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Scafati vs Virtus Bologna Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 17 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#15
Record1-6
FormLLWLL
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game92.0
Scafati
Italy
vs
Form · last 5 games
2.9/10
🧊 Cold
4.7/10
Around normal
Virtus Bologna
Italy
Position#1
Record6-1
FormLLLWL
Points / game96.4
Allowed / game86.0
ItalyLega ARound 16· Pala Mangano
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Scafati v Virtus Bologna
17 Jan 2027
SKA v VIR
upcoming
04 May 2025
SKA87
VIR104
01 Oct 2023
SKA75
VIR81
19 Apr 2023
SKA81
VIR83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Scafati win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ScafatiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormScafati
Date
Competition
Cento
#18
W
88-83
88
83
+5
69avg 73
A12/04
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
W
93-71
93
71
+22
91avg 73
H19/04
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
80-76
80
76
+4
67avg 73
A26/04
Serie A2
Udine
#8
L
63-87
63
87
-24
50avg 73
A27/09
Lega A
Varese
#6
L
77-85
77
85
-8
67avg 73
H04/10
Lega A
Verona
#10
L
82-89
82
89
-7
39avg 73
H11/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
83-108
83
108
-25
74avg 73
A18/10
Lega A
Trento
#11
W
87-81
87
81
+6
80avg 73
H24/10
Lega A
BC Roma
#13
L
90-103
90
103
-13
81avg 73
A31/10
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#2
L
89-91
89
91
-2
no box
H08/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-14
26-22
24-24
22-23
24-21
24-14
26-20
19-16
32-16
17-27
17-18
14-15
11-19
17-28
14-23
21-17
17-24
21-16
24-30
15-15
25-24
22-28
25-18
10-19
17-32
19-18
20-23
27-35
22-26
16-19
24-19
25-17
29-25
24-26
23-27
14-25
19-22
28-15
28-27
14-27
170.6Avg total
83.2Scored
87.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)81.692.0173.6-10.414%
Season at home (4)83.886.5170.2-2.825%
Season away (3)78.799.3178.0-20.70%
Last 10 (10)83.287.4170.6-4.240%
Last 5 (5)86.294.4180.6-8.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)81.692.0173.6-10.414%
vs Similar (8)78.980.4159.2-1.562%
vs Weaker (15)87.174.2161.3+12.993%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#20
W
86-78
86
78
+8
81avg 82
H16/10
Euroleague
Scafati
#15
W
108-83
108
83
+25
113avg 82
H18/10
Lega A
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#10
L
81-90
81
90
-9
65avg 82
A21/10
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#3
W
98-94 OT
98
94
+4
90avg 82
A25/10
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#8
L
74-91
74
91
-17
62avg 82
H28/10
Euroleague
Besiktas
#13
L
101-103
101
103
-2
97avg 82
H30/10
Euroleague
Trieste
#7
L
93-100
93
100
-7
no box
H02/11
Lega A
Dubai
#9
L
75-93
75
93
-18
no box
H06/11
Euroleague
Verona
#10
W
95-81
95
81
+14
no box
H09/11
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#12
L
91-103
91
103
-12
no box
A13/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-12
22-22
22-19
18-25
32-17
18-19
23-20
35-27
25-23
23-13
14-28
19-26
20-22
17-30
22-15
22-14
22-14
13-23
18-28
21-26
24-24
30-23
20-23
27-33
24-25
31-21
17-31
21-23
17-21
17-27
19-28
22-17
21-22
21-14
26-27
27-18
20-28
23-32
25-16
23-27
181.8Avg total
90.2Scored
91.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)96.486.0182.4+10.486%
Season at home (4)98.588.2186.8+10.275%
Season away (3)93.783.0176.7+10.7100%
Last 10 (10)90.291.6181.8-1.440%
Last 5 (5)91.096.0187.0-5.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)78.889.2168.0-10.420%
vs Similar (6)94.294.7188.8-0.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)92.584.7177.3+7.868%
This opponent (Scafati) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: -0.1-0.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: -0.1-0.1
ScafatiVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ScafatiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cento
#18
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A12/04
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H19/04
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A26/04
Serie A2
Udine
#8
L
28-47
28
47
-19
A27/09
Lega A
Varese
#6
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H04/10
Lega A
Verona
#10
L
47-52
47
52
-5
H11/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A18/10
Lega A
Trento
#11
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H24/10
Lega A
BC Roma
#13
W
53-51
53
51
+2
A31/10
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#2
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H08/11
Lega A
86.2Avg total
42.6Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.039.681.6+2.467%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.139.183.3+5.073%-
Last 30 away (15)39.940.180.0-0.360%-
Last 10 (10)42.643.686.2-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)44.247.091.2-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)41.046.087.0-5.029%-
vs Similar (8)41.238.980.1+2.475%-
vs Weaker (15)42.937.179.9+5.880%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#20
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H16/10
Euroleague
Scafati
#15
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H18/10
Lega A
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#10
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A21/10
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#3
L
37-52
37
52
-15
A25/10
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#8
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H28/10
Euroleague
Besiktas
#13
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H30/10
Euroleague
Trieste
#7
W
55-46
55
46
+9
H02/11
Lega A
Dubai
#9
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H06/11
Euroleague
Verona
#10
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H09/11
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#12
L
43-60
43
60
-17
A13/11
Euroleague
87.6Avg total
44.4Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.843.088.8+2.860%-
Last 30 at home (16)48.242.490.6+5.969%-
Last 30 away (14)42.943.786.6-0.850%-
Last 10 (10)44.443.287.6+1.260%-
Last 5 (5)45.647.493.0-1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)40.842.082.8-1.220%-
vs Similar (6)45.547.893.3-2.350%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)47.241.788.9+5.474%-
This opponent (Scafati) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Scafatitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Scafati: 78.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.117.9
48.2%
54.3%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.59.3
39.6%
34.3%27.9
🏀 Free throws22.214.4
64.9%
74.6%14.4
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 92.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.821.9
55.0%
54.3%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.09.8
36.3%
34.3%29.4
🏀 Free throws24.819.7
79.4%
74.6%19.7
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Scafati
LLWLLLLWWW
Virtus Bologna
LWLLLLWLWW
#15
League position
#1
-4.9
Net rating
+3.7
95.9
Offensive rating
102.2
100.8
Defensive rating
98.4
52.6%
Effective FG%
54.8%
56.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.0%
14.9%
Turnover %
14.0%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.37
39.6%
3-point %
36.3%
56.6%
Assist %
57.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence95.9 · 102.2Defence100.8 · 98.4Shooting52.6% · 54.8%3-point %39.6% · 36.3%Ball care14.9% · 14.0%Free throws0.37 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Scafati   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Scafati wins
6
Virtus Bologna wins
DateGameScore
18/10/26Virtus Bologna v Scafati108-83
04/05/25Scafati v Virtus Bologna87-104
29/12/24Virtus Bologna v Scafati97-71
11/02/24Virtus Bologna v Scafati94-67
01/10/23Scafati v Virtus Bologna75-81
19/04/23Scafati v Virtus Bologna81-83
11/12/22Virtus Bologna v Scafati77-84
Scafatilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26HBasket Napoli89-91
31/10/26ABC Roma90-103
24/10/26HTrento87-81
18/10/26AVirtus Bologna83-108
11/10/26HVerona82-89
04/10/26HVarese77-85
27/09/26AUdine63-87
26/04/26ARimini80-76
19/04/26HAvellino Basket93-71
12/04/26ACento88-83
Virtus Bolognalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26AAnadolu Efes91-103
09/11/26HVerona95-81
06/11/26HDubai75-93
02/11/26HTrieste93-100
30/10/26HBesiktas101-103
28/10/26HZalgiris Kaunas74-91
25/10/26AOlimpia Milano98-94 OT
21/10/26AHapoel Tel-Aviv81-90
18/10/26HScafati108-83
16/10/26HBaskonia86-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Scafati
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL14%
HomeLLWL25%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %14%25%0%
Points / game81.683.878.7
Allowed / game92.086.599.3
Point differential-10.4-2.8-20.7
Avg total173.6170.2178.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Virtus Bologna
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW86%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %86%75%100%
Points / game96.498.593.7
Allowed / game86.088.283.0
Point differential+10.4+10.2+10.7
Avg total182.4186.8176.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %14%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna76186%96.486.0+10.4
2 Basket Napoli76186%93.786.6+7.1
3 Olimpia Milano75271%90.982.7+8.1
4 Maxima Roma75271%88.183.7+4.4
5 Treviso75271%90.788.6+2.1
6 Varese85362%89.187.1+2.0
7 Trieste74357%94.488.4+6.0
8 Udine74357%81.380.3+1.0
9 Venezia74357%87.988.6-0.7
10 Verona84450%88.590.8-2.2
11 Trento73443%80.483.6-3.1
12 Tortona72529%83.791.0-7.3
13 BC Roma82625%98.698.0+0.6
14 Reggiana82625%82.085.6-3.6
15 Scafati71614%81.692.0-10.4
16 Cantu7070%76.990.9-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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