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Sebastiani Rieti vs Treviglio Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 85-76
23-17 12-20 30-15 20-24
Position#7
Record7-6
FormLWLWL
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game80.5
vs
Position#16
Record8-5
FormWWWLL
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game82.8
ItalySerie A2Round 14· PalaSojourner
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sebastiani Rieti winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Treviglio winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sebastiani RietiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRieti
Date
Competition
Latina
#23
W
90-70
90
70
+20
82avg 77
H15/10
Serie A2
Monferrato
#24
L
92-97
92
97
-5
88avg 77
A21/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
W
85-76
85
76
+9
81avg 77
H29/10
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
78-82
78
82
-4
75avg 77
H01/11
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
W
90-65
90
65
+25
82avg 77
A05/11
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
66-81
66
81
-15
57avg 77
A12/11
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
80-71
80
71
+9
71avg 77
H19/11
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
71-95
71
95
-24
63avg 77
A26/11
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
W
85-84
85
84
+1
81avg 77
H03/12
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
84-86
84
86
-2
74avg 77
A06/12
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-25
21-16
20-18
25-11
17-22
26-19
19-23
30-33
20-27
27-15
17-13
21-21
21-20
23-19
19-10
15-33
25-15
15-20
22-10
28-20
10-25
15-21
19-17
22-18
21-16
25-23
21-18
13-14
21-22
15-19
15-29
20-25
16-19
26-14
16-18
27-33
29-18
24-30
18-20
13-18
162.8Avg total
82.1Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)82.780.5163.2+2.254%
Season at home (6)84.877.8162.7+7.083%
Season away (7)80.982.9163.7-2.029%
Last 10 (10)82.180.7162.8+1.450%
Last 5 (5)77.283.4160.6-6.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)71.095.0166.0-24.00%
vs Similar (3)80.383.7164.0-3.333%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)84.877.9162.7+6.967%
This opponent (Treviglio) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TreviglioItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTreviglio
Date
Competition
Basket Torino
#9
L
63-84
63
84
-21
48avg 81
A15/10
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
W
76-69
76
69
+7
70avg 81
A22/10
Serie A2
Monferrato
#24
W
88-79
88
79
+9
96avg 81
H29/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
95-69
95
69
+26
89avg 81
A01/11
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
78-96
78
96
-18
76avg 81
H05/11
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
W
100-96
100
96
+4
104avg 81
H12/11
Serie A2
Latina
#23
W
92-90
92
90
+2
81avg 81
A19/11
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
W
87-69
87
69
+18
92avg 81
H26/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
79-81
79
81
-2
76avg 81
A01/12
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
69-75
69
75
-6
65avg 81
H06/12
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-28
20-20
13-14
10-22
18-18
19-18
13-14
26-19
16-15
24-22
17-20
31-22
21-11
28-24
18-16
28-18
23-28
16-27
26-19
13-22
23-20
22-25
37-22
18-29
25-28
19-25
24-20
24-17
23-24
23-23
17-9
24-13
22-31
21-11
23-21
13-18
12-25
21-18
18-16
18-16
163.5Avg total
82.7Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)84.282.8167.0+1.362%
Season at home (7)85.685.0170.6+0.657%
Season away (6)82.580.3162.8+2.267%
Last 10 (10)82.780.8163.5+1.960%
Last 5 (5)85.482.2167.6+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)81.587.0168.5-5.550%
vs Similar (14)83.678.6162.2+4.964%
vs Weaker (12)80.373.6153.9+6.858%
This opponent (Sebastiani Rieti) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +0.9+0.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +0.9+0.9
Sebastiani RietiTreviglio
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sebastiani RietiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Latina
#23
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H15/10
Serie A2
Monferrato
#24
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A21/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H29/10
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H01/11
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A05/11
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
25-46
25
46
-21
A12/11
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H19/11
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A26/11
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H03/12
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
W
53-48
53
48
+5
A06/12
Serie A2
82.6Avg total
42.1Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (13)42.339.481.7+2.977%-
Last 30 at home (6)45.838.784.5+7.2100%-
Last 30 away (7)39.340.079.3-0.757%-
Last 10 (10)42.140.582.6+1.680%-
Last 5 (5)40.441.481.8-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)36.041.077.0-5.00%-
vs Similar (3)43.044.087.0-1.067%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)42.837.780.4+5.189%-
This opponent (Treviglio) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TreviglioLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Torino
#9
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A15/10
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A22/10
Serie A2
Monferrato
#24
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H29/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A01/11
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
39-55
39
55
-16
H05/11
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H12/11
Serie A2
Latina
#23
L
44-53
44
53
-9
A19/11
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H26/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A01/12
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H06/12
Serie A2
85.7Avg total
41.6Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.940.182.0+1.957%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.140.982.9+1.247%-
Last 30 away (15)41.839.381.1+2.567%-
Last 10 (10)41.644.185.7-2.540%-
Last 5 (5)42.246.088.2-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)41.844.586.2-2.850%-
vs Similar (14)42.540.382.8+2.264%-
vs Weaker (12)41.338.379.7+3.050%-
This opponent (Sebastiani Rieti) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sebastiani Rietitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sebastiani Rieti: 81.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.616.3
48.5%
50.3%32.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.611.3
44.1%
34.1%33.9
🏀 Free throws21.415.0
70.1%
74.2%15.0
They take 59.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Trevigliotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Treviglio: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.018.7
50.5%
50.3%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.410.0
36.5%
34.1%30.0
🏀 Free throws18.514.5
78.4%
74.2%14.5
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sebastiani Rieti
LWLWLWLWLW
Treviglio
LLWWWLWWWL
#7
League position
#16
+2.6
Net rating
+3.0
110.7
Offensive rating
106.4
108.1
Defensive rating
103.4
56.2%
Effective FG%
52.3%
50.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
18.7%
Turnover %
16.8%
25.3%
Off. rebound %
23.3%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.29
44.1%
3-point %
36.5%
54.7%
Assist %
68.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence110.7 · 106.4Defence108.1 · 103.4Shooting56.2% · 52.3%3-point %44.1% · 36.5%Ball care18.7% · 16.8%Off. rebounds25.3% · 23.3%Free throws0.36 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Sebastiani Rieti   ■ Treviglio
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Sebastiani Rieti wins
1
Treviglio wins
DateGameScore
11/10/23Treviglio v Sebastiani Rieti89-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/23ABasket Torino84-86
03/12/23HAgrigento85-84
26/11/23ATrapani71-95
19/11/23HVigevano80-71
12/11/23ACantu66-81
05/11/23ALuiss Roma90-65
01/11/23HUrania Milano78-82
29/10/23HJuVi Cremona85-76
21/10/23AMonferrato92-97
15/10/23HLatina90-70
Trevigliolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/23HCantu69-75
01/12/23AUrania Milano79-81
26/11/23HLuiss Roma87-69
19/11/23ALatina92-90
12/11/23HJuVi Cremona100-96
05/11/23HTrapani78-96
01/11/23AVigevano95-69
29/10/23HMonferrato88-79
22/10/23AAgrigento76-69
15/10/23ABasket Torino63-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sebastiani Rieti
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL54%
HomeWWLWW83%
AwayLWLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %54%83%29%
Points / game82.784.880.9
Allowed / game80.577.882.9
Point differential+2.2+7.0-2.0
Avg total163.2162.7163.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%17%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)50% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Treviglio
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL62%
HomeWLWWL57%
AwayLWWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %62%57%67%
Points / game84.285.682.5
Allowed / game82.885.080.3
Point differential+1.3+0.6+2.2
Avg total167.0170.6162.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%14%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)67% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %8%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trapani1312192%92.278.2+14.0
2 Fortitudo Bologna1311285%79.573.2+6.3
3 Cantu1310377%89.181.9+7.2
4 Forli1310377%81.875.8+6.0
5 Trieste129375%79.374.2+5.1
6 Udine139469%80.871.7+9.1
7 Verona139469%77.172.5+4.6
8 Basket Torino139469%85.180.8+4.2
9 Treviglio138562%84.282.8+1.3
10 Urania Milano138562%83.683.1+0.5
11 JuVi Cremona148657%89.284.7+4.5
12 Sebastiani Rieti137654%82.780.5+2.2
13 Nardo137654%79.885.5-5.6
14 Assigeco Piacenza136746%79.679.0+0.6
15 Cento135838%74.978.8-3.9
16 Agrigento134931%75.579.3-3.8
17 Vigevano134931%78.484.2-5.8
18 Luiss Roma1441029%76.286.1-9.9
19 Cividale1331023%73.977.2-3.2
20 Rimini1331023%74.878.8-4.0
21 Monferrato1331023%79.984.9-5.0
22 Orzinuovi1331023%70.376.6-6.3
23 Chiusi1221017%65.774.6-8.9
24 Latina1321115%78.787.7-9.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sebastiani Rieti2312302085
Treviglio1720152476
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