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Sao Jose vs Brasilia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 94-79
28-23 18-18 20-21 28-17
Position#10
Record9-10
FormWLLWW
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game75.2
vs
Position#6
Record13-6
FormWLLWW
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game80.9
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Lineu de Moura
Other2024-25
Meetings · Sao Jose v Brasilia
27 Dec 2026
SAO v BRAS
upcoming
10 Dec 2025
SAO 87
BRAS73
11 Jan 2025
SAO 94
BRAS79
22 Mar 2024
SAO 103
BRAS85
03 Dec 2022
SAO 89
BRAS94
30 Nov 2019
SAO 92
BRAS94
13 Dec 2018
SAO 87
BRAS75
18 Feb 2016
SAO 81
BRAS87
10 Feb 2015
SAO 67
BRAS78
02 May 2014
SAO 72
BRAS70
11 Jan 2014
SAO 77
BRAS87
06 May 2013
SAO 84
BRAS70
29 Apr 2013
SAO 90
BRAS76
30 Mar 2013
SAO 84
BRAS79
02 Jun 2012
SAO 62
BRAS78
13 Dec 2011
SAO 87
BRAS78
29 Oct 2010
SAO 63
BRAS78
25 Feb 2009
SAO 84
BRAS91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sao Jose winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brasilia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sao JoseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJose
Date
Competition
Mogi
#16
W
89-79
89
79
+10
95avg 71
H15/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
88-66
88
66
+22
92avg 71
H27/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
98-82
98
82
+16
96avg 71
H29/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
83-78
83
78
+5
77avg 71
H02/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
58-70
58
70
-12
49avg 71
A06/12
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
75-55
75
55
+20
73avg 71
A09/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
76-77
76
77
-1
82avg 71
H17/12
NBB
Pato
#14
L
81-85
81
85
-4
72avg 71
A19/12
NBB
Flamengo
#3
W
89-82
89
82
+7
88avg 71
A27/12
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
75-69
75
69
+6
71avg 71
A29/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-12
19-23
28-16
23-28
21-12
20-18
27-16
20-20
18-17
29-19
18-23
33-23
28-26
20-13
25-25
10-14
14-18
12-14
15-24
17-14
16-14
21-11
22-18
16-12
21-13
27-23
21-23
7-18
18-22
23-16
19-22
21-25
20-21
24-14
8-25
37-22
20-19
18-10
15-15
22-25
155.5Avg total
81.2Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)75.775.2150.8+0.547%
Season at home (10)76.774.5151.2+2.250%
Season away (9)74.675.9150.4-1.344%
Last 10 (10)81.274.3155.5+6.970%
Last 5 (5)79.273.6152.8+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)72.081.6153.6-9.625%
vs Similar ◀ (16)74.175.8149.8-1.744%
vs Weaker (6)81.574.2155.7+7.367%
This opponent (Brasilia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrasiliaBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrasilia
Date
Competition
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
76-71
76
71
+5
72avg 69
A14/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
78-76
78
76
+2
68avg 69
A16/11
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
89-67
89
67
+22
86avg 69
A05/12
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
84-90
84
90
-6
74avg 69
A07/12
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
88-79
88
79
+9
86avg 69
A12/12
NBB
Pato
#14
W
98-94
98
94
+4
91avg 69
H16/12
NBB
Paulistano
#12
L
87-102
87
102
-15
63avg 69
H18/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
L
83-85
83
85
-2
74avg 69
H21/12
NBB
Franca
#2
W
91-86
91
86
+5
84avg 69
H27/12
NBB
Bauru
#4
W
77-67
77
67
+10
74avg 69
H29/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-21
21-21
12-13
28-16
15-16
17-17
22-23
24-20
33-18
27-12
11-20
18-17
26-23
13-18
17-26
28-23
19-16
21-21
28-23
20-19
21-22
19-24
27-26
31-22
21-32
27-22
22-24
17-24
23-30
25-27
21-13
14-15
20-20
26-21
17-26
28-19
26-18
18-18
18-20
15-11
166.8Avg total
85.1Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)83.880.9164.7+2.968%
Season at home (9)83.781.6165.2+2.178%
Season away (10)84.080.3164.3+3.760%
Last 10 (10)85.181.7166.8+3.470%
Last 5 (5)87.286.8174.0+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)79.692.9172.5-13.313%
vs Similar ◀ (11)86.783.5170.2+3.373%
vs Weaker (4)81.072.5153.5+8.5100%
This opponent (Sao Jose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +5.2+5.2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +3.7+3.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +5.2+5.2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +3.7+3.7
Sao JoseBrasilia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sao JoseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mogi
#16
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H15/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H27/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H29/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H02/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
26-32
26
32
-6
A06/12
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
37-25
37
25
+12
A09/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H17/12
NBB
Pato
#14
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A19/12
NBB
Flamengo
#3
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A27/12
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A29/12
NBB
74.3Avg total
40.8Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.437.073.4-0.647%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.936.974.8+0.953%-
Last 30 away (15)35.037.172.1-2.140%-
Last 10 (10)40.833.574.3+7.390%-
Last 5 (5)41.632.674.2+9.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)33.839.473.1-5.625%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)37.235.472.6+1.956%-
vs Weaker (6)37.838.276.0-0.350%-
This opponent (Brasilia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrasiliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A14/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A16/11
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
60-30
60
30
+30
A05/12
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A07/12
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A12/12
NBB
Pato
#14
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H16/12
NBB
Paulistano
#12
L
48-54
48
54
-6
H18/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
L
48-57
48
57
-9
H21/12
NBB
Franca
#2
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H27/12
NBB
Bauru
#4
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H29/12
NBB
85.0Avg total
43.3Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.143.985.0-2.827%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.145.688.7-2.631%-
Last 30 away (14)38.942.080.9-3.121%-
Last 10 (10)43.341.785.0+1.640%-
Last 5 (5)45.246.892.0-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)38.246.985.1-8.77%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)43.242.285.4+1.045%-
vs Weaker (4)46.237.583.8+8.850%-
This opponent (Sao Jose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sao Josetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sao Jose: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.918.4
52.7%
50.9%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.78.2
31.9%
33.0%24.6
🏀 Free throws24.418.8
77.0%
72.7%18.8
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brasiliatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brasilia: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.016.4
52.9%
50.9%32.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.612.0
38.0%
33.0%36.0
🏀 Free throws19.715.3
77.7%
72.7%15.3
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sao Jose
WWLLWLWWWW
Brasilia
WWLLWWLWWW
#10
League position
#6
+9.2
Net rating
+4.6
106.7
Offensive rating
114.0
97.6
Defensive rating
109.4
50.7%
Effective FG%
55.0%
46.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
19.4%
Turnover %
13.7%
30.2%
Off. rebound %
21.1%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.31
31.9%
3-point %
38.0%
72.6%
Assist %
59.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence106.7 · 114.0Defence97.6 · 109.4Shooting50.7% · 55.0%3-point %31.9% · 38.0%Ball care19.4% · 13.7%Off. rebounds30.2% · 21.1%Free throws0.40 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Sao Jose   ■ Brasilia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Sao Jose wins
5
Brasilia wins
DateGameScore
23/10/24Brasilia v Sao Jose81-76
22/03/24Sao Jose v Brasilia103-85
04/12/23Brasilia v Sao Jose66-92
04/03/23Brasilia v Sao Jose94-100
03/12/22Sao Jose v Brasilia89-94
09/03/20Brasilia v Sao Jose77-92
30/11/19Sao Jose v Brasilia92-94
15/02/19Brasilia v Sao Jose81-73
13/12/18Sao Jose v Brasilia87-75
18/02/16Sao Jose v Brasilia81-87
Sao Joselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/24AVasco75-69
27/12/24AFlamengo89-82
19/12/24APato81-85
17/12/24HPinheiros76-77
09/12/24ACearense75-55
06/12/24AUnifacisa58-70
02/12/24HCorinthians Paulista83-78
29/11/24HUniao Corinthians98-82
27/11/24HCaxias do Sul88-66
15/11/24HMogi89-79
Brasilialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/24HBauru77-67
27/12/24HFranca91-86
21/12/24HSao Paulo83-85
18/12/24HPaulistano87-102
16/12/24HPato98-94
12/12/24AVasco88-79
07/12/24AFlamengo84-90
05/12/24ABotafogo89-67
16/11/24AUniao Corinthians78-76
14/11/24ACaxias do Sul76-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sao Jose
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW47%
HomeWWWWL50%
AwayLWLWW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %47%50%44%
Points / game75.776.774.6
Allowed / game75.274.575.9
Point differential+0.5+2.2-1.3
Avg total150.8151.2150.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%40%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Brasilia
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW68%
HomeWLLWW78%
AwayWWWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %68%78%60%
Points / game83.883.784.0
Allowed / game80.981.680.3
Point differential+2.9+2.1+3.7
Avg total164.7165.2164.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%11%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won70% (10)83% (6)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas1917289%83.370.0+13.3
2 Flamengo1915479%83.972.0+11.9
3 Brasilia1913668%83.880.9+2.9
4 Franca1911858%81.178.3+2.8
5 Pinheiros1911858%76.374.7+1.6
6 Uniao Corinthians1911858%78.378.6-0.3
7 Bauru2011955%78.079.5-1.4
8 Vasco1910953%74.573.7+0.8
9 Sao Paulo1910953%78.478.2+0.2
10 Unifacisa20101050%75.475.7-0.2
11 Paulistano1991047%77.775.0+2.7
12 Sao Jose1991047%75.775.2+0.5
13 Corinthians Paulista1981142%80.780.9-0.3
14 Pato2071335%81.885.0-3.2
15 Botafogo1961332%72.580.6-8.1
16 Mogi2061430%71.979.5-7.6
17 Caxias do Sul1951426%72.279.1-6.9
18 Cearense1941521%69.277.4-8.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sao Jose2818202894
Brasilia2318211779
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