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Serbia vs Slovenia Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 21 Aug 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 106-72
33-23 31-13 27-20 15-16
Position-
Record-
FormWWWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Serbia 🏆
vs
Position-
Record-
FormWLWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeFriendly International· Beogradska arena
Other2025
Meetings · Serbia v Slovenia
21 Aug 2025
SERB106
SLOV72
17 Aug 2010
SERB82
SLOV81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Serbia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Slovenia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SerbiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSerbia
Date
Competition
Canada
#4
W
95-86
95
86
+9
no box
H08/09
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
77-83
77
83
-6
no box
A10/09
World Cup
Finland
#34
W
77-61
77
61
+16
no box
H23/02
EuroBasket
Georgia
#21
W
76-63
76
63
+13
no box
A26/02
EuroBasket
Denmark
#27
W
72-52
72
52
+20
72avg 94
A21/11
EuroBasket
Denmark
#27
W
98-51
98
51
+47
104avg 94
H24/11
EuroBasket
Finland
#34
W
105-95
105
95
+10
107avg 94
A21/02
EuroBasket
Georgia
#21
W
63-54
63
54
+9
49avg 94
H24/02
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#4
W
113-84
113
84
+29
116avg 94
H15/08
DBB Supercup
Germany
#3
W
91-81
91
81
+10
90avg 94
A16/08
DBB Supercup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-15
29-24
23-24
20-23
26-23
21-24
10-22
20-14
17-20
19-14
22-17
19-10
21-12
17-19
22-21
16-11
29-6
14-13
19-16
10-17
25-17
25-11
20-11
28-12
24-26
27-31
28-14
26-24
13-17
14-14
17-10
19-13
29-21
32-27
31-20
21-16
18-15
20-17
32-23
21-26
157.7Avg total
86.7Scored
71.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)86.771.0157.7+15.790%
Last 5 (5)94.073.0167.0+21.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)95.086.0181.0+9.0100%
vs Similar (4)97.878.2176.0+19.575%
vs Weaker (25)88.773.8162.6+14.988%
SloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSlovenia
Date
Competition
Germany
#2
L
71-100
71
100
-29
no box
A03/09
World Cup
Canada
#4
L
89-100
89
100
-11
no box
A06/09
World Cup
Lithuania
#9
L
84-100
84
100
-16
no box
A07/09
World Cup
Italy
#17
W
89-85
89
85
+4
no box
A09/09
World Cup
Ukraine
#36
W
87-73
87
73
+14
no box
H22/02
EuroBasket
Israel
#5
W
88-79
88
79
+9
no box
H25/02
EuroBasket
Portugal
#14
L
74-82
74
82
-8
68avg 74
A22/11
EuroBasket
Portugal
#14
W
83-82
83
82
+1
76avg 74
H25/11
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#36
W
84-71
84
71
+13
84avg 74
A21/02
EuroBasket
Israel
#5
L
74-84
74
84
-10
69avg 74
A24/02
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-11
9-27
18-30
19-32
24-26
26-24
21-30
18-20
21-33
22-20
20-22
21-25
15-18
27-23
28-19
19-25
21-22
18-18
25-13
23-20
8-20
32-17
25-16
23-26
10-22
14-27
24-15
26-18
24-17
20-32
22-19
17-14
24-22
21-14
21-19
18-16
15-11
16-25
28-25
15-23
167.9Avg total
82.3Scored
85.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)82.385.6167.9-3.350%
Last 5 (5)80.679.6160.2+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)81.290.8172.0-9.733%
vs Similar (16)85.180.8165.9+4.369%
vs Weaker (8)91.578.8170.2+12.875%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.3+5.3Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +4.6+4.6Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: -2.0-2.0
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.3+5.3Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +4.6+4.6Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: -2.0-2.0
SerbiaSlovenia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SerbiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Canada
#4
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H08/09
World Cup
Germany
#2
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A10/09
World Cup
Finland
#34
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H23/02
EuroBasket
Georgia
#21
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A26/02
EuroBasket
Denmark
#27
W
43-19
43
19
+24
A21/11
EuroBasket
Denmark
#27
W
50-28
50
28
+22
H24/11
EuroBasket
Finland
#34
L
51-57
51
57
-6
A21/02
EuroBasket
Georgia
#21
L
27-31
27
31
-4
H24/02
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#4
W
61-48
61
48
+13
H15/08
DBB Supercup
Germany
#3
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A16/08
DBB Supercup
80.9Avg total
44.3Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.936.283.1+10.787%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.436.984.3+10.593%-
Last 30 away (15)46.435.581.9+10.980%-
Last 10 (10)44.336.680.9+7.770%-
Last 5 (5)45.439.284.6+6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)52.039.091.0+13.0100%-
vs Similar (4)52.039.891.8+12.275%-
vs Weaker (25)45.935.681.4+10.388%-
SloveniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Germany
#2
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A03/09
World Cup
Canada
#4
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A06/09
World Cup
Lithuania
#9
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A07/09
World Cup
Italy
#17
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A09/09
World Cup
Ukraine
#36
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H22/02
EuroBasket
Israel
#5
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H25/02
EuroBasket
Portugal
#14
L
24-49
24
49
-25
A22/11
EuroBasket
Portugal
#14
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H25/11
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#36
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A21/02
EuroBasket
Israel
#5
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A24/02
EuroBasket
82.1Avg total
39.2Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.841.484.2+1.460%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.343.588.7+1.867%-
Last 30 away (15)40.439.379.7+1.153%-
Last 10 (10)39.242.982.1-3.730%-
Last 5 (5)36.841.478.2-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)41.341.382.7+0.033%-
vs Similar (16)41.642.484.0-0.962%-
vs Weaker (8)46.539.485.9+7.175%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Serbiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Serbia: 87.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 56.0 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.022.0
59.5%
55.4%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.78.9
39.0%
34.4%26.6
🏀 Free throws23.717.3
72.9%
74.1%17.3
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sloveniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Slovenia: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀28%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.7 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
League average for comparison: 56.0 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.515.8
48.7%
55.4%31.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.88.8
31.7%
34.4%26.5
🏀 Free throws29.322.8
77.8%
74.1%22.8
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 7/6 games with a box score before 21 Aug 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Serbia
WWWWWWWWLW
Slovenia
LWWLWWWLLL
+28.8
Net rating
+4.5
122.3
Offensive rating
105.1
93.5
Defensive rating
100.6
59.1%
Effective FG%
48.2%
46.4%
Opp. effective FG%
48.2%
15.1%
Turnover %
20.5%
33.2%
Off. rebound %
33.2%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.49
39.0%
3-point %
31.7%
63.9%
Assist %
81.8%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence122.3 · 105.1Defence93.5 · 100.6Shooting59.1% · 48.2%3-point %39.0% · 31.7%Ball care15.1% · 20.5%Off. rebounds33.2% · 33.2%Free throws0.40 · 0.49Form (last 10/10)90% · 50%
■ Serbia   ■ Slovenia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Serbia wins
0
Slovenia wins
DateGameScore
17/08/10Serbia v Slovenia82-81
Serbialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/08/25AGermany91-81
15/08/25HCzech Republic113-84
24/02/25HGeorgia63-54
21/02/25AFinland105-95
24/11/24HDenmark98-51
21/11/24ADenmark72-52
26/02/24AGeorgia76-63
23/02/24HFinland77-61
10/09/23AGermany77-83
08/09/23HCanada95-86
Slovenialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/25AIsrael74-84
21/02/25AUkraine84-71
25/11/24HPortugal83-82
22/11/24APortugal74-82
25/02/24HIsrael88-79
22/02/24HUkraine87-73
09/09/23AItaly89-85
07/09/23ALithuania84-100
06/09/23ACanada89-100
03/09/23AGermany71-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Serbia
Friendly International 2025
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Slovenia
Friendly International 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Serbia33312715106
Slovenia2313201672
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