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Sebastiani Rieti vs Pistoia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 78-70
24-23 21-15 12-12 21-20
Position#7
Record2-0
FormLLLWW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game68.5
Sebastiani Rieti 🏆
Italy
vs
Pistoia
Italy
Position#11
Record0-2
FormWLWLL
Points / game69.5
Allowed / game73.5
ItalySerie A2Round 3· PalaSojourner
Other2026-27
Meetings · Sebastiani Rieti v Pistoia
11 Oct 2026
SEBA78
PIS70
19 Oct 2025
SEBA73
PIS88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sebastiani Rieti winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pistoia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sebastiani RietiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRieti
Date
Competition
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
72-80
72
80
-8
66avg 73
A08/04
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
W
112-90
112
90
+22
110avg 73
H12/04
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
83-88
83
88
-5
65avg 73
A18/04
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
W
80-66
80
66
+14
76avg 73
H26/04
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
70-69
70
69
+1
64avg 73
A08/05
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
73-79
73
79
-6
61avg 73
A10/05
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
73-82
73
82
-9
64avg 73
H13/05
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
78-90
78
90
-12
65avg 73
H15/05
Serie A2
Caserta
#14
W
81-73
81
73
+8
69avg 73
H27/09
Serie A2
Vigevano
#16
W
79-64
79
64
+15
78avg 73
A04/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
18-21
17-17
16-23
30-27
30-24
22-20
30-19
18-21
23-18
22-22
20-27
22-13
19-16
25-14
14-23
18-16
18-23
17-13
17-17
18-23
18-22
14-10
23-24
16-22
21-21
12-14
24-25
16-24
18-27
21-13
23-26
27-18
17-19
19-21
18-15
24-15
26-17
16-15
13-17
158.2Avg total
80.1Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)80.068.5148.5+11.5100%
Season at home (1)81.073.0154.0+8.0100%
Season away (1)79.064.0143.0+15.0100%
Last 10 (10)80.178.1158.2+2.050%
Last 5 (5)76.877.6154.4-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)73.578.5152.0-5.025%
vs Similar (19)76.975.8152.7+1.147%
vs Weaker (7)84.179.7163.9+4.486%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistoia
Date
Competition
Cividale
#5
L
48-93
48
93
-45
27avg 67
A11/04
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
W
79-71
79
71
+8
73avg 67
H19/04
Serie A2
Cento
#18
L
86-99
86
99
-13
84avg 67
A26/04
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
L
85-100
85
100
-15
67avg 67
A03/05
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
97-90
97
90
+7
89avg 67
A05/05
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
79-78
79
78
+1
63avg 67
H08/05
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
L
81-88 OT
81
88
-7
66avg 67
H10/05
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
80-78
80
78
+2
72avg 67
A13/05
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#1
L
62-63
62
63
-1
49avg 67
A27/09
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#3
L
77-84
77
84
-7
28avg 67
H04/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-15
14-29
12-22
6-27
14-22
25-18
17-16
23-15
36-33
19-28
12-17
19-21
22-36
17-24
24-24
22-16
26-15
24-26
24-21
23-28
15-16
24-31
20-18
20-13
20-19
15-19
24-14
16-23
17-25
24-18
23-18
16-17
16-19
18-18
15-11
13-15
20-30
23-19
20-18
14-17
161.8Avg total
77.4Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)69.573.5143.0-4.00%
Season at home (1)77.084.0161.0-7.00%
Season away (1)62.063.0125.0-1.00%
Last 10 (10)77.484.4161.8-7.040%
Last 5 (5)75.878.2154.0-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)73.482.8156.2-9.412%
vs Similar (14)80.985.3166.2-4.436%
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Sebastiani Rieti) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -2.0-2.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -2.0-2.0
Sebastiani RietiPistoia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sebastiani RietiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A08/04
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
W
60-51
60
51
+9
H12/04
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A18/04
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H26/04
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A08/05
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A10/05
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H13/05
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
34-51
34
51
-17
H15/05
Serie A2
Caserta
#14
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H27/09
Serie A2
Vigevano
#16
W
50-32
50
32
+18
A04/10
Serie A2
82.4Avg total
41.8Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.338.476.7-0.047%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.338.777.9+0.660%-
Last 30 away (15)37.438.175.5-0.733%-
Last 10 (10)41.840.682.4+1.250%-
Last 5 (5)40.241.681.8-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)36.542.579.0-6.025%-
vs Similar (19)37.838.976.8-1.142%-
vs Weaker (7)40.734.475.1+6.371%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cividale
#5
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A11/04
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H19/04
Serie A2
Cento
#18
L
55-61
55
61
-6
A26/04
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
L
39-60
39
60
-21
A03/05
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
50-41
50
41
+9
A05/05
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H08/05
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H10/05
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A13/05
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#1
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A27/09
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#3
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H04/10
Serie A2
86.5Avg total
40.5Scored
46.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.942.582.3-2.630%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.541.181.6-0.547%-
Last 30 away (15)39.243.983.1-4.713%-
Last 10 (10)40.546.086.5-5.510%-
Last 5 (5)38.442.881.2-4.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)37.240.077.2-2.831%-
vs Similar (14)42.945.388.2-2.429%-
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Sebastiani Rieti) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sebastiani Rietitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sebastiani Rieti: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.3 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.919.1
54.7%
51.5%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.59.2
32.3%
34.5%27.6
🏀 Free throws21.715.0
69.1%
70.9%15.0
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 73.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.2 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.3 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.415.1
45.2%
51.5%30.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.38.8
32.2%
34.5%26.4
🏀 Free throws20.817.1
82.2%
70.9%17.1
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sebastiani Rieti
WWLLLWWLWL
Pistoia
LLWLWWLLWL
#7
League position
#11
+5.3
Net rating
-3.1
96.9
Offensive rating
92.1
91.7
Defensive rating
95.3
51.9%
Effective FG%
46.6%
50.3%
Opp. effective FG%
54.9%
13.7%
Turnover %
13.7%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.34
32.3%
3-point %
32.2%
54.4%
Assist %
47.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence96.9 · 92.1Defence91.7 · 95.3Shooting51.9% · 46.6%3-point %32.3% · 32.2%Ball care13.7% · 13.7%Free throws0.34 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Sebastiani Rieti   ■ Pistoia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Sebastiani Rieti wins
1
Pistoia wins
DateGameScore
25/01/26Pistoia v Sebastiani Rieti85-86 OT
19/10/25Sebastiani Rieti v Pistoia73-88
Sebastiani Rietilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/26AVigevano79-64
27/09/26HCaserta81-73
15/05/26HCividale78-90
13/05/26HCividale73-82
10/05/26ACividale73-79
08/05/26ACividale70-69
26/04/26HBasket Torino80-66
18/04/26AUrania Milano83-88
12/04/26HPesaro112-90
08/04/26ALibertas Livorno72-80
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/26HBasket Torino77-84
27/09/26ALibertas Livorno62-63
13/05/26ARuvo Di Puglia80-78
10/05/26HRuvo Di Puglia81-88 OT
08/05/26HRuvo Di Puglia79-78
05/05/26ARuvo Di Puglia97-90
03/05/26ARuvo Di Puglia85-100
26/04/26ACento86-99
19/04/26HBrindisi79-71
11/04/26ACividale48-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sebastiani Rieti
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game80.081.079.0
Allowed / game68.573.064.0
Point differential+11.5+8.0+15.0
Avg total148.5154.0143.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pistoia
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game69.577.062.0
Allowed / game73.584.063.0
Point differential-4.0-7.0-1.0
Avg total143.0161.0125.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Libertas Livorno220100%75.555.5+20.0
2 Forli220100%82.570.5+12.0
3 Fortitudo Bologna220100%87.575.5+12.0
4 Sebastiani Rieti220100%80.068.5+11.5
5 Avellino Basket220100%80.070.5+9.5
6 Pesaro220100%91.582.5+9.0
7 Brindisi220100%75.070.0+5.0
8 Sassari32167%76.374.3+2.0
9 Rimini21150%78.066.0+12.0
10 Cividale21150%77.084.0-7.0
11 Basket Torino21150%70.578.0-7.5
12 Montecatini21150%70.078.0-8.0
13 Ruvo Di Puglia31233%83.088.7-5.7
14 Mestre31233%67.377.3-10.0
15 Pistoia2020%69.573.5-4.0
16 Urania Milano3030%79.083.3-4.3
17 Caserta2020%77.082.0-5.0
18 JuVi Cremona2020%71.576.5-5.0
19 Cento2020%77.088.0-11.0
20 Vigevano2020%66.583.0-16.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sebastiani Rieti2421122178
Pistoia2315122070
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