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Sebastiani Rieti vs Avellino Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 24 Sep 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 60-72
22-17 13-22 11-17 14-16
Position#10
Record-
FormWWLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Sebastiani Rieti
Italy
vs
Avellino Basket 🏆
Italy
Position#6
Record-
FormLWLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
ItalySerie A2Round 1· PalaSojourner
Other2025-26
Meetings · Sebastiani Rieti v Avellino Basket
23 Dec 2026
SEBA v AVEL
upcoming
24 Sep 2025
SEBA60
AVEL72
22 Mar 2025
SEBA92
AVEL93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sebastiani Rieti winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Avellino Basket winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sebastiani RietiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRieti
Date
Competition
Forli
#6
W
79-68
79
68
+11
74avg 68
H06/04
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
L
73-91
73
91
-18
69avg 68
A13/04
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
69-67
69
67
+2
63avg 68
H19/04
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
88-73
88
73
+15
85avg 68
A27/04
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
W
65-47
65
47
+18
59avg 68
H10/05
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
W
65-61
65
61
+4
54avg 68
H12/05
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
W
89-81
89
81
+8
86avg 68
A16/05
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
59-83
59
83
-24
53avg 68
A24/05
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
74-89
74
89
-15
67avg 68
A26/05
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
77-84 OT
77
84
-7
61avg 68
H29/05
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-9
27-14
7-17
24-28
26-18
10-28
21-18
16-27
20-17
18-13
12-29
19-8
26-13
21-18
19-18
22-24
11-13
15-18
28-4
11-12
17-21
8-12
27-9
13-19
25-14
22-19
22-21
20-27
20-26
14-21
7-14
18-22
18-15
10-31
26-27
20-16
10-19
17-7
24-14
17-28
148.2Avg total
73.8Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)73.874.4148.2-0.660%
Last 5 (5)72.879.6152.4-6.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)73.081.0154.0-8.017%
vs Similar ◀ (18)75.473.9149.3+1.461%
vs Weaker (6)82.071.5153.5+10.5100%
This opponent (Avellino Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Avellino BasketItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
79-73
79
73
+6
70avg 73
H09/03
Serie A2
Cento
#15
L
78-79
78
79
-1
76avg 73
H15/03
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
W
93-92 OT
93
92
+1
92avg 73
A22/03
Serie A2
Forli
#6
L
85-86
85
86
-1
76avg 73
A26/03
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
L
70-88
70
88
-18
55avg 73
H30/03
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
81-82
81
82
-1
76avg 73
A06/04
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
W
92-79
92
79
+13
87avg 73
H13/04
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
76-82
76
82
-6
67avg 73
H19/04
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
101-90
101
90
+11
88avg 73
A27/04
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
L
67-82
67
82
-15
52avg 73
H01/05
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-22
20-9
23-15
20-27
25-15
17-27
16-24
20-13
20-16
19-19
9-15
19-17
24-27
14-21
25-21
22-17
13-25
18-22
23-21
16-20
23-20
18-16
11-22
29-24
24-18
20-27
36-18
12-16
33-26
19-16
14-21
10-19
23-27
24-18
26-24
28-21
16-25
19-19
16-15
16-23
165.5Avg total
82.2Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)82.283.3165.5-1.140%
Last 5 (5)83.483.0166.4+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)83.591.0174.5-7.50%
vs Similar ◀ (24)80.881.2162.0-0.558%
vs Weaker (4)81.078.5159.5+2.550%
This opponent (Sebastiani Rieti) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: -0.5-0.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: -0.5-0.5
Sebastiani RietiAvellino Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sebastiani RietiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Forli
#6
W
48-23
48
23
+25
H06/04
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A13/04
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H19/04
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
47-31
47
31
+16
A27/04
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
L
26-31
26
31
-5
H10/05
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
L
25-33
25
33
-8
H12/05
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A16/05
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A24/05
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
28-46
28
46
-18
A26/05
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
W
27-26
27
26
+1
H29/05
Serie A2
70.2Avg total
35.6Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.435.873.2+1.653%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.133.470.5+3.857%-
Last 30 away (16)37.637.975.5-0.450%-
Last 10 (10)35.634.670.2+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)32.237.069.2-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)34.038.572.5-4.533%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)36.635.572.1+1.144%-
vs Weaker (6)43.234.077.2+9.2100%-
This opponent (Avellino Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Avellino BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H09/03
Serie A2
Cento
#15
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H15/03
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A22/03
Serie A2
Forli
#6
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A26/03
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
L
31-47
31
47
-16
H30/03
Serie A2
Verona
#8
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A06/04
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H13/04
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
W
52-42
52
42
+10
H19/04
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A27/04
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H01/05
Serie A2
82.0Avg total
40.5Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.041.681.6-1.650%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.040.280.2-0.253%-
Last 30 away (15)40.043.083.0-3.047%-
Last 10 (10)40.541.582.0-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)43.842.486.2+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)46.544.090.5+2.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (24)38.741.580.2-2.842%-
vs Weaker (4)44.541.085.5+3.5100%-
This opponent (Sebastiani Rieti) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sebastiani Rietitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sebastiani Rieti: 73.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.016.4
48.2%
50.8%32.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.18.5
30.2%
34.6%25.5
🏀 Free throws21.914.9
68.0%
74.4%14.9
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Avellino Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellino Basket: 81.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.420.8
47.9%
50.8%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.68.1
37.5%
34.6%24.3
🏀 Free throws18.915.5
82.0%
74.4%15.5
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Sep 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sebastiani Rieti
LLLWWWWWLW
Avellino Basket
LWLWLLLWLW
#10
League position
#6
-0.6
Net rating
-1.0
101.4
Offensive rating
112.6
102.0
Defensive rating
113.5
46.9%
Effective FG%
50.7%
46.6%
Opp. effective FG%
56.5%
16.7%
Turnover %
12.7%
30.1%
Off. rebound %
27.3%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.29
30.2%
3-point %
37.5%
66.7%
Assist %
52.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence101.4 · 112.6Defence102.0 · 113.5Shooting46.9% · 50.7%3-point %30.2% · 37.5%Ball care16.7% · 12.7%Off. rebounds30.1% · 27.3%Free throws0.35 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Sebastiani Rieti   ■ Avellino Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Sebastiani Rieti wins
1
Avellino Basket wins
DateGameScore
22/03/25Sebastiani Rieti v Avellino Basket92-93 OT
02/10/24Avellino Basket v Sebastiani Rieti61-67
Sebastiani Rietilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/05/25HCantu77-84 OT
26/05/25ACantu74-89
24/05/25ACantu59-83
16/05/25AUrania Milano89-81
12/05/25HUrania Milano65-61
10/05/25HUrania Milano65-47
27/04/25AAssigeco Piacenza88-73
19/04/25HJuVi Cremona69-67
13/04/25AOrzinuovi73-91
06/04/25HForli79-68
Avellino Basketlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/05/25HBrindisi67-82
27/04/25AJuVi Cremona101-90
19/04/25HCantu76-82
13/04/25HBasket Torino92-79
06/04/25AVerona81-82
30/03/25HRimini70-88
26/03/25AForli85-86
22/03/25ASebastiani Rieti93-92 OT
15/03/25HCento78-79
09/03/25HFortitudo Bologna79-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sebastiani Rieti
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Avellino Basket
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brindisi110100%94.058.0+36.0
2 Scafati110100%76.061.0+15.0
3 Basket Torino110100%83.074.0+9.0
4 Cento110100%77.068.0+9.0
5 Rimini110100%82.073.0+9.0
6 JuVi Cremona110100%78.070.0+8.0
7 Verona110100%74.069.0+5.0
8 Roseto110100%86.082.0+4.0
9 Fortitudo Bologna1010%82.086.0-4.0
10 Pistoia1010%69.074.0-5.0
11 Forli1010%70.078.0-8.0
12 Cividale1010%74.083.0-9.0
13 Libertas Livorno1010%68.077.0-9.0
14 Urania Milano1010%73.082.0-9.0
15 Mestre1010%61.076.0-15.0
16 Ruvo Di Puglia1010%58.094.0-36.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sebastiani Rieti2213111460
Avellino Basket1722171672
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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