17-17
22-19
13-20
15-17
17-25
12-23
15-25
22-23
20-11
17-25
9-24
16-26
27-23
17-23
23-25
27-11
31-12
24-15
14-15
31-16
19-17
28-13
12-35
21-22
19-28
16-30
31-23
26-22
16-20
17-7
20-16
158.4Avg total
77.7Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)80.381.7162.0-1.443%
Season at home (3)86.071.7157.7+14.367%
Season away (4)76.089.2165.2-13.225%
Last 10 (10)77.780.7158.4-3.030%
Last 5 (5)87.079.8166.8+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)79.490.2169.6-10.912%
vs Similar ◀ (11)76.380.4156.6-4.136%
vs Weaker (11)88.778.8167.5+9.982%
This opponent (Brasilia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrasiliaBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrasilia
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
W
71-69
71
69
+2
60avg 70
A26/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
66-68
66
68
-2
53avg 70
A28/05
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#10
W
104-92
104
92
+12
109avg 70
H22/10
NBB
Paulistano
#13
W
91-73
91
73
+18
85avg 70
H24/10
NBB
Cruzeiro
#9
W
89-80
89
80
+9
23avg 70
A27/10
NBB
Minas
#1
L
61-100
61
100
-39
20avg 70
A29/10
NBB
Botafogo
#14
L
76-77
76
77
-1
no box
H02/11
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
87-91
87
91
-4
no box
H04/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
76-55
76
55
+21
no box
A07/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#7
L
61-70
61
70
-9
no box
A09/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-10
15-20
17-14
22-25
15-21
11-21
21-16
19-10
29-28
17-17
31-27
27-20
29-22
25-16
18-16
19-19
16-21
16-28
30-11
27-20
12-26
21-17
19-24
9-33
22-16
14-20
17-23
23-18
25-33
21-26
27-14
14-18
22-12
26-11
23-19
5-13
19-21
14-19
13-17
15-13
155.7Avg total
78.2Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)80.679.8160.4+0.950%
Season at home (4)89.583.2172.8+6.250%
Season away (4)71.876.2148.0-4.550%
Last 10 (10)78.277.5155.7+0.750%
Last 5 (5)72.278.6150.8-6.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)71.478.5149.9-7.125%
vs Similar ◀ (11)83.080.9163.9+2.173%
vs Weaker (11)76.267.3143.5+8.973%
This opponent (Sao Jose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: -5.3-5.3Q4: -0.9-0.9
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: -5.3-5.3Q4: -0.9-0.9
Sao JoseBrasilia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sao JoseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mogi
#8
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H22/04
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A25/04
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A27/04
NBB
Franca
#6
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A19/10
NBB
Bauru
#11
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A21/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#5
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H28/10
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
58-23
58
23
+35
H02/11
NBB
Osasco
#16
W
50-33
50
33
+17
A05/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#3
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A07/11
NBB
Paulistano
#13
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H13/11
NBB
81.2Avg total
41.9Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.141.283.3+0.950%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.043.188.1+1.957%-
Last 30 away (16)39.539.579.0+0.044%-
Last 10 (10)41.939.381.2+2.640%-
Last 5 (5)46.639.486.0+7.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)40.946.287.1-5.438%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)39.641.180.7-1.545%-
vs Weaker (11)45.437.683.0+7.764%-
This opponent (Brasilia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrasiliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A26/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A28/05
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#10
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H22/10
NBB
Paulistano
#13
W
54-38
54
38
+16
H24/10
NBB
Cruzeiro
#9
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A27/10
NBB
Minas
#1
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A29/10
NBB
Botafogo
#14
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H02/11
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
46-59
46
59
-13
H04/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
48-23
48
23
+25
A07/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#7
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A09/11
NBB
79.1Avg total
38.6Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.138.376.4-0.247%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.639.079.6+1.653%-
Last 30 away (13)34.837.572.3-2.638%-
Last 10 (10)38.640.579.1-1.940%-
Last 5 (5)39.240.279.4-1.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)34.839.974.6-5.138%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)39.342.181.4-2.836%-
vs Weaker (11)39.433.572.8+5.964%-
This opponent (Sao Jose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sao Josetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sao Jose: 72.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.9 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.316.8
42.7%
49.8%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.98.4
30.1%
31.6%25.2
🏀 Free throws20.714.1
68.1%
71.3%14.1
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brasiliatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brasilia: 67.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.9 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.215.7
50.3%
49.8%31.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.08.9
33.0%
31.6%26.7
🏀 Free throws13.39.8
73.7%
71.3%9.8
They take 58.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sao Jose
WLWWLLLLLL
Brasilia
LWLLLWWWLW
#12
League position
#8
-9.8
Net rating
-4.5
82.2
Offensive rating
87.1
92.1
Defensive rating
91.6
43.8%
Effective FG%
49.9%
51.4%
Opp. effective FG%
49.2%
15.0%
Turnover %
15.8%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.23
30.1%
3-point %
33.0%
63.9%
Assist %
63.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence82.2 · 87.1Defence92.1 · 91.6Shooting43.8% · 49.9%3-point %30.1% · 33.0%Ball care15.0% · 15.8%Free throws0.31 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Sao Jose   ■ Brasilia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Sao Jose wins
4
Brasilia wins
DateGameScore
07/04/26Brasilia v Sao Jose90-78
10/12/25Sao Jose v Brasilia87-73
11/01/25Sao Jose v Brasilia94-79
23/10/24Brasilia v Sao Jose81-76
22/03/24Sao Jose v Brasilia103-85
04/12/23Brasilia v Sao Jose66-92
04/03/23Brasilia v Sao Jose94-100
03/12/22Sao Jose v Brasilia89-94
09/03/20Brasilia v Sao Jose77-92
30/11/19Sao Jose v Brasilia92-94
Sao Joselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HPaulistano79-65
07/11/26APinheiros87-103
05/11/26AOsasco90-81
02/11/26HCearense96-53
28/10/26HUnifacisa83-97
21/10/26ABauru68-83
19/10/26AFranca59-90
27/04/26AMogi70-81
25/04/26AMogi75-79
22/04/26HMogi70-75
Brasilialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/26AUniao Corinthians61-70
07/11/26ACaxias do Sul76-55
04/11/26HFlamengo87-91
02/11/26HBotafogo76-77
29/10/26AMinas61-100
27/10/26ACruzeiro89-80
24/10/26HPaulistano91-73
22/10/26HCorinthians Paulista104-92
28/05/26AFranca66-68
26/05/26AFranca71-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sao Jose
NBB 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW43%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%67%25%
Points / game80.386.076.0
Allowed / game81.771.789.2
Point differential-1.4+14.3-13.2
Avg total162.0157.7165.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Brasilia
NBB 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL50%
HomeWWLL50%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game80.689.571.8
Allowed / game79.883.276.2
Point differential+0.9+6.2-4.5
Avg total160.4172.8148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas880100%85.165.4+19.8
2 Mogi76186%83.173.9+9.3
3 Pinheiros86275%85.273.1+12.1
4 Flamengo75271%80.973.4+7.4
5 Unifacisa75271%79.475.1+4.3
6 Franca85362%78.971.6+7.2
7 Uniao Corinthians74357%72.374.7-2.4
8 Brasilia84450%80.679.8+0.9
9 Cruzeiro63350%76.278.8-2.7
10 Corinthians Paulista73443%80.079.0+1.0
11 Bauru73443%76.777.7-1.0
12 Sao Jose73443%80.381.7-1.4
13 Paulistano73443%69.673.9-4.3
14 Botafogo62433%76.783.0-6.3
15 Pato82625%72.681.5-8.9
16 Osasco61517%77.886.8-9.0
17 Cearense71614%65.683.7-18.1
18 Caxias do Sul7070%64.779.6-14.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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