Pistoia vs Virtus Roma Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 30 Nov 2014

Tip-off: 17:15

Final 94-84

25-18 20-19 20-22 29-25

Position#10

Record2-5

FormLWLLL

Points / game71.6

Allowed / game74.6

Pistoia 🏆

Virtus Roma

Position#14

Record3-4

FormWWWLW

Points / game76.7

Allowed / game77.7

Lega ARound 8

Domestic2014-15

Meetings · Pistoia v Virtus Roma

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pistoia winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Virtus Roma winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Pistoia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Olimpia Milano

82-71

+11

H23/05

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

84-82

H25/05

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

78-88

-10

A27/05

Lega A

Capo d'Orlando

#15

74-71

A12/10

Lega A

Sassari

81-84

-3

H20/10

Lega A

Cremona

#11

76-83

-7

H26/10

Lega A

Caserta

#16

63-59

A02/11

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

72-73

-1

H09/11

Lega A

Trento

72-86

-14

A15/11

Lega A

Venezia

63-66

-3

A23/11

Lega A

19-15

16-30

25-11

22-15

19-18

7-24

36-17

22-23

15-17

25-22

13-24

25-25

15-25

23-14

17-15

19-17

16-21

25-18

20-24

20-21

20-24

19-11

16-25

21-23

13-18

20-11

15-17

15-13

22-21

16-17

20-20

14-15

15-30

25-16

12-23

20-17

21-20

10-19

14-12

18-15

150.8Avg total

74.5Scored

76.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (7)	71.6	74.6	146.1	-3.0	29%
Season at home (3)	76.3	80.0	156.3	-3.7	0%
Season away (4)	68.0	70.5	138.5	-2.5	50%
Last 10 (10)	74.5	76.3	150.8	-1.8	40%
Last 5 (5)	69.2	73.4	142.6	-4.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	75.1	76.6	151.7	-1.5	55%
vs Similar ◀ (15)	74.3	76.3	150.6	-1.9	47%
vs Weaker (4)	76.8	73.8	150.5	+3.0	25%

This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Virtus Roma Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Capo d'Orlando

#15

73-70

A26/10

Lega A

Real Betis

#25

84-82

H29/10

Eurocup

Sassari

75-84

-9

H02/11

Lega A

Nymburk

#24

87-89 OT

-2

A05/11

Eurocup

Pesaro

#17

87-89

-2

A08/11

Lega A

Oldenburg

#28

83-81

H12/11

Eurocup

Varese

#12

87-78

H16/11

Lega A

Spirou Charleroi

#37

100-69

100

+31

H18/11

Eurocup

Reggiana

83-87

-4

A22/11

Lega A

Nancy

#23

76-64

+12

A26/11

Eurocup

24-17

14-21

21-15

14-17

15-24

21-17

28-15

20-26

18-29

16-17

20-13

21-25

13-12

14-20

17-11

12-13

30-17

21-22

20-24

16-26

25-21

18-21

11-24

29-15

20-26

24-11

23-15

27-22

20-19

30-13

21-16

18-20

18-22

26-29

11-21

23-12

25-14

17-17

162.8Avg total

83.5Scored

79.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (7)	76.7	77.7	154.4	-1.0	43%
Season at home (3)	79.0	74.7	153.7	+4.3	67%
Season away (4)	75.0	80.0	155.0	-5.0	25%
Last 10 (10)	83.5	79.3	162.8	+4.2	60%
Last 5 (5)	85.8	75.8	161.6	+10.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	72.5	78.7	151.2	-6.2	31%
vs Similar ◀ (7)	81.1	78.7	159.9	+2.4	71%
vs Weaker (9)	87.2	77.4	164.7	+9.8	78%

This opponent (Pistoia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PistoiaVirtus Roma

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	18.1	36.8	+0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.4	17.4	36.8	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.9	18.9	36.8	-0.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.5	20.9	38.4	-3.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	22.6	40.8	-4.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	18.5	17.5	35.9	+1.0	55%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	17.9	17.9	35.9	+0.0	47%	-
vs Weaker (4)	22.0	20.8	42.8	+1.2	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	19.0	38.4	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.1	19.2	39.3	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.8	18.8	37.6	-0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	19.8	39.8	+0.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	19.8	39.8	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	19.2	18.8	38.0	+0.5	54%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	18.7	21.6	40.3	-2.9	29%	-
vs Weaker (9)	20.8	17.0	37.8	+3.8	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	18.8	36.9	-0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.5	19.6	37.1	-2.1	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	18.1	36.7	+0.6	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	18.2	36.8	+0.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	14.8	32.8	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	17.2	20.1	37.3	-2.9	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	18.9	17.8	36.7	+1.1	60%	-
vs Weaker (4)	17.8	19.2	37.0	-1.5	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	20.1	38.6	-1.6	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.7	19.5	38.2	-0.8	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.3	20.6	38.9	-2.3	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	19.8	39.0	-0.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	20.2	41.4	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	15.6	19.5	35.1	-3.8	15%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	20.4	22.1	42.6	-1.7	29%	-
vs Weaker (9)	21.2	19.1	40.3	+2.1	56%	-

PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Olimpia Milano

35-45

-10

H23/05

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

26-42

-16

H25/05

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

40-39

A27/05

Lega A

Capo d'Orlando

#15

38-39

-1

A12/10

Lega A

Sassari

41-39

H20/10

Lega A

Cremona

#11

39-35

H26/10

Lega A

Caserta

#16

33-29

A02/11

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

38-38

H09/11

Lega A

Trento

40-46

-6

A15/11

Lega A

Venezia

31-39

-8

A23/11

Lega A

75.2Avg total

36.1Scored

39.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.8	37.0	73.7	-0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.9	37.0	73.9	-0.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.6	36.9	73.5	-0.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.1	39.1	75.2	-3.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.2	37.4	73.6	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	35.6	37.5	73.2	-1.9	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	36.8	35.7	72.5	+1.1	60%	-
vs Weaker (4)	39.8	40.0	79.8	-0.2	25%	-

This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Virtus RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Capo d'Orlando

#15

38-38

A26/10

Lega A

Real Betis

#25

36-41

-5

H29/10

Eurocup

Sassari

34-46

-12

H02/11

Lega A

Nymburk

#24

27-32

-5

A05/11

Eurocup

Pesaro

#17

51-39

+12

A08/11

Lega A

Oldenburg

#28

43-42

H12/11

Eurocup

Varese

#12

40-52

-12

H16/11

Lega A

Spirou Charleroi

#37

50-37

+13

H18/11

Eurocup

Reggiana

39-36

A22/11

Lega A

Nancy

#23

34-33

A26/11

Eurocup

78.8Avg total

39.2Scored

39.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.9	39.1	77.0	-1.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.8	38.7	77.5	+0.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.1	39.4	76.5	-2.4	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.2	39.6	78.8	-0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	40.0	81.2	+1.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	34.8	38.2	73.1	-3.4	15%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	39.1	43.7	82.9	-4.6	29%	-
vs Weaker (9)	42.0	36.1	78.1	+5.9	78%	-

This opponent (Pistoia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	18.8	38.0	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.1	18.9	39.9	+2.2	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.3	18.7	36.0	-1.3	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	18.8	37.6	+0.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.4	19.4	34.8	-4.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	21.0	17.5	38.5	+3.5	64%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	17.7	21.1	38.9	-3.4	33%	-
vs Weaker (4)	19.8	13.5	33.2	+6.2	75%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	18.7	38.0	+0.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.6	18.8	39.4	+1.8	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.2	18.6	36.8	-0.4	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	16.8	37.2	+3.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	18.0	37.6	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	17.2	20.0	37.2	-2.8	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	21.0	15.9	36.9	+5.1	86%	-
vs Weaker (9)	21.4	18.7	40.1	+2.8	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	20.1	38.6	-1.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.9	19.7	38.7	-0.8	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	20.4	38.5	-2.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	18.4	38.0	+1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	16.6	34.2	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	17.3	20.9	38.2	-3.6	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	19.8	19.4	39.2	+0.4	40%	-
vs Weaker (4)	17.2	20.2	37.5	-3.0	25%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	19.4	39.7	+0.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.5	20.5	43.0	+2.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.3	18.4	36.8	-0.1	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	19.6	40.4	+1.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.0	17.8	42.8	+7.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	19.3	19.6	38.9	-0.3	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	21.0	19.1	40.1	+1.9	43%	-
vs Weaker (9)	20.3	19.0	39.3	+1.3	33%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.7	38.8	76.6	-1.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.0	38.6	78.6	+1.4	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.5	39.1	74.5	-3.6	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.4	37.2	75.6	+1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.0	36.0	69.0	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	38.3	38.4	76.6	-0.1	45%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	37.5	40.5	78.1	-3.0	40%	-
vs Weaker (4)	37.0	33.8	70.8	+3.2	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.6	38.1	77.7	+1.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	43.1	39.3	82.4	+3.8	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.5	37.1	73.6	-0.6	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.2	36.4	77.6	+4.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.6	35.8	80.4	+8.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	36.5	39.6	76.2	-3.1	46%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	42.0	35.0	77.0	+7.0	71%	-
vs Weaker (9)	41.8	37.7	79.4	+4.1	89%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Pistoia wins

Virtus Roma wins

Date	Game	Score
26/04/14	Virtus Roma v Pistoia	75-87
29/12/13	Pistoia v Virtus Roma	76-85

Pistoialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
23/11/14	A	Venezia	63-66
15/11/14	A	Trento	72-86
09/11/14	H	Virtus Bologna	72-73
02/11/14	A	Caserta	63-59
26/10/14	H	Cremona	76-83
20/10/14	H	Sassari	81-84
12/10/14	A	Capo d'Orlando	74-71
27/05/14	A	Olimpia Milano	78-88
25/05/14	H	Olimpia Milano	84-82
23/05/14	H	Olimpia Milano	82-71

Virtus Romalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/11/14	A	Nancy	76-64
22/11/14	A	Reggiana	83-87
18/11/14	H	Spirou Charleroi	100-69
16/11/14	H	Varese	87-78
12/11/14	H	Oldenburg	83-81
08/11/14	A	Pesaro	87-89
05/11/14	A	Nymburk	87-89 OT
02/11/14	H	Sassari	75-84
29/10/14	H	Real Betis	84-82
26/10/14	A	Capo d'Orlando	73-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pistoia

Lega A 2014-15

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLL	29%
Home	LLL	0%
Away	WWLL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	7	3	4
Win %	29%	0%	50%
Points / game	71.6	76.3	68.0
Allowed / game	74.6	80.0	70.5
Point differential	-3.0	-3.7	-2.5
Avg total	146.1	156.3	138.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (5)	0% (2)	67% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Virtus Roma

Lega A 2014-15

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWL	43%
Home	WLW	67%
Away	LWLL	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	7	3	4
Win %	43%	67%	25%
Points / game	76.7	79.0	75.0
Allowed / game	77.7	74.7	80.0
Point differential	-1.0	+4.3	-5.0
Avg total	154.4	153.7	155.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	14%	33%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	-	33% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Sassari	7	6	1	86%	84.6	75.4	+9.1
2	Reggiana	7	6	1	86%	87.7	81.6	+6.1
3	Venezia	7	6	1	86%	78.4	74.1	+4.3
4	Olimpia Milano	7	5	2	71%	81.6	74.0	+7.6
5	Brindisi	8	5	3	62%	78.0	72.6	+5.4
6	Cremona	7	4	3	57%	81.7	77.9	+3.9
7	Trento	7	4	3	57%	82.7	82.4	+0.3
8	Cantu	8	4	4	50%	78.9	79.2	-0.4
9	Avellino	7	3	4	43%	74.6	74.4	+0.1
10	Virtus Roma	7	3	4	43%	76.7	77.7	-1.0
11	Virtus Bologna	7	3	4	43%	73.1	78.6	-5.4
12	Varese	7	2	5	29%	91.6	93.3	-1.7
13	Capo d'Orlando	7	2	5	29%	69.0	72.0	-3.0
14	Pistoia	7	2	5	29%	71.6	74.6	-3.0
15	Pesaro	7	2	5	29%	69.9	83.9	-14.0
16	Caserta	7	0	7	0%	69.7	78.7	-9.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Pistoia	25	20	20	29	94
Virtus Roma	18	19	22	25	84

← all games of the day

Pistoia vs Virtus Roma Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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