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Scafati vs Cantu Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 22 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 16:30
Projected 86-85
Projected total 171.3
Scheduled
Position#15
Record1-6
FormLLWLL
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game92.0
Scafati
Italy
Vs
55%
45%
■ SKA 55%■ KAN 45%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
2.9/10
🧊 Cold
3.9/10
Below normal
Cantu
Italy
Position#16
Record0-7
FormLLLLL
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game90.9
ItalyLega ARound 9· Pala Mangano
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Scafati v Cantu
22 Nov 2026
SKA v KAN
upcoming
14 Jun 2022
SKA73
KAN60
06 Jun 2022
SKA67
KAN53
04 Jun 2022
SKA89
KAN79
24 Apr 2022
SKA66
KAN62
Sections
Game preview & prediction
Scafati host Cantu in the Lega Basket Serie A. Pythia makes Scafati the favourite at 55% and projects 86-85, about 171 points in all. Overtime chance: 5%. Scafati are 1-6 this season (81.6 scored, 92.0 allowed a game), form LLWLL; Cantu are 0-7 this season (76.9 scored, 90.9 allowed a game), form LLLLL.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Scafati win
55.2%fair 1.81
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Cantu win
44.8%fair 2.23
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 21:00 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ScafatiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormScafati
Date
Competition
Cento
#18
W
88-83
88
83
+5
69avg 73
A12/04
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
W
93-71
93
71
+22
91avg 73
H19/04
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
80-76
80
76
+4
67avg 73
A26/04
Serie A2
Udine
#7
L
63-87
63
87
-24
50avg 73
A27/09
Lega A
Varese
#8
L
77-85
77
85
-8
67avg 73
H04/10
Lega A
Verona
#10
L
82-89
82
89
-7
39avg 73
H11/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
83-108
83
108
-25
74avg 73
A18/10
Lega A
Trento
#11
W
87-81
87
81
+6
80avg 73
H24/10
Lega A
BC Roma
#12
L
90-103
90
103
-13
81avg 73
A31/10
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#2
L
89-91
89
91
-2
no box
H08/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-14
26-22
24-24
22-23
24-21
24-14
26-20
19-16
32-16
17-27
17-18
14-15
11-19
17-28
14-23
21-17
17-24
21-16
24-30
15-15
25-24
22-28
25-18
10-19
17-32
19-18
20-23
27-35
22-26
16-19
24-19
25-17
29-25
24-26
23-27
14-25
19-22
28-15
28-27
14-27
170.6Avg total
83.2Scored
87.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)81.692.0173.6-10.414%
Season at home (4)83.886.5170.2-2.825%
Season away (3)78.799.3178.0-20.70%
Last 10 (10)83.287.4170.6-4.240%
Last 5 (5)86.294.4180.6-8.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)81.692.0173.6-10.414%
vs Similar ◀ (8)78.980.4159.2-1.562%
vs Weaker (15)87.174.2161.3+12.993%
This opponent (Cantu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CantuItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCantu
Date
Competition
Varese
#8
W
100-96
100
96
+4
97avg 76
H19/04
Lega A
Udine
#13
L
83-95
83
95
-12
75avg 76
A25/04
Lega A
Treviso
#14
L
72-80
72
80
-8
63avg 76
H03/05
Lega A
Venezia
#9
L
73-85
73
85
-12
62avg 76
A26/09
Lega A
Udine
#7
L
84-85 OT
84
85
-1
74avg 76
H05/10
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#2
L
80-99
80
99
-19
78avg 76
H11/10
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
72-92
72
92
-20
58avg 76
A18/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#13
L
60-81
60
81
-21
49avg 76
A25/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#3
L
82-95
82
95
-13
no box
H02/11
Lega A
Maxima Roma
#4
L
87-99
87
99
-12
no box
A08/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-19
26-25
30-26
24-26
17-19
21-25
24-27
21-24
15-21
22-17
19-13
16-29
17-21
14-22
21-24
21-18
20-18
16-18
20-22
21-19
19-20
22-29
20-17
19-33
18-20
20-24
15-23
19-25
20-23
19-15
14-18
7-25
27-23
20-28
17-21
18-23
24-23
20-31
19-24
24-21
170.0Avg total
79.3Scored
90.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)76.990.9167.7-14.00%
Season at home (3)82.093.0175.0-11.00%
Season away (4)73.089.2162.2-16.20%
Last 10 (10)79.390.7170.0-11.410%
Last 5 (5)76.293.2169.4-17.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)80.889.6170.4-8.811%
vs Similar ◀ (12)85.986.2172.2-0.342%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Scafati) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Total points distribution

3%6%9%12%0%1251%1301%1352%1404%1456%1508%15510%16011%16512%17011%17510%1807%1855%1903%1952%2001%2051%2100%2150%220
1%1302%1406%15010%16012%17010%1805%1902%2001%2100%220
Pythia expects about 171 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 170-174 (12%).
Over/Under 168
Over 168
57.1%
Under 168
42.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 173
Over 173
45.0%
Under 173
55.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 178
Over 178
33.5%
Under 178
66.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Scafati total 84.5
Over 84.5
56.9%
Under 84.5
43.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Scafati total 88.5
Over 88.5
42.0%
Under 88.5
58.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Scafati total 92.5
Over 92.5
28.3%
Under 92.5
71.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cantu total 80.5
Over 80.5
66.1%
Under 80.5
33.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cantu total 84.5
Over 84.5
51.1%
Under 84.5
48.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cantu total 88.5
Over 88.5
36.0%
Under 88.5
64.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

2%5%7%10%0%-330%-301%-271%-242%-213%-184%-156%-128%-99%-69%-36%+010%+39%+68%+97%+125%+154%+183%+212%+241%+271%+300%+33
0%-331%-272%-214%-158%-99%-310%+38%+95%+153%+211%+270%+33
Margin from Scafati's side (positive = Scafati win). Pythia's expected margin is +1.5; Scafati win by 1+ in 49% of simulations.
Spread Scafati -3
SKA -3
46.3%
KAN +3
53.7%
Best 5 market prices
SKA
No market prices yet.
KAN
No market prices yet.
Spread Scafati 0
SKA 0
55.2%
KAN 0
44.8%
Best 5 market prices
SKA
No market prices yet.
KAN
No market prices yet.
Spread Scafati +3
SKA +3
64.0%
KAN -3
36.0%
Best 5 market prices
SKA
No market prices yet.
KAN
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: -5.3-5.3
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: -5.3-5.3
ScafatiCantu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ScafatiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cento
#18
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A12/04
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H19/04
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A26/04
Serie A2
Udine
#7
L
28-47
28
47
-19
A27/09
Lega A
Varese
#8
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H04/10
Lega A
Verona
#10
L
47-52
47
52
-5
H11/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A18/10
Lega A
Trento
#11
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H24/10
Lega A
BC Roma
#12
W
53-51
53
51
+2
A31/10
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#2
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H08/11
Lega A
86.2Avg total
42.6Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.039.681.6+2.467%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.139.183.3+5.073%-
Last 30 away (15)39.940.180.0-0.360%-
Last 10 (10)42.643.686.2-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)44.247.091.2-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)41.046.087.0-5.029%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)41.238.980.1+2.475%-
vs Weaker (15)42.937.179.9+5.880%-
This opponent (Cantu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CantuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#8
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H19/04
Lega A
Udine
#13
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A25/04
Lega A
Treviso
#14
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H03/05
Lega A
Venezia
#9
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A26/09
Lega A
Udine
#7
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H05/10
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#2
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H11/10
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A18/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#13
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A25/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#3
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H02/11
Lega A
Maxima Roma
#4
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A08/11
Lega A
83.8Avg total
39.7Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.745.487.0-3.727%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.443.787.1-0.340%-
Last 30 away (15)39.947.187.0-7.113%-
Last 10 (10)39.744.183.8-4.420%-
Last 5 (5)41.847.289.0-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)41.147.388.4-6.317%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)42.642.485.0+0.242%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Scafati) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Scafatitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Scafati: 78.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.117.9
48.2%
54.3%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.59.3
39.6%
34.3%27.9
🏀 Free throws22.214.4
64.9%
74.6%14.4
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cantutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cantu: 78.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.818.3
51.1%
54.3%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.49.0
34.1%
34.3%27.0
🏀 Free throws21.814.5
66.5%
74.6%14.5
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Scafati
LLWLLLLWWW
Cantu
LLLLLLLLLW
#15
League position
#16
-4.9
Net rating
-10.7
95.9
Offensive rating
90.1
100.8
Defensive rating
100.9
52.6%
Effective FG%
51.1%
56.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.9%
14.9%
Turnover %
16.8%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.35
39.6%
3-point %
34.1%
56.6%
Assist %
61.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence95.9 · 90.1Defence100.8 · 100.9Shooting52.6% · 51.1%3-point %39.6% · 34.1%Ball care14.9% · 16.8%Free throws0.37 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)40% · 10%
■ Scafati   ■ Cantu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Scafati wins
2
Cantu wins
DateGameScore
14/06/22Scafati v Cantu73-60
11/06/22Cantu v Scafati77-68
09/06/22Cantu v Scafati79-68
06/06/22Scafati v Cantu67-53
04/06/22Scafati v Cantu89-79
24/04/22Scafati v Cantu66-62
Scafatilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26HBasket Napoli89-91
31/10/26ABC Roma90-103
24/10/26HTrento87-81
18/10/26AVirtus Bologna83-108
11/10/26HVerona82-89
04/10/26HVarese77-85
27/09/26AUdine63-87
26/04/26ARimini80-76
19/04/26HAvellino Basket93-71
12/04/26ACento88-83
Cantulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26AMaxima Roma87-99
02/11/26HOlimpia Milano82-95
25/10/26AReggiana60-81
18/10/26ATrieste72-92
11/10/26HBasket Napoli80-99
05/10/26HUdine84-85 OT
26/09/26AVenezia73-85
03/05/26HTreviso72-80
25/04/26AUdine83-95
19/04/26HVarese100-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Scafati
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL14%
HomeLLWL25%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %14%25%0%
Points / game81.683.878.7
Allowed / game92.086.599.3
Point differential-10.4-2.8-20.7
Avg total173.6170.2178.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cantu
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game76.982.073.0
Allowed / game90.993.089.2
Point differential-14.0-11.0-16.2
Avg total167.7175.0162.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %14%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna76186%96.486.0+10.4
2 Basket Napoli76186%93.786.6+7.1
3 Olimpia Milano75271%90.982.7+8.1
4 Maxima Roma75271%88.183.7+4.4
5 Treviso75271%90.788.6+2.1
6 Trieste74357%94.488.4+6.0
7 Udine74357%81.380.3+1.0
8 Varese74357%87.787.6+0.1
9 Venezia74357%87.988.6-0.7
10 Verona73443%88.491.1-2.7
11 Trento73443%80.483.6-3.1
12 BC Roma72529%100.199.3+0.9
13 Reggiana72529%81.783.7-2.0
14 Tortona72529%83.791.0-7.3
15 Scafati71614%81.692.0-10.4
16 Cantu7070%76.990.9-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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