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Sebastiani Rieti vs Forli Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 90-60
16-11 20-10 38-13 16-26
Position#10
Record1-1
FormLLLLW
Points / game68.5
Allowed / game73.5
vs
Position#17
Record1-1
FormLWLLW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game75.5
ItalySerie A2Round 3· PalaSojourner
Other2025-26
Meetings · Sebastiani Rieti v Forli
24 Jan 2027
SEBA v FORL
upcoming
05 Oct 2025
SEBA90
FORL60
06 Apr 2025
SEBA79
FORL68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sebastiani Rieti winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Forli winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sebastiani RietiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRieti
Date
Competition
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
69-67
69
67
+2
63avg 68
H19/04
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
88-73
88
73
+15
85avg 68
A27/04
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
W
65-47
65
47
+18
59avg 68
H10/05
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
W
65-61
65
61
+4
54avg 68
H12/05
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
W
89-81
89
81
+8
86avg 68
A16/05
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
59-83
59
83
-24
53avg 68
A24/05
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
74-89
74
89
-15
67avg 68
A26/05
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
77-84 OT
77
84
-7
61avg 68
H29/05
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
L
60-72
60
72
-12
50avg 68
H24/09
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
77-75
77
75
+2
74avg 68
A28/09
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-17
18-13
12-29
19-8
26-13
21-18
19-18
22-24
11-13
15-18
28-4
11-12
17-21
8-12
27-9
13-19
25-14
22-19
22-21
20-27
20-26
14-21
7-14
18-22
18-15
10-31
26-27
20-16
10-19
17-7
24-14
17-28
22-17
13-22
11-17
14-16
20-20
23-23
23-18
11-14
145.5Avg total
72.3Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)68.573.5142.0-5.050%
Season at home (1)60.072.0132.0-12.00%
Season away (1)77.075.0152.0+2.0100%
Last 10 (10)72.373.2145.5-0.960%
Last 5 (5)69.480.6150.0-11.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)71.480.2151.6-8.820%
vs Similar (20)74.773.9148.6+0.860%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)82.672.4155.0+10.2100%
This opponent (Forli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ForliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormForli
Date
Competition
Cividale
#5
L
74-82
74
82
-8
63avg 71
A13/05
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
91-81
91
81
+10
86avg 71
H16/05
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
83-72
83
72
+11
78avg 71
H18/05
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
81-78
81
78
+3
77avg 71
A21/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
L
69-75
69
75
-6
52avg 71
A25/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
L
78-83
78
83
-5
72avg 71
A27/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
W
87-78
87
78
+9
75avg 71
H30/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
L
64-76
64
76
-12
52avg 71
H01/06
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
L
70-78
70
78
-8
51avg 71
A20/09
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
86-73
86
73
+13
80avg 71
H28/09
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-20
21-12
20-19
21-31
23-28
26-14
19-27
23-12
18-19
24-24
17-15
24-14
19-19
26-13
17-27
19-19
13-21
19-21
23-16
14-17
31-19
15-29
20-18
12-17
27-16
14-26
28-21
18-15
17-19
16-23
14-17
17-17
25-23
13-17
12-19
20-19
26-16
21-19
21-21
18-17
155.9Avg total
78.3Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)78.075.5153.5+2.550%
Season at home (1)86.073.0159.0+13.0100%
Season away (1)70.078.0148.0-8.00%
Last 10 (10)78.377.6155.9+0.750%
Last 5 (5)77.077.6154.6-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)76.077.0153.0-1.050%
vs Similar (24)78.176.8154.9+1.358%
vs Weaker (4)78.581.5160.0-3.050%
This opponent (Sebastiani Rieti) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +0.8+0.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +0.8+0.8
Sebastiani RietiForli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sebastiani RietiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H19/04
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
47-31
47
31
+16
A27/04
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
L
26-31
26
31
-5
H10/05
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
L
25-33
25
33
-8
H12/05
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A16/05
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A24/05
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
28-46
28
46
-18
A26/05
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
W
27-26
27
26
+1
H29/05
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H24/09
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A28/09
Serie A2
70.9Avg total
35.0Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.336.373.6+1.047%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.833.670.4+3.150%-
Last 30 away (16)37.838.776.4-0.944%-
Last 10 (10)35.035.970.9-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)33.440.273.6-6.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)32.840.072.8-7.220%-
vs Similar (20)36.836.072.8+0.840%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)43.833.877.6+10.0100%-
This opponent (Forli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ForliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cividale
#5
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A13/05
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H16/05
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H18/05
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A21/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A25/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A27/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H30/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H01/06
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A20/09
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H28/09
Serie A2
80.4Avg total
40.6Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.239.577.7-1.343%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.737.378.1+3.460%-
Last 30 away (15)35.741.777.4-6.127%-
Last 10 (10)40.639.880.4+0.840%-
Last 5 (5)41.041.482.4-0.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)40.039.579.5+0.550%-
vs Similar (24)38.839.077.8-0.246%-
vs Weaker (4)33.842.576.2-8.825%-
This opponent (Sebastiani Rieti) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sebastiani Rietitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sebastiani Rieti: 71.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.116.7
49.0%
50.8%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.87.8
29.1%
34.6%23.4
🏀 Free throws21.214.9
70.3%
74.4%14.9
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Forlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Forli: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.517.9
49.0%
50.8%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.89.7
34.9%
34.6%29.1
🏀 Free throws18.712.7
67.9%
74.4%12.7
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sebastiani Rieti
WLLLLWWWWW
Forli
WLLWLLWWWL
#10
League position
#17
-1.0
Net rating
+1.3
99.3
Offensive rating
104.2
100.2
Defensive rating
102.8
46.6%
Effective FG%
50.5%
47.0%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
17.8%
Turnover %
13.9%
29.3%
Off. rebound %
21.7%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.29
29.1%
3-point %
34.9%
65.7%
Assist %
53.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence99.3 · 104.2Defence100.2 · 102.8Shooting46.6% · 50.5%3-point %29.1% · 34.9%Ball care17.8% · 13.9%Off. rebounds29.3% · 21.7%Free throws0.35 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Sebastiani Rieti   ■ Forli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Sebastiani Rieti wins
1
Forli wins
DateGameScore
06/04/25Sebastiani Rieti v Forli79-68
05/01/25Forli v Sebastiani Rieti64-65
11/02/24Forli v Sebastiani Rieti83-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/09/25ARimini77-75
24/09/25HAvellino Basket60-72
29/05/25HCantu77-84 OT
26/05/25ACantu74-89
24/05/25ACantu59-83
16/05/25AUrania Milano89-81
12/05/25HUrania Milano65-61
10/05/25HUrania Milano65-47
27/04/25AAssigeco Piacenza88-73
19/04/25HJuVi Cremona69-67
Forlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/09/25HRuvo Di Puglia86-73
20/09/25AJuVi Cremona70-78
01/06/25HRimini64-76
30/05/25HRimini87-78
27/05/25ARimini78-83
25/05/25ARimini69-75
21/05/25ACividale81-78
18/05/25HCividale83-72
16/05/25HCividale91-81
13/05/25ACividale74-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sebastiani Rieti
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game68.560.077.0
Allowed / game73.572.075.0
Point differential-5.0-12.0+2.0
Avg total142.0132.0152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Forli
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game78.086.070.0
Allowed / game75.573.078.0
Point differential+2.5+13.0-8.0
Avg total153.5159.0148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brindisi220100%89.559.0+30.5
2 Basket Torino220100%82.570.0+12.5
3 Mestre32167%80.079.0+1.0
4 Scafati32167%80.080.7-0.7
5 Fortitudo Bologna21150%88.075.0+13.0
6 Avellino Basket21150%73.067.5+5.5
7 Libertas Livorno21150%73.069.5+3.5
8 Rimini21150%78.575.0+3.5
9 Forli21150%78.075.5+2.5
10 Pistoia21150%81.078.5+2.5
11 Blu Basket Bergamo21150%87.588.0-0.5
12 Cividale21150%74.075.0-1.0
13 Verona21150%70.571.5-1.0
14 Sebastiani Rieti21150%68.573.5-5.0
15 JuVi Cremona21150%69.077.5-8.5
16 Cento31233%71.076.0-5.0
17 Roseto31233%86.791.7-5.0
18 Urania Milano31233%78.385.3-7.0
19 Pesaro1010%62.078.0-16.0
20 Ruvo Di Puglia2020%65.590.0-24.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sebastiani Rieti1620381690
Forli1110132660
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