Sassari vs Pistoia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Feb 2015

Tip-off: 17:15

Final 96-78

22-19 30-17 23-23 21-19

Position#5

Record11-5

FormWWLLW

Points / game88.6

Allowed / game83.7

Sassari 🏆

Pistoia

Position#10

Record7-9

FormLWWLW

Points / game74.2

Allowed / game73.5

Lega ARound 17

Domestic2014-15

Meetings · Sassari v Pistoia

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sassari winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Pistoia winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sassari

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Reggiana

87-74

+13

H22/12

Lega A

Varese

#12

117-113 OT

117

113

A26/12

Lega A

Caserta

#16

95-84

+11

H29/12

Lega A

Venezia

100-90 OT

100

+10

A04/01

Lega A

Gran Canaria

76-91

-15

H07/01

Eurocup

Cremona

#11

88-82

H10/01

Lega A

Banvit

#10

75-74

A13/01

Eurocup

Buducnost

#38

86-93

-7

A21/01

Eurocup

Virtus Bologna

75-80

-5

A25/01

Lega A

Buducnost

#38

87-70

+17

H28/01

Eurocup

26-13

22-26

11-12

28-23

28-21

20-25

18-16

20-24

31-25

21-22

23-18

20-19

21-19

23-19

10-22

29-23

11-23

26-20

16-22

23-26

22-23

20-13

22-20

24-26

25-20

16-19

21-20

13-15

27-35

20-20

15-26

24-12

21-27

18-15

19-15

17-23

23-18

23-21

24-15

17-16

173.7Avg total

88.6Scored

85.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	88.6	83.7	172.3	+4.9	69%
Season at home (8)	91.2	80.6	171.9	+10.6	88%
Season away (8)	86.0	86.8	172.8	-0.8	50%
Last 10 (10)	88.6	85.1	173.7	+3.5	70%
Last 5 (5)	82.2	79.8	162.0	+2.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	78.5	87.4	165.8	-8.9	15%
vs Similar ◀ (8)	86.0	83.6	169.6	+2.4	62%
vs Weaker (9)	88.0	80.1	168.1	+7.9	78%

This opponent (Pistoia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Pistoia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Venezia

63-66

-3

A23/11

Lega A

Virtus Roma

#14

94-84

+10

H30/11

Lega A

Cantu

80-76 OT

A07/12

Lega A

Brindisi

70-83

-13

H13/12

Lega A

Avellino

#13

61-68

-7

H21/12

Lega A

Reggiana

59-71

-12

A26/12

Lega A

Pesaro

#17

84-53

+31

H29/12

Lega A

Varese

#12

71-67

A04/01

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

73-79

-6

H12/01

Lega A

Capo d'Orlando

#15

94-73

+21

H25/01

Lega A

21-20

10-19

14-12

18-15

25-18

20-19

20-22

29-25

11-18

12-18

24-10

21-22

21-17

11-13

15-22

23-31

10-19

17-15

16-16

18-18

14-25

13-24

17-11

15-11

17-9

25-14

19-15

23-15

21-23

15-16

15-12

20-16

23-25

20-15

14-17

16-22

29-13

25-20

15-13

25-27

146.9Avg total

74.9Scored

72.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	74.2	73.5	147.7	+0.7	44%
Season at home (9)	78.3	75.6	153.9	+2.8	33%
Season away (7)	68.9	70.9	139.7	-2.0	57%
Last 10 (10)	74.9	72.0	146.9	+2.9	50%
Last 5 (5)	76.2	68.6	144.8	+7.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	72.9	77.8	150.6	-4.9	38%
vs Similar ◀ (18)	74.7	74.8	149.5	-0.2	56%
vs Weaker (4)	78.8	66.8	145.5	+12.0	50%

This opponent (Sassari) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

SassariPistoia

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	21.3	42.7	+0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.4	20.9	43.3	+1.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	21.7	42.2	-1.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.5	22.4	45.9	+1.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	24.6	48.2	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	19.3	22.8	42.1	-3.5	31%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	22.4	18.9	41.2	+3.5	62%	-
vs Weaker (9)	23.7	21.3	45.0	+2.3	56%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	18.4	37.3	+0.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	17.5	37.8	+2.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.6	19.2	36.8	-1.6	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	18.7	37.9	+0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	19.0	39.8	+1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	19.5	18.8	38.2	+0.8	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	18.2	18.4	36.6	-0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	21.2	17.5	38.8	+3.8	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	20.8	41.3	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	20.9	41.1	-0.8	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.9	20.6	41.5	+0.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	20.0	40.9	+0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	17.6	37.0	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	20.2	22.0	42.2	-1.8	31%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	21.0	22.2	43.2	-1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (9)	20.4	17.7	38.1	+2.8	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.7	18.1	35.8	-0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.5	17.9	35.4	-0.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.9	18.3	36.1	-0.4	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.8	17.3	34.1	-0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	17.8	37.4	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	15.8	20.6	36.4	-4.9	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	18.3	17.0	35.3	+1.3	61%	-
vs Weaker (4)	18.8	18.0	36.8	+0.8	50%	-

SassariLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Reggiana

48-39

H22/12

Lega A

Varese

#12

48-46

A26/12

Lega A

Caserta

#16

52-47

H29/12

Lega A

Venezia

44-38

A04/01

Lega A

Gran Canaria

37-43

-6

H07/01

Eurocup

Cremona

#11

42-36

H10/01

Lega A

Banvit

#10

41-39

A13/01

Eurocup

Buducnost

#38

47-55

-8

A21/01

Eurocup

Virtus Bologna

39-42

-3

A25/01

Lega A

Buducnost

#38

46-39

H28/01

Eurocup

86.8Avg total

44.4Scored

42.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.9	42.1	84.0	-0.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.5	41.8	84.3	+0.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.3	42.3	83.7	-1.0	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.4	42.4	86.8	+2.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.0	42.2	85.2	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	39.5	44.8	84.3	-5.2	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	43.4	41.1	84.5	+2.2	62%	-
vs Weaker (9)	44.1	39.0	83.1	+5.1	89%	-

This opponent (Pistoia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Venezia

31-39

-8

A23/11

Lega A

Virtus Roma

#14

45-37

H30/11

Lega A

Cantu

23-36

-13

A07/12

Lega A

Brindisi

32-30

H13/12

Lega A

Avellino

#13

27-34

-7

H21/12

Lega A

Reggiana

27-49

-22

A26/12

Lega A

Pesaro

#17

42-23

+19

H29/12

Lega A

Varese

#12

36-39

-3

A04/01

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

43-40

H12/01

Lega A

Capo d'Orlando

#15

54-33

+21

H25/01

Lega A

72.0Avg total

36.0Scored

36.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.6	36.5	73.1	+0.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.7	35.5	73.2	+2.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.5	37.5	72.9	-2.0	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.0	36.0	72.0	+0.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	36.8	77.2	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	35.2	39.4	74.6	-4.1	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	36.4	35.4	71.8	+1.1	61%	-
vs Weaker (4)	40.0	35.5	75.5	+4.5	50%	-

This opponent (Sassari) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	19.8	38.0	-1.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.3	17.8	37.1	+1.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.0	21.9	38.9	-4.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	18.6	36.5	-0.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	19.2	39.4	+1.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	18.1	20.5	38.6	-2.5	31%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	16.2	20.9	37.1	-4.6	38%	-
vs Weaker (9)	19.9	17.9	37.8	+2.0	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	17.6	36.2	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	18.1	38.3	+2.2	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.1	17.1	34.1	+0.0	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.9	15.0	31.9	+1.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	13.6	29.6	+2.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	20.2	17.1	37.4	+3.1	62%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	17.7	18.7	36.3	-1.0	44%	-
vs Weaker (4)	20.0	13.5	33.5	+6.5	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	21.2	42.8	+0.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.7	21.2	43.9	+1.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.6	21.1	41.7	-0.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	20.7	42.2	+0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	18.4	37.4	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	20.8	22.1	42.9	-1.2	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	24.2	20.8	45.0	+3.5	88%	-
vs Weaker (9)	20.6	20.2	40.8	+0.3	44%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	20.2	39.3	-1.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	21.0	41.1	-0.9	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	19.5	37.5	-1.4	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	20.2	41.0	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	18.2	38.0	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	17.4	21.2	38.6	-3.9	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	19.9	20.3	40.2	-0.4	39%	-
vs Weaker (4)	18.8	17.8	36.5	+1.0	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.8	41.0	80.8	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.0	39.0	81.0	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.6	43.0	80.6	-5.4	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.4	39.3	78.7	+0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	37.6	76.8	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	38.9	42.6	81.5	-3.7	23%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	40.5	41.6	82.1	-1.1	62%	-
vs Weaker (9)	40.4	38.1	78.6	+2.3	44%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.7	37.8	75.5	-0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.3	39.1	79.4	+1.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.1	36.5	71.7	-1.4	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.7	35.2	72.9	+2.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.8	31.8	67.6	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	37.6	38.4	76.0	-0.8	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	37.6	39.0	76.6	-1.4	44%	-
vs Weaker (4)	38.8	31.2	70.0	+7.5	75%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Sassari wins

Pistoia wins

Date	Game	Score
20/10/14	Pistoia v Sassari	81-84
02/02/14	Pistoia v Sassari	81-69
27/10/13	Sassari v Pistoia	100-87

Sassarilast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/01/15	H	Buducnost	87-70
25/01/15	A	Virtus Bologna	75-80
21/01/15	A	Buducnost	86-93
13/01/15	A	Banvit	75-74
10/01/15	H	Cremona	88-82
07/01/15	H	Gran Canaria	76-91
04/01/15	A	Venezia	100-90 OT
29/12/14	H	Caserta	95-84
26/12/14	A	Varese	117-113 OT
22/12/14	H	Reggiana	87-74

Pistoialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/01/15	H	Capo d'Orlando	94-73
12/01/15	H	Olimpia Milano	73-79
04/01/15	A	Varese	71-67
29/12/14	H	Pesaro	84-53
26/12/14	A	Reggiana	59-71
21/12/14	H	Avellino	61-68
13/12/14	H	Brindisi	70-83
07/12/14	A	Cantu	80-76 OT
30/11/14	H	Virtus Roma	94-84
23/11/14	A	Venezia	63-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sassari

Lega A 2014-15

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	69%
Home	WLWWW	88%
Away	LLWWL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	8	8
Win %	69%	88%	50%
Points / game	88.6	91.2	86.0
Allowed / game	83.7	80.6	86.8
Point differential	+4.9	+10.6	-0.8
Avg total	172.3	171.9	172.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	31%	50%	12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (6)	0% (1)	40% (5)
Overtime %	12%	0%	25%

Pistoia

Lega A 2014-15

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLW	44%
Home	LLWLW	33%
Away	LLWLW	57%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	9	7
Win %	44%	33%	57%
Points / game	74.2	78.3	68.9
Allowed / game	73.5	75.6	70.9
Point differential	+0.7	+2.8	-2.0
Avg total	147.7	153.9	139.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	19%	33%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	57% (7)	0% (2)	80% (5)
Overtime %	6%	0%	14%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Named Sport Team	1	1	0	100%	146.0	143.0	+3.0
2	Olimpia Milano	16	14	2	88%	85.3	72.4	+12.9
3	Venezia	17	13	4	76%	78.4	73.4	+5.1
4	Reggiana	16	12	4	75%	79.4	73.2	+6.2
5	Sassari	16	11	5	69%	88.6	83.7	+4.9
6	Brindisi	16	10	6	62%	77.7	73.4	+4.2
7	Trento	17	9	8	53%	84.2	83.5	+0.7
8	Cremona	16	8	8	50%	75.0	76.2	-1.2
9	Virtus Bologna	16	8	8	50%	74.4	78.1	-3.7
10	Pistoia	16	7	9	44%	74.2	73.5	+0.7
11	Avellino	16	7	9	44%	76.6	76.9	-0.3
12	Cantu	16	7	9	44%	77.0	77.5	-0.5
13	Varese	16	6	10	38%	84.7	85.4	-0.8
14	Capo d'Orlando	16	6	10	38%	71.1	75.5	-4.4
15	Virtus Roma	17	6	11	35%	71.7	74.7	-3.0
16	Pesaro	16	3	13	19%	71.6	85.0	-13.4
17	Caserta	16	2	14	12%	74.0	81.9	-7.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Sassari	22	30	23	21	96
Pistoia	19	17	23	19	78

← all games of the day

Sassari vs Pistoia Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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