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Varese vs Tortona Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 78-80
23-24 17-17 18-20 20-19
Position#12
Record1-1
FormLWLWL
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game98.5
vs
Tortona 🏆
Italy
Position#9
Record1-1
FormLLLLW
Points / game64.5
Allowed / game72.0
ItalyLega ARound 3· Palasport Lino Oldrini
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Varese v Tortona
10 Jan 2027
VAR v TOR
upcoming
28 Mar 2026
VAR97
TOR87
06 Oct 2024
VAR95
TOR105
15 Oct 2023
VAR78
TOR80
02 Jan 2023
VAR88
TOR89
20 Nov 2021
VAR85
TOR76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tortona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#14
L
81-85
81
85
-4
69avg 82
H08/04
Lega A
Trieste
#15
W
83-80
83
80
+3
72avg 82
A16/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
93-86
93
86
+7
93avg 82
H19/04
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
81-92
81
92
-11
no box
A23/04
Lega A
Scafati
#11
W
95-81
95
81
+14
98avg 82
H30/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
82-98
82
98
-16
69avg 82
A07/05
Lega A
FMP Beograd
#41
W
73-71
73
71
+2
68avg 82
A27/09
Champions League
Cholet
#14
L
88-96
88
96
-8
86avg 82
A29/09
Champions League
Pistoia
#10
W
83-82
83
82
+1
78avg 82
H04/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
84-115
84
115
-31
70avg 82
A08/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-29
26-20
15-17
26-19
17-24
21-19
23-22
22-15
20-27
25-24
30-12
18-23
18-23
18-19
17-21
28-29
32-16
14-21
23-20
26-24
24-23
15-20
22-27
21-28
23-21
12-18
14-21
24-11
22-25
22-24
34-23
10-24
27-24
17-26
18-23
21-9
22-33
17-25
28-23
17-34
172.9Avg total
84.3Scored
88.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)83.598.5182.0-15.050%
Season at home (1)83.082.0165.0+1.0100%
Season away (1)84.0115.0199.0-31.00%
Last 10 (10)84.388.6172.9-4.350%
Last 5 (5)82.092.4174.4-10.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)85.0100.8185.8-15.80%
vs Similar ◀ (14)87.989.4177.3-1.450%
vs Weaker (9)98.992.3191.2+6.689%
This opponent (Tortona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TortonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTortona
Date
Competition
Trento
#7
W
79-78
79
78
+1
70avg 71
H14/05
Lega A
Trento
#7
W
84-81
84
81
+3
72avg 71
H16/05
Lega A
Trento
#7
L
76-79
76
79
-3
65avg 71
A19/05
Lega A
Trento
#7
W
82-81
82
81
+1
73avg 71
A21/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
61-84
61
84
-23
46avg 71
A28/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
78-108
78
108
-30
64avg 71
A30/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
82-89
82
89
-7
74avg 71
H02/06
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
63-86
63
86
-23
55avg 71
A23/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Venezia
#4
L
60-76
60
76
-16
45avg 71
A01/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
W
69-68
69
68
+1
56avg 71
H08/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
24-27
19-12
17-21
18-17
23-17
25-24
18-23
12-10
27-18
14-22
23-29
19-27
25-12
26-20
12-22
13-23
11-21
17-19
20-21
20-23
20-32
18-25
20-28
26-21
29-18
15-27
12-23
8-23
19-22
18-20
18-21
12-17
12-18
15-21
21-20
16-17
21-20
18-13
14-18
156.4Avg total
73.4Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)64.572.0136.5-7.550%
Season at home (1)69.068.0137.0+1.0100%
Season away (1)60.076.0136.0-16.00%
Last 10 (10)73.483.0156.4-9.640%
Last 5 (5)70.485.4155.8-15.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)75.487.4162.8-12.012%
vs Similar ◀ (14)79.480.6160.0-1.364%
vs Weaker (6)76.074.8150.8+1.267%
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -5.1-5.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -5.1-5.1
VareseTortona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#14
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H08/04
Lega A
Trieste
#15
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A16/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H19/04
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A23/04
Lega A
Scafati
#11
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H30/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A07/05
Lega A
FMP Beograd
#41
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A27/09
Champions League
Cholet
#14
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A29/09
Champions League
Pistoia
#10
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H04/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
39-58
39
58
-19
A08/10
Lega A
86.7Avg total
40.6Scored
46.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.247.993.1-2.733%-
Last 30 at home (13)46.245.691.8+0.554%-
Last 30 away (17)44.549.694.1-5.218%-
Last 10 (10)40.646.186.7-5.510%-
Last 5 (5)40.247.888.0-7.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)40.451.892.2-11.40%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)45.846.191.9-0.343%-
vs Weaker (9)49.250.099.2-0.844%-
This opponent (Tortona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TortonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#7
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H14/05
Lega A
Trento
#7
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H16/05
Lega A
Trento
#7
W
39-28
39
28
+11
A19/05
Lega A
Trento
#7
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A21/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
24-44
24
44
-20
A28/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
40-55
40
55
-15
A30/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
55-39
55
39
+16
H02/06
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A23/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Venezia
#4
L
24-35
24
35
-11
A01/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H08/10
Lega A
77.5Avg total
37.4Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.840.880.6-1.043%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.138.982.9+5.264%-
Last 30 away (16)36.142.478.5-6.425%-
Last 10 (10)37.440.177.5-2.740%-
Last 5 (5)36.642.278.8-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)39.843.583.2-3.838%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)40.639.880.4+0.843%-
vs Weaker (6)40.539.580.0+1.050%-
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.217.1
53.1%
53.1%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.812.4
36.7%
35.7%37.2
🏀 Free throws14.811.4
77.0%
76.3%11.4
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tortonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tortona: 72.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.218.4
45.8%
53.1%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.57.3
28.6%
35.7%21.9
🏀 Free throws19.114.0
73.3%
76.3%14.0
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
LWLWLWLWWL
Tortona
WLLLLLWLWW
#12
League position
#9
-5.7
Net rating
-13.2
105.5
Offensive rating
97.6
111.2
Defensive rating
110.8
54.1%
Effective FG%
44.7%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
16.9%
Turnover %
15.3%
19.4%
Off. rebound %
26.2%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.29
36.7%
3-point %
28.6%
63.7%
Assist %
53.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence105.5 · 97.6Defence111.2 · 110.8Shooting54.1% · 44.7%3-point %36.7% · 28.6%Ball care16.9% · 15.3%Off. rebounds19.4% · 26.2%Free throws0.22 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Varese   ■ Tortona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Varese wins
3
Tortona wins
DateGameScore
05/02/23Tortona v Varese103-91
02/01/23Varese v Tortona88-89
16/04/22Tortona v Varese104-99
20/11/21Varese v Tortona85-76
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/10/23AVirtus Bologna84-115
04/10/23HPistoia83-82
29/09/23ACholet88-96
27/09/23AFMP Beograd73-71
07/05/23AVirtus Bologna82-98
30/04/23HScafati95-81
23/04/23AVenezia81-92
19/04/23HBrindisi93-86
16/04/23ATrieste83-80
08/04/23HReggiana81-85
Tortonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/10/23HBrindisi69-68
01/10/23AVenezia60-76
23/09/23ABrescia63-86
02/06/23HVirtus Bologna82-89
30/05/23AVirtus Bologna78-108
28/05/23AVirtus Bologna61-84
21/05/23ATrento82-81
19/05/23ATrento76-79
16/05/23HTrento84-81
14/05/23HTrento79-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game83.583.084.0
Allowed / game98.582.0115.0
Point differential-15.0+1.0-31.0
Avg total182.0165.0199.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tortona
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game64.569.060.0
Allowed / game72.068.076.0
Point differential-7.5+1.0-16.0
Avg total136.5137.0136.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna330100%95.378.0+17.3
2 Brescia330100%86.773.7+13.0
3 Venezia330100%77.066.7+10.3
4 Basket Napoli32167%86.379.3+7.0
5 Reggiana32167%80.073.0+7.0
6 Olimpia Milano32167%77.775.0+2.7
7 Trento32167%81.382.3-1.0
8 Tortona21150%64.572.0-7.5
9 Varese21150%83.598.5-15.0
10 Cremona31233%82.081.3+0.7
11 Pesaro31233%74.775.0-0.3
12 Scafati31233%79.081.0-2.0
13 Sassari31233%81.391.0-9.7
14 Pistoia3030%77.382.0-4.7
15 Brindisi3030%66.379.0-12.7
16 Treviso3030%75.788.3-12.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese2317182078
Tortona2417201980
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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