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Forli vs Sebastiani Rieti Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 64-65
17-17 18-7 13-17 16-24
Position#6
Record11-7
FormWWLWW
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game75.3
vs
Position#4
Record11-7
FormLWLWW
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game73.7
ItalySerie A2Round 19· PalaGalassi
Other2024-25
Meetings · Forli v Sebastiani Rieti
18 Oct 2026
FORL93
SEBA71
17 Jan 2026
FORL82
SEBA86
05 Jan 2025
FORL64
SEBA65
11 Feb 2024
FORL83
SEBA73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Forli winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sebastiani Rieti winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ForliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormForli
Date
Competition
Basket Torino
#10
W
92-67
92
67
+25
93avg 71
A06/11
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
W
87-82 OT
87
82
+5
76avg 71
H10/11
Serie A2
Udine
#1
L
75-84
75
84
-9
63avg 71
A13/11
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
71-76
71
76
-5
65avg 71
H17/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
W
82-80
82
80
+2
79avg 71
A23/11
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
88-82
88
82
+6
88avg 71
H01/12
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
79-74
79
74
+5
78avg 71
A07/12
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
L
71-76 OT
71
76
-5
64avg 71
A14/12
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
W
93-91
93
91
+2
92avg 71
H22/12
Serie A2
Nardo
#19
W
84-75
84
75
+9
78avg 71
A29/12
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-12
24-14
22-20
26-21
23-22
19-15
15-16
18-22
14-27
20-23
13-22
28-12
16-20
21-15
25-21
9-20
32-17
21-20
17-28
12-15
21-24
25-18
19-21
23-19
19-18
30-14
12-19
18-23
18-17
21-17
15-18
13-15
24-22
14-21
24-25
31-23
24-19
25-16
17-20
18-20
160.9Avg total
82.2Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)78.175.3153.3+2.861%
Season at home (8)80.574.4154.9+6.175%
Season away (10)76.176.0152.1+0.150%
Last 10 (10)82.278.7160.9+3.570%
Last 5 (5)83.079.6162.6+3.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)75.084.0159.0-9.00%
vs Similar ◀ (17)73.575.8149.4-2.341%
vs Weaker (12)83.574.6158.1+8.992%
This opponent (Sebastiani Rieti) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sebastiani RietiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRieti
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
61-60
61
60
+1
54avg 68
H06/11
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
63-77
63
77
-14
51avg 68
A09/11
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
58-60
58
60
-2
50avg 68
H13/11
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
L
83-97
83
97
-14
70avg 68
A17/11
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
W
77-66
77
66
+11
70avg 68
H24/11
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
L
69-74
69
74
-5
62avg 68
A01/12
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
W
79-67
79
67
+12
72avg 68
H07/12
Serie A2
Udine
#1
L
81-85 OT
81
85
-4
66avg 68
A13/12
Serie A2
Cento
#15
W
76-65
76
65
+11
77avg 68
H22/12
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
W
96-91
96
91
+5
86avg 68
A29/12
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-14
19-19
15-14
18-13
22-16
17-11
14-25
10-25
16-23
15-10
11-16
16-11
24-28
24-20
17-27
18-22
17-23
22-12
14-15
24-16
15-19
19-18
22-19
13-18
23-16
17-19
21-19
18-13
15-17
25-14
12-16
12-17
32-15
9-14
16-16
19-20
21-24
23-16
30-27
22-24
148.5Avg total
74.3Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)75.473.7149.1+1.761%
Season at home (10)75.669.5145.1+6.180%
Season away (8)75.179.0154.1-3.938%
Last 10 (10)74.374.2148.5+0.150%
Last 5 (5)80.276.4156.6+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)74.579.5154.0-5.00%
vs Similar ◀ (22)74.372.9147.2+1.459%
vs Weaker (6)76.871.3148.2+5.583%
This opponent (Forli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -0.9-0.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -0.9-0.9
ForliSebastiani Rieti
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ForliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Torino
#10
W
44-26
44
26
+18
A06/11
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H10/11
Serie A2
Udine
#1
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A13/11
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H17/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
W
53-37
53
37
+16
A23/11
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H01/12
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
49-32
49
32
+17
A07/12
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A14/12
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H22/12
Serie A2
Nardo
#19
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A29/12
Serie A2
80.2Avg total
43.1Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.837.277.0+2.760%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.936.074.9+2.964%-
Last 30 away (16)40.638.278.8+2.456%-
Last 10 (10)43.137.180.2+6.080%-
Last 5 (5)44.237.281.4+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)34.050.084.0-16.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)38.236.174.3+2.159%-
vs Weaker (12)42.737.680.2+5.167%-
This opponent (Sebastiani Rieti) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sebastiani RietiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H06/11
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
39-27
39
27
+12
A09/11
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H13/11
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A17/11
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H24/11
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A01/12
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H07/12
Serie A2
Udine
#1
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A13/12
Serie A2
Cento
#15
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H22/12
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A29/12
Serie A2
73.2Avg total
38.4Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.237.072.2-1.837%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.937.472.3-2.638%-
Last 30 away (14)35.636.572.1-0.936%-
Last 10 (10)38.434.873.2+3.660%-
Last 5 (5)39.834.474.2+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.533.568.0+1.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)34.837.572.2-2.732%-
vs Weaker (6)37.036.573.5+0.550%-
This opponent (Forli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Forlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Forli: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.718.5
50.4%
50.1%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.79.5
34.3%
34.6%28.5
🏀 Free throws20.115.7
78.1%
74.4%15.7
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sebastiani Rietitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sebastiani Rieti: 73.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.2 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.214.6
44.0%
50.1%29.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.99.7
32.4%
34.6%29.1
🏀 Free throws20.915.2
72.7%
74.4%15.2
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Forli
WWLWWWLLWW
Sebastiani Rieti
WWLWLWLLLW
#6
League position
#4
+4.3
Net rating
+0.4
108.2
Offensive rating
100.0
104.0
Defensive rating
99.6
50.9%
Effective FG%
46.2%
49.1%
Opp. effective FG%
47.0%
16.1%
Turnover %
18.8%
28.3%
Off. rebound %
32.2%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.33
34.3%
3-point %
32.4%
67.9%
Assist %
59.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence108.2 · 100.0Defence104.0 · 99.6Shooting50.9% · 46.2%3-point %34.3% · 32.4%Ball care16.1% · 18.8%Off. rebounds28.3% · 32.2%Free throws0.31 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Forli   ■ Sebastiani Rieti
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Forli wins
0
Sebastiani Rieti wins
DateGameScore
11/02/24Forli v Sebastiani Rieti83-73
Forlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/24ANardo84-75
22/12/24HVigevano93-91
14/12/24AFortitudo Bologna71-76 OT
07/12/24AJuVi Cremona79-74
01/12/24HAssigeco Piacenza88-82
23/11/24AUrania Milano82-80
17/11/24HCantu71-76
13/11/24AUdine75-84
10/11/24HOrzinuovi87-82 OT
06/11/24ABasket Torino92-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/24ARimini96-91
22/12/24HCento76-65
13/12/24AUdine81-85 OT
07/12/24HVigevano79-67
01/12/24ABasket Torino69-74
24/11/24HOrzinuovi77-66
17/11/24AJuVi Cremona83-97
13/11/24HVerona58-60
09/11/24ACividale63-77
06/11/24HFortitudo Bologna61-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Forli
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW61%
HomeLWLWW75%
AwayLWWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %61%75%50%
Points / game78.180.576.1
Allowed / game75.374.476.0
Point differential+2.8+6.1+0.1
Avg total153.3154.9152.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%25%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %17%25%10%
Sebastiani Rieti
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW61%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayLLLLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %61%80%38%
Points / game75.475.675.1
Allowed / game73.769.579.0
Point differential+1.7+6.1-3.9
Avg total149.1145.1154.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)67% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %6%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Udine1814478%83.273.6+9.7
2 Rimini1814478%83.277.0+6.2
3 Cantu1813572%78.973.2+5.7
4 Cividale1812667%79.276.0+3.2
5 Verona1811761%76.973.1+3.8
6 Urania Milano1811761%77.874.6+3.2
7 Forli1811761%78.175.3+2.8
8 Sebastiani Rieti1811761%75.473.7+1.7
9 Avellino Basket1810856%77.577.8-0.3
10 Fortitudo Bologna189950%74.874.5+0.3
11 Orzinuovi189950%78.879.8-0.9
12 Pesaro189950%77.178.6-1.6
13 Libertas Livorno1871139%74.375.8-1.5
14 Brindisi1871139%75.377.0-1.7
15 Basket Torino1871139%75.678.2-2.6
16 JuVi Cremona1871139%79.982.4-2.6
17 Vigevano1851328%77.581.6-4.1
18 Cento1851328%69.877.6-7.8
19 Nardo1851328%73.481.4-8.0
20 Assigeco Piacenza1831517%74.980.4-5.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Forli1718131664
Sebastiani Rieti177172465
← all games of the day
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