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Sassari vs Pistoia Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 03 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 19:30
Scheduled
Position#11
Record5-4
FormLLWLW
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game76.4
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.7/10
Around normal
6.6/10
Above normal
Position#8
Record5-4
FormWWLWW
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game69.6
ItalySerie A2Round 25· Palasport Roberta Serradimigni
Other2026-27
Meetings · Sassari v Pistoia
03 Feb 2027
SAS v PIS
upcoming
10 Nov 2024
SAS77
PIS75
14 Jan 2024
SAS107
PIS69
26 Apr 2020
SAS v PIS
upcoming
18 Nov 2018
SAS111
PIS113
16 Dec 2017
SAS88
PIS81
04 Mar 2017
SAS81
PIS75
27 Dec 2015
SAS80
PIS75
01 Feb 2015
SAS96
PIS78
27 Oct 2013
SAS100
PIS87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sassari win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pistoia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SassariItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSassari
Date
Competition
Brescia
#4
L
71-92
71
92
-21
56avg 71
A10/05
Lega A
Urania Milano
#19
W
70-68
70
68
+2
59avg 71
A27/09
Serie A2
Montecatini
#20
L
72-81
72
81
-9
14avg 71
H04/10
Serie A2
Mestre
#13
W
87-74
87
74
+13
83avg 71
A10/10
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
80-70
80
70
+10
85avg 71
H17/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#5
L
67-84
67
84
-17
59avg 71
H21/10
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#17
L
61-79
61
79
-18
44avg 71
A25/10
Serie A2
Caserta
#15
W
95-75
95
75
+20
no box
H01/11
Serie A2
Cividale
#12
L
67-70
67
70
-3
no box
A07/11
Serie A2
Pesaro
#10
W
96-87 OT
96
87
+9
no box
H11/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-27
15-30
24-15
16-20
18-19
20-12
19-15
13-22
16-28
15-19
20-15
21-19
25-27
25-21
19-15
18-11
24-20
23-12
13-22
20-16
20-22
16-28
14-16
17-18
15-15
10-21
16-21
20-22
20-19
18-16
29-19
28-21
15-14
25-22
17-13
10-21
21-25
22-15
19-19
17-20
154.6Avg total
76.6Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)77.276.4153.7+0.856%
Season at home (5)82.079.4161.4+2.660%
Season away (4)71.272.8144.0-1.550%
Last 10 (10)76.678.0154.6-1.450%
Last 5 (5)77.279.0156.2-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)79.188.6167.8-9.521%
vs Similar (11)85.885.2171.0+0.636%
vs Weaker (5)75.674.6150.2+1.060%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistoia
Date
Competition
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
80-78
80
78
+2
72avg 67
A13/05
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#1
L
62-63
62
63
-1
49avg 67
A27/09
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
L
77-84
77
84
-7
28avg 67
H04/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
L
70-78
70
78
-8
63avg 67
A11/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#14
W
89-70
89
70
+19
84avg 67
H18/10
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
96-52
96
52
+44
103avg 67
A21/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
75-72
75
72
+3
70avg 67
A25/10
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
64-66
64
66
-2
no box
H01/11
Serie A2
Montecatini
#20
W
86-71
86
71
+15
no box
A08/11
Serie A2
Caserta
#15
W
78-70
78
70
+8
no box
H11/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-25
24-18
23-18
16-17
16-19
18-18
15-11
13-15
20-30
23-19
20-18
14-17
23-24
15-21
12-12
20-21
21-18
27-15
21-20
20-17
24-10
25-13
23-20
24-9
21-20
15-21
14-12
25-19
21-16
17-25
13-13
13-12
14-18
12-22
31-16
29-15
21-22
15-14
20-14
22-20
148.1Avg total
77.7Scored
70.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)77.469.6147.0+7.956%
Season at home (4)77.072.5149.5+4.550%
Season away (5)77.867.2145.0+10.660%
Last 10 (10)77.770.4148.1+7.360%
Last 5 (5)79.866.2146.0+13.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)73.082.8155.8-9.818%
vs Similar (12)78.382.7161.0-4.333%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)81.671.0152.6+10.671%
This opponent (Sassari) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +3.4+3.4
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +3.4+3.4
SassariPistoia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SassariLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#4
L
31-57
31
57
-26
A10/05
Lega A
Urania Milano
#19
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A27/09
Serie A2
Montecatini
#20
L
31-47
31
47
-16
H04/10
Serie A2
Mestre
#13
W
50-48
50
48
+2
A10/10
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H17/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#5
L
36-50
36
50
-14
H21/10
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#17
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A25/10
Serie A2
Caserta
#15
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H01/11
Serie A2
Cividale
#12
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A07/11
Serie A2
Pesaro
#10
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H11/11
Serie A2
79.1Avg total
37.9Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.942.382.2-2.447%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.942.983.9-2.047%-
Last 30 away (15)38.841.780.5-2.947%-
Last 10 (10)37.941.279.1-3.360%-
Last 5 (5)36.439.475.8-3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)39.044.583.5-5.529%-
vs Similar (11)42.842.385.1+0.564%-
vs Weaker (5)35.836.272.0-0.460%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A13/05
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#1
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A27/09
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H04/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A11/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#14
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H18/10
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
49-23
49
23
+26
A21/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A25/10
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H01/11
Serie A2
Montecatini
#20
L
26-40
26
40
-14
A08/11
Serie A2
Caserta
#15
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H11/11
Serie A2
77.7Avg total
38.9Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.141.380.3-2.227%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.740.179.8-0.540%-
Last 30 away (15)38.542.480.9-3.913%-
Last 10 (10)38.938.877.7+0.120%-
Last 5 (5)37.036.273.2+0.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)36.239.775.9-3.527%-
vs Similar (12)41.544.586.0-3.025%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)39.438.177.6+1.329%-
This opponent (Sassari) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sassaritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sassari: 69.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.316.7
47.3%
51.4%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.77.5
34.6%
34.6%22.5
🏀 Free throws20.114.0
69.7%
70.8%14.0
They take 57.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 76.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.217.9
50.9%
51.4%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.07.8
32.5%
34.6%23.4
🏀 Free throws22.116.9
76.5%
70.8%16.9
They take 59.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sassari
WLWLLWWLWL
Pistoia
WWLWWWLLLW
#11
League position
#8
-9.2
Net rating
+13.6
92.1
Offensive rating
99.8
101.3
Defensive rating
86.2
49.0%
Effective FG%
50.0%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.2%
13.4%
Turnover %
10.2%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.37
34.6%
3-point %
32.5%
54.1%
Assist %
54.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence92.1 · 99.8Defence101.3 · 86.2Shooting49.0% · 50.0%3-point %34.6% · 32.5%Ball care13.4% · 10.2%Free throws0.35 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Sassari   ■ Pistoia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Sassari wins
2
Pistoia wins
DateGameScore
06/04/25Pistoia v Sassari63-86
10/11/24Sassari v Pistoia77-75
14/01/24Sassari v Pistoia107-69
19/11/23Pistoia v Sassari68-63
04/01/20Pistoia v Sassari70-78
17/03/19Pistoia v Sassari82-90 OT
18/11/18Sassari v Pistoia111-113
15/04/18Pistoia v Sassari69-80
16/12/17Sassari v Pistoia88-81
04/03/17Sassari v Pistoia81-75
Sassarilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HPesaro96-87 OT
07/11/26ACividale67-70
01/11/26HCaserta95-75
25/10/26ARuvo Di Puglia61-79
21/10/26HRimini67-84
17/10/26HCento80-70
10/10/26AMestre87-74
04/10/26HMontecatini72-81
27/09/26AUrania Milano70-68
10/05/26ABrescia71-92
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HCaserta78-70
08/11/26AMontecatini86-71
01/11/26HFortitudo Bologna64-66
25/10/26AJuVi Cremona75-72
21/10/26ACento96-52
18/10/26HVigevano89-70
11/10/26ASebastiani Rieti70-78
04/10/26HBasket Torino77-84
27/09/26ALibertas Livorno62-63
13/05/26ARuvo Di Puglia80-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sassari
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW56%
HomeLWLWW60%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %56%60%50%
Points / game77.282.071.2
Allowed / game76.479.472.8
Point differential+0.8+2.6-1.5
Avg total153.7161.4144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%40%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %11%20%0%
Pistoia
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW56%
HomeLWLW50%
AwayLLWWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %56%50%60%
Points / game77.477.077.8
Allowed / game69.672.567.2
Point differential+7.9+4.5+10.6
Avg total147.0149.5145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%25%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Libertas Livorno98189%81.269.7+11.6
2 Avellino Basket98189%82.274.7+7.6
3 Fortitudo Bologna97278%79.474.3+5.1
4 Sebastiani Rieti97278%74.872.1+2.7
5 Rimini96367%80.471.8+8.7
6 Brindisi96367%77.473.9+3.6
7 Basket Torino85362%72.872.2+0.5
8 Pistoia95456%77.469.6+7.9
9 Forli95456%82.377.6+4.8
10 Pesaro95456%81.079.9+1.1
11 Sassari95456%77.276.4+0.8
12 Cividale95456%71.874.1-2.3
13 Mestre94544%75.076.4-1.4
14 Vigevano93633%76.381.8-5.4
15 Caserta82625%78.182.6-4.5
16 JuVi Cremona92722%75.377.9-2.6
17 Ruvo Di Puglia92722%74.481.7-7.2
18 Cento92722%72.882.2-9.4
19 Urania Milano91811%75.783.1-7.4
20 Montecatini91811%68.182.3-14.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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