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Avellino Basket vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 29 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 82-80
24-17 21-16 18-23 19-24
Position#11
Record13-10
FormWWLWL
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game78.0
vs
Position#9
Record13-10
FormLWWWW
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game78.8
ItalySerie A2Round 24· Palasport Del Mauro
Other2024-25
Meetings · Avellino Basket v Pesaro
01 Nov 2026
AVEL79
PES70
21 Jan 2026
AVEL93
PES73
29 Jan 2025
AVEL82
PES80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Avellino Basket winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pesaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Avellino BasketItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Cividale
#5
W
90-85 OT
90
85
+5
79avg 72
A06/12
Serie A2
Cento
#15
W
73-68
73
68
+5
74avg 72
A11/12
Serie A2
Verona
#8
W
77-70
77
70
+7
75avg 72
H15/12
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
W
89-88
89
88
+1
81avg 72
A22/12
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
L
75-79
75
79
-4
70avg 72
H29/12
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
W
84-81
84
81
+3
81avg 72
A05/01
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
83-72
83
72
+11
86avg 72
H11/01
Serie A2
Nardo
#19
L
80-89
80
89
-9
71avg 72
A15/01
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
W
77-73
77
73
+4
77avg 72
H19/01
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
L
69-79
69
79
-10
58avg 72
A26/01
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-13
22-19
17-20
16-25
22-28
21-16
16-8
14-16
17-18
15-23
20-9
25-20
21-21
25-26
25-22
18-19
14-19
19-22
15-13
27-25
15-28
12-16
27-19
30-18
24-20
16-19
19-17
24-16
24-24
24-17
16-24
16-24
19-16
14-19
24-16
20-22
19-17
22-22
10-10
18-30
158.1Avg total
79.7Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)77.778.0155.8-0.357%
Season at home (11)76.773.9150.6+2.864%
Season away (12)78.781.8160.5-3.250%
Last 10 (10)79.778.4158.1+1.370%
Last 5 (5)78.678.8157.4-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)67.079.5146.5-12.50%
vs Similar ◀ (15)76.977.3154.1-0.460%
vs Weaker (6)83.579.5163.0+4.067%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Cantu
#2
W
90-67
90
67
+23
84avg 73
H01/12
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
W
103-96 OT
103
96
+7
94avg 73
H08/12
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
77-74
77
74
+3
72avg 73
A14/12
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
92-81
92
81
+11
85avg 73
H22/12
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
82-61
82
61
+21
76avg 73
H29/12
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
86-97
86
97
-11
74avg 73
A05/01
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
W
86-79
86
79
+7
81avg 73
H12/01
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
W
93-82
93
82
+11
84avg 73
A15/01
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
W
97-70
97
70
+27
98avg 73
H19/01
Serie A2
Nardo
#19
W
84-70
84
70
+14
78avg 73
H26/01
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-19
25-20
27-20
18-8
22-34
25-22
19-17
20-13
17-19
23-20
14-24
23-11
22-18
25-26
29-21
16-16
26-11
18-26
17-11
21-13
27-21
20-31
24-22
15-23
28-17
18-22
20-18
20-22
27-28
30-22
20-16
16-16
27-21
25-13
23-11
22-25
25-17
13-30
28-13
18-10
166.7Avg total
89.0Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)79.778.8158.5+0.957%
Season at home (13)82.173.9156.0+8.277%
Season away (10)76.685.2161.8-8.630%
Last 10 (10)89.077.7166.7+11.390%
Last 5 (5)89.279.6168.8+9.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)80.588.7169.2-8.233%
vs Similar ◀ (17)81.682.1163.7-0.547%
vs Weaker (7)78.972.7151.6+6.186%
This opponent (Avellino Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +4.8+4.8Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +3.2+3.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +4.8+4.8Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +3.2+3.2
Avellino BasketPesaro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Avellino BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cividale
#5
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A06/12
Serie A2
Cento
#15
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A11/12
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H15/12
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A22/12
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H29/12
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A05/01
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H11/01
Serie A2
Nardo
#19
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A15/01
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H19/01
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A26/01
Serie A2
79.0Avg total
38.7Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (23)37.539.677.1-2.139%-
Last 30 at home (11)36.536.973.5-0.455%-
Last 30 away (12)38.342.180.4-3.825%-
Last 10 (10)38.740.379.0-1.640%-
Last 5 (5)37.839.677.4-1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)31.038.569.5-7.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)35.638.974.5-3.327%-
vs Weaker (6)44.341.886.2+2.583%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#2
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H01/12
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
L
47-56
47
56
-9
H08/12
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A14/12
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H22/12
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H29/12
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A05/01
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H12/01
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
W
57-50
57
50
+7
A15/01
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H19/01
Serie A2
Nardo
#19
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H26/01
Serie A2
90.0Avg total
46.3Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.941.982.8-0.947%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.540.982.4+0.650%-
Last 30 away (14)40.342.983.2-2.643%-
Last 10 (10)46.343.790.0+2.670%-
Last 5 (5)48.044.492.4+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)40.542.382.8-1.850%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)40.642.683.2-1.941%-
vs Weaker (7)42.039.781.7+2.357%-
This opponent (Avellino Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Avellino Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellino Basket: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.420.5
48.3%
50.1%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.87.2
36.4%
34.6%21.6
🏀 Free throws20.115.9
79.1%
74.4%15.9
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 88.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.419.2
55.8%
50.1%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.011.4
38.0%
34.6%34.2
🏀 Free throws20.416.0
78.4%
74.4%16.0
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Avellino Basket
LWLWWLWWWW
Pesaro
WWWWLWWWWW
#11
League position
#9
+1.0
Net rating
+16.4
107.9
Offensive rating
118.4
106.9
Defensive rating
102.0
50.3%
Effective FG%
56.4%
48.0%
Opp. effective FG%
50.7%
15.7%
Turnover %
14.8%
28.2%
Off. rebound %
27.6%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.32
36.4%
3-point %
38.0%
60.3%
Assist %
56.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence107.9 · 118.4Defence106.9 · 102.0Shooting50.3% · 56.4%3-point %36.4% · 38.0%Ball care15.7% · 14.8%Off. rebounds28.2% · 27.6%Free throws0.32 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)70% · 90%
■ Avellino Basket   ■ Pesaro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Avellino Basket wins
1
Pesaro wins
DateGameScore
06/10/24Pesaro v Avellino Basket82-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/25AVigevano69-79
19/01/25HBrindisi77-73
15/01/25ANardo80-89
11/01/25HAssigeco Piacenza83-72
05/01/25AOrzinuovi84-81
29/12/24HJuVi Cremona75-79
22/12/24ABasket Torino89-88
15/12/24HVerona77-70
11/12/24ACento73-68
06/12/24ACividale90-85 OT
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/25HNardo84-70
19/01/25HUrania Milano97-70
15/01/25AVigevano93-82
12/01/25HBrindisi86-79
05/01/25ACividale86-97
29/12/24HFortitudo Bologna82-61
22/12/24HJuVi Cremona92-81
14/12/24AAssigeco Piacenza77-74
08/12/24HBasket Torino103-96 OT
01/12/24HCantu90-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Avellino Basket
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL57%
HomeWWLWW64%
AwayWWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %57%64%50%
Points / game77.776.778.7
Allowed / game78.073.981.8
Point differential-0.3+2.8-3.2
Avg total155.8150.6160.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%27%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won73% (11)75% (4)71% (7)
Overtime %9%9%8%
Pesaro
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW57%
HomeWWWWW77%
AwayLLWLW30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231310
Win %57%77%30%
Points / game79.782.176.6
Allowed / game78.873.985.2
Point differential+0.9+8.2-8.6
Avg total158.5156.0161.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%46%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rimini2318578%82.375.9+6.4
2 Udine2317674%82.774.5+8.3
3 Cantu2316770%77.572.0+5.5
4 Cividale2315865%79.677.1+2.5
5 Fortitudo Bologna2314961%76.373.9+2.4
6 Urania Milano2314961%76.374.2+2.1
7 Sebastiani Rieti2314961%74.472.6+1.8
8 Verona23131057%76.974.3+2.6
9 Pesaro23131057%79.778.8+0.9
10 Avellino Basket23131057%77.778.0-0.3
11 Forli23121152%77.276.0+1.2
12 Basket Torino23101343%76.376.8-0.4
13 Brindisi23101343%76.177.0-0.9
14 JuVi Cremona2391439%79.982.7-2.8
15 Orzinuovi2391439%78.081.4-3.4
16 Libertas Livorno2381535%74.176.1-2.0
17 Vigevano2381535%77.280.8-3.7
18 Cento2381535%71.677.2-5.6
19 Nardo2361726%72.381.0-8.6
20 Assigeco Piacenza2332013%74.080.0-6.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Avellino Basket2421181982
Pesaro1716232480
← all games of the day
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