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Brasilia vs Sao Jose Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 23 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 81-76
25-22 16-17 13-20 27-17
Position#6
Record0-3
FormLWLLL
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game82.0
vs
Position#10
Record0-4
FormLLLLL
Points / game64.0
Allowed / game77.8
BrazilNBB· Arena BRB Nilson Nelson
Other2024-25
Meetings · Brasilia v Sao Jose
07 Apr 2026
BRAS90
SAO 78
23 Oct 2024
BRAS81
SAO 76
04 Dec 2023
BRAS66
SAO 92
04 Mar 2023
BRAS94
SAO 100
09 Mar 2020
BRAS77
SAO 92
15 Feb 2019
BRAS81
SAO 73
24 Jan 2016
BRAS83
SAO 73
25 Nov 2014
BRAS79
SAO 78
28 Apr 2014
BRAS82
SAO 95
26 Apr 2014
BRAS82
SAO 87
20 Mar 2014
BRAS90
SAO 91
09 May 2013
BRAS81
SAO 98
03 May 2013
BRAS91
SAO 76
01 May 2013
BRAS100
SAO 79
26 Jan 2013
BRAS90
SAO 57
26 Jan 2012
BRAS82
SAO 83
04 Feb 2011
BRAS75
SAO 68
15 Apr 2009
BRAS94
SAO 72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brasilia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sao Jose winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BrasiliaBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrasilia
Date
Competition
Sao Jose
#10
L
85-103
85
103
-18
82avg 58
A22/03
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
84-103
84
103
-19
66avg 58
H28/03
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
50-95
50
95
-45
29avg 58
A31/03
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
L
84-93
84
93
-9
74avg 58
A02/04
NBB
Franca
#1
L
100-105
100
105
-5
95avg 58
H06/04
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
83-102
83
102
-19
68avg 58
H08/04
NBB
Cearense
#8
W
69-68
69
68
+1
56avg 58
H11/04
NBB
Minas
#1
L
66-74
66
74
-8
40avg 58
A12/10
NBB
Bauru
#4
L
91-93
91
93
-2
80avg 58
A15/10
NBB
Franca
#2
L
74-79
74
79
-5
63avg 58
A17/10
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-30
28-14
24-34
17-25
19-29
27-20
10-32
28-22
11-27
13-21
8-23
18-24
29-23
11-27
22-20
22-23
20-26
26-36
27-20
27-23
27-24
13-22
18-29
25-27
14-27
16-23
14-11
25-7
15-16
18-18
13-17
20-23
19-28
20-22
24-20
28-23
17-25
14-17
20-23
23-14
170.1Avg total
78.6Scored
91.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)77.082.0159.0-5.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (3)77.082.0159.0-5.00%
Last 10 (10)78.691.5170.1-12.910%
Last 5 (5)76.683.2159.8-6.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (29)74.189.8163.9-15.610%
vs Similar ◀ (1)91.093.0184.0-2.00%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sao Jose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sao JoseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJose
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
L
87-97
87
97
-10
78avg 71
A01/04
NBB
Bauru
#5
W
92-91
92
91
+1
96avg 71
A03/04
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
72-63
72
63
+9
69avg 71
H09/04
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
64-93
64
93
-29
48avg 71
H12/04
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
70-73
70
73
-3
64avg 71
H21/04
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
66-90
66
90
-24
55avg 71
A27/04
NBB
Botafogo
#18
L
70-81
70
81
-11
58avg 71
H12/10
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
59-68
59
68
-9
57avg 71
H15/10
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
63-71
63
71
-8
52avg 71
H17/10
NBB
Minas
#1
L
64-91
64
91
-27
54avg 71
A21/10
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
19-28
24-33
25-17
18-22
19-24
26-19
29-26
23-17
19-15
15-18
15-13
19-29
14-20
19-18
12-26
17-20
15-10
15-17
23-26
15-20
14-20
19-27
18-23
18-32
17-21
16-17
19-11
13-19
18-14
15-13
13-22
20-18
8-18
14-26
21-9
22-16
14-28
17-25
11-22
152.5Avg total
70.7Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)64.077.8141.8-13.80%
Season at home (3)64.073.3137.3-9.30%
Season away (1)64.091.0155.0-27.00%
Last 10 (10)70.781.8152.5-11.120%
Last 5 (5)64.480.2144.6-15.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)67.982.6150.5-14.80%
vs Similar ◀ (14)74.979.7154.6-4.943%
vs Weaker (8)84.879.4164.1+5.462%
This opponent (Brasilia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.8-6.8Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: -4.9-4.9Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -0.9-0.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.8-6.8Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: -4.9-4.9Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -0.9-0.9
BrasiliaSao Jose
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BrasiliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sao Jose
#10
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A22/03
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H28/03
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
24-48
24
48
-24
A31/03
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A02/04
NBB
Franca
#1
L
46-62
46
62
-16
H06/04
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H08/04
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
30-50
30
50
-20
H11/04
NBB
Minas
#1
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A12/10
NBB
Bauru
#4
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A15/10
NBB
Franca
#2
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A17/10
NBB
84.8Avg total
37.3Scored
47.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.845.682.5-8.810%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.045.684.6-6.614%-
Last 30 away (16)34.945.780.6-10.86%-
Last 10 (10)37.347.584.8-10.20%-
Last 5 (5)34.644.479.0-9.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (29)36.845.582.2-8.710%-
vs Similar ◀ (1)39.050.089.0-11.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sao Jose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sao JoseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A01/04
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A03/04
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H09/04
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
33-49
33
49
-16
H12/04
NBB
Cearense
#8
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H21/04
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A27/04
NBB
Botafogo
#18
L
35-53
35
53
-18
H12/10
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H15/10
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
28-36
28
36
-8
H17/10
NBB
Minas
#1
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A21/10
NBB
75.1Avg total
34.1Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.940.177.1-3.227%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.539.076.5-1.533%-
Last 30 away (15)36.441.377.7-4.920%-
Last 10 (10)34.141.075.1-6.920%-
Last 5 (5)31.841.273.0-9.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)32.640.573.1-7.90%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)37.239.476.6-2.136%-
vs Weaker (8)40.841.181.9-0.438%-
This opponent (Brasilia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Brasiliatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brasilia: 77.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.014.7
47.4%
50.9%29.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.011.6
35.2%
33.0%34.8
🏀 Free throws18.113.6
75.1%
72.7%13.6
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sao Josetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sao Jose: 69.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.717.4
48.7%
50.9%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.67.5
29.3%
33.0%22.5
🏀 Free throws20.012.6
63.0%
72.7%12.6
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brasilia
LLLWLLLLLL
Sao Jose
LLLLLLLWWL
#6
League position
#10
-17.1
Net rating
-15.0
102.9
Offensive rating
95.4
120.0
Defensive rating
110.4
50.2%
Effective FG%
46.7%
60.9%
Opp. effective FG%
56.5%
15.7%
Turnover %
17.6%
21.2%
Off. rebound %
25.1%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.33
35.2%
3-point %
29.3%
58.9%
Assist %
68.7%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence102.9 · 95.4Defence120.0 · 110.4Shooting50.2% · 46.7%3-point %35.2% · 29.3%Ball care15.7% · 17.6%Off. rebounds21.2% · 25.1%Free throws0.28 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)10% · 20%
■ Brasilia   ■ Sao Jose
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Brasilia wins
5
Sao Jose wins
DateGameScore
22/03/24Sao Jose v Brasilia103-85
04/12/23Brasilia v Sao Jose66-92
04/03/23Brasilia v Sao Jose94-100
03/12/22Sao Jose v Brasilia89-94
09/03/20Brasilia v Sao Jose77-92
30/11/19Sao Jose v Brasilia92-94
15/02/19Brasilia v Sao Jose81-73
13/12/18Sao Jose v Brasilia87-75
18/02/16Sao Jose v Brasilia81-87
24/01/16Brasilia v Sao Jose83-73
Brasilialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/10/24AFranca74-79
15/10/24ABauru91-93
12/10/24AMinas66-74
11/04/24HCearense69-68
08/04/24HUnifacisa83-102
06/04/24HFranca100-105
02/04/24ASao Paulo84-93
31/03/24APaulistano50-95
28/03/24HBauru84-103
22/03/24ASao Jose85-103
Sao Joselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/10/24AMinas64-91
17/10/24HFlamengo63-71
15/10/24HVasco59-68
12/10/24HBotafogo70-81
27/04/24ACearense66-90
21/04/24HCearense70-73
12/04/24HPaulistano64-93
09/04/24HSao Paulo72-63
03/04/24ABauru92-91
01/04/24AFranca87-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brasilia
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
Home--
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games3-3
Win %0%-0%
Points / game77.0-77.0
Allowed / game82.0-82.0
Point differential-5.0--5.0
Avg total159.0-159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%-0%
Sao Jose
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLL0%
HomeLLL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game64.064.064.0
Allowed / game77.873.391.0
Point differential-13.8-9.3-27.0
Avg total141.8137.3155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo330100%81.359.7+21.7
2 Sao Paulo330100%84.075.7+8.3
3 Minas43175%80.873.2+7.5
4 Botafogo32167%70.371.0-0.7
5 Franca32167%75.777.3-1.7
6 Pinheiros32167%65.069.7-4.7
7 Paulistano21150%73.567.0+6.5
8 Pato42250%81.575.5+6.0
9 Caxias do Sul21150%74.569.5+5.0
10 Bauru21150%87.086.5+0.5
11 Uniao Corinthians21150%75.076.5-1.5
12 Unifacisa21150%73.076.0-3.0
13 Mogi42250%68.579.5-11.0
14 Corinthians Paulista31233%79.776.3+3.3
15 Cearense31233%68.778.7-10.0
16 Vasco41325%61.262.2-1.0
17 Brasilia3030%77.082.0-5.0
18 Sao Jose4040%64.077.8-13.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brasilia2516132781
Sao Jose2217201776
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