PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Sassari vs Pistoia Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 26 Apr 2020
Tip-off: 16:15
Postponed
Position#2
Record16-5
FormWWLLW
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game75.9
Sassari
Italy
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.7/10
Around normal
6.6/10
Above normal
Pistoia
Italy
Position#16
Record7-15
FormLLWWL
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game83.3
ItalyLega ARound 34
Domestic2019-20
Meetings · Sassari v Pistoia
03 Feb 2027
SAS v PIS
upcoming
10 Nov 2024
SAS77
PIS75
14 Jan 2024
SAS107
PIS69
26 Apr 2020
SAS v PIS
upcoming
18 Nov 2018
SAS111
PIS113
16 Dec 2017
SAS88
PIS81
04 Mar 2017
SAS81
PIS75
27 Dec 2015
SAS80
PIS75
01 Feb 2015
SAS96
PIS78
27 Oct 2013
SAS100
PIS87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sassari win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pistoia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SassariItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSassari
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
86-80
86
80
+6
no box
H15/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
91-77
91
77
+14
86avg 82
H22/12
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
101-79
101
79
+22
no box
A27/12
Lega A
Cremona
#6
W
84-74
84
74
+10
82avg 82
H30/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
78-70
78
70
+8
80avg 82
A04/01
Lega A
Varese
#10
W
93-87
93
87
+6
92avg 82
H12/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
107-82
107
82
+25
no box
A19/01
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
87-90
87
90
-3
79avg 82
H25/01
Lega A
Trieste
#14
L
82-83
82
83
-1
no box
A02/02
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
93-88
93
88
+5
91avg 82
A07/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-25
21-18
27-15
19-22
22-17
21-21
27-19
21-20
29-18
22-16
28-25
22-20
21-22
17-22
25-15
21-15
20-15
12-24
23-13
23-18
28-25
22-18
25-27
18-17
25-19
28-25
36-19
18-19
19-26
18-19
26-27
24-18
24-20
20-14
20-19
18-30
24-19
30-16
19-27
20-26
171.2Avg total
90.2Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)85.575.9161.4+9.676%
Season at home (10)88.377.5165.8+10.880%
Season away (11)83.074.5157.5+8.573%
Last 10 (10)90.281.0171.2+9.280%
Last 5 (5)92.486.0178.4+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)87.778.7166.3+9.083%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)87.376.8164.2+10.583%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistoia
Date
Competition
Cremona
#6
W
84-71
84
71
+13
80avg 70
H15/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
91-79
91
79
+12
81avg 70
H22/12
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
60-91
60
91
-31
41avg 70
A26/12
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
70-78
70
78
-8
56avg 70
H04/01
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
71-74
71
74
-3
60avg 70
H12/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
60-90
60
90
-30
48avg 70
A18/01
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
75-86
75
86
-11
no box
H26/01
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
81-80
81
80
+1
71avg 70
A02/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
W
86-79
86
79
+7
76avg 70
H09/02
Lega A
Trieste
#14
L
80-97
80
97
-17
69avg 70
A07/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-15
11-20
15-23
29-13
27-26
14-20
27-20
23-13
14-26
19-18
15-24
12-23
15-20
24-12
13-23
18-23
22-24
9-18
17-15
23-17
8-19
20-27
20-16
12-28
13-29
20-20
24-9
18-28
21-21
15-27
25-14
20-18
22-20
15-21
26-11
23-27
20-25
19-25
22-22
19-25
158.3Avg total
75.8Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)74.583.3157.8-8.832%
Season at home (11)78.578.5157.1+0.055%
Season away (11)70.588.0158.5-17.59%
Last 10 (10)75.882.5158.3-6.740%
Last 5 (5)76.486.4162.8-10.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)74.183.7157.8-9.622%
vs Similar (2)74.080.5154.5-6.550%
vs Weaker (1)91.079.0170.0+12.0100%
This opponent (Sassari) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: +5.0+5.0Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -1.8-1.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: +5.0+5.0Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -1.8-1.8
SassariPistoia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SassariLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H15/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H22/12
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
51-34
51
34
+17
A27/12
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H30/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A04/01
Lega A
Varese
#10
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H12/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
53-44
53
44
+9
A19/01
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H25/01
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A02/02
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
54-35
54
35
+19
A07/03
Lega A
84.1Avg total
44.2Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.238.682.8+5.767%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.640.285.8+5.469%-
Last 30 away (14)42.736.779.4+6.064%-
Last 10 (10)44.239.984.1+4.360%-
Last 5 (5)47.640.287.8+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)42.541.383.8+1.267%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)44.737.982.5+6.867%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cremona
#6
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H15/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H22/12
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A26/12
Lega A
Sassari
#2
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H04/01
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
31-42
31
42
-11
H12/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
28-46
28
46
-18
A18/01
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
33-49
33
49
-16
H26/01
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A02/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H09/02
Lega A
Trieste
#14
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A07/03
Lega A
79.0Avg total
35.7Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.241.878.0-5.617%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.940.877.7-3.913%-
Last 30 away (15)35.542.878.3-7.320%-
Last 10 (10)35.743.379.0-7.620%-
Last 5 (5)34.646.881.4-12.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)36.141.477.5-5.419%-
vs Similar (2)35.544.580.0-9.00%-
vs Weaker (1)41.046.087.0-5.00%-
This opponent (Sassari) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sassaritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sassari: 89.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.5 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.218.6
54.4%
52.0%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.410.5
44.9%
35.1%31.5
🏀 Free throws26.420.5
77.7%
73.6%20.5
They take 57.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.518.5
48.1%
52.0%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.67.2
28.1%
35.1%21.6
🏀 Free throws21.916.4
74.9%
73.6%16.4
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Apr 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sassari
WLLWWWWWWW
Pistoia
LWWLLLLLWW
#2
League position
#16
+12.4
Net rating
-9.3
123.1
Offensive rating
107.0
110.7
Defensive rating
116.3
59.6%
Effective FG%
45.7%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
55.9%
20.2%
Turnover %
15.6%
36.4%
Off. rebound %
34.7%
0.46
Free-throw rate
0.34
44.9%
3-point %
28.1%
61.5%
Assist %
49.4%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence123.1 · 107.0Defence110.7 · 116.3Shooting59.6% · 45.7%3-point %44.9% · 28.1%Ball care20.2% · 15.6%Off. rebounds36.4% · 34.7%Free throws0.46 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Sassari   ■ Pistoia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Sassari wins
2
Pistoia wins
DateGameScore
04/01/20Pistoia v Sassari70-78
17/03/19Pistoia v Sassari82-90 OT
18/11/18Sassari v Pistoia111-113
15/04/18Pistoia v Sassari69-80
16/12/17Sassari v Pistoia88-81
04/03/17Sassari v Pistoia81-75
05/11/16Pistoia v Sassari68-69
24/04/16Pistoia v Sassari77-68
27/12/15Sassari v Pistoia80-75
01/02/15Sassari v Pistoia96-78
Sassarilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/20AVirtus Roma93-88
02/02/20ATrieste82-83
25/01/20HTrento87-90
19/01/20APesaro107-82
12/01/20HVarese93-87
04/01/20APistoia78-70
30/12/19HCremona84-74
27/12/19ATreviso101-79
22/12/19HVirtus Bologna91-77
15/12/19HFortitudo Bologna86-80
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/20ATrieste80-97
09/02/20HReggiana86-79
02/02/20AVirtus Roma81-80
26/01/20HTreviso75-86
18/01/20AVirtus Bologna60-90
12/01/20HTrento71-74
04/01/20HSassari70-78
26/12/19AVarese60-91
22/12/19HPesaro91-79
15/12/19HCremona84-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sassari
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW76%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayWWWLW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %76%80%73%
Points / game85.588.383.0
Allowed / game75.977.574.5
Point differential+9.6+10.8+8.5
Avg total161.4165.8157.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%50%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pistoia
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL32%
HomeWLLLW55%
AwayLLLWL9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %32%55%9%
Points / game74.578.570.5
Allowed / game83.378.588.0
Point differential-8.8+0.0-17.5
Avg total157.8157.1158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%18%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2018290%86.075.0+10.9
2 Sassari2116576%85.575.9+9.6
3 Brescia2114767%81.374.0+7.3
4 Olimpia Milano2114767%80.374.0+6.3
5 Brindisi2113862%84.680.8+3.8
6 Cremona2012860%81.380.8+0.5
7 Venezia21111052%78.075.3+2.7
8 Trento21111052%77.979.3-1.4
9 Fortitudo Bologna21111052%77.379.5-2.2
10 Varese1991047%82.680.1+2.5
11 Cantu2091145%76.779.0-2.4
12 Reggiana2191243%82.984.0-1.0
13 Treviso2181338%77.179.2-2.1
14 Trieste2271532%76.080.5-4.5
15 Virtus Roma2271532%78.585.5-7.0
16 Pistoia2271532%74.583.3-8.8
17 Pesaro201195%79.292.5-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.