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Cantu vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 100-96
20-19 26-25 30-26 24-26
Position#15
Record8-18
FormWLWWL
Points / game83.7
Allowed / game88.3
Cantu 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#8
Record12-14
FormWLWLW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game87.3
ItalyLega ARound 27· PalaFitLineDesio
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Cantu v Varese
06 Dec 2026
KAN v VAR
upcoming
19 Apr 2026
KAN100
VAR96
31 Jan 2021
KAN97
VAR82
07 Sep 2020
KAN81
VAR72
08 Dec 2019
KAN74
VAR67
20 Apr 2019
KAN84
VAR75
05 Feb 2018
KAN85
VAR89
02 Apr 2017
KAN72
VAR85
04 May 2016
KAN89
VAR79
26 Jan 2015
KAN91
VAR83
29 Mar 2014
KAN84
VAR68
24 Feb 2013
KAN67
VAR60
22 Apr 2012
KAN76
VAR66
20 May 2011
KAN67
VAR64
18 May 2011
KAN78
VAR53
15 May 2011
KAN75
VAR66
01 May 2010
KAN83
VAR70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cantu winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CantuItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCantu
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#7
W
79-78
79
78
+1
78avg 76
A25/01
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
81-86
81
86
-5
77avg 76
H31/01
Lega A
Cremona
#12
L
87-89
87
89
-2
78avg 76
A07/02
Lega A
Trento
#9
W
108-91
108
91
+17
90avg 76
H15/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
86-88
86
88
-2
86avg 76
A09/03
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#11
W
94-77
94
77
+17
88avg 76
H15/03
Lega A
Tortona
#6
L
73-100
73
100
-27
66avg 76
A22/03
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
97-76
97
76
+21
105avg 76
H29/03
Lega A
Sassari
#16
W
80-78
80
78
+2
68avg 76
H04/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
79-89
79
89
-10
76avg 76
A13/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
12-25
25-13
23-20
16-25
22-25
28-19
15-17
25-27
22-15
21-23
19-24
19-24
39-22
28-22
22-23
20-33
21-14
22-19
23-22
20-16
21-17
26-25
27-19
22-27
16-28
17-18
18-27
31-20
23-22
22-18
21-16
20-28
25-14
16-24
19-12
19-28
20-22
20-19
20-20
171.6Avg total
86.4Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)83.788.3172.0-4.631%
Season at home (13)84.883.0167.8+1.854%
Season away (13)82.693.6176.2-11.08%
Last 10 (10)86.485.2171.6+1.250%
Last 5 (5)84.684.0168.6+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)81.789.9171.7-8.220%
vs Similar ◀ (14)85.483.9169.4+1.557%
vs Weaker (1)84.077.0161.0+7.0100%
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
84-74
84
74
+10
80avg 73
A26/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
61-76
61
76
-15
53avg 73
H01/02
Lega A
Trento
#9
L
78-84
78
84
-6
72avg 73
A08/02
Lega A
Brescia
#4
W
98-96
98
96
+2
90avg 73
H14/02
Lega A
Udine
#13
W
92-81
92
81
+11
85avg 73
A08/03
Lega A
Treviso
#14
W
91-86
91
86
+5
84avg 73
H15/03
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#11
L
75-104
75
104
-29
57avg 73
A22/03
Lega A
Tortona
#6
W
97-87
97
87
+10
90avg 73
H28/03
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
89-90
89
90
-1
76avg 73
A04/04
Lega A
Sassari
#16
W
91-90
91
90
+1
78avg 73
H12/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-19
21-24
27-19
21-12
10-24
16-11
14-20
21-21
18-23
17-15
18-24
25-22
22-34
19-21
31-23
26-18
28-21
18-21
21-15
25-24
21-22
30-22
19-23
21-19
13-25
6-22
25-26
31-31
21-28
28-21
22-23
26-15
20-25
33-23
18-22
18-20
24-20
27-22
12-25
28-23
172.4Avg total
85.6Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)84.087.3171.3-3.246%
Season at home (13)81.784.6166.3-2.954%
Season away (13)86.489.9176.3-3.538%
Last 10 (10)85.686.8172.4-1.260%
Last 5 (5)88.691.4180.0-2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)81.789.8171.4-8.138%
vs Similar ◀ (14)84.584.6169.1-0.157%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cantu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: -4.9-4.9Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +3.7+3.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: -4.9-4.9Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +3.7+3.7
CantuVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CantuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#7
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A25/01
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
38-50
38
50
-12
H31/01
Lega A
Cremona
#12
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A07/02
Lega A
Trento
#9
W
58-46
58
46
+12
H15/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A09/03
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#11
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H15/03
Lega A
Tortona
#6
L
38-55
38
55
-17
A22/03
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
54-42
54
42
+12
H29/03
Lega A
Sassari
#16
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H04/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A13/04
Lega A
88.4Avg total
43.2Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.445.185.4-4.723%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.243.486.6-0.243%-
Last 30 away (16)37.946.584.4-8.66%-
Last 10 (10)43.245.288.4-2.050%-
Last 5 (5)43.444.487.8-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)40.648.789.3-8.113%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)41.142.483.6-1.336%-
vs Weaker (1)26.027.053.0-1.00%-
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A26/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
26-35
26
35
-9
H01/02
Lega A
Trento
#9
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A08/02
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
41-55
41
55
-14
H14/02
Lega A
Udine
#13
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A08/03
Lega A
Treviso
#14
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H15/03
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#11
L
19-47
19
47
-28
A22/03
Lega A
Tortona
#6
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H28/03
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
53-48
53
48
+5
A04/04
Lega A
Sassari
#16
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H12/04
Lega A
85.0Avg total
40.7Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.643.484.0-2.837%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.642.182.7-1.540%-
Last 30 away (15)40.644.785.3-4.133%-
Last 10 (10)40.744.385.0-3.640%-
Last 5 (5)44.646.090.6-1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)41.244.685.8-3.431%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)39.942.081.9-2.143%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cantu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cantutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cantu: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.020.8
61.2%
54.1%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.39.2
36.4%
34.6%27.6
🏀 Free throws22.915.8
69.0%
76.1%15.8
They take 59.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 85.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.519.1
58.8%
54.1%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.810.9
33.2%
34.6%32.7
🏀 Free throws18.814.5
77.1%
76.1%14.5
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cantu
LWWLWLWLLW
Varese
WLWLWWWLLW
#15
League position
#8
+1.0
Net rating
-1.3
105.0
Offensive rating
97.5
104.0
Defensive rating
98.7
58.3%
Effective FG%
54.3%
55.3%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
13.9%
Turnover %
14.0%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.29
36.4%
3-point %
33.2%
69.7%
Assist %
59.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence105.0 · 97.5Defence104.0 · 98.7Shooting58.3% · 54.3%3-point %36.4% · 33.2%Ball care13.9% · 14.0%Free throws0.39 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Cantu   ■ Varese
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Cantu wins
5
Varese wins
DateGameScore
16/11/25Varese v Cantu91-82
31/01/21Cantu v Varese97-82
11/10/20Varese v Cantu80-90
07/09/20Cantu v Varese81-72
04/09/20Varese v Cantu84-77
08/12/19Cantu v Varese74-67
20/04/19Cantu v Varese84-75
25/12/18Varese v Cantu89-71
05/02/18Cantu v Varese85-89
16/10/17Varese v Cantu95-64
Cantulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/26AVirtus Bologna79-89
04/04/26HSassari80-78
29/03/26HTrieste97-76
22/03/26ATortona73-100
15/03/26HBasket Napoli94-77
09/03/26AOlimpia Milano86-88
15/02/26HTrento108-91
07/02/26ACremona87-89
31/01/26HVenezia81-86
25/01/26AReggiana79-78
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/04/26HSassari91-90
04/04/26ATrieste89-90
28/03/26HTortona97-87
22/03/26ABasket Napoli75-104
15/03/26HTreviso91-86
08/03/26AUdine92-81
14/02/26HBrescia98-96
08/02/26ATrento78-84
01/02/26HReggiana61-76
26/01/26AOlimpia Milano84-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cantu
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL31%
HomeLWWWW54%
AwayWLLLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %31%54%8%
Points / game83.784.882.6
Allowed / game88.383.093.6
Point differential-4.6+1.8-11.0
Avg total172.0167.8176.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%23%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)50% (6)20% (5)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Varese
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW46%
HomeLWWWW54%
AwayWLWLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %46%54%38%
Points / game84.081.786.4
Allowed / game87.384.689.9
Point differential-3.2-2.9-3.5
Avg total171.3166.3176.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%15%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)100% (4)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2621581%83.175.9+7.2
2 Brescia2620677%88.783.5+5.2
3 Olimpia Milano2618869%87.180.2+6.8
4 Venezia2618869%90.585.9+4.6
5 Trapani1510567%78.877.9+0.9
6 Tortona26161062%88.185.8+2.3
7 Reggiana26131350%83.381.0+2.3
8 Trieste26131350%84.286.9-2.7
9 Varese26121446%84.087.3-3.2
10 Trento26111542%83.582.9+0.6
11 Cremona26101638%82.385.2-2.8
12 Udine2691735%81.583.6-2.2
13 Basket Napoli2691735%84.487.9-3.5
14 Cantu2681831%83.788.3-4.6
15 Sassari2781930%86.389.9-3.6
16 Treviso2671927%83.390.2-6.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cantu20263024100
Varese1925262696
← all games of the day
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