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Brasilia vs Sao Jose Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 04 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 66-92
21-17 11-24 18-30 16-21
Position#19
Record3-7
FormLLLLW
Points / game71.8
Allowed / game83.1
vs
Position#10
Record7-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game73.3
BrazilNBB· Arena BRB Nilson Nelson (Brasília)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Brasilia v Sao Jose
07 Apr 2026
BRAS90
SAO 78
23 Oct 2024
BRAS81
SAO 76
04 Dec 2023
BRAS66
SAO 92
04 Mar 2023
BRAS94
SAO 100
09 Mar 2020
BRAS77
SAO 92
15 Feb 2019
BRAS81
SAO 73
24 Jan 2016
BRAS83
SAO 73
25 Nov 2014
BRAS79
SAO 78
28 Apr 2014
BRAS82
SAO 95
26 Apr 2014
BRAS82
SAO 87
20 Mar 2014
BRAS90
SAO 91
09 May 2013
BRAS81
SAO 98
03 May 2013
BRAS91
SAO 76
01 May 2013
BRAS100
SAO 79
26 Jan 2013
BRAS90
SAO 57
26 Jan 2012
BRAS82
SAO 83
04 Feb 2011
BRAS75
SAO 68
15 Apr 2009
BRAS94
SAO 72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brasilia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sao Jose winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BrasiliaBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrasilia
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
72-84
72
84
-12
59avg 58
H21/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
94-76
94
76
+18
91avg 58
H23/10
NBB
Pato
#12
W
80-78
80
78
+2
70avg 58
A03/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
L
82-92
82
92
-10
68avg 58
H09/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
L
69-77
69
77
-8
60avg 58
H11/11
NBB
Botafogo
#15
L
78-89
78
89
-11
no box
A14/11
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
55-92
55
92
-37
40avg 58
A16/11
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
54-79
54
79
-25
34avg 58
A19/11
NBB
Cerrado
#17
L
53-84
53
84
-31
32avg 58
A24/11
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
81-80
81
80
+1
72avg 58
H30/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-24
14-21
15-21
17-18
25-25
24-17
24-11
21-23
20-15
22-25
12-17
26-21
9-21
23-27
18-25
32-19
17-15
17-22
16-20
19-20
15-21
23-32
24-15
16-21
17-25
11-23
15-26
12-18
14-12
12-19
12-28
16-20
13-21
15-20
16-24
9-19
24-19
20-20
14-18
23-23
154.9Avg total
71.8Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)71.883.1154.9-11.330%
Season at home (5)79.681.8161.4-2.240%
Season away (5)64.084.4148.4-20.420%
Last 10 (10)71.883.1154.9-11.330%
Last 5 (5)64.284.8149.0-20.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)76.290.8167.0-14.612%
vs Similar (6)78.380.2158.5-1.850%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sao Jose) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sao JoseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJose
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#6
L
62-68
62
68
-6
51avg 77
H25/10
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
78-82
78
82
-4
66avg 77
H27/10
NBB
Pato
#12
W
100-69
100
69
+31
99avg 77
H06/11
NBB
Minas
#3
L
67-77
67
77
-10
59avg 77
H08/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
78-74
78
74
+4
76avg 77
A15/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
90-82
90
82
+8
86avg 77
A17/11
NBB
Flamengo
#2
W
82-64
82
64
+18
84avg 77
H21/11
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
96-72
96
72
+24
93avg 77
H23/11
NBB
Vasco
#4
W
83-71
83
71
+12
83avg 77
H27/11
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
78-74
78
74
+4
71avg 77
A02/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-11
5-22
20-17
23-18
20-19
12-23
20-17
26-23
22-14
25-15
28-16
25-24
14-19
28-18
9-25
16-15
20-22
15-12
22-17
21-23
24-23
27-17
9-17
30-25
27-13
17-20
22-14
16-17
20-20
31-12
25-16
20-24
20-15
21-17
24-19
18-20
12-14
19-14
21-28
26-18
154.7Avg total
81.4Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)81.473.3154.7+8.170%
Season at home (7)81.171.9153.0+9.357%
Season away (3)82.076.7158.7+5.3100%
Last 10 (10)81.473.3154.7+8.170%
Last 5 (5)85.872.6158.4+13.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)77.984.9162.8-7.033%
vs Similar (9)80.175.9156.0+4.256%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)92.974.3167.2+18.6100%
This opponent (Brasilia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +1.4+1.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +1.4+1.4
BrasiliaSao Jose
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BrasiliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H21/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H23/10
NBB
Pato
#12
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A03/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
L
32-48
32
48
-16
H09/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H11/11
NBB
Botafogo
#15
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A14/11
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A16/11
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
26-31
26
31
-5
A19/11
NBB
Cerrado
#17
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A24/11
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H30/11
NBB
78.5Avg total
36.1Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.545.382.7-7.823%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.843.384.1-2.538%-
Last 30 away (14)33.647.581.1-13.97%-
Last 10 (10)36.142.478.5-6.330%-
Last 5 (5)32.842.475.2-9.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)36.946.883.7-9.917%-
vs Similar (6)39.739.278.8+0.550%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sao Jose) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sao JoseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#6
L
19-33
19
33
-14
H25/10
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H27/10
NBB
Pato
#12
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H06/11
NBB
Minas
#3
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H08/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A15/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A17/11
NBB
Flamengo
#2
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H21/11
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H23/11
NBB
Vasco
#4
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H27/11
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A02/12
NBB
73.3Avg total
39.3Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.540.080.5+0.563%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.639.179.6+1.562%-
Last 30 away (14)40.441.181.4-0.764%-
Last 10 (10)39.334.073.3+5.380%-
Last 5 (5)43.633.076.6+10.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)39.144.683.7-5.542%-
vs Similar (9)37.236.974.1+0.356%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)45.637.082.6+8.6100%-
This opponent (Brasilia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Brasiliatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brasilia: 70.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.616.0
43.7%
51.8%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.19.0
34.5%
33.9%27.0
🏀 Free throws17.711.8
66.7%
72.6%11.8
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sao Josetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sao Jose: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.219.8
54.7%
51.8%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.19.3
34.3%
33.9%27.9
🏀 Free throws18.413.3
72.3%
72.6%13.3
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brasilia
WLLLLLLWWL
Sao Jose
WWWWWWLWLL
#19
League position
#10
-15.4
Net rating
+11.0
95.9
Offensive rating
104.9
111.4
Defensive rating
93.8
47.0%
Effective FG%
53.3%
54.4%
Opp. effective FG%
47.7%
17.5%
Turnover %
20.3%
24.2%
Off. rebound %
29.1%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.29
34.5%
3-point %
34.3%
54.0%
Assist %
62.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence95.9 · 104.9Defence111.4 · 93.8Shooting47.0% · 53.3%3-point %34.5% · 34.3%Ball care17.5% · 20.3%Off. rebounds24.2% · 29.1%Free throws0.28 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Brasilia   ■ Sao Jose
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Brasilia wins
3
Sao Jose wins
DateGameScore
04/03/23Brasilia v Sao Jose94-100
03/12/22Sao Jose v Brasilia89-94
09/03/20Brasilia v Sao Jose77-92
30/11/19Sao Jose v Brasilia92-94
15/02/19Brasilia v Sao Jose81-73
13/12/18Sao Jose v Brasilia87-75
18/02/16Sao Jose v Brasilia81-87
24/01/16Brasilia v Sao Jose83-73
10/02/15Sao Jose v Brasilia67-78
25/11/14Brasilia v Sao Jose79-78
Brasilialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/23HMogi81-80
24/11/23ACerrado53-84
19/11/23AVasco54-79
16/11/23AFlamengo55-92
14/11/23ABotafogo78-89
11/11/23HCaxias do Sul69-77
09/11/23HUniao Corinthians82-92
03/11/23APato80-78
23/10/23HPinheiros94-76
21/10/23HCorinthians Paulista72-84
Sao Joselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/23ACerrado78-74
27/11/23HVasco83-71
23/11/23HBotafogo96-72
21/11/23HFlamengo82-64
17/11/23ACaxias do Sul90-82
15/11/23AUniao Corinthians78-74
08/11/23HMinas67-77
06/11/23HPato100-69
27/10/23HCearense78-82
25/10/23HUnifacisa62-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brasilia
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW30%
HomeLWLLW40%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %30%40%20%
Points / game71.879.664.0
Allowed / game83.181.884.4
Point differential-11.3-2.2-20.4
Avg total154.9161.4148.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sao Jose
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW70%
HomeWLWWW57%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1073
Win %70%57%100%
Points / game81.481.182.0
Allowed / game73.371.976.7
Point differential+8.1+9.3+5.3
Avg total154.7153.0158.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%57%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas1110191%84.474.5+9.8
2 Flamengo108280%83.672.6+11.0
3 Cearense108280%79.275.0+4.2
4 Vasco118373%73.067.0+6.0
5 Paulistano118373%71.368.5+2.8
6 Franca107370%87.476.4+11.0
7 Sao Jose107370%81.473.3+8.1
8 Unifacisa106460%75.672.8+2.8
9 Bauru136746%77.075.9+1.1
10 Sao Paulo115645%78.480.8-2.5
11 Corinthians Paulista94544%77.778.4-0.8
12 Pato135838%74.177.4-3.3
13 Caxias do Sul114736%71.779.8-8.1
14 Uniao Corinthians114736%71.379.8-8.5
15 Brasilia103730%71.883.1-11.3
16 Cerrado113827%72.672.6+0.0
17 Botafogo123925%75.183.4-8.3
18 Pinheiros92722%77.881.6-3.8
19 Mogi111109%73.480.9-7.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brasilia2111181666
Sao Jose1724302192
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