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Sassari vs Brindisi Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 05 Apr 2020
Tip-off: 16:15
Postponed
Position#2
Record16-5
FormWWLLW
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game75.9
Sassari
Italy
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.7/10
Around normal
6.1/10
Above normal
Brindisi
Italy
Position#5
Record13-8
FormWWWLW
Points / game84.6
Allowed / game80.8
ItalyLega ARound 29
Domestic2019-20
Meetings · Sassari v Brindisi
16 Dec 2026
SAS v BRI
upcoming
17 Dec 2023
SAS84
BRI81
15 Jan 2023
SAS111
BRI93
30 Jan 2022
SAS102
BRI75
15 Nov 2020
SAS87
BRI100
07 Sep 2020
SAS91
BRI89
05 Apr 2020
SAS v BRI
upcoming
20 May 2019
SAS106
BRI97
18 May 2019
SAS89
BRI73
16 Feb 2019
SAS86
BRI87
03 Feb 2019
SAS98
BRI103
03 Dec 2017
SAS90
BRI66
02 Apr 2017
SAS79
BRI78
18 Oct 2015
SAS78
BRI92
27 Oct 2014
SAS87
BRI78
21 May 2014
SAS89
BRI62
19 May 2014
SAS75
BRI73
11 May 2014
SAS97
BRI78
08 Feb 2013
SAS98
BRI96
04 Nov 2012
SAS78
BRI90
28 Nov 2010
SAS94
BRI89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sassari win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Brindisi win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SassariItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSassari
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
86-80
86
80
+6
no box
H15/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
91-77
91
77
+14
86avg 97
H22/12
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
101-79
101
79
+22
no box
A27/12
Lega A
Cremona
#6
W
84-74
84
74
+10
82avg 97
H30/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
78-70
78
70
+8
80avg 97
A04/01
Lega A
Varese
#10
W
93-87
93
87
+6
92avg 97
H12/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
107-82
107
82
+25
no box
A19/01
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
87-90
87
90
-3
79avg 97
H25/01
Lega A
Trieste
#14
L
82-83
82
83
-1
no box
A02/02
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
93-88
93
88
+5
91avg 97
A07/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-25
21-18
27-15
19-22
22-17
21-21
27-19
21-20
29-18
22-16
28-25
22-20
21-22
17-22
25-15
21-15
20-15
12-24
23-13
23-18
28-25
22-18
25-27
18-17
25-19
28-25
36-19
18-19
19-26
18-19
26-27
24-18
24-20
20-14
20-19
18-30
24-19
30-16
19-27
20-26
171.2Avg total
90.2Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)85.575.9161.4+9.676%
Season at home (10)88.377.5165.8+10.880%
Season away (11)83.074.5157.5+8.573%
Last 10 (10)90.281.0171.2+9.280%
Last 5 (5)92.486.0178.4+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)87.778.7166.3+9.083%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)87.376.8164.2+10.583%
This opponent (Brindisi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrindisiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrindisi
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
87-99
87
99
-12
75avg 81
A14/12
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
L
72-78
72
78
-6
57avg 81
A22/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
W
87-72
87
72
+15
no box
H26/12
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
81-74
81
74
+7
no box
H29/12
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
89-93
89
93
-4
80avg 81
A05/01
Lega A
Cantu
#11
W
93-92 OT
93
92
+1
no box
A12/01
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
88-81 OT
88
81
+7
no box
H19/01
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
86-82
86
82
+4
76avg 81
A26/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
74-77
74
77
-3
no box
H01/02
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
103-77
103
77
+26
98avg 81
A09/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-22
23-32
22-23
22-22
14-20
18-20
22-21
18-17
24-13
22-25
20-18
21-16
17-20
21-17
26-16
17-21
21-27
19-25
21-18
28-23
24-21
23-22
20-29
17-12
20-15
12-20
23-23
21-18
22-15
18-26
22-25
24-16
16-14
18-18
15-24
25-21
16-18
29-17
33-28
25-14
168.5Avg total
86.0Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)84.680.8165.3+3.862%
Season at home (10)84.277.1161.3+7.170%
Season away (11)84.984.1169.0+0.855%
Last 10 (10)86.082.5168.5+3.560%
Last 5 (5)88.881.8170.6+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)78.382.3160.7-4.033%
vs Similar (14)83.184.4167.5-1.450%
vs Weaker (13)85.177.2162.3+7.869%
This opponent (Sassari) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +5.0+5.0Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +3.8+3.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +5.0+5.0Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +3.8+3.8
SassariBrindisi
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SassariLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H15/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H22/12
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
51-34
51
34
+17
A27/12
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H30/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A04/01
Lega A
Varese
#10
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H12/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
53-44
53
44
+9
A19/01
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H25/01
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A02/02
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
54-35
54
35
+19
A07/03
Lega A
84.1Avg total
44.2Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.238.682.8+5.767%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.640.285.8+5.469%-
Last 30 away (14)42.736.779.4+6.064%-
Last 10 (10)44.239.984.1+4.360%-
Last 5 (5)47.640.287.8+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)42.541.383.8+1.267%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)44.737.982.5+6.867%-
This opponent (Brindisi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrindisiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
43-54
43
54
-11
A14/12
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A22/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H26/12
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H29/12
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A05/01
Lega A
Cantu
#11
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A12/01
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H19/01
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A26/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H01/02
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A09/02
Lega A
80.4Avg total
39.7Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.239.180.4+2.153%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.236.777.8+4.562%-
Last 30 away (17)41.341.082.3+0.347%-
Last 10 (10)39.740.780.4-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)39.637.276.8+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)39.343.382.7-4.00%-
vs Similar (14)41.740.081.7+1.757%-
vs Weaker (13)41.237.278.4+3.962%-
This opponent (Sassari) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sassaritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sassari: 89.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.5 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.218.6
54.4%
52.0%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.410.5
44.9%
35.1%31.5
🏀 Free throws26.420.5
77.7%
73.6%20.5
They take 57.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brindisitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brindisi: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.020.9
51.0%
52.0%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.88.4
33.9%
35.1%25.2
🏀 Free throws18.714.3
76.5%
73.6%14.3
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Apr 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sassari
WLLWWWWWWW
Brindisi
WLWWWLWWLL
#2
League position
#5
+12.4
Net rating
+0.9
123.1
Offensive rating
116.6
110.7
Defensive rating
115.8
59.6%
Effective FG%
50.9%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
55.9%
20.2%
Turnover %
13.8%
36.4%
Off. rebound %
36.4%
0.46
Free-throw rate
0.28
44.9%
3-point %
33.9%
61.5%
Assist %
48.5%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence123.1 · 116.6Defence110.7 · 115.8Shooting59.6% · 50.9%3-point %44.9% · 33.9%Ball care20.2% · 13.8%Off. rebounds36.4% · 36.4%Free throws0.46 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Sassari   ■ Brindisi
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Sassari wins
4
Brindisi wins
DateGameScore
08/12/19Brindisi v Sassari77-83
20/05/19Sassari v Brindisi106-97
18/05/19Sassari v Brindisi89-73
16/02/19Sassari v Brindisi86-87
03/02/19Sassari v Brindisi98-103 OT
21/10/18Brindisi v Sassari84-90
31/03/18Brindisi v Sassari105-98 OT
03/12/17Sassari v Brindisi90-66
02/04/17Sassari v Brindisi79-78
04/12/16Brindisi v Sassari76-61
Sassarilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/20AVirtus Roma93-88
02/02/20ATrieste82-83
25/01/20HTrento87-90
19/01/20APesaro107-82
12/01/20HVarese93-87
04/01/20APistoia78-70
30/12/19HCremona84-74
27/12/19ATreviso101-79
22/12/19HVirtus Bologna91-77
15/12/19HFortitudo Bologna86-80
Brindisilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/20APesaro103-77
01/02/20HOlimpia Milano74-77
26/01/20ABrescia86-82
19/01/20HVirtus Roma88-81 OT
12/01/20ACantu93-92 OT
05/01/20ACremona89-93
29/12/19HTreviso81-74
26/12/19HReggiana87-72
22/12/19AFortitudo Bologna72-78
14/12/19AVirtus Bologna87-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sassari
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW76%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayWWWLW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %76%80%73%
Points / game85.588.383.0
Allowed / game75.977.574.5
Point differential+9.6+10.8+8.5
Avg total161.4165.8157.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%50%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Brindisi
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW62%
HomeLWWWL70%
AwayLLWWW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %62%70%55%
Points / game84.684.284.9
Allowed / game80.877.184.1
Point differential+3.8+7.1+0.8
Avg total165.3161.3169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%30%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)33% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %10%10%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2018290%86.075.0+10.9
2 Sassari2116576%85.575.9+9.6
3 Brescia2114767%81.374.0+7.3
4 Olimpia Milano2114767%80.374.0+6.3
5 Brindisi2113862%84.680.8+3.8
6 Cremona2012860%81.380.8+0.5
7 Venezia21111052%78.075.3+2.7
8 Trento21111052%77.979.3-1.4
9 Fortitudo Bologna21111052%77.379.5-2.2
10 Varese1991047%82.680.1+2.5
11 Cantu2091145%76.779.0-2.4
12 Reggiana2191243%82.984.0-1.0
13 Treviso2181338%77.179.2-2.1
14 Trieste2271532%76.080.5-4.5
15 Virtus Roma2271532%78.585.5-7.0
16 Pistoia2271532%74.583.3-8.8
17 Pesaro201195%79.292.5-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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