PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Sassari vs Tortona Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 82-89
17-23 16-19 27-22 22-25
Position#16
Record7-12
FormLWLLW
Points / game84.9
Allowed / game87.6
vs
Tortona 🏆
Italy
Position#6
Record12-7
FormLLWLW
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game87.0
ItalyLega ARound 20· Palasport Roberta Serradimigni
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Sassari v Tortona
15 Feb 2026
SAS82
TOR89
13 Apr 2025
SAS87
TOR82
28 Oct 2023
SAS74
TOR94
26 Mar 2023
SAS84
TOR72
13 Mar 2022
SAS83
TOR87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sassari winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tortona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SassariItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSassari
Date
Competition
Brescia
#4
W
93-86 OT
93
86
+7
91avg 77
H04/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
68-90
68
90
-22
60avg 77
A10/01
Lega A
Basket Zaragoza
#9
L
75-94
75
94
-19
no box
H14/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Basket Napoli
#11
L
78-84
78
84
-6
no box
H18/01
Lega A
Petkim Spor
#11
L
70-82
70
82
-12
56avg 77
A21/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Trieste
#10
L
70-76
70
76
-6
65avg 77
A24/01
Lega A
Cremona
#12
W
104-86
104
86
+18
104avg 77
H01/02
Lega A
Peristeri
#3
L
76-81
76
81
-5
70avg 77
H04/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Udine
#13
L
79-92
79
92
-13
64avg 77
A08/02
Lega A
Basket Zaragoza
#9
W
69-68
69
68
+1
67avg 77
A10/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
21-26
18-16
20-20
15-25
16-21
17-25
20-19
19-21
15-21
18-23
23-29
17-20
20-19
20-22
21-23
25-20
18-27
14-19
13-16
16-20
13-6
20-18
21-32
26-17
26-28
31-17
21-24
18-24
15-18
24-23
19-16
19-19
16-27
25-23
19-23
22-11
17-14
17-23
13-20
162.1Avg total
78.2Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)84.987.6172.5-2.637%
Season at home (10)89.585.5175.0+4.060%
Season away (9)79.989.9169.8-10.011%
Last 10 (10)78.283.9162.1-5.730%
Last 5 (5)79.680.6160.2-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)80.786.7167.4-6.029%
vs Similar (14)83.783.4167.1+0.443%
vs Weaker (2)95.569.0164.5+26.5100%
This opponent (Tortona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TortonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTortona
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
77-92
77
92
-15
70avg 81
A08/12
Lega A
Sassari
#16
W
118-113 OT
118
113
+5
113avg 81
H14/12
Lega A
Cremona
#12
W
76-71
76
71
+5
67avg 81
A21/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
W
81-67
81
67
+14
79avg 81
H28/12
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
85-79
85
79
+6
87avg 81
A04/01
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
86-92
86
92
-6
76avg 81
A11/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
78-87
78
87
-9
no box
H17/01
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#11
W
82-76
82
76
+6
69avg 81
A24/01
Lega A
Udine
#13
L
79-80
79
80
-1
71avg 81
H31/01
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
104-99
104
99
+5
96avg 81
H08/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
15-28
22-32
20-12
27-15
20-17
22-27
19-29
22-20
23-16
19-14
12-21
14-17
22-14
23-19
22-17
19-27
27-17
16-18
23-17
23-24
23-18
17-24
23-26
27-25
23-24
11-22
17-16
17-21
28-15
19-20
18-20
18-16
23-18
19-26
19-20
19-23
22-32
39-24
24-20
172.2Avg total
86.6Scored
85.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)88.087.0175.0+1.063%
Season at home (10)94.290.2184.4+4.070%
Season away (9)81.183.4164.6-2.356%
Last 10 (10)86.685.6172.2+1.060%
Last 5 (5)85.886.8172.6-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)77.386.6163.9-9.314%
vs Similar (10)86.487.1173.5-0.740%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)91.586.9178.4+4.577%
This opponent (Sassari) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: -0.1-0.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: -0.1-0.1
SassariTortona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SassariLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#4
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H04/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A10/01
Lega A
Basket Zaragoza
#9
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H14/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Basket Napoli
#11
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H18/01
Lega A
Petkim Spor
#11
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A21/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Trieste
#10
W
29-26
29
26
+3
A24/01
Lega A
Cremona
#12
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H01/02
Lega A
Peristeri
#3
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H04/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Udine
#13
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A08/02
Lega A
Basket Zaragoza
#9
W
39-25
39
25
+14
A10/02
FIBA Europe Cup
77.9Avg total
37.6Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.841.481.2-1.640%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.641.485.0+2.247%-
Last 30 away (15)36.041.377.3-5.333%-
Last 10 (10)37.640.377.9-2.730%-
Last 5 (5)37.636.874.4+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)38.141.980.0-3.729%-
vs Similar (14)40.740.981.6-0.250%-
vs Weaker (2)45.041.086.0+4.050%-
This opponent (Tortona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TortonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A08/12
Lega A
Sassari
#16
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H14/12
Lega A
Cremona
#12
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A21/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H28/12
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A04/01
Lega A
Brescia
#4
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A11/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H17/01
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#11
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A24/01
Lega A
Udine
#13
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H31/01
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
41-55
41
55
-14
H08/02
Lega A
83.9Avg total
43.2Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.642.385.9+1.363%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.542.186.6+2.469%-
Last 30 away (14)42.542.585.0+0.057%-
Last 10 (10)43.240.783.9+2.580%-
Last 5 (5)44.643.287.8+1.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)42.044.086.0-2.057%-
vs Similar (10)42.443.085.4-0.650%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)45.340.886.2+4.577%-
This opponent (Sassari) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sassaritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sassari: 81.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.520.8
54.0%
54.1%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.47.7
31.6%
34.6%23.1
🏀 Free throws23.017.1
74.3%
76.1%17.1
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tortonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tortona: 87.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.820.2
52.1%
54.1%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.89.6
33.3%
34.6%28.8
🏀 Free throws22.818.0
78.9%
76.1%18.0
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sassari
WLLWLLLLLW
Tortona
WLWLLWWWWL
#16
League position
#6
-0.5
Net rating
+1.4
100.3
Offensive rating
108.8
100.8
Defensive rating
107.4
51.4%
Effective FG%
51.2%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
54.1%
15.0%
Turnover %
13.0%
37.5%
Off. rebound %
32.8%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.34
31.6%
3-point %
33.3%
66.0%
Assist %
58.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence100.3 · 108.8Defence100.8 · 107.4Shooting51.4% · 51.2%3-point %31.6% · 33.3%Ball care15.0% · 13.0%Off. rebounds37.5% · 32.8%Free throws0.37 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Sassari   ■ Tortona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Sassari wins
6
Tortona wins
DateGameScore
14/12/25Tortona v Sassari118-113 OT
13/04/25Sassari v Tortona87-82
03/11/24Tortona v Sassari71-68
10/02/24Tortona v Sassari79-62
28/10/23Sassari v Tortona74-94
26/03/23Sassari v Tortona84-72
10/12/22Tortona v Sassari79-82
28/09/22Tortona v Sassari83-84
13/03/22Sassari v Tortona83-87
14/11/21Tortona v Sassari95-89
Sassarilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/26ABasket Zaragoza69-68
08/02/26AUdine79-92
04/02/26HPeristeri76-81
01/02/26HCremona104-86
24/01/26ATrieste70-76
21/01/26APetkim Spor70-82
18/01/26HBasket Napoli78-84
14/01/26HBasket Zaragoza75-94
10/01/26AReggiana68-90
04/01/26HBrescia93-86 OT
Tortonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/26HTrieste104-99
31/01/26HUdine79-80
24/01/26ABasket Napoli82-76
17/01/26HOlimpia Milano78-87
11/01/26ABrescia86-92
04/01/26ACantu85-79
28/12/25HReggiana81-67
21/12/25ACremona76-71
14/12/25HSassari118-113 OT
08/12/25AVirtus Bologna77-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sassari
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL37%
HomeWWWLW60%
AwayLWLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %37%60%11%
Points / game84.989.579.9
Allowed / game87.685.589.9
Point differential-2.6+4.0-10.0
Avg total172.5175.0169.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%30%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %11%10%11%
Tortona
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW63%
HomeWWLLW70%
AwayLWWLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %63%70%56%
Points / game88.094.281.1
Allowed / game87.090.283.4
Point differential+1.0+4.0-2.3
Avg total175.0184.4164.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%30%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)75% (4)100% (3)
Overtime %5%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna1916384%82.273.9+8.3
2 Brescia2015575%88.883.7+5.1
3 Venezia1813572%91.885.3+6.6
4 Olimpia Milano1913668%84.778.1+6.6
5 Trapani1510567%78.877.9+0.9
6 Tortona1912763%88.087.0+1.0
7 Trento1910953%81.978.9+3.0
8 Trieste1910953%85.787.3-1.5
9 Udine1981142%81.481.3+0.1
10 Cremona1981142%82.985.1-2.2
11 Varese2081240%82.586.5-4.0
12 Sassari1971237%84.987.6-2.6
13 Basket Napoli1971237%83.786.4-2.7
14 Reggiana1861233%79.981.4-1.4
15 Cantu1941521%82.189.3-7.2
16 Treviso1931616%80.689.9-9.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sassari1716272282
Tortona2319222589
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.