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Sebastiani Rieti vs Forli Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 06 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 79-68
21-9 27-14 7-17 24-28
Position#4
Record20-14
FormLWLLW
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game74.1
vs
Position#6
Record21-13
FormWLWWW
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game76.0
ItalySerie A2Round 35· PalaSojourner
Other2024-25
Meetings · Sebastiani Rieti v Forli
24 Jan 2027
SEBA v FORL
upcoming
05 Oct 2025
SEBA90
FORL60
06 Apr 2025
SEBA79
FORL68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sebastiani Rieti winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Forli winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sebastiani RietiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRieti
Date
Competition
Basket Torino
#10
W
84-69
84
69
+15
88avg 67
H02/02
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
W
91-80
91
80
+11
85avg 67
A09/02
Serie A2
Nardo
#19
W
87-74
87
74
+13
89avg 67
H15/02
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
47-69
47
69
-22
32avg 67
A19/02
Serie A2
Udine
#1
L
70-75
70
75
-5
54avg 67
H26/02
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
L
75-81
75
81
-6
68avg 67
A02/03
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
W
85-78
85
78
+7
79avg 67
A09/03
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
L
92-93 OT
92
93
-1
77avg 67
H22/03
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
L
69-82
69
82
-13
67avg 67
H26/03
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
W
78-69
78
69
+9
76avg 67
A30/03
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-18
23-11
24-14
14-26
27-14
27-27
23-22
14-17
23-14
23-27
25-15
16-18
17-12
8-16
11-19
11-22
20-16
18-24
15-12
17-23
15-25
12-17
24-14
24-25
22-22
27-19
21-24
15-13
16-20
19-19
15-9
17-19
27-22
11-21
15-11
16-28
23-21
13-13
20-19
22-16
154.8Avg total
77.8Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)75.774.1149.9+1.659%
Season at home (17)76.772.1148.8+4.665%
Season away (17)74.776.2150.9-1.553%
Last 10 (10)77.877.0154.8+0.850%
Last 5 (5)79.880.6160.4-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)76.076.7152.7-0.733%
vs Similar ◀ (21)74.874.6149.4+0.152%
vs Weaker (6)79.272.8152.0+6.383%
This opponent (Forli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ForliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormForli
Date
Competition
Cantu
#2
W
81-77
81
77
+4
74avg 71
A02/02
Serie A2
Udine
#1
W
82-76
82
76
+6
81avg 71
H09/02
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
W
61-57
61
57
+4
54avg 71
A16/02
Serie A2
Nardo
#19
L
69-82
69
82
-13
58avg 71
H26/02
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
W
78-76
78
76
+2
73avg 71
A02/03
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
83-82
83
82
+1
80avg 71
H09/03
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
L
71-84
71
84
-13
56avg 71
A15/03
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
100-82
100
82
+18
94avg 71
A22/03
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
W
86-85
86
85
+1
81avg 71
H26/03
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
W
94-74
94
74
+20
93avg 71
H30/03
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-17
21-25
25-17
16-18
18-15
24-24
21-17
19-20
13-14
14-18
14-18
20-7
19-25
10-19
16-20
24-18
17-12
11-24
29-14
21-26
23-21
18-16
18-24
24-21
16-26
14-22
13-14
28-22
33-19
15-17
26-20
26-26
27-24
21-14
21-25
17-22
27-21
31-14
23-22
13-17
158.0Avg total
80.5Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)78.376.0154.3+2.362%
Season at home (17)79.975.0154.9+4.971%
Season away (17)76.677.0153.6-0.453%
Last 10 (10)80.577.5158.0+3.080%
Last 5 (5)86.881.4168.2+5.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)78.580.0158.5-1.550%
vs Similar ◀ (22)77.074.2151.1+2.859%
vs Weaker (6)85.381.3166.7+4.083%
This opponent (Sebastiani Rieti) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: +1.1+1.1
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: +1.1+1.1
Sebastiani RietiForli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sebastiani RietiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Torino
#10
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H02/02
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
W
54-41
54
41
+13
A09/02
Serie A2
Nardo
#19
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H15/02
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
25-28
25
28
-3
A19/02
Serie A2
Udine
#1
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H26/02
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
L
27-42
27
42
-15
A02/03
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A09/03
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H22/03
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H26/03
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A30/03
Serie A2
77.2Avg total
39.4Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.536.674.1+0.947%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.936.173.9+1.850%-
Last 30 away (16)37.237.174.3+0.144%-
Last 10 (10)39.437.877.2+1.650%-
Last 5 (5)37.039.876.8-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.337.375.7+1.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)36.636.873.3-0.238%-
vs Weaker (6)40.335.876.2+4.583%-
This opponent (Forli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ForliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#2
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A02/02
Serie A2
Udine
#1
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H09/02
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A16/02
Serie A2
Nardo
#19
L
29-44
29
44
-15
H26/02
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A02/03
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H09/03
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
L
30-48
30
48
-18
A15/03
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A22/03
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H26/03
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
W
58-35
58
35
+23
H30/03
Serie A2
77.8Avg total
39.1Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.736.576.2+3.267%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.135.175.3+5.080%-
Last 30 away (15)39.337.877.1+1.553%-
Last 10 (10)39.138.777.8+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)45.038.883.8+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)38.044.582.5-6.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)39.935.074.8+4.973%-
vs Weaker (6)39.739.379.0+0.350%-
This opponent (Sebastiani Rieti) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sebastiani Rietitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sebastiani Rieti: 77.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.6 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.215.8
50.6%
50.1%31.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.810.9
36.6%
34.6%32.7
🏀 Free throws18.312.9
70.5%
74.4%12.9
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Forlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Forli: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.518.0
46.8%
50.1%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.09.4
36.2%
34.6%28.2
🏀 Free throws19.615.5
79.1%
74.4%15.5
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sebastiani Rieti
WLLWLLLWWW
Forli
WWWLWWLWWW
#4
League position
#6
+1.7
Net rating
+4.4
107.5
Offensive rating
108.8
105.8
Defensive rating
104.4
52.7%
Effective FG%
49.8%
48.6%
Opp. effective FG%
49.1%
17.7%
Turnover %
16.6%
28.9%
Off. rebound %
32.5%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.30
36.6%
3-point %
36.2%
58.1%
Assist %
63.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence107.5 · 108.8Defence105.8 · 104.4Shooting52.7% · 49.8%3-point %36.6% · 36.2%Ball care17.7% · 16.6%Off. rebounds28.9% · 32.5%Free throws0.30 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Sebastiani Rieti   ■ Forli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Sebastiani Rieti wins
1
Forli wins
DateGameScore
05/01/25Forli v Sebastiani Rieti64-65
11/02/24Forli v Sebastiani Rieti83-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/03/25AVigevano78-69
26/03/25HRimini69-82
22/03/25HAvellino Basket92-93 OT
09/03/25APesaro85-78
02/03/25AFortitudo Bologna75-81
26/02/25HUdine70-75
19/02/25AVerona47-69
15/02/25HNardo87-74
09/02/25ALibertas Livorno91-80
02/02/25HBasket Torino84-69
Forlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/03/25HUrania Milano94-74
26/03/25HAvellino Basket86-85
22/03/25AAssigeco Piacenza100-82
15/03/25APesaro71-84
09/03/25HJuVi Cremona83-82
02/03/25AVigevano78-76
26/02/25HNardo69-82
16/02/25AOrzinuovi61-57
09/02/25HUdine82-76
02/02/25ACantu81-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sebastiani Rieti
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW59%
HomeWWLLL65%
AwayWLLWW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341717
Win %59%65%53%
Points / game75.776.774.7
Allowed / game74.172.176.2
Point differential+1.6+4.6-1.5
Avg total149.9148.8150.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%41%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (12)40% (5)57% (7)
Overtime %6%6%6%
Forli
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW62%
HomeWLWWW71%
AwayWWWLW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341717
Win %62%71%53%
Points / game78.379.976.6
Allowed / game76.075.077.0
Point differential+2.3+4.9-0.4
Avg total154.3154.9153.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%24%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (15)56% (9)83% (6)
Overtime %9%12%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Udine3426876%83.474.9+8.5
2 Rimini34241071%81.877.7+4.1
3 Cantu34221265%78.173.3+4.9
4 Forli34211362%78.376.0+2.3
5 Fortitudo Bologna34201459%75.973.5+2.4
6 Sebastiani Rieti34201459%75.774.1+1.6
7 Cividale34201459%79.778.4+1.4
8 Verona34191556%76.873.6+3.1
9 Pesaro34191556%81.979.9+2.0
10 Urania Milano35191654%75.976.3-0.3
11 Basket Torino34181653%76.275.4+0.8
12 Avellino Basket34181653%79.079.9-0.8
13 Brindisi35181751%76.876.3+0.5
14 Orzinuovi35152043%77.780.0-2.3
15 Cento34132138%72.977.7-4.8
16 Libertas Livorno34112332%74.476.9-2.4
17 JuVi Cremona34112332%80.182.7-2.5
18 Vigevano34112332%75.680.7-5.1
19 Nardo34102429%74.680.9-6.3
20 Assigeco Piacenza3572820%76.282.7-6.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sebastiani Rieti212772479
Forli914172868
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