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Pesaro vs Sassari Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Jan 2020
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 82-107
19-25 25-28 19-36 19-18
Position#17
Record1-16
FormLLLLW
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game90.2
vs
Sassari 🏆
Italy
Position#2
Record14-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game83.9
Allowed / game73.6
ItalyLega ARound 19
Domestic2019-20
Meetings · Pesaro v Sassari
30 Jan 2027
PES v SAS
upcoming
07 Jan 2024
PES69
SAS79
27 Nov 2022
PES81
SAS75
10 Apr 2022
PES75
SAS73
27 Sep 2020
PES85
SAS95
05 Sep 2020
PES71
SAS86
19 Jan 2020
PES82
SAS107
20 Apr 2019
PES81
SAS88
13 Jan 2018
PES88
SAS85
26 Feb 2017
PES76
SAS71
13 Mar 2016
PES86
SAS65
09 Mar 2015
PES71
SAS75
17 Nov 2013
PES77
SAS82
28 Oct 2012
PES90
SAS100
22 Apr 2012
PES89
SAS81
21 Nov 2010
PES79
SAS68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sassari winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Virtus Roma
#15
L
83-92
83
92
-9
68avg 85
A17/11
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
74-101
74
101
-27
58avg 85
A24/11
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
63-74
63
74
-11
50avg 85
H01/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
65-71
65
71
-6
56avg 85
H08/12
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
87-103
87
103
-16
76avg 85
A15/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
L
79-91
79
91
-12
72avg 85
A22/12
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
72-87
72
87
-15
no box
H26/12
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
92-98
92
98
-6
76avg 85
A29/12
Lega A
Trieste
#14
L
76-82
76
82
-6
no box
H05/01
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
80-77
80
77
+3
no box
A11/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-24
20-20
22-23
21-25
12-23
26-29
16-31
20-18
13-18
14-22
18-19
18-15
16-17
14-14
16-21
19-19
24-25
30-31
20-26
13-21
26-27
20-14
20-27
13-23
17-21
18-27
13-17
24-22
28-28
21-26
18-20
25-24
27-25
20-23
17-16
12-18
22-18
19-16
21-17
18-26
164.7Avg total
77.1Scored
87.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)78.590.2168.7-11.66%
Season at home (8)73.484.9158.2-11.50%
Season away (9)83.194.9178.0-11.811%
Last 10 (10)77.187.6164.7-10.510%
Last 5 (5)79.887.0166.8-7.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)77.490.6168.0-13.27%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sassari) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SassariItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSassari
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#12
W
100-81
100
81
+19
103avg 99
H16/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
78-90
78
90
-12
67avg 99
A24/11
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
76-70
76
70
+6
71avg 99
H01/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
83-77
83
77
+6
77avg 99
A08/12
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
86-80
86
80
+6
no box
H15/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
91-77
91
77
+14
86avg 99
H22/12
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
101-79
101
79
+22
no box
A27/12
Lega A
Cremona
#6
W
84-74
84
74
+10
82avg 99
H30/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
78-70
78
70
+8
80avg 99
A04/01
Lega A
Varese
#10
W
93-87
93
87
+6
92avg 99
H12/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-26
21-16
24-16
25-23
21-23
14-19
27-17
16-31
15-15
24-27
22-12
15-16
21-17
18-22
21-16
23-22
19-25
21-18
27-15
19-22
22-17
21-21
27-19
21-20
29-18
22-16
28-25
22-20
21-22
17-22
25-15
21-15
20-15
12-24
23-13
23-18
28-25
22-18
25-27
18-17
165.5Avg total
87.0Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)83.973.6157.5+10.482%
Season at home (9)88.476.1164.6+12.389%
Season away (8)78.970.8149.6+8.175%
Last 10 (10)87.078.5165.5+8.590%
Last 5 (5)89.477.4166.8+12.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)88.478.7167.1+9.786%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)87.775.9163.6+11.791%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: +7.4+7.4Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: -0.1-0.1
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: +7.4+7.4Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: -0.1-0.1
PesaroSassari
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Roma
#15
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A17/11
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A24/11
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
27-40
27
40
-13
H01/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H08/12
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
54-56
54
56
-2
A15/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A22/12
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H26/12
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
49-54
49
54
-5
A29/12
Lega A
Trieste
#14
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H05/01
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A11/01
Lega A
85.5Avg total
40.7Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.245.583.8-7.320%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.543.480.9-5.921%-
Last 30 away (16)38.947.486.2-8.519%-
Last 10 (10)40.744.885.5-4.120%-
Last 5 (5)43.645.088.6-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)38.245.583.8-7.320%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sassari) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SassariLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#12
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H16/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A24/11
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H01/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A08/12
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H15/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H22/12
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
51-34
51
34
+17
A27/12
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H30/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A04/01
Lega A
Varese
#10
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H12/01
Lega A
82.4Avg total
41.8Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.039.083.0+4.963%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.740.285.9+5.565%-
Last 30 away (13)41.737.579.2+4.262%-
Last 10 (10)41.840.682.4+1.240%-
Last 5 (5)42.839.682.4+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)43.141.084.1+2.171%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)44.238.482.7+5.861%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 75.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.517.6
45.7%
52.0%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.98.0
28.7%
35.1%24.0
🏀 Free throws22.916.7
72.9%
73.6%16.7
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sassaritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sassari: 86.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.719.4
57.6%
52.0%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.110.0
47.4%
35.1%30.0
🏀 Free throws22.817.6
77.2%
73.6%17.6
They take 54.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Jan 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pesaro
WLLLLLLLLL
Sassari
WWWWWWWWLW
#17
League position
#2
-15.0
Net rating
+13.1
104.7
Offensive rating
126.9
119.8
Defensive rating
113.8
44.6%
Effective FG%
62.8%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
54.8%
14.5%
Turnover %
17.9%
32.0%
Off. rebound %
30.9%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.42
28.7%
3-point %
47.4%
48.4%
Assist %
55.8%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence104.7 · 126.9Defence119.8 · 113.8Shooting44.6% · 62.8%3-point %28.7% · 47.4%Ball care14.5% · 17.9%Off. rebounds32.0% · 30.9%Free throws0.34 · 0.42Form (last 10/10)10% · 90%
■ Pesaro   ■ Sassari
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Pesaro wins
7
Sassari wins
DateGameScore
29/09/19Sassari v Pesaro99-79
20/04/19Pesaro v Sassari81-88
26/12/18Sassari v Pesaro114-73
09/05/18Sassari v Pesaro112-81
13/01/18Pesaro v Sassari88-85
26/02/17Pesaro v Sassari76-71
30/10/16Sassari v Pesaro86-59
13/03/16Pesaro v Sassari86-65
23/11/15Sassari v Pesaro106-80
09/03/15Pesaro v Sassari71-75
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/20AFortitudo Bologna80-77
05/01/20HTrieste76-82
29/12/19AVenezia92-98
26/12/19HCantu72-87
22/12/19APistoia79-91
15/12/19AVarese87-103
08/12/19HOlimpia Milano65-71
01/12/19HCremona63-74
24/11/19ABrescia74-101
17/11/19AVirtus Roma83-92
Sassarilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/20HVarese93-87
04/01/20APistoia78-70
30/12/19HCremona84-74
27/12/19ATreviso101-79
22/12/19HVirtus Bologna91-77
15/12/19HFortitudo Bologna86-80
08/12/19ABrindisi83-77
01/12/19HBrescia76-70
24/11/19AOlimpia Milano78-90
16/11/19HReggiana100-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW6%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLLLW11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %6%0%11%
Points / game78.573.483.1
Allowed / game90.284.994.9
Point differential-11.6-11.5-11.8
Avg total168.7158.2178.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %6%12%0%
Sassari
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW82%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayLLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %82%89%75%
Points / game83.988.478.9
Allowed / game73.676.170.8
Point differential+10.4+12.3+8.1
Avg total157.5164.6149.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%56%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna1816289%85.074.4+10.6
2 Sassari1714382%83.973.6+10.4
3 Brescia1712571%83.274.1+9.2
4 Olimpia Milano1711665%80.974.2+6.7
5 Brindisi1811761%84.181.1+2.9
6 Cremona1710759%79.779.7+0.0
7 Venezia1810856%78.474.7+3.7
8 Varese189950%83.080.2+2.8
9 Fortitudo Bologna189950%76.979.1-2.2
10 Cantu178947%76.978.8-1.8
11 Reggiana1881044%82.483.8-1.4
12 Trento1881044%77.980.6-2.7
13 Virtus Roma1871139%76.483.8-7.4
14 Treviso1861233%76.880.2-3.4
15 Trieste1851328%75.080.4-5.4
16 Pistoia1851328%73.282.8-9.6
17 Pesaro171166%78.590.2-11.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pesaro1925191982
Sassari25283618107
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