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Sassari vs Tortona Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 74-94
20-22 12-27 19-31 23-14
Position#8
Record1-3
FormLWLLL
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game88.2
vs
Tortona 🏆
Italy
Position#9
Record2-2
FormLWWWL
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game75.2
ItalyLega ARound 5· Palasport Roberta Serradimigni
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Sassari v Tortona
15 Feb 2026
SAS82
TOR89
13 Apr 2025
SAS87
TOR82
28 Oct 2023
SAS74
TOR94
26 Mar 2023
SAS84
TOR72
13 Mar 2022
SAS83
TOR87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sassari winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tortona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SassariItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSassari
Date
Competition
Venezia
#6
W
87-83
87
83
+4
80avg 78
H20/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
72-95
72
95
-23
63avg 78
A27/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
75-80
75
80
-5
131avg 78
A29/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
61-93
61
93
-32
48avg 78
H01/06
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
L
90-111
90
111
-21
82avg 78
H01/10
Lega A
Cremona
#11
L
74-86
74
86
-12
65avg 78
A08/10
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
80-76
80
76
+4
64avg 78
H14/10
Lega A
Szczecin
#38
L
85-93
85
93
-8
77avg 78
A17/10
Champions League
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
66-80
66
80
-14
52avg 78
A22/10
Lega A
AEK Athens
#33
L
79-83
79
83
-4
71avg 78
H25/10
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-25
21-8
15-20
27-30
12-25
17-27
19-26
24-17
19-13
19-26
18-21
19-20
16-22
20-19
17-25
8-27
19-27
21-28
22-31
28-25
21-17
16-19
18-26
19-24
15-15
21-19
21-21
23-21
22-28
21-30
17-27
25-8
20-18
15-27
15-19
16-16
33-20
13-12
15-26
18-25
164.9Avg total
76.9Scored
88.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)77.588.2165.8-10.825%
Season at home (2)85.093.5178.5-8.550%
Season away (2)70.083.0153.0-13.00%
Last 10 (10)76.988.0164.9-11.120%
Last 5 (5)76.883.6160.4-6.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)69.985.1155.0-15.30%
vs Similar ◀ (17)86.681.0167.6+5.671%
vs Weaker (6)91.079.8170.8+11.267%
This opponent (Tortona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TortonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTortona
Date
Competition
Trento
#7
W
82-81
82
81
+1
73avg 71
A21/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
61-84
61
84
-23
46avg 71
A28/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
78-108
78
108
-30
64avg 71
A30/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
82-89
82
89
-7
74avg 71
H02/06
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
63-86
63
86
-23
55avg 71
A23/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Venezia
#4
L
60-76
60
76
-16
45avg 71
A01/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
W
69-68
69
68
+1
56avg 71
H08/10
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
80-78
80
78
+2
72avg 71
A15/10
Lega A
Murcia
#2
W
78-74
78
74
+4
70avg 71
H18/10
Champions League
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
75-79
75
79
-4
70avg 71
H22/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-27
25-12
26-20
12-22
13-23
11-21
17-19
20-21
20-23
20-32
18-25
20-28
26-21
29-18
15-27
12-23
8-23
19-22
18-20
18-21
12-17
12-18
15-21
21-20
16-17
21-20
18-13
14-18
24-23
17-17
20-18
19-20
22-25
19-17
14-16
23-16
19-22
12-19
24-13
20-25
155.1Avg total
72.8Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)71.075.2146.2-4.250%
Season at home (2)72.073.5145.5-1.550%
Season away (2)70.077.0147.0-7.050%
Last 10 (10)72.882.3155.1-9.540%
Last 5 (5)72.475.0147.4-2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)75.586.5162.0-11.012%
vs Similar ◀ (14)78.779.9158.6-1.264%
vs Weaker (6)76.074.8150.8+1.267%
This opponent (Sassari) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -4.2-4.2Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -6.5-6.5Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -3.5-3.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -4.2-4.2Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -6.5-6.5Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -3.5-3.5
SassariTortona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SassariLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#6
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H20/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
29-52
29
52
-23
A27/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A29/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H01/06
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
L
40-55
40
55
-15
H01/10
Lega A
Cremona
#11
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A08/10
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H14/10
Lega A
Szczecin
#38
L
43-58
43
58
-15
A17/10
Champions League
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A22/10
Lega A
AEK Athens
#33
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H25/10
Champions League
81.0Avg total
38.5Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.940.483.4+2.567%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.039.184.1+5.979%-
Last 30 away (16)41.141.682.8-0.556%-
Last 10 (10)38.542.581.0-4.040%-
Last 5 (5)39.441.080.4-1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)36.739.976.6-3.143%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)43.141.084.1+2.171%-
vs Weaker (6)49.839.589.3+10.383%-
This opponent (Tortona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TortonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#7
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A21/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
24-44
24
44
-20
A28/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
40-55
40
55
-15
A30/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
55-39
55
39
+16
H02/06
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A23/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Venezia
#4
L
24-35
24
35
-11
A01/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H08/10
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A15/10
Lega A
Murcia
#2
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H18/10
Champions League
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H22/10
Lega A
78.1Avg total
36.4Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.641.080.6-1.443%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.739.682.3+3.153%-
Last 30 away (15)36.542.478.9-5.933%-
Last 10 (10)36.441.778.1-5.330%-
Last 5 (5)34.839.073.8-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)39.144.984.0-5.825%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)40.539.580.0+1.050%-
vs Weaker (6)40.539.580.0+1.050%-
This opponent (Sassari) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sassaritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sassari: 75.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.318.2
50.1%
53.1%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.88.0
33.6%
35.7%24.0
🏀 Free throws20.315.5
76.4%
76.3%15.5
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tortonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tortona: 72.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.519.5
47.0%
53.1%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.56.8
27.8%
35.7%20.4
🏀 Free throws17.112.7
74.3%
76.3%12.7
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sassari
LLLWLLLLLW
Tortona
LWWWLLLLLW
#8
League position
#9
-15.1
Net rating
-13.0
103.4
Offensive rating
96.9
118.6
Defensive rating
109.9
50.2%
Effective FG%
45.0%
59.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.0%
18.2%
Turnover %
14.7%
25.6%
Off. rebound %
24.9%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.26
33.6%
3-point %
27.8%
65.3%
Assist %
60.5%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence103.4 · 96.9Defence118.6 · 109.9Shooting50.2% · 45.0%3-point %33.6% · 27.8%Ball care18.2% · 14.7%Off. rebounds25.6% · 24.9%Free throws0.34 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Sassari   ■ Tortona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Sassari wins
2
Tortona wins
DateGameScore
26/03/23Sassari v Tortona84-72
10/12/22Tortona v Sassari79-82
28/09/22Tortona v Sassari83-84
13/03/22Sassari v Tortona83-87
14/11/21Tortona v Sassari95-89
Sassarilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/23HAEK Athens79-83
22/10/23AVirtus Bologna66-80
17/10/23ASzczecin85-93
14/10/23HTreviso80-76
08/10/23ACremona74-86
01/10/23HBasket Napoli90-111
01/06/23HOlimpia Milano61-93
29/05/23AOlimpia Milano75-80
27/05/23AOlimpia Milano72-95
20/05/23HVenezia87-83
Tortonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/10/23HOlimpia Milano75-79
18/10/23HMurcia78-74
15/10/23AVarese80-78
08/10/23HBrindisi69-68
01/10/23AVenezia60-76
23/09/23ABrescia63-86
02/06/23HVirtus Bologna82-89
30/05/23AVirtus Bologna78-108
28/05/23AVirtus Bologna61-84
21/05/23ATrento82-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sassari
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWL25%
HomeLW50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game77.585.070.0
Allowed / game88.293.583.0
Point differential-10.8-8.5-13.0
Avg total165.8178.5153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tortona
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWL50%
HomeWL50%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game71.072.070.0
Allowed / game75.273.577.0
Point differential-4.2-1.5-7.0
Avg total146.2145.5147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna440100%91.575.0+16.5
2 Venezia440100%78.269.2+9.0
3 Brescia54180%85.276.6+8.6
4 Trento54180%83.882.6+1.2
5 Basket Napoli43175%87.277.2+10.0
6 Reggiana43175%83.877.5+6.2
7 Olimpia Milano43175%78.075.0+3.0
8 Scafati42250%86.086.5-0.5
9 Tortona42250%71.075.2-4.2
10 Cremona41325%84.284.8-0.5
11 Pesaro41325%81.883.0-1.2
12 Varese41325%82.290.5-8.2
13 Sassari41325%77.588.2-10.8
14 Pistoia4040%76.082.5-6.5
15 Treviso4040%76.086.8-10.8
16 Brindisi4040%67.581.8-14.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sassari2012192374
Tortona2227311494
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