PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Pesaro vs Sebastiani Rieti Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 78-85
22-22 19-27 24-21 13-15
Position#9
Record17-13
FormWWWLL
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game79.7
vs
Position#4
Record18-12
FormWWLLL
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game73.3
ItalySerie A2Round 32· Vitrifrigo Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Pesaro v Sebastiani Rieti
20 Dec 2026
PES v SEBA
upcoming
21 Dec 2025
PES91
SEBA73
09 Mar 2025
PES78
SEBA85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sebastiani Rieti winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Vigevano
#18
W
93-82
93
82
+11
84avg 74
A15/01
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
W
97-70
97
70
+27
98avg 74
H19/01
Serie A2
Nardo
#19
W
84-70
84
70
+14
78avg 74
H26/01
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
L
80-82
80
82
-2
68avg 74
A29/01
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
118-86
118
86
+32
113avg 74
H02/02
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
91-77
91
77
+14
94avg 74
H08/02
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
71-70
71
70
+1
61avg 74
A16/02
Serie A2
Cento
#15
W
97-76
97
76
+21
96avg 74
A19/02
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
L
98-103 OT
98
103
-5
84avg 74
A25/02
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
L
69-85
69
85
-16
64avg 74
A02/03
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-28
30-22
20-16
16-16
27-21
25-13
23-11
22-25
25-17
13-30
28-13
18-10
17-24
16-21
23-18
24-19
29-22
34-18
30-25
25-21
18-17
27-17
19-27
27-16
19-16
21-18
15-21
16-15
23-29
25-16
26-14
23-17
18-20
30-26
17-22
12-9
22-13
19-23
16-21
12-28
169.9Avg total
89.8Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)81.979.7161.6+2.257%
Season at home (15)85.174.9160.0+10.180%
Season away (15)78.784.5163.3-5.833%
Last 10 (10)89.880.1169.9+9.770%
Last 5 (5)85.282.2167.4+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)72.083.0155.0-11.00%
vs Similar ◀ (19)80.080.8160.8-0.847%
vs Weaker (10)86.577.4163.9+9.180%
This opponent (Sebastiani Rieti) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sebastiani RietiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRieti
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#13
L
67-72
67
72
-5
55avg 67
A15/01
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
W
77-70
77
70
+7
68avg 67
A19/01
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
90-71
90
71
+19
88avg 67
H25/01
Serie A2
Cento
#15
W
84-81
84
81
+3
74avg 67
A29/01
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
W
84-69
84
69
+15
88avg 67
H02/02
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
W
91-80
91
80
+11
85avg 67
A09/02
Serie A2
Nardo
#19
W
87-74
87
74
+13
89avg 67
H15/02
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
47-69
47
69
-22
32avg 67
A19/02
Serie A2
Udine
#1
L
70-75
70
75
-5
54avg 67
H26/02
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
L
75-81
75
81
-6
68avg 67
A02/03
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-20
11-17
28-12
15-23
22-24
15-17
23-9
17-20
17-10
30-22
24-14
19-25
25-11
24-23
22-18
13-29
23-18
23-11
24-14
14-26
27-14
27-27
23-22
14-17
23-14
23-27
25-15
16-18
17-12
8-16
11-19
11-22
20-16
18-24
15-12
17-23
15-25
12-17
24-14
24-25
151.4Avg total
77.2Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)75.073.3148.3+1.760%
Season at home (15)76.270.0146.2+6.273%
Season away (15)73.876.6150.4-2.847%
Last 10 (10)77.274.2151.4+3.060%
Last 5 (5)74.075.8149.8-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)74.076.0150.0-2.025%
vs Similar ◀ (20)73.872.8146.6+1.160%
vs Weaker (6)79.573.3152.8+6.283%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: +7.0+7.0Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -6.8-6.8
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: +7.0+7.0Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -6.8-6.8
PesaroSebastiani Rieti
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vigevano
#18
W
57-50
57
50
+7
A15/01
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H19/01
Serie A2
Nardo
#19
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H26/01
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A29/01
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
63-40
63
40
+23
H02/02
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H08/02
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A16/02
Serie A2
Cento
#15
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A19/02
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A25/02
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A02/03
Serie A2
87.6Avg total
46.5Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.741.082.6+0.757%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.139.983.1+3.260%-
Last 30 away (15)40.242.082.2-1.853%-
Last 10 (10)46.541.187.6+5.480%-
Last 5 (5)44.439.083.4+5.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)41.032.073.0+9.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)39.841.581.3-1.747%-
vs Weaker (10)45.340.986.2+4.470%-
This opponent (Sebastiani Rieti) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sebastiani RietiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#13
L
24-37
24
37
-13
A15/01
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A19/01
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H25/01
Serie A2
Cento
#15
W
49-34
49
34
+15
A29/01
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H02/02
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
W
54-41
54
41
+13
A09/02
Serie A2
Nardo
#19
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H15/02
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
25-28
25
28
-3
A19/02
Serie A2
Udine
#1
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H26/02
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
L
27-42
27
42
-15
A02/03
Serie A2
75.8Avg total
39.3Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.036.173.1+0.947%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.035.573.5+2.560%-
Last 30 away (15)36.136.772.8-0.733%-
Last 10 (10)39.336.575.8+2.850%-
Last 5 (5)38.038.476.4-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)36.037.073.0-1.025%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)35.935.971.8+0.040%-
vs Weaker (6)41.536.277.7+5.383%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 88.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.418.1
55.9%
50.1%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.712.4
40.4%
34.6%37.2
🏀 Free throws18.514.9
80.5%
74.4%14.9
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sebastiani Rietitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sebastiani Rieti: 76.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.316.4
52.4%
50.1%32.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.110.7
36.8%
34.6%32.1
🏀 Free throws15.411.5
74.7%
74.4%11.5
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pesaro
LLWWWWLWWW
Sebastiani Rieti
LLLWWWWWWL
#9
League position
#4
+11.7
Net rating
+4.3
117.3
Offensive rating
109.4
105.6
Defensive rating
105.1
58.2%
Effective FG%
53.7%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
47.6%
15.7%
Turnover %
17.4%
23.9%
Off. rebound %
29.3%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.25
40.4%
3-point %
36.8%
61.3%
Assist %
52.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence117.3 · 109.4Defence105.6 · 105.1Shooting58.2% · 53.7%3-point %40.4% · 36.8%Ball care15.7% · 17.4%Off. rebounds23.9% · 29.3%Free throws0.29 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Pesaro   ■ Sebastiani Rieti
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Pesaro wins
1
Sebastiani Rieti wins
DateGameScore
12/10/24Sebastiani Rieti v Pesaro86-80
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/25ABasket Torino69-85
25/02/25AOrzinuovi98-103 OT
19/02/25ACento97-76
16/02/25AFortitudo Bologna71-70
08/02/25HCividale91-77
02/02/25HAssigeco Piacenza118-86
29/01/25AAvellino Basket80-82
26/01/25HNardo84-70
19/01/25HUrania Milano97-70
15/01/25AVigevano93-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/25AFortitudo Bologna75-81
26/02/25HUdine70-75
19/02/25AVerona47-69
15/02/25HNardo87-74
09/02/25ALibertas Livorno91-80
02/02/25HBasket Torino84-69
29/01/25ACento84-81
25/01/25HCividale90-71
19/01/25ACantu77-70
15/01/25ABrindisi67-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL57%
HomeWWWWW80%
AwayLWWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %57%80%33%
Points / game81.985.178.7
Allowed / game79.774.984.5
Point differential+2.2+10.1-5.8
Avg total161.6160.0163.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%53%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %7%7%7%
Sebastiani Rieti
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL60%
HomeLWWWL73%
AwayWWWLL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %60%73%47%
Points / game75.076.273.8
Allowed / game73.370.076.6
Point differential+1.7+6.2-2.8
Avg total148.3146.2150.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%47%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)50% (4)57% (7)
Overtime %3%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Udine3123874%83.475.3+8.1
2 Rimini30201067%80.878.2+2.6
3 Cantu31201165%77.772.9+4.9
4 Urania Milano29181162%77.675.5+2.1
5 Cividale31191261%80.879.2+1.6
6 Forli30181260%77.075.3+1.7
7 Sebastiani Rieti30181260%75.073.3+1.7
8 Fortitudo Bologna31181358%75.773.4+2.4
9 Pesaro30171357%81.979.7+2.2
10 Avellino Basket30171357%78.779.0-0.3
11 Verona31171455%76.273.4+2.8
12 Brindisi31161552%76.275.4+0.9
13 Basket Torino32161650%76.575.8+0.7
14 Orzinuovi30121840%77.981.0-3.1
15 JuVi Cremona30111937%80.482.2-1.9
16 Cento30111937%72.978.1-5.2
17 Libertas Livorno32112134%74.776.7-2.0
18 Vigevano30102033%76.580.7-4.2
19 Nardo3082227%73.581.4-7.9
20 Assigeco Piacenza3152616%75.782.8-7.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pesaro2219241378
Sebastiani Rieti2227211585
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.