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Saudi Arabia vs Lebanon Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 02 Jul 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 82-88
19-22 23-19 24-22 16-25
Position#59
Record3-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game70.5
vs
Lebanon 🏆
Position#18
Record3-1
FormLWLWW
Points / game87.8
Allowed / game70.0
EuropeWorld CupRound 5· King Abdullah Sports City
Other2027
Meetings · Saudi Arabia v Lebanon
02 Jul 2026
SAUD82
LEBA88
27 Feb 2022
SAUD68
LEBA81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Saudi Arabia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lebanon winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Saudi ArabiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormArabia
Date
Competition
Jordan
#7
L
68-78
68
78
-10
no box
A21/02
Asia Cup
Palestine
#22
W
93-71
93
71
+22
no box
H24/02
Asia Cup
China
#2
L
88-93
88
93
-5
77avg 74
A05/08
Asia Cup
Jordan
#7
W
77-73
77
73
+4
73avg 74
H07/08
Asia Cup
India
#23
W
84-59
84
59
+25
83avg 74
A09/08
Asia Cup
Philippines
#11
L
88-95 OT
88
95
-7
71avg 74
H11/08
Asia Cup
India
#91
W
75-51
75
51
+24
no box
H27/11
World Cup
India
#91
W
81-57
81
57
+24
no box
A30/11
World Cup
Lebanon
#18
L
64-94
64
94
-30
no box
A27/02
World Cup
Qatar
#50
W
86-80
86
80
+6
no box
A29/06
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-31
20-19
10-18
22-10
25-16
25-21
22-21
21-13
22-30
21-23
22-27
23-13
21-17
27-14
19-22
10-20
24-25
21-6
21-18
18-10
15-25
22-15
22-20
20-19
28-16
17-16
16-11
14-8
19-9
24-12
26-15
12-21
17-26
16-25
13-28
18-15
29-20
17-15
22-24
18-21
155.5Avg total
80.4Scored
75.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)76.570.5147.0+6.075%
Season at home (1)75.051.0126.0+24.0100%
Season away (3)77.077.0154.0+0.067%
Last 10 (10)80.475.1155.5+5.360%
Last 5 (5)78.875.4154.2+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)62.585.1147.6-22.50%
vs Similar (6)77.079.8156.8-2.850%
vs Weaker (13)77.062.7139.7+14.392%
This opponent (Lebanon) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LebanonLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLebanon
Date
Competition
United Arab Emirates
#19
W
91-88
91
88
+3
no box
H24/02
Asia Cup
Qatar
#13
W
84-80
84
80
+4
68avg 84
A06/08
Asia Cup
Australia
#1
L
80-93
80
93
-13
69avg 84
H08/08
Asia Cup
South Korea
#8
L
86-97
86
97
-11
82avg 84
A10/08
Asia Cup
Japan
#6
W
97-73
97
73
+24
100avg 84
A12/08
Asia Cup
New Zealand
#4
L
86-90
86
90
-4
85avg 84
A14/08
Asia Cup
Qatar
#50
W
75-74
75
74
+1
no box
A27/11
World Cup
Qatar
#50
L
83-86
83
86
-3
no box
H30/11
World Cup
Saudi Arabia
#59
W
94-64
94
64
+30
no box
H27/02
World Cup
India
#91
W
99-56
99
56
+43
no box
H29/06
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
25-16
24-31
24-20
16-11
19-24
26-16
23-29
14-31
24-27
22-26
20-9
17-26
19-26
20-22
30-23
23-19
30-22
28-23
16-9
32-12
13-18
17-26
24-34
21-9
12-17
17-17
25-31
19-14
19-21
17-25
28-26
26-17
25-16
28-13
15-18
25-13
28-16
25-14
21-13
167.6Avg total
87.5Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)87.870.0157.8+17.875%
Season at home (3)92.068.7160.7+23.367%
Season away (1)75.074.0149.0+1.0100%
Last 10 (10)87.580.1167.6+7.460%
Last 5 (5)87.474.0161.4+13.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)79.496.6176.0-17.114%
vs Similar (2)85.074.0159.0+11.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)89.676.4166.0+13.286%
This opponent (Saudi Arabia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: +1.4+1.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: +1.4+1.4
Saudi ArabiaLebanon
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Saudi ArabiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jordan
#7
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A21/02
Asia Cup
Palestine
#22
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H24/02
Asia Cup
China
#2
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A05/08
Asia Cup
Jordan
#7
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H07/08
Asia Cup
India
#23
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A09/08
Asia Cup
Philippines
#11
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H11/08
Asia Cup
India
#91
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H27/11
World Cup
India
#91
W
43-21
43
21
+22
A30/11
World Cup
Lebanon
#18
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A27/02
World Cup
Qatar
#50
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A29/06
World Cup
80.7Avg total
42.6Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.538.174.6-1.643%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.437.174.5+0.347%-
Last 30 away (15)35.639.174.7-3.540%-
Last 10 (10)42.638.180.7+4.560%-
Last 5 (5)40.835.876.6+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)29.945.074.9-15.10%-
vs Similar (6)41.838.580.3+3.350%-
vs Weaker (13)39.632.171.7+7.577%-
This opponent (Lebanon) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LebanonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
United Arab Emirates
#19
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H24/02
Asia Cup
Qatar
#13
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A06/08
Asia Cup
Australia
#1
L
38-58
38
58
-20
H08/08
Asia Cup
South Korea
#8
L
36-52
36
52
-16
A10/08
Asia Cup
Japan
#6
W
53-41
53
41
+12
A12/08
Asia Cup
New Zealand
#4
W
45-30
45
30
+15
A14/08
Asia Cup
Qatar
#50
W
33-26
33
26
+7
A27/11
World Cup
Qatar
#50
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H30/11
World Cup
Saudi Arabia
#59
W
51-33
51
33
+18
H27/02
World Cup
India
#91
W
53-29
53
29
+24
H29/06
World Cup
80.1Avg total
42.5Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.339.282.4+4.167%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.939.480.2+1.564%-
Last 30 away (16)45.439.084.4+6.469%-
Last 10 (10)42.537.680.1+4.970%-
Last 5 (5)44.030.674.6+13.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)37.348.986.1-11.614%-
vs Similar (2)40.539.580.0+1.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)45.535.981.4+9.686%-
This opponent (Saudi Arabia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Saudi Arabiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saudi Arabia: 75.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.217.5
51.2%
-35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.69.1
29.7%
-27.3
🏀 Free throws20.413.4
65.7%
-13.4
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lebanontheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lebanon: 88.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.4 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 16% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.526.2
55.2%
-52.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.97.2
32.9%
-21.6
🏀 Free throws18.914.1
74.6%
-14.1
They take 69.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Jul 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Saudi Arabia
WLWWLWWLWL
Lebanon
WWLWLWLLWW
#59
League position
#18
+4.3
Net rating
+10.4
102.6
Offensive rating
110.9
98.3
Defensive rating
100.4
48.1%
Effective FG%
53.3%
46.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.3%
18.0%
Turnover %
17.1%
32.9%
Off. rebound %
32.8%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.27
29.7%
3-point %
32.9%
59.0%
Assist %
65.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Saudi Arabia   ■ Lebanon
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Saudi Arabia wins
3
Lebanon wins
DateGameScore
27/02/26Lebanon v Saudi Arabia94-64
04/07/22Lebanon v Saudi Arabia90-60
27/02/22Saudi Arabia v Lebanon68-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/06/26AQatar86-80
27/02/26ALebanon64-94
30/11/25AIndia81-57
27/11/25HIndia75-51
11/08/25HPhilippines88-95 OT
09/08/25AIndia84-59
07/08/25HJordan77-73
05/08/25AChina88-93
24/02/25HPalestine93-71
21/02/25AJordan68-78
Lebanonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/06/26HIndia99-56
27/02/26HSaudi Arabia94-64
30/11/25HQatar83-86
27/11/25AQatar75-74
14/08/25ANew Zealand86-90
12/08/25AJapan97-73
10/08/25ASouth Korea86-97
08/08/25HAustralia80-93
06/08/25AQatar84-80
24/02/25HUnited Arab Emirates91-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Saudi Arabia
World Cup 2027
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeW100%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %75%100%67%
Points / game76.575.077.0
Allowed / game70.551.077.0
Point differential+6.0+24.0+0.0
Avg total147.0126.0154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lebanon
World Cup 2027
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeLWW67%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%67%100%
Points / game87.892.075.0
Allowed / game70.068.774.0
Point differential+17.8+23.3+1.0
Avg total157.8160.7149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
2 Ivory Coast330100%95.071.0+24.0
3 Uruguay440100%81.562.0+19.5
4 Spain440100%82.063.8+18.2
5 Brazil440100%88.871.0+17.8
6 Canada440100%99.582.2+17.2
7 Guinea440100%76.561.2+15.2
8 Turkey440100%88.573.8+14.8
9 Australia440100%87.275.5+11.8
10 Poland440100%87.878.8+9.0
11 Mali440100%82.074.8+7.2
12 Croatia87188%93.672.2+21.4
13 Jordan54180%80.858.6+22.2
14 Iran54180%75.865.8+10.0
15 South Sudan43175%84.862.8+22.0
16 Argentina43175%82.563.2+19.2
17 Lebanon43175%87.870.0+17.8
18 Slovenia43175%93.080.0+13.0
19 Italy43175%83.873.5+10.2
20 Germany43175%87.878.8+9.0
21 Japan43175%82.074.0+8.0
22 France43175%81.874.0+7.8
23 Saudi Arabia43175%76.570.5+6.0
24 Finland43175%78.576.5+2.0
25 Senegal32167%84.770.7+14.0
26 Angola32167%84.073.3+10.7
27 Dominican Republic32167%88.778.3+10.3
28 Mexico32167%91.084.0+7.0
29 Ukraine96367%80.075.2+4.8
30 Cameroon32167%71.369.7+1.7
31 Cape Verde32167%82.086.7-4.7
32 Colombia32167%79.385.7-6.3
33 Netherlands85362%81.276.1+5.1
34 Romania138562%77.877.5+0.4
35 Greece53260%75.467.4+8.0
36 Lithuania53260%91.884.6+7.2
37 Qatar53260%80.874.6+6.2
38 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
39 Switzerland148657%73.269.5+3.7
40 Israel42250%79.270.5+8.8
41 Philippines42250%78.569.8+8.8
42 Bosnia & Herzegovina42250%79.571.8+7.8
43 New Zealand42250%81.074.0+7.0
44 Portugal42250%86.580.2+6.2
45 Austria126650%84.979.5+5.4
46 Hungary84450%80.977.6+3.2
47 Tunisia42250%76.273.5+2.8
48 South Korea42250%76.876.8+0.0
49 Estonia42250%85.886.5-0.8
50 China42250%84.885.8-1.0
51 Serbia42250%82.083.5-1.5
52 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
53 Jamaica42250%91.594.5-3.0
54 Nigeria42250%73.076.8-3.8
55 Iceland42250%83.287.5-4.2
56 Czech Republic42250%84.289.2-5.0
57 D.R. Congo42250%71.078.0-7.0
58 Montenegro42250%68.575.5-7.0
59 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
60 Georgia52340%78.881.6-2.8
61 Syria52340%68.879.4-10.6
62 Venezuela31233%78.080.7-2.7
63 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
64 Egypt41325%77.574.8+2.8
65 Latvia41325%79.582.5-3.0
66 Puerto Rico41325%84.587.8-3.2
67 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
68 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
69 Chinese Taipei41325%76.883.8-7.0
70 Sweden41325%79.887.0-7.2
71 Denmark82625%72.682.5-9.9
72 Bulgaria41325%75.886.0-10.2
73 Bahamas41325%82.093.0-11.0
74 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
75 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
76 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
77 Panama41325%75.289.8-14.5
78 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
79 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
80 Great Britain51420%79.091.0-12.0
81 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
82 Belgium4040%72.278.8-6.5
83 Chile4040%68.579.5-11.0
84 Rwanda4040%67.081.2-14.2
85 Libya4040%64.284.0-19.8
86 Madagascar4040%70.291.8-21.5
87 Iraq5050%69.891.4-21.6
88 Uganda3030%64.388.3-24.0
89 Cuba4040%65.089.2-24.2
90 India5050%58.683.8-25.2
91 Nicaragua2020%66.592.5-26.0
92 Guam4040%66.093.5-27.5
93 Cyprus4040%58.090.0-32.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 93 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Saudi Arabia1923241682
Lebanon2219222588
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