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Tortona vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 22 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 16:15
Final 75-79
19-22 12-19 24-13 20-25
Position#9
Record2-1
FormLLWWW
Points / game69.7
Allowed / game74.0
vs
Position#1
Record2-1
FormLLWWL
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game75.0
ItalyLega ARound 4· PalaFerraris
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Tortona v Olimpia Milano
22 Nov 2026
TOR v MIL
upcoming
17 Jan 2026
TOR78
MIL87
27 Apr 2025
TOR68
MIL85
22 Oct 2023
TOR75
MIL79
30 Apr 2023
TOR75
MIL77
06 Mar 2022
TOR64
MIL81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tortona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TortonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTortona
Date
Competition
Trento
#7
L
76-79
76
79
-3
65avg 71
A19/05
Lega A
Trento
#7
W
82-81
82
81
+1
73avg 71
A21/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
61-84
61
84
-23
46avg 71
A28/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
78-108
78
108
-30
64avg 71
A30/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
82-89
82
89
-7
74avg 71
H02/06
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
63-86
63
86
-23
55avg 71
A23/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Venezia
#4
L
60-76
60
76
-16
45avg 71
A01/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
W
69-68
69
68
+1
56avg 71
H08/10
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
80-78
80
78
+2
72avg 71
A15/10
Lega A
Murcia
#2
W
78-74
78
74
+4
70avg 71
H18/10
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-10
27-18
14-22
23-29
19-27
25-12
26-20
12-22
13-23
11-21
17-19
20-21
20-23
20-32
18-25
20-28
26-21
29-18
15-27
12-23
8-23
19-22
18-20
18-21
12-17
12-18
15-21
21-20
16-17
21-20
18-13
14-18
24-23
17-17
20-18
19-20
22-25
19-17
14-16
23-16
155.2Avg total
72.9Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)69.774.0143.7-4.367%
Season at home (1)69.068.0137.0+1.0100%
Season away (2)70.077.0147.0-7.050%
Last 10 (10)72.982.3155.2-9.440%
Last 5 (5)70.076.4146.4-6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)74.086.5160.5-12.512%
vs Similar (14)78.779.9158.6-1.264%
vs Weaker (6)76.074.8150.8+1.267%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
79-72
79
72
+7
78avg 76
H19/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
66-85
66
85
-19
56avg 76
A21/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
67-55
67
55
+12
63avg 76
H23/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
73-78
73
78
-5
70avg 76
H23/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Treviso
#13
W
86-80
86
80
+6
78avg 76
H01/10
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#7
L
82-85 OT
82
85
-3
79avg 76
A06/10
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#7
L
68-77
68
77
-9
61avg 76
A08/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
W
79-68
79
68
+11
86avg 76
H14/10
Lega A
Olympiacos
#4
W
65-53
65
53
+12
61avg 76
H17/10
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#1
L
71-88
71
88
-17
59avg 76
A19/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-24
16-13
17-17
20-18
27-23
16-26
16-18
7-18
21-9
17-20
10-5
19-21
12-14
20-20
21-25
20-19
17-24
21-16
24-21
24-19
23-19
12-19
19-24
22-14
13-23
22-12
12-23
21-19
9-18
25-9
26-18
19-23
19-17
12-15
13-9
21-12
25-19
17-23
19-25
10-21
147.7Avg total
73.6Scored
74.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)77.775.0152.7+2.767%
Season at home (2)82.574.0156.5+8.5100%
Season away (1)68.077.0145.0-9.00%
Last 10 (10)73.674.1147.7-0.550%
Last 5 (5)73.074.2147.2-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)77.582.0159.5-4.550%
vs Similar (10)76.475.9152.3+0.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)85.472.3157.7+13.182%
This opponent (Tortona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: -0.1-0.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: -0.1-0.1
TortonaOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TortonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#7
W
39-28
39
28
+11
A19/05
Lega A
Trento
#7
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A21/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
24-44
24
44
-20
A28/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
40-55
40
55
-15
A30/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
55-39
55
39
+16
H02/06
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A23/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Venezia
#4
L
24-35
24
35
-11
A01/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H08/10
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A15/10
Lega A
Murcia
#2
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H18/10
Champions League
77.6Avg total
37.2Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.540.980.5-1.443%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.639.583.1+4.157%-
Last 30 away (16)36.042.278.2-6.231%-
Last 10 (10)37.240.477.6-3.240%-
Last 5 (5)34.039.873.8-5.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)38.944.683.5-5.825%-
vs Similar (14)40.539.580.0+1.050%-
vs Weaker (6)40.539.580.0+1.050%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H19/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A21/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H23/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H23/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Treviso
#13
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H01/10
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#7
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A06/10
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#7
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A08/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H14/10
Lega A
Olympiacos
#4
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H17/10
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#1
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A19/10
Euroleague
73.3Avg total
37.0Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.935.475.3+4.557%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.833.673.3+6.267%-
Last 30 away (12)40.138.278.3+1.842%-
Last 10 (10)37.036.373.3+0.730%-
Last 5 (5)35.434.870.2+0.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)40.539.079.5+1.550%-
vs Similar (10)37.037.774.7-0.740%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)42.033.875.8+8.271%-
This opponent (Tortona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tortonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tortona: 72.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.019.0
46.3%
53.1%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.26.8
27.0%
35.7%20.4
🏀 Free throws18.113.6
75.1%
76.3%13.6
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 73.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.518.2
56.0%
53.1%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.47.7
31.6%
35.7%23.1
🏀 Free throws17.413.5
77.6%
76.3%13.5
They take 56.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tortona
WWWLLLLLWL
Olimpia Milano
LWWLLWLWLW
#9
League position
#1
-13.5
Net rating
+0.1
96.9
Offensive rating
103.7
110.4
Defensive rating
103.6
44.1%
Effective FG%
52.3%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
14.6%
Turnover %
21.0%
25.5%
Off. rebound %
28.3%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.31
27.0%
3-point %
31.6%
55.4%
Assist %
62.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence96.9 · 103.7Defence110.4 · 103.6Shooting44.1% · 52.3%3-point %27.0% · 31.6%Ball care14.6% · 21.0%Off. rebounds25.5% · 28.3%Free throws0.27 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Tortona   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Tortona wins
5
Olimpia Milano wins
Tortonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/23HMurcia78-74
15/10/23AVarese80-78
08/10/23HBrindisi69-68
01/10/23AVenezia60-76
23/09/23ABrescia63-86
02/06/23HVirtus Bologna82-89
30/05/23AVirtus Bologna78-108
28/05/23AVirtus Bologna61-84
21/05/23ATrento82-81
19/05/23ATrento76-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/10/23AReal Madrid71-88
17/10/23HOlympiacos65-53
14/10/23HReggiana79-68
08/10/23ABasket Napoli68-77
06/10/23AFenerbahce82-85 OT
01/10/23HTreviso86-80
23/09/23HVirtus Bologna73-78
23/06/23HVirtus Bologna67-55
21/06/23AVirtus Bologna66-85
19/06/23HVirtus Bologna79-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tortona
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game69.769.070.0
Allowed / game74.068.077.0
Point differential-4.3+1.0-7.0
Avg total143.7137.0147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game77.782.568.0
Allowed / game75.074.077.0
Point differential+2.7+8.5-9.0
Avg total152.7156.5145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna330100%95.378.0+17.3
2 Brescia330100%86.773.7+13.0
3 Venezia440100%78.269.2+9.0
4 Basket Napoli43175%87.277.2+10.0
5 Reggiana43175%83.877.5+6.2
6 Trento43175%82.282.8-0.5
7 Olimpia Milano32167%77.775.0+2.7
8 Tortona32167%69.774.0-4.3
9 Pesaro31233%74.775.0-0.3
10 Scafati31233%79.081.0-2.0
11 Sassari31233%81.391.0-9.7
12 Cremona41325%84.284.8-0.5
13 Varese41325%82.290.5-8.2
14 Pistoia3030%77.382.0-4.7
15 Treviso4040%76.086.8-10.8
16 Brindisi4040%67.581.8-14.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tortona1912242075
Olimpia Milano2219132579
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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