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Sebastiani Rieti vs Monferrato Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 72-71
15-20 19-20 20-13 18-18
Position#7
Record9-6
FormLWLWW
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game79.6
vs
Position#24
Record4-11
FormWLLWL
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game83.2
ItalySerie A2Round 16· PalaSojourner
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sebastiani Rieti winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Monferrato winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sebastiani RietiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRieti
Date
Competition
JuVi Cremona
#17
W
85-76
85
76
+9
81avg 78
H29/10
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
78-82
78
82
-4
75avg 78
H01/11
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
W
90-65
90
65
+25
82avg 78
A05/11
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
66-81
66
81
-15
57avg 78
A12/11
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
80-71
80
71
+9
71avg 78
H19/11
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
71-95
71
95
-24
63avg 78
A26/11
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
W
85-84
85
84
+1
81avg 78
H03/12
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
84-86
84
86
-2
74avg 78
A06/12
Serie A2
Treviglio
#16
W
85-76
85
76
+9
84avg 78
H10/12
Serie A2
Latina
#23
W
84-71
84
71
+13
82avg 78
A16/12
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-27
27-15
17-13
21-21
21-20
23-19
19-10
15-33
25-15
15-20
22-10
28-20
10-25
15-21
19-17
22-18
21-16
25-23
21-18
13-14
21-22
15-19
15-29
20-25
16-19
26-14
16-18
27-33
29-18
24-30
18-20
13-18
23-17
12-20
30-15
20-24
27-15
20-28
18-16
19-12
159.5Avg total
80.8Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)82.979.6162.5+3.360%
Season at home (7)84.977.6162.4+7.386%
Season away (8)81.281.4162.6-0.138%
Last 10 (10)80.878.7159.5+2.160%
Last 5 (5)81.882.4164.2-0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)71.095.0166.0-24.00%
vs Similar (3)80.383.7164.0-3.333%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)84.777.1161.8+7.673%
This opponent (Monferrato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MonferratoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMonferrato
Date
Competition
Treviglio
#16
L
79-88
79
88
-9
64avg 69
A29/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
L
66-74
66
74
-8
50avg 69
H01/11
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
98-112
98
112
-14
81avg 69
A05/11
Serie A2
Latina
#23
L
71-86
71
86
-15
63avg 69
H12/11
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
74-90
74
90
-16
64avg 69
A19/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
97-83
97
83
+14
92avg 69
H25/11
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
L
74-79
74
79
-5
61avg 69
A02/12
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
67-78
67
78
-11
53avg 69
H06/12
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
86-61
86
61
+25
85avg 69
H10/12
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
L
66-83
66
83
-17
56avg 69
A17/12
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-16
22-24
20-17
22-31
17-16
15-20
14-9
20-29
25-32
19-28
27-19
27-33
17-28
10-21
28-16
16-21
19-26
12-23
16-14
27-27
21-12
22-25
25-25
29-21
18-22
17-22
24-17
15-18
14-26
20-23
12-15
21-14
18-14
23-14
19-13
26-20
18-25
15-17
20-17
13-24
161.2Avg total
77.8Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)79.483.2162.6-3.827%
Season at home (8)79.878.4158.1+1.450%
Season away (7)79.088.7167.7-9.70%
Last 10 (10)77.883.4161.2-5.620%
Last 5 (5)78.076.8154.8+1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)84.292.6176.8-8.420%
vs Similar (25)79.177.8156.9+1.244%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sebastiani Rieti) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -2.2-2.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -2.2-2.2
Sebastiani RietiMonferrato
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sebastiani RietiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
JuVi Cremona
#17
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H29/10
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H01/11
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A05/11
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
25-46
25
46
-21
A12/11
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H19/11
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A26/11
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H03/12
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
W
53-48
53
48
+5
A06/12
Serie A2
Treviglio
#16
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H10/12
Serie A2
Latina
#23
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A16/12
Serie A2
81.8Avg total
41.5Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (15)42.139.581.6+2.773%-
Last 30 at home (7)44.338.482.7+5.986%-
Last 30 away (8)40.240.480.6-0.162%-
Last 10 (10)41.540.381.8+1.270%-
Last 5 (5)42.640.483.0+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)36.041.077.0-5.00%-
vs Similar (3)43.044.087.0-1.067%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)42.538.180.5+4.482%-
This opponent (Monferrato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MonferratoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Treviglio
#16
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A29/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H01/11
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
44-60
44
60
-16
A05/11
Serie A2
Latina
#23
L
27-49
27
49
-22
H12/11
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A19/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H25/11
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A02/12
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
34-49
34
49
-15
H06/12
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H10/12
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A17/12
Serie A2
79.1Avg total
35.7Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.539.177.6-0.650%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.937.975.8-0.147%-
Last 30 away (15)39.140.379.4-1.153%-
Last 10 (10)35.743.479.1-7.720%-
Last 5 (5)37.240.077.2-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)40.249.890.0-9.620%-
vs Similar (25)38.237.075.1+1.256%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sebastiani Rieti) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sebastiani Rietitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sebastiani Rieti: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.516.7
49.9%
50.3%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.910.9
42.1%
34.1%32.7
🏀 Free throws20.614.1
68.4%
74.2%14.1
They take 59.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Monferratotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Monferrato: 77.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.415.2
45.5%
50.3%30.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.911.3
35.4%
34.1%33.9
🏀 Free throws17.712.9
72.9%
74.2%12.9
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sebastiani Rieti
WWLWLWLWLW
Monferrato
LWLLWLLLLL
#7
League position
#24
+3.6
Net rating
-7.3
110.1
Offensive rating
101.2
106.5
Defensive rating
108.6
55.6%
Effective FG%
49.2%
49.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.5%
18.5%
Turnover %
16.2%
26.5%
Off. rebound %
22.8%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.27
42.1%
3-point %
35.4%
57.2%
Assist %
53.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence110.1 · 101.2Defence106.5 · 108.6Shooting55.6% · 49.2%3-point %42.1% · 35.4%Ball care18.5% · 16.2%Off. rebounds26.5% · 22.8%Free throws0.35 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Sebastiani Rieti   ■ Monferrato
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Sebastiani Rieti wins
1
Monferrato wins
DateGameScore
21/10/23Monferrato v Sebastiani Rieti97-92
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/23ALatina84-71
10/12/23HTreviglio85-76
06/12/23ABasket Torino84-86
03/12/23HAgrigento85-84
26/11/23ATrapani71-95
19/11/23HVigevano80-71
12/11/23ACantu66-81
05/11/23ALuiss Roma90-65
01/11/23HUrania Milano78-82
29/10/23HJuVi Cremona85-76
Monferratolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/23AAgrigento66-83
10/12/23HVigevano86-61
06/12/23HTrapani67-78
02/12/23ALuiss Roma74-79
25/11/23HUrania Milano97-83
19/11/23ACantu74-90
12/11/23HLatina71-86
05/11/23ABasket Torino98-112
01/11/23HJuVi Cremona66-74
29/10/23ATreviglio79-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sebastiani Rieti
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW60%
HomeWLWWW86%
AwayWLLLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %60%86%38%
Points / game82.984.981.2
Allowed / game79.677.681.4
Point differential+3.3+7.3-0.1
Avg total162.5162.4162.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%14%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)50% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Monferrato
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL27%
HomeLLWLW50%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %27%50%0%
Points / game79.479.879.0
Allowed / game83.278.488.7
Point differential-3.8+1.4-9.7
Avg total162.6158.1167.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trapani1514193%92.977.9+15.0
2 Cantu1512380%89.982.0+7.9
3 Forli1512380%80.975.4+5.5
4 Fortitudo Bologna1512380%78.673.2+5.4
5 Trieste1411379%79.673.7+5.9
6 Udine1612475%81.168.6+12.5
7 Basket Torino1612475%85.881.1+4.7
8 Verona1611569%77.273.5+3.7
9 Urania Milano1610662%83.583.5+0.0
10 Sebastiani Rieti159660%82.979.6+3.3
11 Assigeco Piacenza169756%79.875.8+4.0
12 JuVi Cremona158753%87.885.1+2.7
13 Treviglio158753%82.882.4+0.4
14 Nardo167944%77.984.1-6.1
15 Agrigento1551033%76.179.0-2.9
16 Cento1551033%73.378.8-5.5
17 Rimini1541127%76.078.9-2.9
18 Monferrato1541127%79.483.2-3.8
19 Vigevano1541127%77.584.4-6.9
20 Cividale1641225%71.976.9-5.0
21 Luiss Roma1641225%78.688.2-9.6
22 Orzinuovi1631319%71.377.8-6.4
23 Chiusi1421214%63.074.5-11.5
24 Latina1621412%77.287.1-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sebastiani Rieti1519201872
Monferrato2020131871
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